• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Based Maintenance

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A Study on the Maintenance Cost Estimation Model for Application Software by Considering Risks (위험을 고려한 응용소프트웨어의 유지관리비용 산정모델에 관한 연구)

  • Jeong, Hyung Jong;Koo, Eun Young;Han, Kyeong Seok
    • Journal of Information Technology Services
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.67-84
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    • 2015
  • Software is more diverse and complex and the level of importance for the maintenance of application software to securely operate software is also gradually increasing in proportion. The calculation method for maintenance cost of application software applied in Korea public enterprises is involved in the range of 10 to 15% of development cost, depending on the Software Project Cost Estimation Guide. Moreover, as most software maintenance cost estimation procedures do not take into consideration of the risk factors related of maintenance, it can be seen as a main cause for the occurrence of maintenance related accidents. This study proposes a maintenance cost estimate model that takes into consideration of the risks related to the software maintenance activities to improve and resolve issues arising from the estimation of maintenance cost. In doing so, maintenance risk factors are analyzed and a risk index is derived through the analysis of risk levels based on the risk factors. Based on such analysis, a maintenance cost estimate method which reflects the maintenance risk index was established.

Risk Monitor Development for On-Line Maintenance (가동중 정비를 위한 Risk Monitor 개발)

  • 김길유;한상훈;김태운
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.21-26
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    • 1997
  • Korea Atomic Energy Research Institute (KAERI) developed a risk monitor called Risk Monster which supports for plant operators and maintenance schedulers to monitor plant risk and to avoid high peak risk by rearranging maintenance work schedule. Risk Monster can update the plant risk continuously according to the change of system/component configuration since Risk Monster reevaluates the plant risk based on the Probabilistic Safety Assessment (PSA) results. A brief description of Risk Monster is provided. The PSA model of UCN 3, 4 nuclear power plant was converted by KAERI to Risk Monster model. Using this Risk Monster model, a feasibility study of the on-line maintenance of an Essential Service Water (ESW) pump was performed. On-line maintenance of one ESW pump has been shown to be acceptably safe, and has economic benefits. In addition, it is not a violation of technical specification to continue plant operation with an out-of-service ESW pump.

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Basic Study for Development of Risk Based Bridge Maintenance Priority Decision Model (위험도기반 교량 유지관리 우선순위 선정 모델 개발을 위한 기초연구)

  • Kim, Dongiin;Lee, Minjae
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.108-116
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    • 2017
  • It is expected that the maintenance cost of domestic bridges will increase considerably due to the increase of bridge service time. In response to this situation, the government and relevant ministries are focusing on developing ways to efficiently allocate limited budgets and to rationally select maintenance bridge. In this study, to develop a risk - based bridge maintenance priority decision model, 14 common risk factors causing damage to bridges were extracted and AHP analysis was performed to select 5 important factors. Based on the existing literature review and expert consultation, we derive the evaluation criteria and the impact weights of the selected factors, and based on this, I presented risk based bridge maintenance priority model. Using this model in combination with existing maintenance priority methods will lead to more reasonable bridge maintenance priorities.

Design of a Condition-based Maintenance Policy Using a Surrogate Variable (대용변수를 이용한 상태기반 보전정책의 설계)

  • Kwon, Hyuck Moo;Hong, Sung Hoon;Lee, Min Koo
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.49 no.3
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    • pp.299-312
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    • 2021
  • Purpose: We provide a condition-based maintenance policy where a surrogate variable is used for monitoring system performance. We constructed a risk function by taking into account the risk and losses accompanied with erroneous decisions. Methods: Assuming a unique degradation process for the performance variable and its specific relationship with the surrogate variable, the maintenance policy is determined. A risk function is developed on the basis of producer's and consumer's risks accompanied with each decision. With a strategic safety factor considered, the optimal threshold value for the surrogate variable is determined based on the risk function. Results: The condition-based maintenance is analyzed from the point of risk. With an assumed safety consideration, the optimal threshold value of the surrogate variable is provided for taking a maintenance action. The optimal solution cannot be obtained in a closed form. An illustrative numerical example and solution is provided with a source code of R program. Conclusion: The study can be applied to situation where a sensor signal is issued if the system performance begins to degrade gradually and reaches eventually its functional failure. The study can be extended to the case where two or more performance variables are connected to a same surrogate variable. Also estimation of the distribution parameters and risk coefficients should be further studied.

Research on Risk-Based Piping Inspection Guideline System in the Petrochemical Industry

  • Tien, Shiaw-Wen;Hwang, Wen-Tsung;Tsai, Chih-Hung
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.97-124
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this research is to create an expert risk-based piping system inspection model. The proposed system includes a risk-based piping inspection system and a piping inspection guideline system. The research procedure consists of three parts: the risk-based inspection model, the risk-based piping inspection model, and the piping inspection guideline system model. In this research procedure, a field plant visit is conducted to collect the related domestic information (Taiwan) and foreign standards and regulations for creating a strategic risk-based piping inspection and analysis system in accordance with the piping damage characteristics in the petrochemical industry. In accordance with various piping damage models and damage positions, petrochemical plants provide the optimal piping inspection planning tool for efficient piping risk prediction for enhancing plant operation safety.

Risk-based optimum repair planning of corroded reinforced concrete structures

  • Nepal, Jaya;Chen, Hua-Peng
    • Structural Monitoring and Maintenance
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.133-143
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    • 2015
  • Civil engineering infrastructure is aging and requires cost-effective maintenance strategies to enable infrastructure systems operate reliably and sustainably. This paper presents an approach for determining risk-cost balanced repair strategy of corrosion damaged reinforced concrete structures with consideration of uncertainty in structural resistance deterioration. On the basis of analytical models of cover concrete cracking evolution and bond strength degradation due to reinforcement corrosion, the effect of reinforcement corrosion on residual load carrying capacity of corroded reinforced concrete structures is investigated. A stochastic deterioration model based on gamma process is adopted to evaluate the probability of failure of structural bearing capacity over the lifetime. Optimal repair planning and maintenance strategies during the service life are determined by balancing the cost for maintenance and the risk of structural failure. The method proposed in this study is then demonstrated by numerical investigations for a concrete structure subjected to reinforcement corrosion. The obtained results show that the proposed method can provide a risk cost optimised repair schedule during the service life of corroded concrete structures.

Development of Implementation Procedure for Reliability Centred Maintenance with Causing Analysis (원인분석을 통한 신뢰성 중심의 유지보수 시스템 절차 개발)

  • Lee, Hern-Chang;Choi, Min-Hong;Lim, Dong-Ho;Kim, Tae-Ok
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.16-20
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    • 2017
  • Current maintenance system are unable to suggest solid basis of maintenance for roating and static equipment. When a filure occurs, replacement or repair without proper process of failure cause analysis would often result in even greater risk. Therefore in this study, a procedure of Reliability Centred Maintenance is develped in order to perform maintenance in preventive mainer (PM), and to effectively manage risk of any equipment based on failure types and respective rates of failure. Ultimately an equipment with higher risk will be monitored which will lead to effectively prevent and manage any major accident.

Prediction of Maintenance Period of Equipment Through Risk Assessment of Thermal Power Plants (화력발전설비 위험도 평가를 통한 기기별 정비주기 예측)

  • Song, Gee Wook;Kim, Bum Shin;Choi, Woo Song;Park, Myung Soo
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.37 no.10
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    • pp.1291-1296
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    • 2013
  • Risk-based inspection (RBI) is a well-known method that is used to optimize inspection activities based on risk analysis in order to identify the high-risk components of major facilities such as power plants. RBI, when implemented and maintained properly, improves plant reliability and safety while reducing unplanned outages and repair costs. Risk is given by the product of the probability of failure (POF) and the consequence of failure (COF). A semi-quantitative method is generally used for risk assessment. Semi-quantitative risk assessment complements the low accuracy of qualitative risk assessment and the high expense and long calculation time of quantitative risk assessment. The first step of RBI is to identify important failure modes and causes in the equipment. Once these are defined, the POF and COF can be assessed for each failure. During POF and COF assessment, an effective inspection method and range can be easily found. In this paper, the calculation of the POF is improved for accurate risk assessment. A modified semi-quantitative risk assessment was carried out for boiler facilities of thermal power plants, and the next maintenance schedules for the equipment were decided.

Development of Preventive Maintenance Plan based on PRA - Case Study of Pansong-Line Railway in Pusan - (위험도평가에 기초한 예방유지관리 계획 - 부산지하철 반송선의 설계 예 -)

  • Kim Jae-Won;Choi Young-Min;Kim Dae-Sung;Kim Kyo-Hun;Park Hyang-Woo
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2005.11a
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    • pp.482-487
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    • 2005
  • In the most current Turn-key bidding and Alternative design, is going to establish maintenance plan along with a economical assessment (VE/LCC assessment etc). Generally, establishment of maintenance plan is based on past experiences that are decided upon sensor position and amount with analytic or mechanical control section. But, it is more reasonable that maintenance plan based on level of significance for Probabilistic Risk, with presuming damage probability assessment of structural fracture scenarios. Therefore, in this study it is considered about the technique that an improved maintenance plan of railroad structures using PRA (Probabilistic Risk Assessment) on the basis of structural reliability theory. For this, in the paper, Preventive maintenance plan based on PRA is suggested with an application example of Pansong-Line (Line number 3) railway in Pusan works that actually executed Turn-key design.

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Development of Stand-Alone Risk Assessment Software for Optimized Maintenance Planning of Power Plant Facilities (발전설비 최적 정비를 위한 독립형 위험도 평가 소프트웨어 개발)

  • Choi, Woo Sung;Song, Gee Wook;Kim, Bum Shin;Chang, Sung Ho;Lee, Sang Min
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
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    • v.39 no.11
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    • pp.1169-1174
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    • 2015
  • Risk-Risk-based inspection (RBI) has been developed in order to identify risky equipments that can cause major accidents or damages in large-scale plants. This assessment evaluates the equipment's risk, categorizes their priorities based on risk level, and then determines the urgency of their maintenance or allocates maintenance resources. An earlier version of the risk-based assessment software is already installed within the equipment management system; however, the assessment is based on examination by an inspector, and the results can be influenced by his subjective judgment, rather than assessment being based on failure probability. Moreover, the system is housed within a server, which limits the inspector's work space and time, and such a system can be used only on site. In this paper, the development of independent risk-based assessment software is introduced; this software calculates the failure probability by an analytical method, and analyzes the field inspection results, as well as inspection effectiveness. It can also operate on site, since it can be installed on an independent platform, and has the ability to generate an I/O function for the field inspection results regarding the period for an optimum maintenance cycle. This program will provide useful information not only to the field users who are participating in maintenance, but also to the engineers who need to decide whether to extend the lifecycle of the power machinery or replace only specific components.