• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Assessments

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Quantitative Risk Assessment

  • Ryzin John Van
    • 대한예방의학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한예방의학회 1994년도 교수 연수회(환경)
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    • pp.469-475
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    • 1994
  • This paper presents a brief survey of current methodology available for quantitative risk assessment of environmental carcinogens. Four current models for low-dose extrapolation are reviewed. Current problems and controversies and possible options in doing quantitative risk assessments based on chronic animal studies are discussed.

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정전기 화재·폭발 위험성평가 및 사고조사에 필요한 발생원인 변수 도출 (Derivation of Cause Variables necessary for Electrostatic Fire/Explosion Risk Assessment and Accident Investigation)

  • 변정환;박현곤
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제39권2호
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    • pp.9-21
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    • 2024
  • Static-electricity-induced fires and explosions persistently occur every year, averaging approximately 80 and 20 cases annually according to fire statistics provided by the National Fire Agency and industrial accident statistics provided by the Ministry of Employment and Labor, respectively. Despite the relatively low probabilities of these accidents, their potential risks are high. Consequently, effective risk assessment methodologies and accident investigation strategies are essential for efficiently managing static-electricity hazards in fire- and explosion-prone areas. Accordingly, this study aimed to identify the causal variables essential for accident investigations, thereby facilitating risk assessments and the implementation of effective recurrence prevention measures to mitigate static-electricity hazards in fire-and explosion-prone regions. To this end, industrial accident statistics recorded over the past decade (2012 to 2021) by the Ministry of Employment and Labor were analyzed to identify major fire and explosion incidents and related industrial accidents wherein static electricity was identified as a potential ignition source. Subsequently, relevant investigation reports (63 cases) were thoroughly analyzed. Based on the results of this analysis, existing electrostatic fire and explosion risk assessment techniques were refined and augmented. Moreover, factors essential for investigating electrostatic fire and explosion disasters were delineated, and the primary causal variables necessary for effective risk assessments and scientific investigations were derived.

사업장 안전보건관리체계 향상을 위한 역학모형 기반의 사고분석기법 활용 방안 연구 (An Application Study of Accident Analysis Method Based on Epidemiological Model to Improve Occupational Safety and Health Management System)

  • 김경환;정기효
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제25권2호
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    • pp.9-15
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    • 2023
  • The Severe Disaster Punishment Act had recently been established in order to promote safety and health (OSH) management system for severe accident prevention. OSH management system is primarily designed based on risk assessments; however, companies in industries have been experiencing difficulties in hazard identification and selecting proper measures for risk assessments and accident prevention. This study intended to introduce an accident analysis method based on epidemiological model in finding hazard and preventive measures. The accident analysis method employed in this study was proposed by the U.S. Department of Energy. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the accident analysis method, this study applied it to two accident cases occurred in construction and manufacturing industries. The application process and results of this study can be utilized in improving OSH management system and preventing severe accidents.

Monte-Carlo 모의실험을 통한 부분 인구집단별 이산화질소와 오존의 노출 및 위해성 평가 (Exposure and Risk Assessment of Nitrogen Dioxide and Ozone for Sub-population Groups using Monte-Carlo Simulations)

  • 박진현;류현수;양소영;박윤경;허정;김은채;최영태;조만수;양원호
    • 한국환경보건학회지
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    • 제45권2호
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    • pp.113-125
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    • 2019
  • Objectives: Although the risk assessments for nitrogen dioxide ($NO_2$) and ozone ($O_3$) have been extensively studied, most of the existing risk assessments were limited mainly to indoor environments such as workplaces, schools, and multi-use facilities. Therefore, integrated risk assessment is needed to consider exposure in all microenvironments, including outdoors. The purpose of this study was to assess the differences in risk among sub-population groups according to time-activity patterns and reported concentrations, as well as the lifetime risk of Koreans. Methods: In this study, we estimated time-weighted average exposure concentrations of $NO_2$ and $O_3$ for preschool children, students, housewives, workers, and seniors using residential time and indoor concentrations (house, school or workplace, other), outdoors, and transport by meta-analysis method. The risk for $NO_2$ and $O_3$ were assessed by hazard quotient using reference concentrations 30 and 60 ppb, respectively. The risk assessments were conducted through 1,000,000 Monte-Carlo simulations for probabilistic analysis. Results: Preschool children, students, housewives, workers, and seniors spent 91.9, 86.0, 79.8, 82.2, and 77.3% of their day in a house, school, or workplace, respectively. The risk assessment for the lifetime of a housewife and a worker showed that 33.8 and 28.4% of hazard quotients of $NO_2$ exceed 1, respectively, and more than 99% of hazard quotient of $O_3$ were less than 1. Conclusions: The risk of $NO_2$ and $O_3$ by sub-population group and for the lifetime of housewives and workers were assessed. The risk for $NO_2$ was higher than for $O_3$ and showed a different risk by sub-population group. Both $NO_2$ and $O_3$ showed a higher risk for housewives than for workers. This study can be used as a basis for lifetime exposure and risk assessment for $NO_2$ and $O_3$.

기후변화 리스크 평가를 위한 생태계 유형분류 방안 검토 - 국내 토지피복분류 적용성을 중심으로 - (A Study on Categorizing Ecosystem Groups for Climate Change Risk Assessment - Focused on Applicability of Land Cover Classification -)

  • 여인애;배해진;홍승범
    • 환경영향평가
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    • 제26권6호
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    • pp.385-403
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    • 2017
  • 본 연구는 국내 생태분야 리스크 평가 및 적응대책 수립의 공간적 기준이 될 수 있는 생태계 유형분류방안 검토를 목적으로 하였다. 이를 위해, 생태분야 기후변화 리스크 평가와 적응대책의 특징, 국내외 리스크 평가에서 적용하는 생태계/서식지 유형분류 현황 및 관련 데이터를 조사하였다. 영국을 비롯하여 유럽 등지에서 일반적으로 생물종다양성 및 생태계서비스 평가를 위한 공간정보DB로 토지피복분류가 널리 활용되고 있음에 착안하여, 국내 토지피복분류의 적용성을 정량적으로 검토하였다. 그 결과, 기후변화 리스크 평가 및 적응대책 수립을 위한 생태계 유형분류 시 현재 국내 대분류 토지피복 체계만으로는 분류군별 서식 경향성을 거의 알 수 없기에 대분류를 그대로 적용하는 것은 한계가 있을 것으로 생각된다. 우리나라 국토 피복 전반을 차지하는 산림 생태계(62.3%) 및 농경지 생태계(25.0%) 유형의 세분화와 함께, 국토대비 면적은 작지만 다양한 분류군이 서식하는 습지생태계(2.9%), 특수 분류군이 서식하는 연안(0.4%) 및 해양생태계(0.6%), 도시생태계(6.1%)에 대한 분류가 고려되어야 한다. 추후 산림, 농경지 피복분류에 있어 중분류 체계 이하의 세분화가 필요하며, 국토 대비 면적에 비해 분류군의 서식지 선호비율이 높은 내륙습지, 해양/해안 서식지, 도시와 자연생태계의 전이지역 등에 대한 반영 역시 필요할 것으로 생각된다.

해외 플랜트 공사 리스크 평가 방안 및 적용에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment Methodology and Application for International Plants Construction)

  • 안성훈;이영남;조호규
    • 한국건설관리학회논문집
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.134-142
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    • 2008
  • 해외 플랜트 건설시장은 지속적으로 증가하고 있으며, 국내 건설업체의 중동 플랜트 건설시장의 비중도 점점 증가하고 있다. 하지만 해외 플랜트 건설사업은 상대적으로 높은 리스크를 가지고 있으므로 해외 플랜트 건설과 관련된 리스크를 사전에 예측, 평가하여 관리하는 것이 중요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 기존의 해외 공사 리스크 평가 방법과 현재 해외 플랜트 공사에 참여하고 있는 전문가들의 면담조사를 토대로 해외 플랜트 건설공사의 사업 수행 과정에서 발생할 수 있는 리스크를 입찰 및 계약 단계에서 사전에 평가할 수 있는 리스크 평가 방안을 제시하였다. 또한 중동지역의 실제 프로젝트 리스크 평가 사례를 통해서 해외 플랜트 프로젝트 리스크 평가에 대한 활용성을 검토하였다.

열차운행선 지장공사에 대한 위험도 평가 연구 (A Study on the Risk Assessment for Works on/near Operating Line)

  • 정도현;왕종배;이수룡
    • 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국철도학회 2008년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.1515-1524
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    • 2008
  • In this study, railway accidents from constructing or maintaining works on/near operating line were reviewed during 2005-2007 years. Causes and hazards analysis of these accidents was performed to make an accident scenario for risk assessments. And the risk of worker casualty on/near operating line was quantitatively assessed. Also a constitution method of Risk Matrix for manage tolerable risk level was proposed.

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