• Title/Summary/Keyword: Risk Assesment

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A Study on the Correlation between Shiphandler's Subjective Evalution and Maneuvering Risk in Curved Narrow channel (굴곡된 협수로 통항에서 조선자의 주관적 위험감지도와 조종위험도와의 상관 관계에 관한 기초 연구)

  • 이동섭;윤점동;정태권
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.2 no.S1
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    • pp.63-73
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    • 1996
  • The assesment of the safety of ship's transit in a curved narrow channl consists of the maneuvering safety determined by the chance of running aground, the maneuvering difficulty determined by shop's workload, and shiphandler's subjective evaluation. In this study to examine the correlation between shiphandler's subjectice evaluation and the maneuvering risk, the real-time and full-mission shiphandling simulator in the Korean Marine Training & Research Institutes(KMTRI) was utilized. In the conning bridge of the shiphandling simulator, 50 experienced masters conducted masters conducted the modeled vessel of 60,000 deadweight tonnage along the designed channel under 3 different envrinmental conditions. The findings were as follows: (1) The frequencies of stress levels, work difficulties, vessel controllability and overall workload of shiphandlers are similar irrespective of environmental conditions and they are able to be represented as shiphandler's subjective evaluation. (2) It is possible to assess and analyze theoretically the correlation between the shiphandler's subjective ecaluation and maneuvering risk each environmental cindition by quantifying the data obtioned from the tests. The results are as follows: ① As the degree of maneuvering risk increases, the shiphandler's subjective evaluation increases sharply near the curvature area of the desgined channel. ② In the area of the curvature of the designed channel, maneuvering risk increases sharply with the danger of running aground under the environmental condition of current and wind comung from the stem.

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Scoring System and Management Algorithm Assessing the Role of Survivin Expression in Predicting Progressivity of HPV Infections in Precancerous Cervical Lesions

  • Indarti, Junita;Aziz, M. Farid;Suryawati, Bethy;Fernando, Darrell
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.1643-1647
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    • 2013
  • Background: To identify the risk factors and assess the role of survivin in predicting progessivity precancerous cervical lesions. Materials and Methods: This case-control study was conducted from October 2009 until May 2010. We obtained 74 samples, classified according to the degree of cervical intraepithelial neoplasia (CIN): 19 samples for CIN 1, 18 samples for CIN 2, 18 samples for CIN 3, and 19 samples as controls. Demographic profiles and risk factors assesment, histopathologic examination, HPV DNA tests, immunocytochemistry (ICC) and immunohistochemistry (IHC) staining for survivin expression were performed on all samples. Data was analyzed with bivariate and multivariate analysis. Results: Multivariate analysis revealed significant risk factors for developing precancerous cervical lesions are age <41 years, women with ${\geq}2$ sexual partners, course of education ${\geq}13$ years, use of oral contraceptives, positive high-risk HPV DNA, and high survivin expression by ICC or IHC staining. These factors were fit to a prediction model and we obtained a scoring system to predict the progressivity of CIN lesions. Conclusions: Determination of survivin expression by immunocytochemistry staining, along with other significant risk factors, can be used in a scoring system to predict the progressivity of CIN lesions. Application of this scoring system may be beneficial in determining the action of therapy towards the patient.

A Study on Evacuees Risk Assesment for Application of Spatial Risk Information (공간위험정보를 적용한 대피자 위험성평가에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Seungbum;Jang, Jae-Soon;Park, Hyun-A;Rie, Dong-Ho
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.8-12
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    • 2015
  • Performance Based Design is evaluating after each calculatiuon ASET and RSET. Risk informaion values such as heat, smoke, toxic gas etc are extracted by FDS in this study. These Risk informaion values by FDS apply Artisoc (evacuation simulator). Building structure made $60m{\times}65m$, exit number is made 2 positions and people in this building are 50 ramdonly. 20 times (case1~case 20) simulated and analysis evacuees risk by evacuated route positions.

A Study on the Correlation between Shiphandler's Subjective Evaluation and Maneuvering Risk in Curved Narrow channel (굴곡된 수로 통항에서 조선자의 주관적 위험감지도와 조종위험도와의 상관관계에 관한 기초 연구)

  • 이동섭;윤점동;정태권
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 1996
  • The assesment of the safety of ship's transit in a curved narrow channel consists of the maneuvering safety determined by the chance of running aground, the maneuvering difficulty determined by ship's workload, and shiphandler's subjective evaluation. In this study to examine the correlation between shiphandler's subjective evaluation and the maneuvering risk, the real-time and full-mission shiphandling simulator in the Korea Marine Training & Research Institutes(KMTRI) was utilized. On the conning bridge of the shiphandling simulator, 50 experienced masters conducted the modeled vessel of 60,000 deadweight tonnage along the designed channel under 3 different environmental conditions. The findings were as follows : (1) The frequencies of stress levels, work difficulties, vessel controllability and overall workload of shiphandlers are similar irrespective of environmental conditions and they are able to be represented as shiphandler's subjective evaluation. (2) It s possible to assess and analyze theoretically the correlation between the shiphandler's subjective evaluation and maneuvering risk under each environmental condition by quantifying the data obtained from the test. The results are as follows : ① As the degree of maneuvering risk increases, the shiphandler's subjective evaluation increases sharply near the curvature area of the designed channel. ② In the area of the curvature of the designed channel, maneuvering risk sincreases sharply with the danger of running aground under the environmental condition of current and wind coming from the stern.

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A Study on Semi Quantitative Risk Analysis for Air Separation Unit using a GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) Method (GRA(Generic Risk Analysis) 기법을 이용한 공기분리시설에 대한 준 정량적 위험성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Jung-Soo;Byun, Hun-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.56-66
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    • 2013
  • The gas production plants supply the inert gas to production plants for maintaining safe operation and also supply combustible, flammable, explosive and toxic gases as functions of basic materials needed for producing chemical goods. In addition, gas plants need to be safe and reliable operation because they are operated under high temperature, high pressure, cryogenic and catalytic reactions. As these plants have a complex process in operation, there has been a risk that major industrial accidents such as a fire, explosion and toxic gas released, also risks of asphyxiations by inert gases and burns caused by high temperature and cryogenic substances. This study is to carry out the semi quantitative risk assesment method which is the generic risk analysis (GRA). This method is applied to air separation unit(ASU) to identify its initial risk, safety barriers, residual risk and elements important for safety(EIS). The result of this study, suggested the management tools and procedures of implementation for EIS management.

Recursive Probabilistic Approach to Collision Risk Assessment for Pedestrians' Safety (재귀적 확률 갱신 방법을 이용한 보행자 충돌 위험 판단 방법)

  • Park, Seong-Keun;Kim, Beom-Seong;Kim, Eun-Tai;Lee, Hee-Jin;Kang, Hyung-Jin
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.475-480
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    • 2011
  • In this paper, we propose a collision risk assesment system. First, using Kalman Filter, we estimate the information of pedestrian, and second, we compute the collision probability using Monte Carlo Simulations(MCS) and neural network(NN). And we update the collision risk using time history which is called belief. Belief update consider not only output of Kalman Filter of only current time step but also output of Kalman Filter up to the first time step to current time step. The computer simulations will be shown the validity of our proposed method.

The study on interval calculation of cross passage in undersea tunnel by quantitative risk assesment method (해저철도터널(목포-제주간) 화재시 정량적 위험도 평가기법에 의한 피난연결통로 적정간격산정에 관한 연구)

  • Yoo, Ji-Oh;Kim, Jin-Su;Rie, Dong-Ho;Shin, Hyun-Jun
    • Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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    • v.17 no.3
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    • pp.249-256
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    • 2015
  • Quantitative Mokpo-Jeju undersea tunnel is currently on the basis plan for reviewing validation. As for the cross section shape for express boat of 105 km line, sing track two tube is being reviewed as the Euro tunnel equipped with service tunnel. Also, 10 carriage trains have been planned to operate 76 times for one way a day. So, in this study, quantitative risk assessment method is settled, which is intended to review the optimal space between evacuation connection hall of tunnel by quantitative risk analysis method. In addition to this, optimal evacuation connection hall space is calculated by the types of cross section, which are Type 3 (double track single tube), Type 1 (sing track two tube), and Type 2 (separating double track on tube with partition). As a result, cross section of Type 2 is most efficient for securing evacuation safety, and the evacuation connection space is required for 350 m in Type 1, 400 m in Type 2, and 1,500 m in Type3 to satisfy current domestic social risk assessment standard.

Conceptual Study for Asset Management Framework Construction of Railway Infra Structure System (철도시설물에 대한 자산관리체계수립을 위한 개념 연구)

  • Lee, Jee-Ha;Park, Mi-Yun;Lee, Jong-Kun;Park, Man-Ho;Jung, Dae-Ho
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2011.10a
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    • pp.2473-2478
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    • 2011
  • The asset management of railway facilities is a total framework for finally supporting a safe and comfortable train service, which includes functions of supporting evaluation of condition and performance of infrastructures, making the decision method of repair or rehabilitation of deteriorated facilities, and lengthening the life cycle of structure through the decision of adequate cost and time of repair or reinforcement. In the range of the asset management, organization, human, the target, and information & data of company are included. Therefore, in this paper, appling the method of asset management analysis to the railway structures, the process of the risk assesment using BRE(Business Risk Exposure) and the basis of consisting optimized renewal decision-making are expressed.

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Hazard Map of Road Slope Using a Logistic Regression Model and GIS (Logistic 회귀모형과 GIS기법을 활용한 접도사면 붕괴확률위험도 제작)

  • Kang Ho-Yun;Kwak Young-Joo;Kang In-Joon;Jang Yong-Gu
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry, and Cartography Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.339-344
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    • 2006
  • Slope failures are happen to natural disastrous when they occur in mountainous areas adjoining highways in Korea. The accidents associated with slope failures have increased due to rapid urbanization of mountainous areas. Therefore, Regular maintenance is essential for all slope and conducted to maintain road safety as well as road function. In this study, we take priority of making a database of risk factor of the failure of a slope before assesment and analysis. The purpose of this paper is to recommend a standard of Slope Management Information Sheet(SMIS) like as Hazard Map. The next research, we suggest to pre-estimated model of a road slope using Logistic Regression Model.

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A Study on the Database basic structure of Accident Data Management for the Purpose of Railway Safety Management (철도안전관리를 위한 사고자료관리 D/B구조에 관한 기초연구)

  • Hong Seon Ho;Wang Jong Bae;Kwak Sang Log;Lee Yoo Jun
    • Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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    • 2003.10b
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, necessity and application scope of the risk-analysis D/B which assesses the railway safety condition has been introduced. In addition, normalization of analysis work, which is one of the DB development procedures has been conducted. And the structure of accident data management has been introduced through the analysis on the classification scheme used in Korea. Also the improvement of railway accident classification and management scheme which is necessary to accident risk assesment has been presented by these procedures.

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