• Wind and Structures
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.207-220
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• 2010

The 'chain reaction' effect of the interaction between wind pressure and windborne debris is likely to be a major cause of damage to residential buildings during severe wind events. The current paper (Part II) concerns the quantification of such pressure-debris interaction in an advanced vulnerability model that integrates the debris risk model developed in Part I and a component-based wind-pressure damage model. This vulnerability model may be applied to predict the cumulative wind damage during the passage of particular hurricanes, to estimate annual hurricane losses, or to conduct system reliability analysis for residential developments, with the effect of windborne debris fully considered.

• Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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• 제13권6호
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• pp.2867-2871
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• 2012

Background: Multiple studies have reported associations between the PSCA rs2294008 C > T polymorphism and GC, but susceptibility has proven inconsistent. Therefore, we estimates the relationship between the rs2294008 C > T polymorphism and GC by meta-analysis. Methods: PubMed, Embase and Web of Science databases were searched and nine independent case-control studies were included in this meta-analysis. Crude ORs with 95% CIs were extracted according to the Mantal-Haenszel method and pooled to assess the strength of the association. Results: We observed that the PSCA rs2294008 C > T polymorphism was significantly correlated with GC risk when all studies were pooled into the meta-analysis. Further subgroup analysis showed the polymorphism to be linked with diffuse and noncardia GC in the allele contrast model, homozygote codominant model, dominant model, and recessive model. However, no connection was apparent for intestinal and cardia GC. In the stratified analysis by ethnicity, significant associations were observed in Asians for the recessive model. Interestingly, the relationship was particularly significant in the Chinese population. Conclusions: Our findings suggest that the PSCA rs2294008 C > T polymorphism is a risk factor for GC, especially in diffuse and noncardia GC and in Chinese.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제29권1호
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• pp.27-41
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• 1996

This study described methods to predict human health risk associated with exposure to environmental carcinogens using animal bioassay data. Also, biological assumption for various dose-response models were reviewed. To illustrate the process of risk estimate using relevant dose-response models such as Log-normal, Mantel-Bryan, Weibull and Multistage model, we used four animal carcinogenesis bioassy data of chloroform and chloroform concentrations of tap water measured in large cities of Korea from 1987 to 1995. As a result, in the case of using average concentration in exposure data and 95% upper boud unit risk of Multistge model, excess cancer risk(RISK I) was about $1.9\times10^{-6}$, in the case of using probability distribution of cumulative exposure data and unit risks, those risks(RISK II) which were simulated by Monte-Carlo analysis were about $2.4\times10^{-6}\;and\;7.9\times10^{-5}$ at 50 and 95 percentile, respectively. Therefore risk estimated by Monte-Carlo analysis using probability distribution of input variables may be more conservative.

• Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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• 제24권2호
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• pp.78-88
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• 2021

The annual consumption of fishery products, particularly sea squirt (Halocynthia roretzi), per person has steadily increased in South Korea. However, the quantitative risk of Vibrio parahaemolyticus following intake of sea squirt has not been analyzed. This study focuses on quantitative predictions of the probability of consuming sea squirt and getting of V. parahaemolyticus foodborne illness. The prevalence of V. parahaemolyticus in sea squirt was evaluated, and the time spent by sea squirt in transportation vehicles, market displays, and home refrigerators, in addition to the temperature of each of these, were recorded. The data were fitted to the @RISK program to obtain a probability distribution. Predictive models were developed to determine the fate of V. parahaemolyticus under distribution conditions. A simulation model was prepared based on experimental data, and a dose-response model for V. parahaemolyticus was prepared using data from literature to estimate infection risk. V. parahaemolyticus contamination was detected in 6 of 35 (17.1%) sea squirt samples. The daily consumption quantity of sea squirt was 62.14 g per person, and the consumption frequency was 0.28%. The average probability of V. parahaemolyticus foodborne illness following sea squirt consumption per person per day was 4.03 × 10^-9. The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of foodborne illness caused by Vibrio parahaemolyticus following sea squirt consumption in South Korea.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제21권4호
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• pp.7-15
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• 2019

This paper proposes the FMEA-based model to avoid backdoor transactions when purchasers select suppliers for products and services. In the model, backdoor transactions consist of two categories: backdoor selling and maverick buying. Both of which influence negative effects on cost savings due to not only uncompetitive advantage but also unusable purchasing leverage by unethical and misbehavior of purchase requestors. For the risk evaluation based on FMEA, three and five risk types of backdoor selling and maverick buying are identified respectively. Current risk priority numbers(RPN) based on those risk types are calculated by three categories: occurrence, detection and severity. Six risk mitigation strategies and fourteen mitigation tactics are identified to improve current RPN. In order to validate the model, questionnaires are collected from fifteen companies and statistically analyzed. The analysis result shows that the model reduces backdoor transaction risks and has no differences in reduction of backdoor transaction risks regardless of the type of purchasing organization units and existence of purchasing procedures in the organization.

• 디지털융복합연구
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• 제19권9호
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• pp.423-433
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• 2021

본 연구의 목적은 고위험 임부 간호의 개념 정의 및 분석을 하기 위함이다. 이 연구는 Schwartz - Barcott & Hesook Suzie Kim의 하이브리드 모형을 사용하여 분석하였다. 하이브리드 모델을 사용하여 주요 속성과 지표를 식별하고, 현장 실사 고위험 임부 병실에서 고위험 임부를 직접 간호를 수행한 5년 이상 수행한 간호사 10을 면담하여 자료를 수집하였다. 그 결과 3가지 차원, 5가지 속성, 37개의 지표로 도출되었다. 본 연구로 고위험 임부 간호의 개념 분석은 고위험 임부 간호에 대한 지침을 제공할 수 있으며 이론적 초석을 마련할 수 있다.

• 한국철도학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국철도학회 2005년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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• pp.1-6
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• 2005

To improve safety management of railway and cope with the factors to threat technical and social safety, we need to establish railway safety management system based on analysis of hazards and assessment of risk for railway system. So we have to conduct PHA(Preliminary Hazard Analysis) first to understand weak points and factors to possibly threat safety using analysis of related data such as past accident/incident data and safety regulation and classification standards of hazards/causes of railway accidents. Therefore in this research, we led types/dangerous events/causes of risks/factors of risks from hazard log developed based on railway accident classification and hazards of railway accident. PHA model for domestic railway system will be used in risk analysis and risk assessment of railway accident.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제25권2호
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• pp.9-15
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• 2023

The Severe Disaster Punishment Act had recently been established in order to promote safety and health (OSH) management system for severe accident prevention. OSH management system is primarily designed based on risk assessments; however, companies in industries have been experiencing difficulties in hazard identification and selecting proper measures for risk assessments and accident prevention. This study intended to introduce an accident analysis method based on epidemiological model in finding hazard and preventive measures. The accident analysis method employed in this study was proposed by the U.S. Department of Energy. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the accident analysis method, this study applied it to two accident cases occurred in construction and manufacturing industries. The application process and results of this study can be utilized in improving OSH management system and preventing severe accidents.

• 한국ITS학회 논문지
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• 제14권5호
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• pp.13-22
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• 2015

최근 교통사고 주요 원인인 인간행동(인적요인)에 대해 관심이 높아졌으며 운전행동분석 도구인 DBQ(Driver Behavior Questionnaire)를 활용한 운전행동(Driving Behavior)에 관한 연구가 활발히 진행되고 있다. 국내에서 진행된 선행연구는 분석대상이 연구원이나 군 공무원으로 한정되며 분석방법은 요인분석 및 회귀분석을 통해 이루어졌다. 이에 본 연구에서는 일반운전자의 운전행동이 위험운전에 미치는 영향요인을 파악하고 이들의 영향관계를 규명하고자 한다. 연구의 범위는 운전경력이 있는 일반운전자를 대상으로 DBQ설문을 실시하여 300부의 유효 표본수를 분석하였으며, 선행연구 고찰을 통해 교통사고의 주요 요인을 DBQ에서 측정가능한 'Lapse, Mistake, Violation' 세 가지속성으로 도출하고 구조방정식 모형을 통한 위험운전행동 모형을 구축하였다. 또한, 위험운전군별 차이를 확인하기 위하여 다중집단분석을 활용하였다. 분석결과 첫째, 'Lapse, Mistake, Violation 요인은 위험운전행동에 영향을 미칠 것이다'라는 가설검증 결과 모든 요인의 통계적 유의성이 확인되었다. 위험운전행동에 미치는 영향정도는 Violation 0.464, Lapse 0.383, Mistake 0.158 순으로 나타났으며 영향을 가장 많이 미치는 요인이 Violation으로 분석되었다. 둘째, 'Lapse, Mistake, Violation 요인이 위험운전행동에 미치는 영향은 위험군에 따라 다를 것이다'라는 가설검증 결과 Lapse 요인이 위험운전행동에 미치는 영향력이 차이가 있는 것으로 분석되었다. 본 연구결과는 위반행동 Violation과 부주의한 실수 Lapse를 고려한 교통사고 예방 프로그램 및 교육도입에 기초자료로 활용 가능할 것이다.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제41권6호
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• pp.425-437
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• 2015

Objectives: Risk assessment is a tool for predicting and reducing uncertainty related to the effects of future activities. Probability approaches are the main elements in risk assessment, but confusion about the interpretation and use of assessment factors often undermines the message of the analyses. The aim of this study is to provide a guideline for systematic reduction plans regarding uncertainty in risk assessment. Methods: Articles and reports were collected online using the key words "uncertainty analysis" on risk assessment. Uncertainty analysis was conducted based on reports focusing on procedures for analysis methods by the World Health Organization (WHO) and U.S. Environmental Protection Agency (USEPA). In addition, case studies were performed in order to verify suggested methods qualitatively and quantitatively with exposure data, including measured data on toluene and styrene in residential spaces and multi-use facilities. Results: Based on an analysis of the data on uncertainty, three major factors including scenario, model, and parameters were identified as the main sources of uncertainty, and tiered approaches were determined. In the case study, the risk of toluene and styrene was evaluated and the most influential factors were also determined. Five reduction plans were presented: providing standard guidelines, using reliable exposure factors, possessing quality controls for analysis and scientific expertise, and introducing a peer review system. Conclusion: In this study, we established a method for reducing uncertainty by taking into account the major factors. Also, we showed a method for uncertainty analysis with tiered approaches. However, uncertainties are difficult to define because they are generated by many factors. Therefore, further studies are needed for the development of technical guidelines based on the representative scenario, model, and parameters developed in this study.