• 제목/요약/키워드: Revenues

검색결과 334건 처리시간 0.031초

관세율(關稅率) 조정(調整) 경제적(經濟的) 효과분석(效果分析) : 일반균형적(一般均衡的) 접근(接近) (Economic Impact of the Tariff Reform : A General Equilibrium Approach)

  • 이원영
    • KDI Journal of Economic Policy
    • /
    • 제12권1호
    • /
    • pp.69-91
    • /
    • 1990
  • 본고(本稿)에서는 1989년 1월에 시행된 관세율(關稅率) 조정(調整)이 산업별(産業別) 생산(生産), 수출입(輸出入), 물가지수(物價指數), 고용(雇傭) 등에 미치는 영향을 한국경제(韓國經濟)의 다부문(多部門) 일반균형(一般均衡)을 통하여 분석하였다. 분석결과에 의하면 관세율(關稅率)의 조정(調整)은 대부분의 산업(産業)에서 수입(輸入)과 수출(輸出)을 동시에 증가(增加)시키나 수입(輸入)의 증대가 수출(輸出)의 증대보다 더 커서 국제수지(國際收支)는 악화된다. 또한 관세율(關稅率) 조정(調整)은 명목국민(名目國民) 총생산(總生産)을 증대시키고 물가(物價)를 하락(下落)시킨다. 수입(輸入)의 증가율이 큰 산업(産業)으로는 의복, 혁제품, 나무제품 산업(産業)을 들 수 있으며 수출(輸出)은 대부분의 산업(産業)에서 증가하나 특히 수입(輸入)된 원자재(原資材)를 많이 사용하는 비철금속 1차제품, 혁제품, 석탄제품, 고무제품산업의 수출증가율(輸出增加率)이 높다. 산업별생산(産業別生産)을 보면 혁제품, 비철금속 1차제품, 화학제품, 종이 지제품, 목제품 등 일부 수입경쟁산업(輸入競爭産業)에서는 생산(生産)이 감소(減少)되나 기타의 산업(産業)에서는 생산(生産)이 증가된다. 일반적으로 수출(輸出)의 비중이 높은 산업(産業)에서 생산(生産) 및 고용(雇傭)의 증가율이 높다.

  • PDF

공연예술의 해외시장진출 지체요인 및 향후과제 (A Study on Delay Causes and Tasks of Korean Performing Arts' Overseas Expansion)

  • 김선영;권병웅
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
    • /
    • 제17권8호
    • /
    • pp.215-225
    • /
    • 2016
  • 본 연구는 우리나라 공연예술의 해외진출현황을 분석하여 시장진입의 지체요인을 도출해냄으로써 시장경쟁력을 갖추기 위한 요건을 찾고 대안을 모색하기 위한 것이다. 2007년부터 2014년까지 8년간 공연예술분야의 해외지원액 대비 수입액은 16.4%에 그쳤고, 같은 시기에 해외 무료공연 건수와 1회 평균 공연료는 제자리걸음을 면치 못했다. 또한 관객수가 2007년에서 2014년까지 3.3배 증가하였는데 이는 공연건수 증가율인 3.8배에 미치지 못하는 수치이며, 단위 공연 당 관객 수 역시 장기간 정체되어 있다. 그 원인으로는 단순 국제교류와 해외시장진출, 비영리와 영리 개념의 혼재, 현지 소비자 보다는 프리젠터나 프로듀서와 같은 공급자 관점의 프로그래밍 관행으로 인한 진출전략 수립의 미진함, 그리고 전략수립의 기초자료인 소비자조사가 거의 전무한 점을 들 수 있다. 본 논문에서는 공연예술 해외시장 진출의 지체현상 타개를 위한 시사점을 찾기 위해 타 분야인 한류산업을 하나의 사례로 살펴보았다. 그 결과 한류의 경제적 분석에서 제시된 한류지수나 한류심리지수와 같이 공연예술의 해외시장진출을 위한 공연소비자지수와 공연심리지수의 개발을 통해 권역별, 국가별 맞춤형 시장전략의 수립이 요구되었다. 또한 공연예술에 적합한 해외 현지 소비자 조사가 시급히 이루어져야 할 것으로 판단되었다. 아울러 본고는 공연예술의 해외 진출 현황에 따른 실증적 연구로써 현장과 학문 간의 가교 역할을 함과 동시에 공연예술 해외진출의 전략 구축 방안을 모색하는 데 다양하게 활용될 수 있기를 기대한다.

의료기관 회계정보공시에 의한 병원의 재무비율 특성과 수익성 관계 (Characteristics of financial ratios and profitability correlation of hospitals by disclosure of accounting information of medical institutions - Focused on the characteristics of financial ratio by disclosure of accounting information -)

  • 심용우;이상구
    • 경영과정보연구
    • /
    • 제38권4호
    • /
    • pp.25-39
    • /
    • 2019
  • 본 연구는 의료기관의 회계정보공시 자료 즉, 재무상태표와 손익계산서를 활용하여 의료기관의 재무비율을 통한 안정성비율, 수익성비율, 성장성비율, 활동성비율을 분석함으로서 병원의 수익성지표에 영향을 미치는 요인과 재무비율 특성을 분석하고자 하였다. 주요 목표는 의료기관의 회계정보공시 자료의 2016년과 2017년도 재무제표를 분석하며 의료기관의 설립형태 및 종별, 규모별의 일반적 특성 및 재무비율의 평균 차이 분석을 실시, 재무지표에 대한 평균값을 통해 의료기관의 재무적 특성을 파악하였다. 재무비율을 통한 안정성비율, 수익성비율, 성장성비율, 활동성비율의 평균 비교 분석 및 재무적 특성을 파악하였다. 또한 개정된 의료회계기준규칙에 의한 의료기관의 회계정보공시 자료를 활용하여 의료기관의 의료수익의료이익률, 총자산의료이익률, 의료수익순이익률, 총자산순이익률에 대해 회귀분석을 하였다. 주요결과를 보면 회계정보공시 자료에는 첫째, 재무상태표 통한 총자산, 총부채, 자본총계의 변화를 통한 병원의 규모 및 부채의 규모는 증가 추세이며 자본총계의 규모가 상대적으로 감소되었으며 또한 경영성과가 악화되는 경향을 보이고 있다. 둘째, 손익계산서에서 평균 의료수익의 증가는 미비한 편이며, 평균 당기순이익은 감소하는 편이다. 이에 의료기관은 의료 활동을 통한 이익 창출의 어려움을 확인할 수 있었다. 또한 의료기관의 종별에 따라 상급종합병원과 종합병원의 부채비율, 안정성비율, 수익성 비율의 차이가 컸으며, 설립형태에 따라서 국공립병원, 학교법인병원, 의료법인·재단법인병원의 평균 재무비율의 차이를 확인할 수 있었다. 병원경영의 수익성지표에 미치는 영향을 파악하여 병원의 의료수익순이익률과 총자산순이익률의 경영 성과 개선을 위한 노력이 필요하다.

e-비즈니스가 경영성과에 미치는 영향 -홈쇼핑을 중심으로- (The Effects of e-Business on Business Performance - In the home-shopping industry -)

  • 김세중;안선숙
    • 경영과정보연구
    • /
    • 제22권
    • /
    • pp.137-165
    • /
    • 2007
  • It seems high time to increase productivity by adopting e-business to overcome challenges posed by both external factors including the appreciation of Korean won, oil hikes and fierce global competition and domestic issues represented by disparities between large corporations and small and medium enterprises (SMEs), Seoul metropolitan and local cities, and export and domestic demand all of which weaken future growth engines in the Korean economy. The demands of the globalization era are for innovative changes in businessprocess and industrial structure aiming for creating new values. To this end, e-business is expected to play a core role in the sophistication of the Korean economy through new values and innovation. In order to examine business performance in e-business-adopting industries, this study analyzed the home shopping industry by closely looking into the financial ratios including the ratio of net profit to sales, the ratio of operation income to sales, the ratio of gross cost to sales cost, the ratio of gross cost to selling, general and administrative (SG&A) expense, and return of investment (ROI). This study, for best outcome, referred to corporate financial statements as a main resource to calculate financial ratios by utilizing Data Analysis, Retrieval and Transfer System (DART) of the Financial Supervisory Service, one of the Korea's financial supervisory authorities. First of all, the result of the trend analysis on the ratio of net profit to sales is as following. CJ Home Shopping has registered a remarkable increase in its ratio of net profit rate to sales since 2002 while its competitors find it hard to catch up with CJ's stunning performances. This is partly due to the efficient management compared to CJ's value of capital. Such significance, if the current trend continues, will make the front-runner assume the largest market share. On the other hand, GS Home Shopping, despite its best organized system and largest value of capital among others, lacks efficiency in management. Second of all, the result of the trend analysis on the ratio of operation income to sales is as following. Both CJ Home Shopping and GS Home Shopping have, until 2004, recorded similar growth trend. However, while CJ Home Shopping's operating income continued to increase in 2005, GS Home Shopping observed its operating income declining which resulted in the increasing income gap with CJ Home Shopping. While CJ Home Shopping with the largest market share in home shopping industryis engaged in aggressive marketing, GS Home Shopping due to its stability-driven management strategies falls behind CJ again in the ratio of operation income to sales in spite of its favorable management environment including its large capital. Companies in the Group B were established in the same year of 2001. NS Home Shopping was the first in the Group B to shift its loss to profit. Woori Home Shopping has continued to post operating loss for three consecutive years and finally was sold to Lotte Group in 2007, but since then, has registered a continuing increase in net income on sales. Third of all, the result of the trend analysis on the ratio of gross cost to sales cost is as following. Since home shopping falls into sales business, its cost of sales is much lower than that of other types of business such as manufacturing industry. Since 2002 in gross costs including cost of sales, SG&A expense, and non-operating expense, cost of sales turned out to have remarkably decreased. Group B has also posted a notable decline in the same sector since 2002. Fourth of all, the result of the trend analysis on the ratio of gross cost to SG&A expense is as following. Due to its unique characteristics, the home shopping industry usually posts ahigh ratio of SG&A expense. However, more than 80% of SG&A expense means the result of lax management and at the same time, a sharp lower net income on sales than other industries. Last but not least, the result of the trend analysis on ROI is as following. As for CJ Home Shopping, the curve of ROI looks similar to that of its investment on fixed assets. As it turned out, the company's ratio of fixed assets to operating income skyrocketed in 2004 and 2005. As far as GS Home Shopping is concerned, its fixed assets are not as much as that of CJ Home Shopping. Consequently, competition in the home shopping industry, at the moment, is among CJ, GS, Hyundai, NS and Woori Home Shoppings, and all of them need to more thoroughly manage their costs. In order for the late-comers of Group B and other home shopping companies to advance further, the current lax management should be reformed particularly on their SG&A expense sector. Provided that the total sales volume in the Internet shopping sector is projected to grow over 20 trillion won by the year 2010, it is concluded that all the participants in the home shopping industry should put strategies on efficient management on costs and expenses as their top priority rather than increase revenues, if they hope to grow even further after 2007.

  • PDF

기술마케팅 성공에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 분석 (A Study on the Factors Affecting the Success of Technology Marketing)

  • 황남구;오영호;김경진
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
    • /
    • 제11권7호
    • /
    • pp.2358-2370
    • /
    • 2010
  • 본 논문의 연구 목표는 대학의 기술마케팅 성공에 영향을 미치는 요인에 대하여 실증 분석하였다. 이를 위해서 2006년부터 2008년까지 기술이전 실적이 있는 207개 대학의 실적을 9개 가설로 검증하였다. 가설검증을 위해 과학기술 인프라(연구비, SCIE 게재 논문 수), 특허관련 보상제도(출원, 등록), 특허 건수(출원, 등록), TLO 직원(기술이전 계약담당자 수, 산업체근무경력), 기술 이전 보상제도(연구자, 기여자) 및 인식(대학 경영층, 산업체)이 기술이전 성과인 기술료 수입금액 창출에 영향을 미치는 지에 대하여 구조 방정식 모형을 이용하여 분석하였으며 본 연구의 분석 결과를 요약하면 다음과 같다. 첫째, 대학의 과학기술 분야 연구비가 많을 수로 연구 역량이 높으며 특허 건수 확보에 정(+)의 영향을 미치는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 대학에서 시행하는 출원 및 등록 특허에 대한 연구자들의 보상제도는 연구자들의 연구 성과물을 특허로 출원하는데 동기를 부여하고 있는 것으로 판단된다. 셋째, 대학의 특허 보유건수가 증가하면 기술이전 대상이 많아지므로 기술이전 성과에 정(+)의 영향을 미치며 기술이전 전문 인력(기술거래사, 기업기술가치평가사, 변리사 등) 수도 늘어나야 하는 것으로 나타났다. 넷째, 대학 보유 특허 수의 증가로 기술이전이 확대되면 기술료 수익의 증가에 따라 연구자와 기여자의 보상이 늘어나게 된다. 본 연구에서는 대학에서 기술이전 성과에 영향을 주는 요인을 구조방정식 모형으로 분석하여 실증적으로 검증을 하였다는데 의의를 가질 수 있으며, 특히 현재 기술이전 활동을 활발히 하고 있는 대학들에게 밀접한 영향을 미치고 있는 요인에 대하여 정부의 산학협력 실태조사에 제출된 공식적인 자료에 대한 분석이 체계적으로 이루어졌다는 것이 선행연구들과의 차별성이라 할 수 있을 것이다.

위치기반 서비스를 통한 정보 필터링이 사용자의 불확실성과 정보탐색 행동에 미치는 영향 (The Effects of LBS Information Filtering on Users' Perceived Uncertainty and Information Search Behavior)

  • 적효림;임일
    • Asia pacific journal of information systems
    • /
    • 제24권4호
    • /
    • pp.493-513
    • /
    • 2014
  • With the development of related technologies, Location-Based Services (LBS) are growing fast and being used in many ways. Past LBS studies have focused on adoption of LBS because of the fact that LBS users have privacy concerns regarding revealing their location information. Meanwhile, the number of LBS users and revenues from LBS are growing rapidly because users can get some benefits by revealing their location information. Little research has been done on how LBS affects consumers' information search behavior in product purchase. The purpose of this paper is examining the effect of LBS information filtering on buyers' uncertainty and their information search behavior. When consumers purchase a product, they try to reduce uncertainty by searching information. Generally, there are two types of uncertainties - knowledge uncertainty and choice uncertainty. Knowledge uncertainty refers to the lack of information on what kinds of alternatives are available in the market and/or their important attributes. Therefore, consumers having knowledge uncertainty will have difficulties in identifying what alternatives exist in the market to fulfil their needs. Choice uncertainty refers to the lack of information about consumers' own preferences and which alternative will fit in their needs. Therefore, consumers with choice uncertainty have difficulties selecting best product among available alternatives.. According to economics of information theory, consumers narrow the scope of information search when knowledge uncertainty is high. It is because consumers' information search cost is high when their knowledge uncertainty is high. If people do not know available alternatives and their attributes, it takes time and cognitive efforts for them to acquire information about available alternatives. Therefore, they will reduce search breadth. For people with high knowledge uncertainty, the information about products and their attributes is new and of high value for them. Therefore, they will conduct searches more in-depth because they have incentive to acquire more information. When people have high choice uncertainty, people tend to search information about more alternatives. It is because increased search breadth will improve their chances to find better alternative for them. On the other hand, since human's cognitive capacity is limited, the increased search breadth (more alternatives) will reduce the depth of information search for each alternative. Consumers with high choice uncertainty will spend less time and effort for each alternative because considering more alternatives will increase their utility. LBS provides users with the capability to screen alternatives based on the distance from them, which reduces information search costs. Therefore, it is expected that LBS will help users consider more alternatives even when they have high knowledge uncertainty. LBS provides distance information, which helps users choose alternatives appropriate for them. Therefore, users will perceive lower choice uncertainty when they use LBS. In order to test the hypotheses, we selected 80 students and assigned them to one of the two experiment groups. One group was asked to use LBS to search surrounding restaurants and the other group was asked to not use LBS to search nearby restaurants. The experimental tasks and measures items were validated in a pilot experiment. The final measurement items are shown in Appendix A. Each subject was asked to read one of the two scenarios - with or without LBS - and use a smartphone application to pick a restaurant. All behaviors on smartphone were recorded using a recording application. Search breadth was measured by the number of restaurants clicked by each subject. Search depths was measured by two metrics - the average number of sub-level pages each subject visited and the average time spent on each restaurant. The hypotheses were tested using SPSS and PLS. The results show that knowledge uncertainty reduces search breadth (H1a). However, there was no significant correlation between knowledge uncertainty and search depth (H1b). Choice uncertainty significantly reduces search depth (H2b), but no significant relationship was found between choice uncertainty and search breadth (H2a). LBS information filtering significantly reduces the buyers' choice uncertainty (H4) and reduces the negative relationship between knowledge uncertainty and search breadth (H3). This research provides some important implications for service providers. Service providers should use different strategies based on their service properties. For those service providers who are not well-known to consumers (high knowledge uncertainty) should encourage their customers to use LBS. This is because LBS would increase buyers' consideration sets when the knowledge uncertainty is high. Therefore, less known services have chances to be included in consumers' consideration sets with LBS. On the other hand, LBS information filtering decrease choice uncertainty and the near service providers are more likely to be selected than without LBS. Hence, service providers should analyze geographically approximate competitors' strength and try to reduce the gap so that they can have chances to be included in the consideration set.

한국의 개고기 식용 정책의 개선방향 (The Direction of Reformation on the Edibility of Dogmeat in Korea)

  • 안용근
    • 한국식품영양학회지
    • /
    • 제16권1호
    • /
    • pp.72-83
    • /
    • 2003
  • 한국의 개고기 식용은 오랜 역사와 전통을 가지고 있으나 정부는 외국인들이 비난한다고 하여 축산물가공처리법에서 개를 제외시켜서 개고기는 정부의 감시를 받지 않고 유통되고 있다. 국민들의 개고기 식용 합법화요구에 행정부는 동물보호단체의 항의를 이유로 합법화할 수 없다고 하고 있지만 국민의 80% 정도는 개고기 식용을 찬성하며, 합법화해야 한다고 주장하고, 입법부는 국회의원 20명이 개고기 식용 합법화 법안을 제출하였고, 사법부도 개고기를 식육이라고 판결하였다. 서구인들이 한국의 개고기 식용을 비난하는 내면에는 순수한 동물보호도 있지만 유색인종에 대한 인종차별, 한국에 대한 쇠고기 수출량 증가, 버린 개를 애완견 사료로 사용하기 위한 관심 돌리기, 동물보호 단체의 기금 모금 등의 목적이 있다. 그리고, 정부는 국내 동물보호 관련단체를 앞세워서 개고기 식용 반대 여론을 호도하고, 농림부는 동물보호법을 관할하여 개고기 식용을 반대하는 관련 단체의 편을 들고 있으나 이들 단체는 농민들이 아니다. 나아가 정부는 개고기 식용 문제를 해결할 의지를 보이지 않고, 해결책을 제시하지 못하여 사태를 악화시키고 있다. 그래서 개고기 식용은 위생의 사각지대에 놓여 있고, 개도축 폐기물은 환경을 오염시키고 있다. 이런 문제를 해결하려면 개고기 식용을 합법화시켜서 개고기를 위생적으로 유통시키고, 환경오염을 방지하고, 세수를 증대시키고, 국가의 자존심을 확립해야 한다. 나아가, 농림부는 동물보호법을 환경부 관할로 넘겨서 멸종위기의 동물만 다루고, 정부는 개고기 식용에 대한 정확하고 객관적인 조사와 통계를 바탕으로 신뢰성 있는 정책을 펴야 한다. 그리고 한국의 개고기 음식문화를 세계에 널리 알릴 전담 부서와, 연구소를 설립하고, 민간 기구도 지원하여 발족시켜야 한다. 개고기는 한국을 대표하는 음식으로 가장 세계적인 음식이 될 수 있기 때문이다.

A Study on the Brand Characteristics According to Trends in the Children's Apparel Market

  • Han, Gyung-Hee
    • 패션비즈니스
    • /
    • 제9권6호
    • /
    • pp.160-174
    • /
    • 2005
  • Despite the decrease in the number of children due to low birth rate, the domestic children's apparel market has been achieving steady growth as family income is rising thanks to more opportunities for working women, parents spend more on their children, and they prefer brand products that make their children look special. In addition, the market is suffering from hard competition as large enterprises have joined the race. The present study purposed to survey the children's apparel market in Korea, which is in a transitional period, and to contribute to the development of the market with Korean brands. For this purpose, we analyzed the characteristics of children's apparel brands in the 21st century based on the current state of the domestic children's apparel market and, based on the findings, forecasted the future trend of children's apparel brands, suggested improvements for expected problems, proposed standards for coping with changes such as diversification, high quality and differentiation in the children's apparel market, and provided consumers with information on how to purchase products. According to the result of analyzing the characteristics of children's apparel brands in the 21st century, brands are categorized largely into four types - life cultural brands, functional product brands, character brands and brands advancing to China. Life cultural brands equipped with all necessities for children are expanding, and with the deepening social problems of environmental pollution and the reduction of the child population, functional products made of environment-friendly materials are spreading widely, targeting infants and children. Furthermore, for extending age targets and diversifying products, children's apparel is using characters. The use of characters is expected to have a considerable effect on the growth of brands because children are more subjective as consumers than before and they are more easily persuaded with characters. Domestic children's apparel brands advancing to China have a high expectation of success in overcoming the limitation of the local market that has reached its peak and growing into global brands. Korean apparel makers are struggling to overcome the depressed domestic market, to recover consumers' consumption, to cope with market opening, to pursue high value of sensibility and to expand the seniors' market, etc. In this situation, future trends of children's apparel brands will be the expansion of family brands, brand totalization, quality price, niche market (pre-teen market), etc. In response to these trends, we made the following suggestions for improvement. 1. Children's apparel brands are evolving into family brands as well as into total brands through voluming. Today, however, apparel makers are advancing to the children's apparel market with the concept of adults' apparel and, as a result, children's apparel is merely adults' apparel of reduced size, having problems in design, color and materials. Thus, apparel makers must develop design considering the wide range of size and the characteristics of children's apparel, strengthen sourcing abilities to create revenues, and make thorough survey of customers to find common denominators between adults' apparel and children's apparel considering that characteristic that the target class is different from the buyer class. Furthermore, they must make active investments in human resources, develop outstanding products through advanced planning and design, and support marketing techniques and management systems to stores. 2. As the declining birth rate will continue to have a negative effect on the market, it may be difficult to expand the market size but there is still a margin for growth through high-sensibility and high-quality products. The competitiveness of brands is determined by their market shares. Accordingly, concepts should be specialized according to lifestyle, customers' diverse needs should be satisfied, and cross-coordination should be achieved within a brand. 3. Considering Korean parents who do not spare investment in their children despite shrinking consumption, functional products must be high value-added goods that can enhance efficiency. However, in the current situation of the infants' apparel industry where a textile manufacturer supply its products to multiple brands, it is difficult to develop unique products only based on materials. Thus, it is considered urgent to appeal to consumers not by relying on materials only but by finding methods of applying their own characters to children's dress.

The current state and prospects of travel business development under the COVID-19 pandemic

  • Tkachenko, Tetiana;Pryhara, Olha;Zatsepina, Nataly;Bryk, Stepan;Holubets, Iryna;Havryliuk, Alla
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
    • /
    • 제21권12spc호
    • /
    • pp.664-674
    • /
    • 2021
  • The relevance of this scientific research is determined by the negative impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on the current trends and dynamics of world tourism development. This article aims to identify patterns of development of the modern tourist market, analysis of problems and prospects of development in the context of the COVID-19 pandemic. Materials and methods. General scientific methods and methods of research are used in the work: analysis, synthesis, comparison, analysis of statistical data. The analysis of the viewpoints of foreign and domestic authors on the research of the international tourist market allowed us to substantiate the actual directions of tourism development due to the influence of negative factors connected with the spread of a new coronavirus infection COVID-19. Economic-statistical, abstract-logical, and economic-mathematical methods of research were used during the process of study and data processing. Results. The analysis of the current state of the tourist market by world regions was carried out. It was found that tourism is one of the most affected sectors from COVID-19, as, by the end of 2020, the total number of tourist arrivals in the world decreased by 74% compared to the same period in 2019. The consequence of this decline was a loss of total global tourism revenues by the end of 2020, which equaled $1.3 trillion. 27% of all destinations are completely closed to international tourism. At the end of 2020, the economy of international tourism has shrunk by about 80%. In 2020 the world traveled 98 million fewer people (-83%) relative to the same period last year. Tourism was hit hardest by the pandemic in the Asia-Pacific region, where travel restrictions are as strict as possible. International arrivals in this region fell by 84% (300 million). The Middle East and Africa recorded declines of 75 and 70 percent. Despite a small and short-lived recovery in the summer of 2020, Europe lost 71% of the tourist flow, with the European continent recording the largest drop in absolute terms compared with 2019, 500 million. In North and South America, foreign arrivals declined. It is revealed that a significant decrease in tourist flows leads to a massive loss of jobs, a sharp decline in foreign exchange earnings and taxes, which limits the ability of states to support the tourism industry. Three possible scenarios of exit of the tourist industry from the crisis, reflecting the most probable changes of monthly tourist flows, are considered. The characteristics of respondents from Ukraine, Germany, and the USA and their attitude to travel depending on gender, age, education level, professional status, and monthly income are presented. About 57% of respondents from Ukraine, Poland, and the United States were planning a tourist trip in 2021. Note that people with higher or secondary education were more willing to plan such a trip. The results of the empirical study confirm that interest in domestic tourism has increased significantly in 2021. The regression model of dependence of the number of domestic tourist trips on the example of Ukraine with time tendency (t) and seasonal variations (Turˆt = 7288,498 - 20,58t - 410,88∑5) it forecast for 2020, which allows stabilizing the process of tourist trips after the pandemic to use this model to forecast for any country. Discussion. We should emphasize the seriousness of the COVID-19 pandemic and the fact that many experts and scientists believe in the long-term recovery of the tourism industry. In our opinion, the governments of the countries need to refocus on domestic tourism and deal with infrastructure development, search for new niches, formats, formation of new package deals in new - domestic - segment (new products' development (tourist routes, exhibitions, sightseeing programs, special rehabilitation programs after COVID) -19 in sanatoriums, etc.); creation of individual offers for different target audiences). Conclusions. Thus, the identified trends are associated with a decrease in the number of tourist flows, the negative impact of the pandemic on employment and income from tourism activities. International tourism needs two to four years before it returns to the level of 2019.

러시아 음악 산업 현황과 과제 - 디지털 음원을 중심으로 - (The Present Situation and Challenges of the Russian Music Industry: Centered on the Digital Sound Sources)

  • 권기배;김세일
    • 비교문화연구
    • /
    • 제50권
    • /
    • pp.395-424
    • /
    • 2018
  • 이 논문은 최근 디지털 음원 분야에서 주목할 만한 성장을 이루고 있는 러시아 음악시장의 현재적 상황과 그 배경에 대해 살펴보는 것을 목적으로 한다. 현재 세계 10위권의 시장 규모를 가진 러시아 음악 산업은, 스트리밍 접속을 통한 디지털 음원 시장을 중심으로 빠르게 성장하는 세계 음악 산업의 최근 흐름을 따르고 있다. 러시아의 음악 산업에서 디지털 음원의 성장 배경으로는 다운로드 및 스트리밍 음원 서비스 증가, 인터넷 발전으로 인하여 모바일을 이용한 디지털 음원 접속 회수의 증가, 정부의 저작권법 개정 등이 주요 원인으로 거론된다. 특히 스트리밍 음원 매출은 2020년에 디지털 음원 전체 매출의 85%이상 점유율을 예상할 만큼 폭발적인 성장이 기대된다. 스마트폰의 보급, 이로 인한 러시아 국민들의 라이프 스타일 변화, 즉 별도의 오디오 기기나 디지털 플레이어가 없어도 누구나 쉽게 디지털 음원에 접근하고 음악을 들을 수 있는 '연결/접속'의 편리함과 4차 산업혁명의 '빅데이터' 해석을 통한 음원소비자의 성향 분석 등이 이러한 변화를 전위에서 이끌고 있다. 또한 러시아 정부의 '저작권법' 개정과 더불어 불법 복제 음원물의 유통 근절에 대한 강력한 정책이 효과를 발휘하고 있다는 것도 디지털 음원의 가파른 상승을 이끄는 중요한 요소로 꼽힌다. 음악은 문화적 자산 가운데 가장 중요한 요소이면서, 디지털 경제의 전반적인 성장을 견인하는 효자 콘텐츠이다. 현재 러시아 음악 산업은 과거와 비교했을 때 안정적으로 지속 가능한 성장을 도모할 수 있는 환경이 구축되고 있으며, 여기에 다음과 같은 다섯 가지 개선안(저작권 보호에 대한 러시아인들의 의식 강화, 디지털 음원 산업에 빅데이터 활용, 디지털 음원 유통자들의 독과점 개선, 적정한 음원 수익 분배율 제시, 러시아 음악 산업에 대한 투자 활성화)이 효과적이고 생산적으로 잘 작동되면 세계 음악시장에서 러시아의 역할과 입지가 확장될 가능성은 매우 크다. 이럴 경우 러시아 음악 산업은 디지털 음원 시대에 단순히 적응하는 단계를 지나 4차 산업혁명의 수혜업종인 '스트리밍'에 접속하여 음악을 소비하는 패턴이 시장의 중심이 되는 세계 음악 산업을 선도적으로 이끌어 갈 것이다.