• 제목/요약/키워드: Response probability

검색결과 712건 처리시간 0.029초

교육용 건물의 GHP 냉/난방 부하의 고조파 특성에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Harmonic Characteristics of GHP Cooling/Heating Load in an Institutional Building)

  • 김경철;오경훈;이규진
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제23권4호
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    • pp.29-38
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    • 2009
  • GHP(Gas Heating Pump) 시스템은 가스 엔진으로 구동되는 압축기로 구성되는 효율적인 냉/난방기이고, 학교나 사무용 빌딩에 널리 쓰이고 있다. GHP는 느린 응답, 큰 시정수와 시간에 따라 변하는 시스템으로 제어하기가 어렵다. 이들 비선형 부하는 고조파 전류를 발생시키고, 전력계통의 정현파 전압을 왜곡시킨다. 고조파 측정 결과로 고조파는 시간에 따라 변하는 특성이 관측되었다. 시간에 따라 변하는 고조파를 해결하기 위해서 쓰이는 가장 보편적인 방법은 누적확률을 사용하는 것이다. 본 논문에서는 GHP부하의 고조파 특성, IEC 61000-3-2에 의한 고조파 평가와 사례연구 시스템의 고조파 시뮬레이션 및 고조파 필터 적용을 심도있게 다루고자 하였다.

Long-Term Efficacy of Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Agents in Pediatric Luminal Crohn's Disease: A Systematic Review of Real-World Evidence Studies

  • Rheenen, Hanna van;Rheenen, Patrick Ferry van
    • Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.121-131
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    • 2020
  • Purpose: To determine the long-term efficacy of the anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) agents, infliximab (IFX) and adalimumab (ADA), in pediatric luminal Crohn's disease (CD) by performing a systematic literature review. Methods: An electronic search was performed in Medline, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from inception to September 26, 2019. Eligible studies were cohort studies with observation periods that exceeded 1 year. Studies that reported time-to-event analyses were included. Events were defined as discontinuation of anti-TNF therapy for secondary loss of response. We extracted the probabilities of continuing anti-TNF therapy 1, 2, and 3 years after initiation. Results: In total, 2,464 papers were screened, 94 were selected for full text review, and 13 studies (11 on IFX, 2 on ADA) met our eligibility criteria for inclusion. After 1 year, 83-97% of patients were still receiving IFX therapy. After 2 and 3 years the probability of continuing IFX therapy decreased to 67-91% and 61-85%, respectively. In total, 5 of the 11 studies subgrouped by concomitant medication consistently showed that the probabilities of continuing IFX therapy in patients with prolonged immunomodulator use were higher than those in patients on IFX monotherapy. Conclusion: This review of real-world evidence studies confirms the long-term therapeutic benefit of IFX therapy in diverse cohorts of children with luminal CD. Moreover, it supports the view that combination therapy with an immunomodulator prolongs the durability of IFX therapy in patients who previously failed to recover following first-line therapy. The limited number of time-to-event studies in patients on ADA prevented us from drawing definite conclusions about its long-term efficacy.

Simulation of Debris Flow Deposit in Mt. Umyeon

  • Won, Sangyeon;Kim, Gihong
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제33권6호
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    • pp.507-516
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    • 2015
  • Debris flow is a representative natural disaster in Korea and occurs frequently every year. Recently, it has caused considerable damage to property and considerable loss of life in both mountainous and urban regions. Therefore, It is necessary to estimate the scope of damage for a large area in order to predict the debris flow. A response model such as the random walk model(RWM) can be used as a useful tool instead of a physics-based numerical model. RWM is a probability model that simplifies both debris flows and sedimentation characteristics as a factor of slopes for a subjective site and represents a relatively simple calculation method compared to other debris flow behavior calculation models. Although RWM can be used to analyzing and predicting the scope of damage caused by a debris flow, input variables for terrain conditions are yet to be determined. In this study, optimal input variables were estimated using DEM generated from the Aerial Photograph and LiDAR data of Mt. Umyeon, Seoul, where a large-scale debris flow occurred in 2011. Further, the deposition volume resulting from the debris flow was predicted using the input variables for a specific area in which the deposition volume could not be calculated because of work restoration and the passage of time even though a debris flow occurred there. The accuracy of the model was verified by comparing the result of predicting the deposition volume in the debris flow with the result obtained from a debris flow behavior analysis model, Debris 2D.

Implementation of a bio-inspired two-mode structural health monitoring system

  • Lin, Tzu-Kang;Yu, Li-Chen;Ku, Chang-Hung;Chang, Kuo-Chun;Kiremidjian, Anne
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.119-137
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    • 2011
  • A bio-inspired two-mode structural health monitoring (SHM) system based on the Na$\ddot{i}$ve Bayes (NB) classification method is discussed in this paper. To implement the molecular biology based Deoxyribonucleic acid (DNA) array concept in structural health monitoring, which has been demonstrated to be superior in disease detection, two types of array expression data have been proposed for the development of the SHM algorithm. For the micro-vibration mode, a two-tier auto-regression with exogenous (AR-ARX) process is used to extract the expression array from the recorded structural time history while an ARX process is applied for the analysis of the earthquake mode. The health condition of the structure is then determined using the NB classification method. In addition, the union concept in probability is used to improve the accuracy of the system. To verify the performance and reliability of the SHM algorithm, a downscaled eight-storey steel building located at the shaking table of the National Center for Research on Earthquake Engineering (NCREE) was used as the benchmark structure. The structural response from different damage levels and locations was collected and incorporated in the database to aid the structural health monitoring process. Preliminary verification has demonstrated that the structure health condition can be precisely detected by the proposed algorithm. To implement the developed SHM system in a practical application, a SHM prototype consisting of the input sensing module, the transmission module, and the SHM platform was developed. The vibration data were first measured by the deployed sensor, and subsequently the SHM mode corresponding to the desired excitation is chosen automatically to quickly evaluate the health condition of the structure. Test results from the ambient vibration and shaking table test showed that the condition and location of the benchmark structure damage can be successfully detected by the proposed SHM prototype system, and the information is instantaneously transmitted to a remote server to facilitate real-time monitoring. Implementing the bio-inspired two-mode SHM practically has been successfully demonstrated.

급성심근경색증 환자의 진료 질 평가를 위한 병원별 사망률 예측 모형 개발 (Development of a Model for Comparing Risk-adjusted Mortality Rates of Acute Myocardial Infarction Patients)

  • 박형근;안형식
    • 한국의료질향상학회지
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.216-231
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    • 2003
  • Objectives: To develop a model that predicts a death probability of acute myocardial infarction(AMI) patient, and to evaluate a performance of hospital services using the developed model. Methods: Medical records of 861 AMI patients in 7 general hospitals during 1996 and 1997 were reviewed by two trained nurses. Variables studied were risk factors which were measured in terms of severity measures. A risk model was developed by using the logistic regression, and its performance was evaluated using cross-validation and bootstrap techniques. The statistical prediction capability of the model was assessed by using c-statistic, $R^2$ as well as Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic. The model performance was also evaluated using severity-adjusted mortalities of hospitals. Results: Variables included in the model building are age, sex, ejection fraction, systolic BP, congestive heart failure at admission, cardiac arrest, EKG ischemia, arrhythmia, left anterior descending artery occlusion, verbal response within 48 hours after admission, acute neurological change within 48 hours after admission, and 3 interaction terms. The c statistics and $R^2$ were 0.887 and 0.2676. The Hosmer-Lemeshow statistic was 6.3355 (p-value=0.6067). Among 7 hospitals evaluated by the model, two hospitals showed significantly higher mortality rates, while other two hospitals had significantly lower mortality rates, than the average mortality rate of all hospitals. The remaining hospitals did not show any significant difference. Conclusion: The comparison of the qualities of hospital service using risk-adjusted mortality rates indicated significant difference among them. We therefore conclude that risk-adjusted mortality rate of AMI patients can be used as an indicator for evaluating hospital performance in Korea.

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실 통행열차에 의한 강박스거더 교량의 동적응답에 대한 확률론적 분석 (Probabilistic Analysis on Dynamic Response of Steel Box Girder Bridge by Actual Passing Trains)

  • 황의승;김도영;여인호
    • 한국강구조학회 논문집
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    • 제28권3호
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    • pp.163-171
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    • 2016
  • 철도교량의 경우 구조적인 안정성과 함께 주행 안전성과 승차감이 중요한 설계 고려 인자이다. 이 논문에서는 실제 통행열차에 의한 강박스거더 교량의 동적 응답이 계측되었고 확률적인 방법에 의해 분석되었다. 실험교량에 대해 측 경간 중앙에서의 처짐과 연직가속도가 약 한 달 동안 여러 가지 여객열차 및 화물열차에 대하여 수집되었다. 축중과 열차종류에 따른 영향이 분석되었으며 검벨확률지에 의한 100년, 200년 최대값이 예측되고 설계기준값과 비교되었다. 일부 가속도값을 제외하고 대부분의 결과는 설계기준값을 만족시켰으며 초과확률도 매우 낮았다. 철도교량의 사용성에 대한 종합적인 분석을 위하여 더 장기적인 계측과 다른 형식의 교량에 대한 분석이 필요하다.

지방도 도로교 노면조도의 스펙트럼 (Spectra of Road Surface Roughness on Bridges of Minor Road)

  • 정태주;차봉기
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제36권5호
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    • pp.757-767
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    • 2016
  • 본 연구에서는 강원도 원주 횡성 부근의 지방도 및 군도에 위치한 18개의 지방도 도로교에 대한 노면조도의 PSD를 제시하였다. 18개 대상교량에 대하여 GPS 측정기를 사용하여 교량의 노면조도를 10~30 cm의 간격으로 직접 측정하였다. 노면조도의 PSD는 평균값이 영인 정상확률분포로 가정하고 측정한 노면조도를 사용하여 MEM으로 구하였다. 도로교의 동적응답 연구에 적합한 노면조도의 PSD 값을 계산할 수 있는 식을 RC 슬래브교, 라멘교 및 PSC거더교 등 교량형식별 및 전체 교량에 대하여 제안하였다. 그리고 대상교량의 노면조도를 평가하고 IRI와 노면 조도계수 사이의 관계를 분석하였다.

LRB 면진장치를 적용한 원전구조물의 지진응답에 따른 확률론적 연구 (A Probabilistic Study on Seismic Response of Seismically Isolated Nuclear Power Plant Structures using Lead Rubber Bearing)

  • 김현정;송종걸;문지호
    • 한국지진공학회논문집
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    • 제22권2호
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    • pp.45-54
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    • 2018
  • The seismically isolated nuclear power plants shall be designed for design basis earthquake (DBE) and considered to ensure safety against beyond design basis earthquake (BDBE). In order to limit the excessive displacement of the seismic isolation system of the seismically isolated structure, the moat is installed at a certain distance from the upper mat supporting the superstructure. This certain distance is called clearance to stop (CS) and is calculated from the 90th percentile displacement of seismic isolation system subjected to BDBE. For design purposes, the CS can be obtained simply by multiplying the median displacement of the seismic isolation system against DBE by scale factor with a value of 3. The DBE and BDBE used in this study were generated by using 30 sets of artificial earthquakes corresponding to the nuclear standard design spectrum. In addition, latin hyper cube sampling was applied to generate 30 sets of artificial earthquakes corresponding to maximum - minimum spectra. For the DBE, the median displacement and the 99th percentile displacement of the seismic isolation system were calculated. For the BDBE, the suitability of the scale factor was assessed after calculating the 90th percentile displacement of the seismic isolation system.

유비쿼터스 서비스 생존성 제고를 위한 침입감내 Jini 서비스 구조 (Intrusion-Tolerant Jini Service Architecture for Enhancing Survivability of Ubiquitous Services)

  • 김성기;박경노;민병준
    • 전자공학회논문지CI
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    • 제45권4호
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    • pp.41-52
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    • 2008
  • 유비쿼터스 서비스 환경에서는 연결의 신뢰성이 낮고 서비스를 제공하는 시스템에 대한 침입이나 서비스 실패가 발생할 확률이 높다. 따라서 유비쿼터스 컴퓨팅 환경에서는 본연의 서비스를 지연 없이 제공할 수 있는 시스템 능력, 즉 서비스 생존성을 제고해야할 필요가 있다. 본 논문에서는 유비쿼터스 정보 서비스 환경에서 결함감내 Jini 서비스 개발을 돕는 Jgroup/ARM 프레임워크를 분석한다. 이 분석을 토대로 보안성과 가용성 서비스 품질을 만족하는 침입감내 Jini 서비스 구조를 제시한다. 제시된 침입감내 Jini 서비스 구조는 네트워크 분할이나 서버 붕괴와 같은 결함뿐만 아니라 취약점을 악용한 공격으로부터 시스템을 보호할 수 있으며 심리스 서비스 지속이 가능하도록 낮은 응답지연의 성능을 보여준다. 테스트베드를 통해 실험한 결과, 서비스 품질 저하를 무시할 수 있는 수준에서 높은 보안성과 가용성을 제공할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

Change in three dry rangeland species growth and soil properties by compost application

  • Sadeghi, Hossein;Shourije, Fatemeh Ansar;Masoudi, Masoud
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • 제35권2호
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    • pp.131-140
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    • 2012
  • There are different types of compost used as soil conditioners and fertilizers. Plants can have different responses to different forms of compost. This field study was performed to examine the effects of different types of compost on growth factors of three dry rangeland species (Atriplex, $Atriplex$ $lentiformis$; Saltwort, $Seidlitzia$ $rosmarinus$; Haloxylon, $Haloxylon$ $persicum$) and soil properties. The experiment was conducted in the Fars Province of Iran during the year 2010-2011. Compost applications consisted of compost tea, solid compost (SC), solid and liquid mixture (MX) and no compost as the control. The study was a factorial experiment based on a randomized complete block design with 3 replications. The results showed that all the tested compost applications enhanced the growth traits of all three species. It was also demonstrated that the use of compost significantly increased the organic matter (1% probability level [PL]), nitrogen concentration (5% PL), phosphorous (5% PL) and potassium (5% PL) concentrations of the soil. The soil's pH level was unchanged (range, 7.3 to 7.6), and the sodium concentration was also significantly decreased (1% PL) by the use of compost. The higher responses were observed in canopy volume and soil sodium and the lower were observed in stem diameter and soil pH level. Among the three plants in the study, Atriplex showed the best response to the application of compost. Based on the results of this study, it can be recommended that the best compost application to increase growth and improve soil condition is the mixed compost (MX) for Atriplex and the SC for Saltwort and Haloxylon.