• 간호행정학회지
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• 제2권1호
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• pp.35-56
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• 1996

Nowerdays, the increase of traffic accidents and old age population make the Femoral Neck Fracture(FNF) patients increase. By the improvement of education and standard of living the patients demand better medical service than before. This study is designed to give practical help for the FNF patients by observing their hospital life and establish practical nursing strategies for the FNF patients. For these purposes the Ethnographic Participant Observation was adopted. By this study is focused on the hospital life patient's view. For this end, the field study adopted orthopedic ward in the C University Hospital with 400 beds in Seoul. The object patients of the study were twelve patients. The patients experienced five stages : Embarrassment, Conflict, Stability, Independent, and Extension Stage. The findings and prepared nursing strategies are stated as follows. First, in the Embarrassment Stage they suffered embarrassment, anxiety, pain, they could not do ordinary things. The patients who accidental fractures had anxiety from unfamiliar tests and from hospitalization itself. They lamented that they could not ordinary things, and do nothing but obeying the hospital, and endure the pain. They recognized the changed environment and resigned themselves to life in the ward. In this stage, full openness by the nurses is needed. Second, the attribute of the Conflict Stage were conflict, fear, curiosity, belief, reflection. When they sign the consentment form, they experience conflicts about the possibility of complication, fear of recovery from anesthesia, curiosity about the operation procedure, post - operation state, reflection on their past life, and promise to care for their family members after discharge and keep their religious life faithfully. And they accepted the operation depending on God, believing in modern medicine, and the surgeon. Asking for their changed informations, they expected positive results from the operation. In this stage, an empathic attitude by the nurses is needed. Third, the attribute of the Stability Stage were relief, gratitude, difficulty with excretion, and pain. When they awoke from anesthesia, they felt relief because of a the end of the operation, but they experienced extreme pain, difficulty of excretion in bed. They accepted the changed environment and expected recovery. In this stage, support by the nurses is needed. Fourth, the attributes of the Independence Stage were freedom, exercise, nurturing, anxiety, and discomfort. When they ambulated and exercised, they experienced freedom. They showed exhibited weakness of the digestive organs and discomfort hospital's space, structure, and facilities, the delay of medical certificate issue the lack of prompt response by the medical agents. They ate nurturious food and felt anxiety on the end of hospital life and returning to their ordinary life. They showed the independence of overcoming their environment by increasing exercise and expected their discharges. In this stage, respect by the nurses is needed for the patients to, overcome their environment and prepare for their independence. Fifth, the attributes of the Extension Stage were pessimism, isolation, dissatisfaction, and pain. Accompanied injury and old age made their ward life extend to over seven weeks. They exhibited weariness, melancholy, skeptisis, general pessimistic feeling, and desperation caused by their isolated life. They experienced the digestive discomfort caused by the prolonged medication and psycological pain caused by long-time hospitalization. As a, result, their dissatisfaction on the human, physical, and systematic environments had been increased. They acquired critical power and sought for something to do spending their time. They expected vaguely about the returning of their ordinary life. In this stage, counseling is needed by the nurse to overcome positively their psychological, social, and physical problems. The process of the FNF patient's ward life starts from the dependent state, when they are hospitalized, and gradually progresses to self-fulfillment in order to keep independent life. As a result, the FNF patients showed "Response in Challenge" or "Adaptation in Conflict" through their experiences of social, physical, and psychological difficulties.

• 지역사회간호학회지
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.334-350
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• 2003

The purpose of this descriptive study was to evaluate the clinical validity of QSCCII (Questionnaire for the Sasang Constitution Classification), whose high accuracy as a constitutional diagnostic tool has been recognized by medical professionals. The subjects of this study were 568 clients from an A university hospital in Suwon. Of the subjects, 259 were health center visitors and 292 were ambulatory clinic visitors. Data were collected using self-reported questionnaire and were analyzed by $X^2$-test and one-way ANOVA. The results of this study as follows: 1. In 4 types of constitution, Soeumin type was found in 41.5% of the subjects. Taeumin type in 39.2%.,and Soyangin type in 19.2%, respectively. There was no Tayangin type found in this study. There were no significant differences on types of constitution by demographic characteristics such as age, sex, marital status, education, religion, and economic status. 2. As for 15 item-selective questionnaire, there were statistically significant differences on the response rate of the 12 items, except items such as A4, A11 and A14, by the types of constitution. When the subjects' own criteria on their constitution were compared to the given constitutional criteria on each item, 4 items such as A6, A11, A13 and A14 were advisable to be excluded from the questionnaire or to be reunited to the other criteria. In the meanwhile, 3 items such as A7, A18 and A15 were desirable to be re-categorized to the other constitutional types and reconstructed to the QSCC II questionnaire. 3. In terms of 106 true-false questionnaire, there were statistically significant differences on the response rate of 46 items by the types of constitution. The 46 items include 15 items (32.6%) of the domain of 'handling something/strength and weakness', 4 items (8.7%) of the domain of 'interpersonal relationship', 9 items (19.6%) of the domain of 'state of mind at ordinary times', 2 items (4.3%) of the domain of 'distinctive emotional characteristics' area, 11 items (23.9%) of the domain of 'specific behavioral trait' and 5 items (10.9%) of the domain of 'physical characteristics'. Therefore, the areas of 'handling something/strength and weakness' and' specific behavioral trait' mainly contributed to the classification of constitutional type. 4. When the 106 true-false items were simplified to the 46 items, statistically significant differences were found on the rate of items allocated to the 3 types of constitution. The rate of selection assigned to the 3 constitutional types of the simplified 46-item questionnaire was higher than that of the original 106-item questionnaire. Conclusions; It was concluded that the rate of selection of each lay person about his own constitutional type would be still higher even though the simplified items of QSCC II questionnaire were applied. If more replicated studies are conducted on the diverse population using the simplifying QSCC II questionnaire in the future, a more simplified standardized Sasang Constitution Questionnaire that is available to the public rather than to medical staffs in the clinical settings could be developed. Moreover, the simplified scale will help nurses deliver more efficient nursing care by providing a more rapid way of health assessment.

• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제37권6호
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• pp.429-439
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• 2011

Objectives: Ethylene oxide (EtO) is classified as a human carcinogen, but EtO is still widely used to sterilize heat-sensitive materials in hospitals. Employees working around sterilizers are exposed to EtO after sterilization. The aim of the present study was to assess the exposure of EtO level, coupled with occupationally induced micronuclei from hospital workers. The influence of genetic polymorphisms of detoxifying genes (GSTT1 and GSTM1) and DNA repair genes (XRCC1 and XRCC3) on the frequencies of micronuclei in relation to exposure of EtO was also investigated. Methods: The study population was composed of 35 occupationally exposed workers to EtO, 18 student controls and 44 unexposed hospital controls in Korea. Exposure to EtO is measured by passive personal samplers. We analyzed the frequencies of micronuclei by performing cytokinesis-block micronucleus assay (CBMN assay) and GSTM1, GSTT1, XRCC1, and XRCC3 were also genotyped by performing polymerase chain reaction-restriction fragment length polymorphism (PCR-RFLP). Results: The frequencies of micronuclei in EtO exposure group, student controls and hospital controls were $18.00{\pm}7.73$, $10.47{\pm}7.96$ and $13.86{\pm}6.35$ respectively and their differences were statistically significant, but no significant differences according to the level of EtO were observed. There was a dose-response relationship between the frequencies of micronuclei and cumulative dose of EtO, but no significantly differences were observed. We also investigated the influence of genetic polymorphisms (GSTM1, GSTT1, XRCC1, and XRCC3) on the frequencies of micronuclei, but there were no differences in the frequencies of micronuclei by genetic polymorphisms. Conclusions: The frequencies of micronuclei in EtO exposure group was significantly higher than control groups. A dose-response relationship was found between the level of EtO exposure and the frequencies of micronuclei, but no statistically differences were observed. We also found that the frequencies of micronuclei were increased according to cumulative EtO level. There was no association of the genetic GSTM1, GSTT1, XRCC1, and XRCC3 state with the frequency of micronuclei induced by EtO exposure.

• Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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• 제31권2호
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• pp.323-334
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• 1998

대구지역 지체장애인들을 대상으로 만성이환시 의료이용에 영향을 미치는 요인을 조사하기 위하여 1997년 4월부터 7월까지 등록된 재가장애인에서 20세 이상의 지체장애인 1,307명 중 만성질환이 있다고 대답한 337명 전원을 대상으로 자기기입식 설문지와 면접을 통하여 자료를 수집하였다. 만성질환으로 인한 의료기관 이용률은 81.9%로 병의원이용이 69.1%, 약국이용이 12.8%였다. 단순분석 결과, 소인성 요인에 따른 의료이용실태에서는 기혼이고 직업이 있는 경우에서 의료기관 이용률이 유의하게 높았다(p<0.05). 건강관심이 높은 군에서 의료기관이용이 유의하게 높았으며(p<0.01), 필요성 요인인 평소 아플 때 대처하는 방식이 의료기관 이용과 유의한 관련성이 있었다(p<0.01). 경로분석결과 직업, 경제적상태, 의료보장상태, 평소 아플 때 대처방식이 직접적인 영향을 미쳤으며(p<0.05), 건강관심도, 단골진료기관 유무 등의 변수들도 간접적인 영향을 미쳤다. 의료기관 미이용 이유에서는 '돈이 없어서'가 31.1%로 가장 많았고, '별 증상이 없어서'(18.0%), '불편하거나 같이 갈 사람이 없어서'(14.8%), '그냥 있으면 나을 것 같아서'(14.8%), '시간이 없어서'(8.2%), '치료해도 소용이 없을 것 같아서'(6.6%)의 순이었다. 이상에서 만성질환을 가진 지체장애인들의 의료이용을 높이기 위해서는 장애인 스스로 건강과 질병에 대한 관심을 가질 수 있는 보건교육을 강화하고 장애인 고용촉진을 위한 정책을 마련하여 전반적인 경제적 수준을 향상시키고 의료보호의 확대를 통해서 의료이용의 형평을 추구하여야 겠다.

• Child Health Nursing Research
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.322-341
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• 2001

The family value is expected to play a crucial role in adjusting a new environment for the family, especially in the critical situation as having a child with cancer in the family. The purpose of the study was to analyze the family values of the family with cancer children in order to offer descriptive data, which will facilitate family adjustment with cancer children. The survey was conducted from July 18, 2000 to August 30, 2000 and the analysis included 309 parents of the children who have been diagnosed as cancer, 18 years of age or less, and treated either hospitalized or at the outpatient clinics. Two instruments were used to measure family value. The modified form of General family value scale was 18 items with a 5 points of Likert response format (Cronbach alpha= .78) and Family value scale was developed for the study with 12 items on a 5 points of Likert response format(Cronbach alpha= .73). The data analysis utilized SAS 6.12 for percentage, frequency, Mean, and t-test of demographic characteristics and mean, F score, ANOVA, and Duncan follow-up test of variable relationships. The study findings were as follows. 1) In General family value, the fathers gave the higher scores to 'The children should live with their parents'(M=4.01), and 'A parents and their children are like one body' (M=3.91). The item with lowest score was 'Its not impossible for man to have extramarital relationship'(M=1.92). The mothers thought the most important items were 'A parents and their children are like one body'(M=3.79), and 'A wife needs to be patient to keep harmony of the family' (M=3.56), and the item with lowest score was 'Its not impossible for man to have extramarital relationship'(M=1.44). 2) The mean scores of the mothers were higher than the fathers for all items in family value with cancer children, while fathers gave more points for items in general family value. Both of parents gave the highest score to 'The health of the family is most important to me'(M=4.85 for fathers, M=4.97 for mothers), and followed by 'The husband and wife need to be patient and understand each other to overcome the difficulties'. The item with lowest scores was 'The parents can have conflicts in making decisions since their child was sick'(M=3.34 for fathers, M=3.37 for mothers). 3) There were significant differences between fathers and mothers in items of General family value; fathers gave more points to the items of 'The children should live with their parents', 'Its essential to hold the ceremony to respect their forefathers', 'Its not impossible for man to have extramarital relationship', 'A woman with two daughters should have one more baby to succeed the generation', 'The husbands are responsible for the household economy', and 'When his mother and wife dont get along, the man should be on his mothers side'. However, there was no significant difference between fathers and mothers in items of Family value with cancer children. 4) The general family value was significantly different by the birth order of cancer children, mothers age, mothers education level, and types of payment. On the other hand, the family value with cancer children was significantly different by the age of cancer children, period of illness, period after completing treatment, family type, the number of family members, and the number of total children.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제94권4호통권161호
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• pp.214-225
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• 2005

한국의 산촌개발사업은 의제21(Agenda 21) 13장의 지속가능한 산지개발(SMD, Sustainable Mountain Development)과 국토 균형발전을 도모하기 위하여 전국토의 45.9%를 점유하고 있는 산촌마을을 대상으로 1995년부터 시범적으로 시작되었다. 이후 도별 확대사업과 함께 관련 법률 및 제도 정비를 통하여 산촌주민의 삶의 질 향상과 행복 제고를 목적으로 현재 진행 중이다. 본 연구는 2003년 현재 사업 완료된 59개 산촌개발마을과 조성중인 15개 산촌개발사업마을의 사업내용에 대하여 산촌개발의 핵심 이해관계자인 산촌주민과 지방자치단체 공무원의 의견을 비교분석하여 사업만족도를 분석하고 향후 지역사회 개발사업으로서 산촌개발 사업의 추진방향을 제시하고자 수행되었다. 산촌개발사업은 지역사회 개발사업이 일반적으로 추구하는 주민의 자발적 참여와 민주시민으로의 자립정신확립, 소득증진 기반조성, 쾌적한 생활환경의 창조, 타 지역과의 균형발전 등 여러 측면에서 긍정적인 성과가 나타났다. 특히 마을주민과 지방자치단체의 기대가 큰 소득증대 기반조성과 해적한 마을환경 기반구축을 통한 정주기능 증진효과에 대하여는 이해관계자 모두가 만족하는 성과가 도출되었다. 그러나 산촌개발사업을 통한 산촌마을의 지역사회유지 및 전통적인 가치체계 강화는 만족한 수준에 달하지 못하고 있다. 또한 지속적인 소득증진효과를 도모하기 위한 지역 특성에 알맞은 소득 작목 개발과 기술 보급, 지역특산물 개발 유통개선도 필요한 실정인데, 지방 자치단체의 적극적이며 다각적인 활동이 요구된다. 또한 산촌개발계획 초기부터 지방자치단체와 산촌주민이 공동 참여하는 산촌개발사업방식의 도입과 관련 지방행정조직과 1차 산업 단체의 혁신은 산촌개발사업의 지속성 유지를 위하여 바람직하다. 또한 산촌개발이 장기적으로 타 지역개발과의 균형 유지를 위한 종합개발 계획 수립, 산촌마을 네트워크 구성과 정보교환, 산촌개발사업 사후 시설관리, 산촌마을개발협의회 구성 등 산촌개발사업의 핵심요소인 지도인력의 양성과 교육은 중앙정부의 주도적인 지원을 요구한다. 향후 산촌관련 이해관계자를 고려한 발전 방안 수립은 지역사회개발계획의 일환으로 산촌개발사업 성공 가능성을 증가시킬 것이다.

• 호스피스학술지
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• 제2권2호
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• pp.28-48
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• 2002

The advances of medical technologies have not only prolonged human life span, but also extended suffering period for the patients with incurable medical diseases. Hospice movement was developed to help these patients keep dignity and lives peaceful at the end of their life. Since many patients prefer to spend the last moment of life at home with their family, hospice home care has become very popular worldwide. The purpose of this study for a promotion and development of hospice home care in Korea, and features basic research on medical profession's knowledge and attitudes to hospice home care. This study which was used for the research questionnaires developed by the researcher that were answered by 100 physicians and 127 nurses in a general hospital. Data were collected from April 22, 2002 to May 10, 2002. The SPSS was used to make a comparative analysis of the frequency, percentile, ANOVA, and x2-test. The results of the study were as follows; 1.The medical profession showed high level of knowledge of the definition and philosophy of hospice. However, the physician group of the examinees showed insufficient knowledge of the fact that hospice care includes bereavement care, while the nurse group's response to the same question showed a significant difference(x2=10.752, p=.001). 2.For whom the hospice home care is provided, 95.6% of the respondents showed very high level of knowledge as answering that the incurable terminal illness patients and their families are the beneficiaries of hospice care. The respondents counted nurses, volunteers, pastors, physicians and social workers, consecutively, as hospice care providers. More nurse were positive toward pastors than physicians in regarding as a hospice care provider by a significant difference(x2=11.634, p=.001). 3.For when to referral hospice home care to the patients, only 34.2% answered that patients with less than 6 months of survival time are advised to receive hospice care, reflecting very low level of knowledge. 23.0% of the physicians and 48.0% of the nurses answered that hospice care should be provided when death is imminent, making a significant difference between the two groups(x2=6.413, p=.000). 4.To promote hospice activities, 87.2% pointed out that it is crucial to make general people, including those engaging in the medical field, more aware of hospice. 79.7% answered that a national hospice management should be developed, marking a significant difference between the physician group and nurse group(x2=10.485, p=.001). 5.Advantages of hospice home care are 87.2% responded that patients can have better rest at home receiving hospice home care. Economical merit was brought forward as one of the advantages also, where there was a significant difference between the physicians group and nurse group(x2=7.009, p=.008). 6.The medical professions' attitude to hospice home care are 92.8% of the physicians answered that they would advise incurable terminally ill patients to be discharged from hospital, with 44.3% of them advising the patients to receive hospice home care after leaving the hospital. From the nurses' point of view, 20.9% of the terminally ill patients are being referred to hospice home care after discharge, which makes a significant difference from the physicians' response(x2=19.121, p=.001). 7. 30.6% of physicians have referred terminally ill patients to hospice home care, 75.9% of whom were satisfied with their decision. Those physicians who have never referred their patients to hospice home care either did not know how to do it(66.7%) or were afraid of losing trust by giving the patients an impression of giving up(27.3%). 94.9% of the physicians responded that they would refer their last stage patients to a doctor who is involving palliative care. 8.Only 36.2% of nurses have suggested to physicians that refer the terminally ill patients discharged from the hospital to hospice home care. Once suggested, 95.8% of the physicians have accepted the suggestion. Nurses were reluctant to suggest hospice home care to the physicians, as 48.8% of the nurses said they did not want to. From the result of this study the following conclusion can be drawn, the medical profession's awareness of general hospice care has been increased greatly compared to the results of the previously performed studies. However, this study result also shows that their knowledge of hospice home care is not good enough yet. There is a need for high recommended that medical education institute and develop regular courses on various types of hospice care. Medical field training courses for physicians and nurses will be very helpful as well. It is also important to train hospice experts such as palliative physicians and develop a national hospice management urgently in order to improve the hospice care in Korea.

• 한국산림과학회지
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• 제107권4호
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• pp.351-360
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• 2018

본 연구는 이산화탄소를 인위적으로 주입하여 주입구로부터의 거리와 이산화탄소 플럭스에 따른 소나무와 굴참나무 묘목의 엽록소 함량과 생장반응을 살펴보고자 실행하였다. 이를 위하여 음성 EIT 시험지에서 2년생 소나무와 1년생 굴참나무 묘목을 2015년 5월에 식재하였으며, 2016년 6월 1일부터 30일까지 $6L\;min^{-1}$의 속도로 2.5 m 깊이의 토양에 이산화탄소를 주입하였다. 2016년 7월 중순 경에 엽록소 함량을 분석하였고, 2016년 5월과 11월에 근원경, 수고, 생물량을 측정하였다. 소나무 묘목의 엽록소 함량은 이산화탄소 플럭스와 유의한 관계를 보이지 않은 반면에 굴참나무 묘목의 엽록소 함량은 이산화탄소 플럭스의 증가에 따라 유의한 음의 상관관계(P<0.05)를 보였다. 또한, 근원경과 수고 생장률은 두 수종 모두 이산화탄소 인위누출 처리구의 이산화탄소 누출구로부터 5 m 이내에서 유의한 차이를 보였다. 특히, 두 수종의 근원경 및 소나무 묘목의 수고 생장률은 누출구에 가까워질수록 유의하게 증가하였지만, 굴참나무 묘목의 수고 생장률은 유의하게 감소하는 것으로 나타났다. ${\Delta}R/S$율은 지중 이산화탄소 농도가 증가할수록 두 수종 모두 증가하는 것으로 나타나 상대적으로 지하부로의 탄소 분배량이 촉진되는 것으로 사료된다. 본 연구결과는 향후 지중 저장된 이산화탄소의 누출에 따른 수종별 생리 생장 반응과 이를 이용한 누출감지 모니터링에 필요한 자료로 활용될 수 있을 것이다.

• 한국재난정보학회 논문집
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• 제15권3호
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• pp.440-449
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• 2019

연구목적 : 소방조직은 재난현장에서 가장 우선적으로 대응하는 기관으로 신속하고 체계적인 대응을 하기 위하여 긴급구조훈련을 실시하고 있다. 하지만 형식적인 훈련, 지역적 특성이나 환경적 특성이 고려되지 않는 훈련 등 긴급구조훈련의 한계점에 대한 변화와 개선의 필요성이 제기되고 있다. 연구방법 : 본 연구에서는 긴급구조훈련과 관련된 이론적 검토를 실시하고 강원지역 소방조직의 의식조사를 통하여 긴급구조훈련 개선방안을 제시하였다. 연구결과 : 긴급구조 활동 시 어려움이 있는 시설은 위험물 저장 및 처리시설이 가장 많았으며 긴급구조 대응업무의 수준은 응급복구가 미흡하다고 응답한 의견이 가장 많았다. 또한 긴급구조훈련의 효과는 도움이 된다고 응답하였지만 시나리오에 의한 훈련, 보여주기식 훈련, 매년 유사한 훈련, 현실감 없는 훈련, 유관기관의 관심 부족 및 형식적 참여 등으로 도움이 되지 않는다고 응답한 부분도 있었다. 그리고 긴급구조훈련 평가의 적절성은 대부분이 만족한다고 응답하였지만 훈련 유형과 상관없는 평가방식, 필요 이상의 훈련 규모를 설정하게 하는 평가방식, 유관기관의 형식적 참여를 유도하는 평가방식 등으로 만족하지 않는다고 응답하였다. 마지막으로 긴급 구조훈련 개선에 대한 요구도는 다양한 피해 상황을 반영한 훈련이 필요하다는 의견이 가장 많았다. 결론 : 긴급구조훈련 개선방안은 다음과 같다. 첫째, 다양한 훈련내용을 설정하고 지역의 주요 발생재난 등을 검토하여 지역적 특성에 맞게 작성해야 한다. 둘째, 소방서별 적절한 훈련계획을 위하여 긴급구조훈련계획 지침 및 매뉴얼 등을 개정하고 실무자를 대상으로 교육하고 이를 위해 긴급구조훈련에 대한 유형부터 전술, 전략까지 실무적으로 활용할 수 있도록 훈련을 정립해야 한다. 셋째, 실제 재난 발생 시 지원기관 및 유관기관의 참여도를 높이기 위하여 훈련계획단계부터 참여를 유도하고 인센티브 혹은 패널티(penalty)를 줄 수 있는 제도 등을 마련해야 한다. 넷째, 동시다발적으로 발생할 수 있는 재난 상황에 대비하여 소방서간, 권역별 훈련으로 기관별 지원태세 확립, 협조체계를 구축해야 한다. 다섯째, 긴급구조훈련 평가는 결과보다 훈련과정에 중점을 둘 수 있도록 하고 재난상황별 보완사항을 도출해내는데 관심을 두고 개선해야 한다. 특히, 세부절차에 수행여부를 평가하기 보다는 훈련의 종류나 형태 등을 고려하여야 하며 훈련 규모 보다는 훈련의 완성도(숙련도), 역할 수행여부 등을 고려할 수 있는 평가방안이 마련되어야 한다. 여섯째, 효율적인 긴급구조훈련을 위하여 실무자의 요구도를 파악하여 훈련 유형 및 방법에 대하여 소방서별 특성에 맞는 훈련으로 개선되어야 한다.

• 한국환경생태학회지
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• 제34권6호
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• pp.503-514
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• 2020

기후변화는 생물계절반응 변화와 식물 자생지 이동을 초래한다. 우리나라 상록활엽수림도 과거 20년에 비해 분포역이 넓어지고 있으며, 자생지 범위가 북상하고 있다. 이에 따른 녹나무과 상록활엽수의 자생지 변화 예측을 위해 먼저, 식생의 분포와 관련이 깊은 온량지수와 한랭지수, 최한월 최저기온, 연평균기온 등 기후지표를 분석하였다. 그 변화량과 공간분포분석을 통해 우리나라 난온대 지역에 분포하는 녹나무과 상록활엽수 8종의 자생지 기후지표특성을 파악하였다. 또한, 기후지표특성을 바탕으로 MaxEnt 종 분포모형을 적용하여 기후변화 시나리오(RCP 4.5/8.5)에 따른 21세기 자생지 변화를 예측하였다. 녹나무과 상록활엽수 8종의 자생지 월 평균 기후지표 특성은 온량지수 116.9±10.8℃, 한랭지수 3.9±3.8℃, 연강수량 1495.7±455.4mm, 건습지수 11.7±3.5, 연평균 기온 14.4±1.1℃, 동계 평균 최저기온 1.0±2.1℃로 나타났다. 기후변화 시나리오 RCP 4.5에 근거한 녹나무과 상록활엽수의 분포는 전라남도와 경상남도를 포함하는 도서지방과 서·남해안의 인접지역, 동해안의 강원도 고성까지 분포가 확대되는 것으로 분석되었다. 기후변화 시나리오 RCP 8.5에 근거한 분포의 경우 전라남도와 경상남도의 전 지역과 전라북도, 충청남도, 경상북도, 수도권의 일부 지역을 제외한 대부분 지역으로 분포가 확대될 것으로 분석되었다. 기후변화에 대비한 녹나무과 상록활엽수의 보전을 위해서는 자생지 내·외 보전 기준설정 및 다양한 자생지 특성 분석이 수행되어야 한다. 또한, 기후지표를 기반으로 한 생물계절정 자료를 통해 기후변화에 따른 녹나무과 상록활엽수의 분포, 이동, 쇠퇴 등의 미세변화를 선제적으로 감지하고 보전관리 방안을 수립하여야 할 것이다.