• Title/Summary/Keyword: Residuals

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Application of the TaqMan® real-time PCR assay for the detection of chicken (Gallus gallus) meat in pork products (돼지고기 제품 내 닭고기 검출을 위한 TaqMan® real-time PCR의 적용)

  • Koh, Ba-Ra-Da;Kim, Ji-Yeon;Na, Ho-Myung;Park, Seong-Do;Kim, Yong-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Veterinary Service
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.193-201
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    • 2013
  • Many consumers are increasingly concerned about the meat they eat, and accurate labelling is important due to public health, economic and legal concerns. Meat species adulteration is a common problem in the retail markets. In this study, a TaqMan$^{(R)}$ quantitative real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) assay was applied for its ability to quantify chicken meat, which was not indicated on the label, in 79 commercial pork products (ham, sausages, bacon and ground meat) producted by 10 different manufacturers. The amplification efficiency was 82.05% and the square regression coefficient ($R^2$) was 0.995. PCR results showed that 38.6% of ham samples, 50.0% of sausages samples, and 50.0% of ground meat samples were contaminated with chicken residuals, while the bacon samples were not contaminated with chicken residuals. Only twelve pork products of one of the manufacturers were in accordance with indicated in their labels. The PCR assay reported in this work could be particularly useful in inspection programs to verify the food labelling of commercial processed meats and to gain consumers' trust.

Wild bootstrap Ljung-Box test for autocorrelation in vector autoregressive and error correction models (벡터자기회귀모형과 오차수정모형의 자기상관성을 위한 와일드 붓스트랩 Ljung-Box 검정)

  • Lee, Myeongwoo;Lee, Taewook
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2016
  • We consider the wild bootstrap Ljung-Box (LB) test for autocorrelation in residuals of fitted multivariate time series models. The asymptotic chi-square distribution under the IID assumption is traditionally used for the LB test; however, size distortion tends to occur in the usage of the LB test, due to the conditional heteroskedasticity of financial time series. In order to overcome such defects, we propose the wild bootstrap LB test for autocorrelation in residuals of fitted vector autoregressive and error correction models. The simulation study and real data analysis are conducted for finite sample performance.

Period Study and Light Curve Synthesis of BD Andromedae

  • Kim, Chun-Hwey;Song, Mi-Hwa;Yoon, Joh-Na;Han, Wong-Yong;Choi, Young-Joon
    • The Bulletin of The Korean Astronomical Society
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    • v.36 no.2
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    • pp.141.1-141.1
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    • 2011
  • New CCD BVR light curves of BD And are presented. Our light curves with nearly equal depths for both primary and secondary eclipses show well-defined photometric waves outside eclipse for all of BVR bandpasses. The orbital period is greatly revised as $0.^d92580519$ which is twice longer than that known previously. Sixteen timings from our observations and thirteen ones from the SuperWASP measurements were calculated. All available timings over 76 years, including ours, were analyzed to figure out the dynamical behavior of the system. It was found that the recent CCD O-C residuals varied in a cyclical way with a period of $9.^y18$ and a semi-amplitude of $0.^d0046$. The secondary period of $9.^y18$ is the most shortest one among those which have been ever found in the short period RS CVn binary stars. The periodic variation most likely arises from the light-travel time effect due to a low-mass ($m_3{\sim}0.88\;M_{\odot}$) tertiary companion moving in an orbit with an large eccentricity ($e_3$=0.70) and a low inclination ($i_3{\sim}28^{\circ}$). The Applegate mechanism could not operate properly in both components because the model parameters require too much large luminosity changes of ${\Delta}L/L_{p,s}$ > 10. The new light curves were synthesized using the 2003 version of Wilson-Divinney code. It was found useful to model two huge spots on the surface of the hotter star and a third-light in order to minimize the residuals from the observations. Astronomical basic parameters were deduced from our photometric solution.

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Effect of Antistripping Agent on the Enhancement of Resistance to Moisture Damage of Asphalt Mixture (아스팔트 혼합물의 내수분손상 향상에 대한 박리방지제의 효과)

  • Lee, Eun-Kyoung;Choi, Sei-Young
    • Journal of Adhesion and Interface
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.182-190
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    • 2009
  • In this work, effect of antistrip additives to reduce moisture damage of asphalt mixture were studied. Asphalt antistripping agents were prepared by condensation of formaldehyde with tetraethylene pentamine (TEPA), triethylenetetramine (TETA) and bis(hexamethylene)-triamine (BHMT), respectively. And also the metal type antistripping agent was prepatred by neutralization of stearic acid or palmitic acid with metal hydroxide. Mechanical characteristics of the asphalt mixture added antistripping agent were evaluated with Marshall stability, submerging residuals and coating rate. It was found that antistripping agent prepared in this study reduced moisture damages of asphalt mixtures. In particular, asphalt mixtures added BHMT and C/S (Calcium stearate hydroxide) antistripping agent showed highest submerging and coating rate. Because BHMT and C/S type antistripping agent was to improve bonding between asphalt and aggregate owing to increase of amine concentration and role of metal surfactant.

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주식수익률(株式收益率)의 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대한 요일효과(曜日效果) 분석(分析)

  • Jeong, Beom-Seok
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.233-262
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    • 1994
  • 본 연구는 주식시장(株式市場)의 이상현상(異狀現象)중의 하나인 요일효과(曜日效果)(day of the week effect)를 전통적인 회귀분석(回歸分析)이 아닌 ARCH 또는 GARCH 모형을 사용하여 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(기대수익률)(平均收益率(期待收益率)) 뿐만아니라 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에도 나타나는지에 대하여 분석하였으며, 규모별(規模別)에 따라 요일효과(曜日效果)에 어떠한 차이가 나타나는지를 분석하였다. 본 연구의 추정결과를 요약하면, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(기대수익률)(平均收益率(期待收益率)) 및 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散) 모두에 있어 요일효과(曜日效果)가 뚜렷하게 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 즉, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(平均收益率)에 대해서는 월요일(月曜日)은 부(負)의 효과, 토요일(土曜日)은 정(正)의 효과가 나타났으며, 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대해서는 월요일(月曜日)은 정(正)의 효과가, 토요일(土曜日)은 부(負)의 효과가 발견되었다. 그러나 한국(韓國)의 주식시장의 본격적인 성장기이면서 주식가격의 등락이 심했던 $86\sim92$년(年)간의 표본기간 동안에는 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대한 요일효과(曜日效果)는 존재하였으나, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(平均收益率)에 대한 요일효과(曜日效果)는 존재하지 않는 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 소형지수(小型指數)가 중(中) 대형지수(大型指數)와는 다른 주가행태를 보이는 것으로 나타났으며, 다음과 같은 몇 가지의 규모별(規模別) 차이(差異)를 보였다. 첫째, 조건부(條件附) 평균수익률(平均收益率)에 대한 분석에서 중(中) 대형지수수익률(大型指數收益率)을 사용하였을 경우에는 요일효과(曜日效果)가 나타난 반면에, 소형(小型) 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우에는 화요효과(火曜效果)가 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 둘째, 조건부(條件附) 분산(分散)에 대한 분석에서 정(正)의 공휴일효과(公休日效果)가 다른 규모별 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우에는 나타나지 많았지만 소형(小型) 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우에는 존재하는 것으로 나타났다. 세째, 소형(小型) 지수수익률(指數收益率)의 경우 모형 추정후의 정규잔차(定規殘差)(normalized residuals) 및 정규자승잔차(定規自乘殘差)(normalized squared residuals)에 대한 시계열상관(時系列相關) 검정결과 모형의 부적합성(不適合性)이 나타났다. 본 연구는 기존의 기대수익률(期待收益率) 위주의 요일효과(曜日效果) 분석에서 주식수익률(株式收益率)의 분산(分散) 즉, 변동성(變動性)에 촛점을 두어 분석하였으며, 이는 투자자의 정확한 위험측정(危險測定)수단의 제공이라는 면에서 의의(意義)가 있을 것으로 생각된다.

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Nonparametric estimation of the discontinuous variance function using adjusted residuals (잔차 수정을 이용한 불연속 분산함수의 비모수적 추정)

  • Huh, Jib
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.111-120
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    • 2016
  • In usual, the discontinuous variance function was estimated nonparametrically using a kernel type estimator with data sets split by an estimated location of the change point. Kang et al. (2000) proposed the Gasser-$M{\ddot{u}}ller$ type kernel estimator of the discontinuous regression function using the adjusted observations of response variable by the estimated jump size of the change point in $M{\ddot{u}}ller$ (1992). The adjusted observations might be a random sample coming from a continuous regression function. In this paper, we estimate the variance function using the Nadaraya-Watson kernel type estimator using the adjusted squared residuals by the estimated location of the change point in the discontinuous variance function like Kang et al. (2000) did. The rate of convergence of integrated squared error of the proposed variance estimator is derived and numerical work demonstrates the improved performance of the method over the exist one with simulated examples.

Analysis of stage III proximal colon cancer using the Cox proportional hazards model (Cox 비례위험모형을 이용한 우측 대장암 3기 자료 분석)

  • Lee, Taeseob;Lee, Minjung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.349-359
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    • 2017
  • In this paper, we conducted survival analyses by fitting the Cox proportional hazards model to stage III proximal colon cancer data obtained from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results program of the National Cancer Institute. We investigated the effect of covariates on the hazard function for death from proximal colon cancer in stage III with surgery performed and estimated the survival probability for a patient with specific covariates. We showed that the proportional hazards assumption is satisfied for covariates that were used to analyses, using a test based on the Schoenfeld residuals and plots of the Schoenfeld residuals and $log[-log\{{\hat{S}}(t)\}]$. We evaluated the model calibration and discriminatory accuracy by calibration plot and time-dependent area under the ROC curve, which were calculated using 10-fold cross validation.

Export Behaviors of the Passenger Cars of Gunsan, Pyeongtaek and Ulsan Port (항만별 승용차 수출 행태: 군산항.평택항.울산항)

  • Mo, Soo-Won
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.27 no.2
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2011
  • The paper aims at examining the behavioral characteristics of the passenger car export of Gunsan, Pyeongtaek, and Ulsan port. This is accomplished by modelling export demand as exchange rate and the Unites States industrial production. All series span the period January 2001 to December 2010. I first show that both the series and the residuals are stationary at the 5 percent significance level. The result cannot reject the null hypothesis of a unit root in each of the level variables and of a unit root for the residuals from the cointegration regression at the 5 percent significance level. I hitherto make use of forecast error decomposition and historical decompositions The forecast error decomposition indicates that car export is endogenous to industrial production and exchange rate. The historical decompositions for the export show that the entire difference between actual export and the base forecast can be attributed to industrial production shocks since exchange rate moves closer to the actual data or the base forecast. It indicates that industrial production outperforms exchange rate in explaining the passenger car exports.

Estimation of Hydraulic Characteristics and Prediction of Groundwater Level in the Eastern Coastal Aquifer of Jeju Island (제주도 동부 해안대수층의 수리특성 산정과 지하수위 예측)

  • Jo, Si-Beom;Jeon, Byung-Chil;Park, Eun-Gyu;Choi, Kwang-Jun;Song, Sung-Ho;Kim, Gi-Pyo
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.661-672
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    • 2014
  • Due to tidal force, it is very difficult to estimate the hydraulic parameters of high permeable aquifer near coastal area in Jeju Island. Therefore, to eliminate the impact of tidal force from groundwater level and estimate the hydraulic properties, tidal response technique has been mainly studied. In this study we have extracted 38 tidal constituents from groundwater level and harmonic constants including frequency, amplitude, and phase of each constituent using T_TIDE subroutine which is used to estimate oceanic tidal constituents, and then we have estimated hydraulic diffusivity associated with amplitude attenuation factor(that is the ratio of groundwater level amplitude to sea level amplitude for each tidal constituent) and phase lag(that is phase difference between groundwater level and sea level for each constituent). Also using harmonic constants for each constituent, we made the sinusoidal wave and then we constructed the synthesized wave which linearly combined sinusoidal wave. Finally, we could get residuals(net groundwater level) which was excluded most of tidal influences by eliminating synthesized wave from raw groundwater level. As a result of comparing statistics for synthesized level and net groundwater level, we found that the statistics for net groundwater level was more insignificant than those of synthesized wave. Moreover, in case of coastal aquifer which the impact of tidal force is even more than those of other environmental factors such as rainfall and groundwater yield, it is possible to predict groundwater level using synthesized wave and regression analysis of residuals.

A comparison study on characteristics of IPTV and digital CATV subscribers (IPTV가입자와 디지털 CATV가입자의 특성비교에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Gui-Yeol;Rhee, Eun-Jun;Lee, Hyun-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.4
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    • pp.665-675
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    • 2012
  • The object of study is to compare the characteristics of IPTV (Internet protocol television) subscribers and digital CATV (Community antenna television) subscribers. We used the adjusted residuals. We did gang survey for 100 subscribers in Seoul, Kyeonggi or Incheon regions. Compared to digital CATV, IPTV seems to have appropriate contents for interactive services and high satisfaction level for cost, but high dissatisfaction level for channels. Digital CATV subscribers would know and subscribe passively, compared to IPTV subscribers. IPTV subscribers are more satisfied than digital CATV subscribers even though IPTV is higher cost. Main content of digital CATV is sports, which is not interactive contents. People think IPTV is an innovative service which let subscribers see wanted contents always, but digital CATV is an extension of CATV. So digital CATV cannot use advantages of interactive services. Even though two services are almost same, they are very different in recognition.