• Title/Summary/Keyword: Residual data

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Model assessment with residual plot in logistic regression (로지스틱회귀에서 잔차산점도를 이용한 모형평가)

  • Kahng, Myung Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 2015
  • Graphical paradigms for assessing the adequacy of models in logistic regression are discussed. The residual plot has been widely used as a graphical tool for evaluating the adequacy of the model. However, this approach works well only for linear models with constant variance, and the alternative approach, the marginal model plot, has its defects as well. We suggest a Chi-residual plot that overcomes the potential shortcomings of the marginal model plot.

Prediction Models of Residual Chlorine in Sediment Basin to Control Pre-chlorination in Water Treatment Plant (정수장 전염소 공정 제어를 위한 침전지 잔류 염소 농도 예측모델 개발)

  • Lee, Kyung-Hyuk;Kim, Ju-Hwan;Lim, Jae-Lim;Chae, Seon Ha
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.601-607
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    • 2007
  • In order to maintain constant residual chlorine in sedimentation basin, It is necessary to develop real time prediction model of residual chlorine considering water treatment plant data such as water qualities, weather, and plant operation conditions. Based on the operation data acquired from K water treatment plant, prediction models of residual chlorine in sediment basin were accomplished. The input parameters applied in the models were water temperature, turbidity, pH, conductivity, flow rate, alkalinity and pre-chlorination dosage. The multiple regression models were established with linear and non-linear model with 5,448 data set. The corelation coefficient (R) for the linear and non-linear model were 0.39 and 0.374, respectively. It shows low correlation coefficient, that is, these multiple regression models can not represent the residual chlorine with the input parameters which varies independently with time changes related to weather condition. Artificial neural network models are applied with three different conditions. Input parameters are consisted of water quality data observed in water treatment process based on the structure of auto-regressive model type, considering a time lag. The artificial neural network models have better ability to predict residual chlorine at sediment basin than conventional linear and nonlinear multi-regression models. The determination coefficients of each model in verification process were shown as 0.742, 0.754, and 0.869, respectively. Consequently, comparing the results of each model, neural network can simulate the residual chlorine in sedimentation basin better than mathematical regression models in terms of prediction performance. This results are expected to contribute into automation control of water treatment processes.

Exploring Interaction in Generalized Linear Models

  • Kahng, Myung-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.13-18
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    • 2005
  • We explore the structure and usefulness of the 3-D residual plot as a basic tool for dealing with interaction in generalized linear models. If predictors have an interaction effect, the shape obtained by rotating the 3-D residual plot will show its presence. To illustrate the use of this plot as an aid to exploring the interaction, we present an example of a binomial regression model using simulated data.

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PREDICTION OF RESIDUAL STRESS FOR DISSIMILAR METALS WELDING AT NUCLEAR POWER PLANTS USING FUZZY NEURAL NETWORK MODELS

  • Na, Man-Gyun;Kim, Jin-Weon;Lim, Dong-Hyuk
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.337-348
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    • 2007
  • A fuzzy neural network model is presented to predict residual stress for dissimilar metal welding under various welding conditions. The fuzzy neural network model, which consists of a fuzzy inference system and a neuronal training system, is optimized by a hybrid learning method that combines a genetic algorithm to optimize the membership function parameters and a least squares method to solve the consequent parameters. The data of finite element analysis are divided into four data groups, which are split according to two end-section constraints and two prediction paths. Four fuzzy neural network models were therefore applied to the numerical data obtained from the finite element analysis for the two end-section constraints and the two prediction paths. The fuzzy neural network models were trained with the aid of a data set prepared for training (training data), optimized by means of an optimization data set and verified by means of a test data set that was different (independent) from the training data and the optimization data. The accuracy of fuzzy neural network models is known to be sufficiently accurate for use in an integrity evaluation by predicting the residual stress of dissimilar metal welding zones.

Estimation of residual stress in welding of dissimilar metals at nuclear power plants using cascaded support vector regression

  • Koo, Young Do;Yoo, Kwae Hwan;Na, Man Gyun
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.817-824
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    • 2017
  • Residual stress is a critical element in determining the integrity of parts and the lifetime of welded structures. It is necessary to estimate the residual stress of a welding zone because residual stress is a major reason for the generation of primary water stress corrosion cracking in nuclear power plants. That is, it is necessary to estimate the distribution of the residual stress in welding of dissimilar metals under manifold welding conditions. In this study, a cascaded support vector regression (CSVR) model was presented to estimate the residual stress of a welding zone. The CSVR model was serially and consecutively structured in terms of SVR modules. Using numerical data obtained from finite element analysis by a subtractive clustering method, learning data that explained the characteristic behavior of the residual stress of a welding zone were selected to optimize the proposed model. The results suggest that the CSVR model yielded a better estimation performance when compared with a classic SVR model.

Bivariate EWMA Control Charts for Autocorrelated Processes

  • Cho, Gyo-Young;Ahn, Young-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.105-112
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we establish bivariate exponentially weighted moving average (EWMA) control charts for autocorrelated processes using residual vectors. We first derive the residual vectors, their expectation, variance-covariance matrix, then evaluate the control chart based on the average run length (ARL).

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Some Partial Orders Describing Positive Aging

  • Choi, Jeen-Kap;Kim, Sang-Lyong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.7 no.1
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    • pp.119-127
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    • 1996
  • The concepy of positive aging describles the adverse effects of age on the lifetime of units. Various aspects of this concepts are described in terms of conditional probability distribution of residual life times, failure rates, equilibrium distributions, etc. In this paper we will consider some partial ordering relations of life distribution under residual life functions and equilibrium distributions.

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Diagnostics of partial regression and partial residual plots

  • Lee, Jea-Young;Choi, Suk-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2000
  • The variance inflation factor can be expressed by the square of the ratio of t-statistics associated with slopes of partial regression and partial residual plots. Disagreement of two sides in the interpretation can be occurred, and we analyze it with some illustrations.

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The Asymptotic Properties of Mean Residual Life Function on Left Truncated and Right Censoring Model

  • Moon, Kyoung-Ae;Shin, Im-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.99-109
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    • 1997
  • The estimation procedure of mean residual life function has been placed an important role in the study of survival analysis. In this paper, the product limit estimator on left truncated and right censoring model is proposed with asymptotic properties. Also, the small sample properties are investigated through the Monte Carlo study and the proposed product limit type estimator is compared with ordinary Kaplan-Meier type estimator.

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Multivariate CUSUM Charts with Correlated Observations

  • Cho, Gyo-Young;Ahn, Young-Sun
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.127-133
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    • 2001
  • In this article we establish multivariate cumulative sum (CUSUM) control charts based on residual vector with correlated observations. We first find the residual vector and its expectation and variance-covariance matrix and then evaluate the average run length (ARL) of the control charts.

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