• 제목/요약/키워드: Residual Error

검색결과 604건 처리시간 0.035초

임신 전 건강행위 측정도구 개발 (Development of Preconception Health Behavior Scale)

  • 염계정;김일옥
    • 여성건강간호학회지
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.31-45
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: This study was designed to develop a valid and reliable scale for the evaluation of preconception health behavior in women preparing for pregnancy. Methods: The initial strategy included a literature review, interviews, and construction of a conceptual framework. The preliminary items were evaluated twice for content validity by experts, and modified two preliminary investigations. Participants in the 2 main investigations and the confirmation investigation were tested for reliability and validity of the preliminary scale in women preparing for pregnancy. The data were analyzed for different items exploratory and confirmatory factors. Results: The 5-point Likert scale consisted of 6 factors and 27 items. The 6-factors included 'hazardous substance factor,' 'medical management factor,' 'rest and sleep factor,' 'stress management factor,' 'information acquisition factor,' and 'resource preparation factor.' Goodness of fit of the final research model was very appropriate and based on the following measures: Q=1.98, comparative fit index=.91, Tucker-lewis index=.89, standardized root mean square residual=.07, and root mean square error of approximation=.07. The criterion validity was .64. The reliability coefficient was .92 and the test-retest reliability was .61. Conclusion: The study findings indicate that the scale can be used for the development of nursing interventions to promote preconception health behavior in women preparing for pregnancy.

Application of Deep Learning to Solar Data: 6. Super Resolution of SDO/HMI magnetograms

  • Rahman, Sumiaya;Moon, Yong-Jae;Park, Eunsu;Jeong, Hyewon;Shin, Gyungin;Lim, Daye
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제44권1호
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    • pp.52.1-52.1
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    • 2019
  • The Helioseismic and Magnetic Imager (HMI) is the instrument of Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) to study the magnetic field and oscillation at the solar surface. The HMI image is not enough to analyze very small magnetic features on solar surface since it has a spatial resolution of one arcsec. Super resolution is a technique that enhances the resolution of a low resolution image. In this study, we use a method for enhancing the solar image resolution using a Deep-learning model which generates a high resolution HMI image from a low resolution HMI image (4 by 4 binning). Deep learning networks try to find the hidden equation between low resolution image and high resolution image from given input and the corresponding output image. In this study, we trained a model based on a very deep residual channel attention networks (RCAN) with HMI images in 2014 and test it with HMI images in 2015. We find that the model achieves high quality results in view of both visual and measures: 31.40 peak signal-to-noise ratio(PSNR), Correlation Coefficient (0.96), Root mean square error (RMSE) is 0.004. This result is much better than the conventional bi-cubic interpolation. We will apply this model to full-resolution SDO/HMI and GST magnetograms.

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통계적 접근 방법을 이용한 저속비대선 및 컨테이너선의 동력 성능 추정 (Powering Performance Prediction of Low-Speed Full Ships and Container Carriers Using Statistical Approach)

  • 김유철;김건도;김명수;황승현;김광수;연성모;이영연
    • 대한조선학회논문집
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    • 제58권4호
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    • pp.234-242
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    • 2021
  • In this study, we introduce the prediction of brake power for low-speed full ships and container carriers using the linear regression and a machine learning approach. The residual resistance coefficient, wake fraction coefficient, and thrust deduction factor are predicted by regression models using the main dimensions of ship and propeller. The brake power of a ship can be calculated by these coefficients according to the 1978 ITTC performance prediction method. The mean absolute error of the predicted power was under 7%. As a result of several validation cases, it was confirmed that the machine learning model showed slightly better results than linear regression.

Optimal Bayesian MCMC based fire brigade non-suppression probability model considering uncertainty of parameters

  • Kim, Sunghyun;Lee, Sungsu
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • 제54권8호
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    • pp.2941-2959
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    • 2022
  • The fire brigade non-suppression probability model is a major factor that should be considered in evaluating fire-induced risk through fire probabilistic risk assessment (PRA), and also uncertainty is a critical consideration in support of risk-informed performance-based (RIPB) fire protection decision-making. This study developed an optimal integrated probabilistic fire brigade non-suppression model considering uncertainty of parameters based on the Bayesian Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) approach on electrical fire which is one of the most risk significant contributors. The result shows that the log-normal probability model with a location parameter (µ) of 2.063 and a scale parameter (σ) of 1.879 is best fitting to the actual fire experience data. It gives optimal model adequacy performance with Bayesian information criterion (BIC) of -1601.766, residual sum of squares (RSS) of 2.51E-04, and mean squared error (MSE) of 2.08E-06. This optimal log-normal model shows the better performance of the model adequacy than the exponential probability model suggested in the current fire PRA methodology, with a decrease of 17.3% in BIC, 85.3% in RSS, and 85.3% in MSE. The outcomes of this study are expected to contribute to the improvement and securement of fire PRA realism in the support of decision-making for RIPB fire protection programs.

Supremacy of Realized Variance MIDAS Regression in Volatility Forecasting of Mutual Funds: Empirical Evidence From Malaysia

  • WAN, Cheong Kin;CHOO, Wei Chong;HO, Jen Sim;ZHANG, Yuruixian
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제9권7호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2022
  • Combining the strength of both Mixed Data Sampling (MIDAS) Regression and realized variance measures, this paper seeks to investigate two objectives: (1) evaluate the post-sample performance of the proposed weekly Realized Variance-MIDAS (RVar-MIDAS) in one-week ahead volatility forecasting against the established Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model and the less explored but robust STES (Smooth Transition Exponential Smoothing) methods. (2) comparing forecast error performance between realized variance and squared residuals measures as a proxy for actual volatility. Data of seven private equity mutual fund indices (generated from 57 individual funds) from two different time periods (with and without financial crisis) are applied to 21 models. Robustness of the post-sample volatility forecasting of all models is validated by the Model Confidence Set (MCS) Procedures and revealed: (1) The weekly RVar-MIDAS model emerged as the best model, outperformed the robust DAILY-STES methods, and the weekly DAILY-GARCH models, particularly during a volatile period. (2) models with realized variance measured in estimation and as a proxy for actual volatility outperformed those using squared residual. This study contributes an empirical approach to one-week ahead volatility forecasting of mutual funds return, which is less explored in past literature on financial volatility forecasting compared to stocks volatility.

A Robust Energy Consumption Forecasting Model using ResNet-LSTM with Huber Loss

  • Albelwi, Saleh
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • 제22권7호
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    • pp.301-307
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    • 2022
  • Energy consumption has grown alongside dramatic population increases. Statistics show that buildings in particular utilize a significant amount of energy, worldwide. Because of this, building energy prediction is crucial to best optimize utilities' energy plans and also create a predictive model for consumers. To improve energy prediction performance, this paper proposes a ResNet-LSTM model that combines residual networks (ResNets) and long short-term memory (LSTM) for energy consumption prediction. ResNets are utilized to extract complex and rich features, while LSTM has the ability to learn temporal correlation; the dense layer is used as a regression to forecast energy consumption. To make our model more robust, we employed Huber loss during the optimization process. Huber loss obtains high efficiency by handling minor errors quadratically. It also takes the absolute error for large errors to increase robustness. This makes our model less sensitive to outlier data. Our proposed system was trained on historical data to forecast energy consumption for different time series. To evaluate our proposed model, we compared our model's performance with several popular machine learning and deep learning methods such as linear regression, neural networks, decision tree, and convolutional neural networks, etc. The results show that our proposed model predicted energy consumption most accurately.

A model-based adaptive control method for real-time hybrid simulation

  • Xizhan Ning;Wei Huang;Guoshan Xu;Zhen Wang;Lichang Zheng
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제31권5호
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    • pp.437-454
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    • 2023
  • Real-time hybrid simulation (RTHS), which has the advantages of a substructure pseudo-dynamic test, is widely used to investigate the rate-dependent mechanical response of structures under earthquake excitation. However, time delay in RTHS can cause inaccurate results and experimental instabilities. Thus, this study proposes a model-based adaptive control strategy using a Kalman filter (KF) to minimize the time delay and improve RTHS stability and accuracy. In this method, the adaptive control strategy consists of three parts-a feedforward controller based on the discrete inverse model of a servohydraulic actuator and physical specimen, a parameter estimator using the KF, and a feedback controller. The KF with the feedforward controller can significantly reduce the variable time delay due to its fast convergence and high sensitivity to the error between the desired displacement and the measured one. The feedback control can remedy the residual time delay and minimize the method's dependence on the inverse model, thereby improving the robustness of the proposed control method. The tracking performance and parametric studies are conducted using the benchmark problem in RTHS. The results reveal that better tracking performance can be obtained, and the KF's initial settings have limited influence on the proposed strategy. Virtual RTHSs are conducted with linear and nonlinear physical substructures, respectively, and the results indicate brilliant tracking performance and superb robustness of the proposed method.

간호대학생의 의사소통기술 수행 구조모형 (A structural model of nursing students' performing communication skills)

  • 길초롱;성경미
    • 한국간호교육학회지
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    • 제29권2호
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    • pp.148-160
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to construct and test a structural model of nursing students' performing communication skills. Methods: The data collection was conducted from October 13 to October 20, 2020. The participants were 286 students from nursing colleges located in three cities. The data analysis method was a covariance structure analysis with using IBM SPSS statistics version 23.0 and AMOS 21.0 statistical programs. Results: The hypothetical model showed a proper fit with the data: root mean square error of approximation=.08, standardized root mean square residual=.06, adjusted goodness of fit=.85, normed fit index=.91, and comparative fit index=.94. The model fit indices were normed to fit index=2.96. Statistically significant explanatory variables for the performing communication skills of nursing students were peer support, emotional intelligence, ethical sensitivity, and communication self-efficacy. The variables accounted for 66.1% of the performing communication skills of nursing students. Conclusion: Based on the above results, it appears necessary to develop strategies for improving the performing communication skills of nursing students, and having positive effects on health outcomes of the subjects by considering the variables of peer support, emotional intelligence, ethical sensitivity, and communication self-efficacy. Such strategies could potentially have positive effects on the health outcomes of the patients.

Walking/Non-walking and Indoor/Outdoor Cognitive-based PDR/GPS/WiFi Integrated Pedestrian Navigation for Smartphones

  • Eui Yeon Cho;Jae Uk Kwon;Seong Yun Cho;JaeJun Yoo;Seonghun Seo
    • Journal of Positioning, Navigation, and Timing
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    • 제12권4호
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    • pp.399-408
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    • 2023
  • In this paper, we propose a solution that enables continuous indoor/outdoor positioning of smartphone users through the integration of Pedestrian Dead Reckoning (PDR) and GPS/WiFi signals. Considering that accurate step detection affects the accuracy of PDR, we propose a Deep Neural Network (DNN)-based technology to distinguish between walking and non-walking signals such as walking in place. Furthermore, in order to integrate PDR with GPS and WiFi signals, a technique is used to select a proper measurement by distinguishing between indoor/outdoor environments based on GPS Dilution of Precision (DOP) information. In addition, we propose a technology to adaptively change the measurement error covariance matrix by detecting measurement outliers that mainly occur in the indoor/outdoor transition section through a residual-based χ2 test. It is verified through experiments on a testbed that these technologies significantly improve the performance of PDR and PDR/GPS/WiFi fingerprinting-based integrated pedestrian navigation.

Hot Spot Detection of Thermal Infrared Image of Photovoltaic Power Station Based on Multi-Task Fusion

  • Xu Han;Xianhao Wang;Chong Chen;Gong Li;Changhao Piao
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • 제19권6호
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    • pp.791-802
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    • 2023
  • The manual inspection of photovoltaic (PV) panels to meet the requirements of inspection work for large-scale PV power plants is challenging. We present a hot spot detection and positioning method to detect hot spots in batches and locate their latitudes and longitudes. First, a network based on the YOLOv3 architecture was utilized to identify hot spots. The innovation is to modify the RU_1 unit in the YOLOv3 model for hot spot detection in the far field of view and add a neural network residual unit for fusion. In addition, because of the misidentification problem in the infrared images of the solar PV panels, the DeepLab v3+ model was adopted to segment the PV panels to filter out the misidentification caused by bright spots on the ground. Finally, the latitude and longitude of the hot spot are calculated according to the geometric positioning method utilizing known information such as the drone's yaw angle, shooting height, and lens field-of-view. The experimental results indicate that the hot spot recognition rate accuracy is above 98%. When keeping the drone 25 m off the ground, the hot spot positioning error is at the decimeter level.