• 제목/요약/키워드: Reservoir parameter

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An Extended Model Evaluation Method under Uncertainty in Hydrologic Modeling

  • Lee, Giha;Youn, Sangkuk;Kim, Yeonsu
    • 한국지반환경공학회 논문집
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.13-25
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes an extended model evaluation method that considers not only the model performance but also the model structure and parameter uncertainties in hydrologic modeling. A simple reservoir model (SFM) and distributed kinematic wave models (KWMSS1 and KWMSS2 using topography from 250-m, 500-m, and 1-km digital elevation models) were developed and assessed by three evaluative criteria for model performance, model structural stability, and parameter identifiability. All the models provided acceptable performance in terms of a global response, but the simpler SFM and KWMSS1 could not accurately represent the local behaviors of hydrographs. Moreover, SFM and KWMSS1 were structurally unstable; their performance was sensitive to the applied objective functions. On the other hand, the most sophisticated model, KWMSS2, performed well, satisfying both global and local behaviors. KMSS2 also showed good structural stability, reproducing hydrographs regardless of the applied objective functions; however, superior parameter identifiability was not guaranteed. A number of parameter sets could result in indistinguishable hydrographs. This result indicates that while making hydrologic models complex increases its performance accuracy and reduces its structural uncertainty, the model is likely to suffer from parameter uncertainty.

CFD 해석을 이용한 롤투롤 슬롯-다이 내부 유동 분석 및 최적화 (Analysis and Optimization on Inside Flows of Fluid in Roll-to-Roll Slot-Die Nozzle by CFD Simulation)

  • 김성용;이창우
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제33권8호
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    • pp.611-616
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    • 2016
  • Computational fluid dynamic simulation based on the ABAQUS software was conducted to observe the inside flow of slot-die nozzle. The slot-die nozzle was modeled as 3-dimensional structure and three significant parameters were determined: inlet velocity of fluid, reservoir angles, number of strips none of which have been mentioned previously in the literature. The design of experiment, full factorial analysis was performed within determined design and process levels. The simulation result shows the inlet fluid velocity is most significant factor for the flows of inside nozzle. As an interaction effect, reservoir angle is closely related with number of strip that should address when the nozzle is designed. Moreover, the optimized values of each determined parameter were obtained as 35 mm/s of inlet velocity, 3 of strip numbers, and $22^{\circ}$ of reservoir angles. Based on these parameters, the outlet velocity was obtained as 0.53% of outlet uniformity which is improved from 8.67% of nominal results.

증발량 추정을 위한 지표면 가용 수분 계수 (On the Surface Moisture Availability Parameters to Estimate the Surface Evaporation)

  • 황병화;황수진
    • 한국환경과학회지
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    • 제4권5호
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    • pp.427-435
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    • 1995
  • In order to discuss the differences among the SMP(Surface Moisture Availability Parameter), by previous researchers on the basis of their own theoretical and empirical background, we assessed the SMP according to the soil types and volumetric soil water contents. The results are as follows. There are differences among all the five SMAPs. There's a tendency that the larger grain size, the higher value of parameters. And they divided into two groups for their value: one group has parameters with exponential function and the other with cosine and linear function. The maximum difference between the two groups appears when the volumetric soil water contents are 0.07m3m-3 for sand, 0.l1m3m-3 for loam, 0.12 for clay, and 0.13m3m-3 for silt loam. So, these differences must be considered when we estimate the surface evaporation rate. From field data, the paddy field soil around Junam reservoir is classified as a silt has high wetness, 0.56. So, the parameter obtained from the field measurement is much higher than that of Clapp and Hornberger(1978)'s Table. This study treated the SMP for a certain point of time in winter season. But if we measured the soil water contents continuously, we could obtain better time-dependent parameter. Key words : SMAP(Surface Moisture Availability Parameter), Paddy field, Volumetric soil water content, Evaporation, Capillary potential.

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임피던스 방법을 이용한 기공율 측정에 대한 연구 (Void Fraction Measurements Using the Impedance Method)

  • 김무환;양훈철;송철화;정문기
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회논문집B
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    • pp.721-727
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    • 2000
  • Impedance method was carried out to design the electrode that can measure the void fraction of the bubbly flow in pool reservoir. To find out the optimum electrode shape, Styrofoam-tests were performed in a specially designed acrylic reservoir. Three kinds of electrodes were designed to compare the characteristics of water-air flow. The resistance was increased as the void fraction increased and the capacitance was decreased as the void fraction increased. The resistance is a main parameter to express the nature of the water-air flow in impedance method. Almost all the values of impedance were involved in resistance. The degree of deviation from the mean-resistance values showed reasonable results. Electrode type-I expressed excellent results among the three electrode shapes. The impedance values in void fraction 0-10% were similar to those of Maxwell's equation. But the impedance values in void fraction 10-20% were not similar to those of Maxwell' equation because of the edge effect near electrode.

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관개저수지의 홍수유입량 예측 (Forecasting the Flood Inflow into Irrigation Reservoir)

  • 문종필;엄민용;박철동;김태얼
    • 한국농공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국농공학회 1999년도 Proceedings of the 1999 Annual Conference The Korean Society of Agricutural Engineers
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    • pp.512-518
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    • 1999
  • Recently rainfall and water evel are monitored via on -line system in real-time bases. We applied the on-line system to get the rainfall and waterlevel data for the development of the real-time flood forecasting model based on SCS method in hourly bases. Main parameters for the model calibration are concentration time of flood and soil moisture condition in the watershed. Other parameters of the model are based on SCS TR-%% and DAWAST model. Simplex method is used for promoting the accuracy of parameter estimation. The basic concept of the model is minimizing the error range between forcasted flood inflow and actual flood inflow, and accurately forecasting the flood discharge some hours in advance depending on the concentration time. The flood forecasting model developed was applied to the Yedang and Topjung reservoir.

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생산 영향인자를 고려한 셰일가스 저류층의 이력검증 및 생산성 평가 연구 (A Study on the History Matching and Assessment of Production Performance in a Shale Gas Reservoir Considering Influenced Parameter for Productivity)

  • 박경식;이정환
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.62-72
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구에서는 캐나다 혼리버(Horn-River) 분지를 대상으로 셰일가스 저류층의 신뢰성 있는 생산성 평가와 미래 생산량 예측을 위한 효율적인 이력검증(history matching) 방법을 제안하였다. 이를 위해 셰일가스 저류층의 물성인자가 생산성에 미치는 영향을 분석하기 위한 민감도 분석을 수행하였으며, 그 결과를 바탕으로 저류층 물성인자를 4가지 case로 분류하여 이력검증의 목적함수로 활용하였다. 이력검증 이후 추가 취득된 약 3년간의 생산 자료를 포함하여 맹검시험(blind test)을 수행한 결과, Case 1(모든 물성인자)은 7.67%, Case 2(생산 영향인자)는 7.13%, Case 3(제어 가능 물성인자)는 17.54%, Case 4(제어 불가능 물성인자)는 10.04%의 생산량 오차율이 나타났다. 이는 이력검증을 수행한 초기 4년간의 생산 자료의 경우에는 모든 물성인자를 고려한 생산예측이 효과적이나, 향후 생산량 예측을 함에 있어 Case 2와 같이 생산성에 대해 민감도가 높은 물성인자를 고려할 때 가장 높은 신뢰도가 나타남을 의미한다. 가장 높은 신뢰도를 갖는 Case 2 모델을 이용해서 예측한 셰일가스 저류층 생산정의 긍극가채매장량은 2030년 12월 기준 약 17.24 Bcf이며, 원시부존량 대비 회수율은 약 32.2%이다.

Acoustic-based estimation of fish stocks in Widas Reservoir, East Java, Indonesia

  • Siti Nurul Aida;Agus Djoko Utomo;Safran Makmur;Tuah Nanda M. Wulandari;Khoirul Fatah;Yosmaniar;Indra Suharman;Ulung Jantama Wisha
    • Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
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    • 제27권4호
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    • pp.240-255
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    • 2024
  • Widas Reservoir is situated in an area of 570 ha in the Pajaran Village, Madiun Regency, East Java Province, Indonesia, playing an essential role in fisheries, with the average fish catch per year of about 283 tons/year. This study explores the standing stock, growth parameters, mortality, and exploitation rates of several dominant fishes in Widas Reservoir. This study was carried out from February to November 2019. Fish stocks were estimated using acoustic tools, fish catch records, and sizes collected by local enumerators. Fish length frequency sampling was conducted on several dominant fish species, such as Oreochromis niloticus, Barbonymus gonionotus, and Osteochilus vittatus. Based on the length-frequency data, estimating fish population dynamics, the fish population dynamics (infinitive length (L) and growth coefficient (K)) estimation was run in a time series using the Fish Sock Analysis Tool, II (FISAT II) program package. Moreover, the estimation of natural mortality parameters, the fishing mortality parameter, and the exploitation rate was also performed. The approximated overall fish stock in the Widas Reservoir was about 79,848 kg, which lowered with the increase in water depth. Of particular concern, in the surface layer at a depth between 1-5 m, the fish stock reached 58,813 kg, while in the deeper zone (> 15 m), the value significantly lowered by about 98%, reaching 1,219 kg. These results indicate an overfishing in the Widas Reservoir. The value of the exploitation rate (E) of B. gonionotus was 0.748, O. niloticus 0.8, and O. vittatus 0.7, respectively, proving the overfishing states occurred in the study area. Therefore, regulations governing the number of catches and the use of fishing gear are crucial in Widas Reservoir, particularly the use of lift and gill nets with a mesh size of less than 2 cm.

GIS를 이용한 관개용 저수지의 토사유실량 산정에 관한 연구 (Assessment of Soil Loss in Irrigation Reservoir based on GIS)

  • 박우식;홍순헌;안창환;최현
    • 한국측량학회지
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    • 제31권6_1호
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    • pp.439-446
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    • 2013
  • 본연구는 관개용 저수지의 토사유실량을 산정하기 위해 GIS를 이용하였다. 토사유실로 인한 재해는 산지녹화사업의 성공으로 인하여 자연적인 토사재해는 급감하고 있으나, 최근의 기상이변에 따른 국지성 호우와 인위적인 개발사업은 토사재해발생의 직접적인 요인으로 작용하여 높은 재해위험도를 나타내고 있다. 이를 방재하기 위하여 다양한 기법과 기술을 사용하여 토사유실에 따른 영향을 예측하고 있으나 토사유실에 따른 재해는 잠재적인 요인과 직접적인 요인의 복잡한 상호작용으로 발생되고 있어 이를 명확하게 규명할 수 있는 예측방법의 신뢰도는 상대적으로 낮은 편이다. 토사유실에 대한 복잡한 상호작용을 명확하게 규명하기 위해서는 대상지역의 지형정보학적 접근이 필수적임으로 본 연구에서는 수치지도와 각종 수문지형인자를 입력매개변수로 하는 GIS을 이용하여 토사유실에 대한 영향을 분석함으로써 관개용 저수지 토사유실에 대한 예측의 신뢰도를 높일 수 있는 방안을 마련하는데 그 목적이 있다.

Modelling of dissolved oxygen (DO) in a reservoir using artificial neural networks: Amir Kabir Reservoir, Iran

  • Asadollahfardi, Gholamreza;Aria, Shiva Homayoun;Abaei, Mehrdad
    • Advances in environmental research
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    • 제5권3호
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    • pp.153-167
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    • 2016
  • We applied multilayer perceptron (MLP) and radial basis function (RBF) neural network in upstream and downstream water quality stations of the Karaj Reservoir in Iran. For both neural networks, inputs were pH, turbidity, temperature, chlorophyll-a, biochemical oxygen demand (BOD) and nitrate, and the output was dissolved oxygen (DO). We used an MLP neural network with two hidden layers, for upstream station 15 and 33 neurons in the first and second layers respectively, and for the downstream station, 16 and 21 neurons in the first and second hidden layer were used which had minimum amount of errors. For learning process 6-fold cross validation were applied to avoid over fitting. The best results acquired from RBF model, in which the mean bias error (MBE) and root mean squared error (RMSE) were 0.063 and 0.10 for the upstream station. The MBE and RSME were 0.0126 and 0.099 for the downstream station. The coefficient of determination ($R^2$) between the observed data and the predicted data for upstream and downstream stations in the MLP was 0.801 and 0.904, respectively, and in the RBF network were 0.962 and 0.97, respectively. The MLP neural network had acceptable results; however, the results of RBF network were more accurate. A sensitivity analysis for the MLP neural network indicated that temperature was the first parameter, pH the second and nitrate was the last factor affecting the prediction of DO concentrations. The results proved the workability and accuracy of the RBF model in the prediction of the DO.

Experimental evaluation of crack effects on the dynamic characteristics of a prototype arch dam using ambient vibration tests

  • Sevim, Baris;Altunisik, Ahmet Can;Bayraktar, Alemdar
    • Computers and Concrete
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    • 제10권3호
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    • pp.277-294
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    • 2012
  • The aim of the study is to determine the modal parameters of a prototype damaged arch dam by operational modal analysis (OMA) method for some damage scenarios. For this purpose, a prototype arch dam-reservoir-foundation model is constructed under laboratory conditions. Ambient vibration tests on the arch dam model are performed to identify the modal parameters such as natural frequency, mode shape and damping ratio. The tests are conducted for four test-case scenarios: an undamaged dam with empty reservoir, two different damaged dams with empty reservoirs, and a damaged dam with full reservoir. Loading simulating random impact effects is applied on the dam to crack. Cracks and fractures occurred at the middle of the upper part of the dams and distributed through the abutments. Sensitivity accelerometers are placed on the dams' crests to collect signals for measurements. Operational modal analysis software processes the signals collected from the ambient vibration tests, and enhanced frequency domain decomposition and stochastic subspace identification techniques are used to estimate modal parameters of the dams. The modal parameters are obtained to establish a basis for comparison of the results of two techniques for each damage case. Results show that approximately 35-40% difference exists between the natural frequencies obtained from Case 1 and Case 4. The natural frequencies of the dam considerably decrease with increasing cracks. However, observation shows that the filled reservoir slightly affected modal parameters of the dam after severe cracking. The mode shapes obtained are symmetrical and anti-symmetrical. Apparently, mode shapes in Case 1 represent the probable responses of arch dams more accurately. Also, damping ratio show an increase when cracking increases.