• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2008년도 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.694-698
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• 2008

In hydrology, it is a difficult task to deal with multivariate time series such as modeling streamflows of an entire complex river system. Normal distribution based model such as MARMA (Multivariate Autorgressive Moving average) has been a major approach for modeling the multivariate time series. There are some limitations for the normal based models. One of them might be the unfavorable data-transformation forcing that the data follow the normal distribution. Furthermore, the high dimension multivariate model requires the very large parameter matrix. As an alternative, one might be decomposing the multivariate data into independent components and modeling it individually. In 1985, Lins used Principal Component Analysis (PCA). The five scores, the decomposed data from the original data, were taken and were formulated individually. The one of the five scores were modeled with AR-2 while the others are modeled with AR-1 model. From the time series analysis using the scores of the five components, he noted "principal component time series might provide a relatively simple and meaningful alternative to conventional large MARMA models". This study is inspired from the researcher's quote to develop a multivariate simulation model. The multivariate simulation model is suggested here using Principal Component Analysis (PCA) and Independent Component Analysis (ICA). Three modeling step is applied for simulation. (1) PCA is used to decompose the correlated multivariate data into the uncorrelated data while ICA decomposes the data into independent components. Here, the autocorrelation structure of the decomposed data is still dominant, which is inherited from the data of the original domain. (2) Each component is resampled by block bootstrapping or K-nearest neighbor. (3) The resampled components bring back to original domain. From using the suggested approach one might expect that a) the simulated data are different with the historical data, b) no data transformation is required (in case of ICA), c) a complex system can be decomposed into independent component and modeled individually. The model with PCA and ICA are compared with the various statistics such as the basic statistics (mean, standard deviation, skewness, autocorrelation), and reservoir-related statistics, kernel density estimate.

• 한국물환경학회지
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• 제20권2호
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• pp.132-144
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• 2004

The purpose of this study was to evaluate alternatives for stable operation of WWTP(Wastewater Treatment Plant) with a higher rate of inflows and a higher concentration of pollutants during wet weather to minimize the pollution loads being discharged into receiving waters. 3Q(Q: dry weather flow) of a base flow is normally intercepted and flows into WWTP as it was current practice. It is revealed by simulation that the bypassing alternative of 1Q through secondary treatment and 2Q into the stream after primary treatment was as good as it is expected. The bypass pollution loads were in the range of 23.9 ~ 38.5 % of the total loads flowing into the WWTP indicating that the bypassed flows need an extra treatment such as stormwater detention reservoir, high-rate coagulation with sedimentation, and step-feed. The high-rate coagulation with sedimentation was the most effective with respect to removal of the pollution loads.

• 대한토목학회논문집
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• 제8권1호
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• pp.49-60
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• 1988

낙동강 수계의 남강(南江)-안동(安東)댐군(群)을 하나의(가상적) 시스템으로 간주하여 홍수시 두 댐 하류의 합류점에서의 최대 유량을 최소로하기 위한 min-max IDP(Incremental Dynamic Programming) 모델을 수립하였다. 200년 반도의 예촉유입홍수량에 대하여 분석한 결과, 단일댐운영 방식에 의한 홍수조절보다 댐군(群)을 시스템적 관점에서 최적화 과정에 의한 홍수조절(洪水調節)을 하는 것이 효율적임을 수치적으로 입증하였다.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2009년도 학술발표회 초록집
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• pp.924-928
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• 2009

국내의 다목적댐 저수지는 물이 흐르는 하천에 용수공급, 홍수조절 및 수력발전을 위해 만든 구조물로 형성된 저류상태를 의미한다. 이러한 수체의 유동에 영향을 미치는 가장 중요한 요소로는 유입수와 저수지에서 하천으로 방류되는 방류수이므로 본 연구에서는 유입수와 방류수에 의한 수체의 유동만을 고려하였다. 대상지는 용담댐 유역중 취수탑이 있는 지점으로 길이는 약 1,250m이고 폭은 평균 375m 정도의 크기를 갖고 있는 지형이다. 대상 지역에서 저수지 수체의 흐름특성을 평가하기 위해 SMS-RMA2 모형을 적용하였으며 용담댐 저수지 구역에 대한 1m 간격의 등고선을 가지고 대상지역에 대하여 격자를 구성하였다. 격자 크기는 평균 길이 방향으로 43m, 폭 방향으로 15m 크기로 구성하였으며 유속이 상대적으로 빠른 취수탑 부근은 좀더 세밀하게 구성하였다. 4년간 수문자료를 분석하여 이 지역의 흐름을 년중 크게 3가지로 구분하였다. 수체거동이 급변하는 여름 강우기 후에 저수지에 물이 풍부한 경우의 흐름, 봄철 저수지 물이 풍부하지 않은 상태에서 주자천으로 부터의 유입은 최하인 상태의 경우 그리고 강우기에 짧은 기간 나타나는 주자천 위주 흐름의 경우로 구분하여 모의하였다. 각각의 경우 전체적인 흐름장은 확연히 다르게 나타났으며 이런 결과로 볼 때 수체의 흐름은 상하류의 유입량 변화에 따라 항상 흐름은 변화하는 것으로 평가되었으나, 저수지 수체의 흐름 속도는 모두 0.05$^{\sim}$1.5cm/sec 정도로 모의된 것은 수체적 대비 방류량이 적어서 나타나는 현상으로 평가되었다.

• 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국신재생에너지학회 2006년도 추계학술대회
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• pp.32-35
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• 2006

The validation of a groundwater source heat pump system installation site is estimated by bydrogeothermic model ing. The hydraulic characteristics of the aquifer system is evaluated from pumping and recovery tests. In addition, the temperature distribution by the pumping and the injection of groundwater, and water level fluctuations are simulated by numerical modeling. The total cooling and heating load for the building is designed as 120RT(refrigeration ton) and the ground water source heat pump system covers 50RT as a subsidiary system The scenario of heat pump operation is organized as pumping and inject ion of groundwater that is performed for 8 hours per day in cooling mode for 90 days during the summer season The heat transfer by the injected warm water is limited near the inject ion wells in the simulated temperature distribution. The reason is that the given operation time is too short to expect broad thermal diffusion in large volume of the aquifer in the simulation time The simulated groundwater level and temperature distribution can be used as important data to develope an energy effective pumping and injection well system. Also it will be very useful to evaluate the hydraulic capacity of a target groundwater reservoir.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제68권1호
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• pp.95-101
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• 2018

The low rate of penetration and short lifetime of drilling bit served as the most common problems encountered in hard formation drilling, thus leading to severe restriction of drilling efficiency in oil and gas reservoir. This study developed a new local impact drilling method to enhance hard formation drilling efficiency. The limitation length formulas of radial/lateral cracks under static indentation and dynamic impact are derived based on the experimental research of Marshall D.B considering the mud column pressure and confining pressure. The local impact rock breaking simulation model is conducted to investigate its ROP raising effect. The results demonstrate that the length of radial/lateral cracks will increase as the decrease of mud pressure and confining pressure, and the local impact can result in a damage zone round the impact crater which helps the rock cutting, thus leading to the ROP increase. The numerical results also demonstrate the advantages of local impact method for raising ROP and the vibration reduction of bit in hard formation drilling. This study has shown that the local impact method can help raising the ROP and vibration reduction of bit, and it may be applied in drilling engineering.

• 한국농공학회논문집
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• 제48권2호
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• pp.45-55
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• 2006

This study analyze the hydrologic conditions and the effects of selected runoff characteristics as an attempt to estimate the optimal dredge amount for Asan Lake in Korea. The runoff feature was calculated by utilizing the water balance simulation from DIROM (Daily Irrigation Reservoir Operation Model), which allowed changes in landuse to be quantified using remote sensing for 14 years. The distribution of prospective sediment deposits was been tallied based on the changes in landuse, and quantity of incoming sediment estimated. From these findings, we were then able to simulate the fluctuation of water level, gauging the pumping days not already in use, to determine the frequency of the distribution for around the. requirement annual water storage and the changing water level. The optimal dredge amount was calculated on the basis of the distribution of frequency, taking into account the design criteria for agricultural water with the 10-year frequency of resistant capacity.

• Water Engineering Research
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• 제5권2호
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• pp.101-109
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• 2004

Aggregating information by combining forecasts from two or more forecasting methods is an alternative to using forecasts from just a single method to improve forecast accuracy. This paper describes the development and use of a monthly inflow forecast model based on an optimal linear combination (OLC) of forecasts derived from naive, persistence, and Ensemble Streamflow Prediction (ESP) forecasts. Using the cross-validation technique, the OLC model made 1-month ahead probabilistic forecasts for the Chungju multi-purpose dam inflows for 15 years. For most of the verification months, the skill associated with the OLC forecast was superior to those drawn from the individual forecast techniques. Therefore this study demonstrates that OLC can improve the accuracy of the ESP forecast, especially during the dry season. This study also examined the value of the OLC forecasts in reservoir operations. Stochastic Dynamic Programming (SDP) derived the optimal operating policy for the Chungju multi-purpose dam operation and the derived policy was simulated using the 15-year observed inflows. The simulation results showed the SDP model that updated its probability from the new OLC forecast provided more efficient operation decisions than the conventional SDP model.

• 대한설비공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한설비공학회 2009년도 하계학술발표대회 논문집
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• pp.172-176
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• 2009

We developed a program, "CogenSim-$\mu$," to simulate the operation of micro-combined heat and power (${\mu}CHP$) system. The CogenSim-$\mu$ can reflect the variation of energy efficiency by handling the real-time loads (heat and power) fluctuation. The result obtained using this program was compared with the real operation of 30 kWe gas engine driven ${\mu}CHP$. It was found that the CogenSim-$\mu$ could predict the amount of generated-power, recovered-heat and consumed-fuel with the error less than 3%, and heat and power efficiency with the error less than 4%. The CogenSim-$\mu$ reconstructed the profile of on-off cycle, which represented the operation of a facility, with more than 93% accuracy. The CogenSim-$\mu$ can reflect the effects of various factors such as size of thermal storage tank, desired temperature of reservoir water, natural frequency of generator, etc. As a result, the CogenSim-$\mu$ can be used to optimize the ${\mu}CHP$ operation.

• 한국지구물리탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국지구물리탐사학회 2003년도 Proceedings of the international symposium on the fusion technology
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• pp.684-689
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• 2003

One field identified by an inverse method is one of multiple candidate solutions those are independently obtained through a specific estimation technique. While averaging of optimized fields can provide a better description of the spatial feature of an unknown field, it deteriorates the flow and transport characteristics of the optimized fields. As a result, the averaged field is not suited for modeling aquifer performances. Based on genetic algorithm, an optimal field synthesis technique is developed, which combines diversely optimized fields into a refined group of fields. Each field in the population is paired, and a sub-region of each field is exchanged by crossover operation to create a group of synthesized fields of enhanced modeling capability. The population of the fields is evolved till the synthesized fields become sufficiently similar. Applications of the optimal field synthesis to synthetic cases indicate that the objective functions of the fields assessing the modeling capabilities are further reduced after the optimal field synthesis. The identified fields from various inverse techniques may yield a range of modeling results under varied flow situations. The uncertainty is narrowed down through the optimal field synthesis and the associated modeling results converge on that of the reference field. The developed inverse modeling facilitates the construction of a reliable simulation model and hence trustworthy predictions of the future performances.