• Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.25-30
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• 2013

In this work, we investigate the statistical properties of gamma exposure rates using well-known analysis methods, such as Autocorrelation Function Analysis(ACF), Rescaled Range Analysis(R/S Analysis), and Detrended Fluctuation Analysis(DFA). Especially, DFA is an important method to reliably detect long-range correlations in non-stationary time series. Our data are measured by Gangneung regional radiation monitoring station over the period of 1998 to 2011. First, we find a crossover indicating two different governing regimes in fluctuations of gamma exposure rates. Within a year, they show a strong long-ranged memory while this property vanishes over the range of time period longer than one year. Second, our finding is very securely supported by a variety of analysis tools. Those tools yield many relevant exponents which satisfies the well known relation between them.

• Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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• v.47 no.7
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• pp.37-45
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• 2005

In this study, R/S analysis which was proposed by Mandelbrot & Wallis (1969) was applied to evaluate the presence of the fractal property in the cone tip resistance of in-situ CPT data. Hurst exponents (H) were evaluated in the range of 0.660$\sim$0.990 and the average was 0.875. It was confirmed that a cone tip resistance data had the characteristic of fractals and it was expected that cone tip resistance data sets are well approximated by a fBm process with an Hurst exponent near 0.875. It was also observed that the boundary between layers were obviously identified as a result of R/S analysis and it will be usage in practices.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business
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• v.11 no.4
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• pp.255-269
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• 2020

Purpose - This paper analyzes the market efficiency focusing on the long memory properties of the domestic futures market. By decomposing futures prices into yield and volatility and looking at the long memory properties of the time series, this study aims to understand the futures market pricing and change behavior and risks, specifically and in detail. Design/methodology/approach - This study analyzes KOSPI 200 futures, KOSDAQ 150 futures, 3 and 10-year government bond futures, US dollar futures, yen futures, and euro futures, which are among the most actively traded on the Korea Exchange. To analyze the long memory and market efficiency, we used the Variance Ratio, Rescaled-Range(R/S), Geweke and Porter-Hudak(GPH) tests as semi- parametric methods, and ARFIMA-FIGARCH model as the parametric method. Findings - It was found that all seven futures supported the efficiency market hypothesis because the property of long memory turned out not to exist in their yield curves. On the other hand, in futures volatility, all 7 futures showed long memory properties in the analysis, which means that if new information is generated in the domestic futures market and the market volatility once expanded due to the impact, it does not decrease or shrink for a long period of time, but continues to affect the volatility. Research implications or Originality - The results of this paper suggest that it can be useful information for predicting changes and risks of volatility in the domestic futures market. In particular, it was found that the long memory properties would be further strengthened in the currency futures and bond rate futures markets after the global financial crisis if the regime changes of the domestic financial market are taken into account in the analysis.

• Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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• v.31 no.4
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• pp.19-29
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• 2015

Nowadays, the importance of the information management of construction sites to achieve the goal of safety construction. This management uses the collaborated analysis of in-situ monitoring data and numerical analysis, especially of an earth retaining structures of excavation sites. In this paper, the fractal theory was applied to actually monitored data from various excavation sites to develop the alternative interpolation technique which could predict the displacement behavior of unknown location around the monitoring locations and the future behavior of the monitoring locations with the steps of excavation. Data, mainly from inclinometer, were collected from various sites where retaining structures were collapsed during construction period, as well as from normal sites with the characteristics of geology, excavation method etc. In the analyses, Hurst exponent (H) was estimated with monitored periods using the Rescaled range analysis (R/S analysis) method applying the H in simulation processes. As the results of the analyses, Hurst exponents were ranged from 0.7 to 0.9 and showed the positive correlation of H > 1/2. The simulation processes, then, with the Hurst exponent estimated by Rescaled range analysis method showed reliable results. In addition, it was also expected that the variation of Hurst exponents with the monitoring period could instruct the abnormal behavior of an earth retaining structures to directors or operators. Therefore it was concluded that fractal theory could be applied for predicting the lateral displacement of unknown location and the future behavior of an earth retaining structures to manage the safety of construction sites during excavation period.

• Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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• 2018.05a
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• pp.20-20
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• 2018

다년동안 지속되는 가뭄현상이 빈번하게 발생하고 있지만, 우리나라에서는 지금까지 장기 가뭄보다 단기 가뭄에 초점을 맞춰 연구가 진행되어 왔다. 다년 가뭄을 반영하지 않고 댐의 저수용량을 평가할 경우, 저수용량이 과소평가될 수 있기 때문에 다년간의 가뭄을 반영한 시계열 모형을 통해 다양한 시나리오를 생성하고 분석해야 한다. 본 연구에서는 2015년부터 2017년까지 장기 가뭄이 발생한 보령댐의 1998년-2017년까지의 관측 월평균 유입량 자료를 바탕으로 Autoregressive Moving Average(ARMA)시계열 모형과 Hurst Coefficient를 추가하여 장기지속성을 반영하도록 개발된 시계열 모형인 Autoregressive Fractionally Integreated Moving Average(ARFIMA)를 사용하여 보령댐 500년 기간의 유입량 자료를 생성하였다. Hurst Coefficient는 Hurst가 제안한 Rescaled Range(R/S)방법 외에도 경험식, 이론식을 모두 사용하여 산정하였다. 생성된 자료가 관측 자료의 장기지속성을 잘 반영하는지에 대한 검증을 위해 관측자료의 누적유입량으로부터 선형 이동평균방법을 사용하여 가뭄기준을 산정하고, 생성한 유입량 자료가 장기가뭄을 반영하고 있는지 판단하였다. 그 결과 가뭄의 장기지속성을 잘 반영하는 시계열 모형을 선정하였으며, 향후 연구를 통해 미래 기후변화 시나리오를 반영한 장기가뭄 분석을 수행할 예정이다.

• Wind and Structures
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• v.37 no.3
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• pp.179-189
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• 2023

Multiple studies conducted in the past evaluated the conductor response under one tornado wind field, while the performance of transmission lines under different tornado wind fields still remains unknown. Thus, the objective of this paper is to estimate the variation in the conductor's critical longitudinal and transverse reactions under different tornado wind fields, as well as providing the corresponding critical tornado configurations. The considered full-scale tornadoes are the Spencer, South Dakota, 1998, the Stockton, Kansas, 2005 and the Goshen County, Wyoming, 2009. Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD) simulations were previously conducted to develop these wind fields. All tornadoes have been rescaled to have a common velocity matching the upper limit of the F2 Fujita scale. Eight conductor systems, each including six spans, are considered in this paper. For each conductor, parametric studies are conducted by varying the location of the three tornado wind fields relative to the tower of interest, therefore the peak reactions associated with each tornado are determined. A semi-analytical closed-form solution, previously developed and validated, is used to calculate the reactions. The study conducted in this paper can be divided into two parts: In the first part, a parametric study considering a wide range of tornado locations is conducted. In the second part, the parametric study focuses on the tornado location leading to the critical tangential velocity on the tower. Based on this extensive parametric study, a critical tornado defined as the Design Tornado and its critical locations, tornado distance R = 125 m, tornado angle 𝜃 = 15° and 30°, are recommended for design purposes.

• Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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• v.9 no.2
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• pp.15-21
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• 2014

The long memory properties of the hedge ratio for stock and futures have not been systematically investigated by the extant literature. To investigate hedge ratio' long memory, this paper employs a data set including KOSPI200 and S&P500. Coakley, Dollery, and Kellard(2008) employ a data set including a stock index and commodities foreign exchange, and suggested the S&P500 to be a fractionally integrated process. This paper firstly estimates hedge ratios with two dynamic models, BEKK(Bollerslev, Engle, Kroner, and Kraft) and diagonal-BEKK, and tests the long memory of hedge ratios with Geweke and Porter-Hudak(1983)(henceforth GPH) and Lo's modified rescaled adjusted range test by Lo(1991). In empirical results, two hedge ratios based on KOSPI200 and S&P500 show considerably significant long memory behaviours. Thus, such results show the hedge ratios to be stationary and strongly reject the random walk hypothesis on hedge ratios, which violates the efficient market hypothesis.