• 제목/요약/키워드: Representativeness Heuristic

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Discontinuity of Representativeness Heuristic

  • 이호창
    • 경영과학
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    • 제16권1호
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 1999
  • The individual behavior on considering prior information when one assesses the probability of uncertain event by representativeness heuristic has been investigated. While prior researches proposed two contrasting behaviors on the employment, we tested the mixed hypothesis that individual ignores the prior information to some extents and begins to consider it above certain threshold when the evidence of representativeness is not salient. The threshold effect of prior probability is positively experimented and the results strongly support the discontinuity hypothesis of representativeness heuristic.

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국내 주식시장에서 대표성 어림짐작을 이용한 자산성장요인의 수익률 특성에 관한 연구 (Analyzing Asset Growth Factors in the Korean Stock Market: A Representativeness Heuristics Approach)

  • 이정환;손삼호;박수규
    • 아태비즈니스연구
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.431-448
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    • 2024
  • Purpose - This study aims to explore the return characteristics of asset growth factors in the Korean stock marekt by employing the representativeness heuristic-a behavioral bias originally identified by Kahneman and Tversky(1972). Design/methodology/approach - Our empirical analysis, based on Korean stock market data from 2004 to 2023, compared the conditional probability of high asset growth companies achieving elevated returns to the overall probability. This assessment helps gauge the representativeness of potential 'future Google' companies. Additionally, we use regression models to explore investor behavior and market anomalies in the stock returns. Findings - The findings suggest that when dividing the sample period into phases with high and low representativeness measures, biases significantly impact asset growth factors. Specifically, during high representativeness preiods, stock price reversals were absent among high asset growth companies. Conversely, during low representativeness periods, stock price drifts become evident. Research implications or Originality - This research contributes to the field of behavioral finance by providing empirical evidence of the impact of cognitive biases on asset growth and stock returns in an emerging market like Korea. It highlights the need for investors and policymakers to consider psychological factors when analyzing market behaviors, potentially leading to more informed investment strategies and regulatory frameworks.

A Test of the Underlying Processes of the Price-Induced Quality Perception

  • Suk, Kwan-Ho
    • 마케팅과학연구
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    • 제18권2호
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    • pp.47-64
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    • 2008
  • It is well known that consumer's quality perception is strongly affected by price. Higher priced products tend to be perceived to have better quality than lower priced products although the objective product quality is the same. However, it is less known the process through which quality perception is affected by price cues. The existing literature suggests three potential hypotheses (i.e., the selectiveprocessing hypothesis, the selective interpretation hypothesis, and the representativeness heuristic hypothesis) that explain the underlying processes of the price-induced quality perception. The current research tests among the three competing hypotheses and also examines the role of consumer knowledge as a moderating factor. An experiment was conducted to test the moderating role of the knowledge in the price-quality relationship and to investigate the underlying process. The results indicate that theinfluence of price on perceived quality differs between novices and experts. Expert consumers' quality perception is not significantly influenced by price and this finding is consistent with the extant literature. On the other hand, novice consumers' quality perception is affected by price and the tests on the underlying process support for the representativeness heuristic hypothesis. Novice consumers assess that a high-priced brand should have good product quality due to the belief that high (low) price brands represent better (worse) brand quality and such a representativeness heuristic occurs without involving selective attention or selective interpretation price-consistent information.

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양파와 마늘 농가의 행동경제학적 영농 의사결정 과정에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Farming Decision-making Process of Onion and Garlic Farmers by the Perspective of Behavioral Economics)

  • 이수미;김호
    • 한국유기농업학회지
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.25-37
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    • 2024
  • This study is to apply behavioral economics-an economics that studies actual human behavior based on cognitive psychology-to the farming decision-making process of onion and garlic farmers. Of behavioral economic theories, dual system theory and prospect theory (value function), heuristic and bias were surveyed and examined in the field. The reference point of farmers was farming experience of the previous year, and so they showed reference dependence and anchoring heuristic, not rational thinking on production cost plan. And they showed status quo bias that cultivated continuously the previous year or the present crop. This status quo bias is related to loss aversion propensity. Farmers did not usually change cultivating crops, in other words, they showed diminishing sensitivity-insensitive to those that the more revenue or loss was increased. This diminishing sensitivity is related to loss aversion propensity and status quo bias. Also, farmers had representativeness heuristic because they regarded auction price of Garakdong wholesale market as the standard price level despite various prices by production region. And farmers had the affect heuristic that they depended on producers' organization data more than the state-run research institute ones about cultivation intentions and actual situations.

모바일 소셜커머스에서 휴리스틱 유형이 구매의도에 미치는 영향 : 쇼핑가치의 매개효과를 중심으로 (Effects of Heuristic Type on Purchase Intention in Mobile Social Commerce : Focusing on the Mediating Effect of Shopping Value)

  • 김진권;양회창
    • 유통과학연구
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    • 제17권10호
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    • pp.73-81
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    • 2019
  • Purpose - The purpose of this study was to examine the effect of the heuristic type of consumers affecting purchase decision making and the intention of shopping value in their relationship to derive mobile social commerce purchase promotion plans. Research design, data, and methodology - A research model was constructed to relate the mediating effect of shopping value between heuristic types and purchase intentions. A total of 233 valid questionnaires were used for analysis for users using mobile social commerce. The statistical program used SPSS 24.0 and AMOS 24.0, and correlation analysis, regression analysis, and 3-step parametric regression analysis were used for the analysis. Results - The results of the analysis showed that representativeness heuristics, availability heuristics, adjustment heuristics, and affect heuristics had a statistically significant effect on the utilitarian value and the hedonic value. On the other hand, affect heuristics among the heuristic types were found to have the greatest influence not only on the utilitarian value but also on the hedonic value. The two types of shopping value were found to be partially mediated between representativeness heuristics and purchase intentions, between adjustment heuristics and purchase intentions, and fully mediated between availability heuristics and purchase intentions, affect heuristics and purchase intentions. Conclusions - These findings suggest that mobile social commerce companies should check in advance how consumer heuristic types affect purchase intentions. In particular, affect heuristics are caused by consumers' emotional mood such as mood or external stimulus being more important to decision making than rational decision making. Therefore, the result of this study suggests that it can be an important factor to secure the competitiveness that the potential customers who access to use mobile social commerce can feel enough fun and enjoyment in the platform provided by the company. It is also worth paying attention to the utilitarian and hedonic values perceived by consumers. This is because the judgment regarding the economic, convenience and important information provided by the mobile social commerce users affects the purchase intention through the trust of the information, past use, and shopping experience displayed on the mobile social commerce platform.

가상적인 재판 쟁점에서의 현역판사의 판단과 모의배심의 집단판단에 대한 인지적 방략의 효과 (Effects of Cognitive Heuristics on the Decisions of Actual Judges and Mock Jury Groups for Simulated Trial Issues)

  • 박광배;김상준;한미영
    • 한국심리학회지 : 문화 및 사회문제
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.59-84
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    • 2005
  • 보통 사람들이 보이는 인지적 방략(cognitive heuristic)인 정박 방략(anchoring heuristic), 대표성 방략(representativeness heuristic), 그리고 사고 틀 효과(framing effect)가 고도의 판단 전문가인 현역 판사들의 의사결정 과정과 대학생들로 구성된 집단의 의사결정 과정에서도 발견되는지를 알아보기 위해 세 개의 연구가 수행되었다. 연구1에서는 한국의 법률상황에 맞는 시나리오를 구성하여, 전문영역에서 많은 경험과 정형화된 훈련을 통해 증거를 평가하는 고도의 판단 전문가인 158명의 현역판사들의 의사결정 과정에서도 이러한 인지적 방략이 발견되는지를 알아보고자 하였다. 연구 2에서는 토의과정을 거쳐서 만장일치에 의해 도출되는 집단적 판단에서도 인지적 방략의 효과가 발생할 것인가를 검증해 보고자 하였다. 연구 3에서는 연구 2의 집단판단에 관한 결과를 보다 명확히 해석하기 위한 목적으로 일반인들의 개인판단을 알아보았다. 연구 1의 결과, 현역 판사들의 판단에서는 '저 정박점'에 의한 정박 방략 효과가 강하게 나타나는 것이 확인되었으나, '고 정박점'에 의한 정박 방략 효과는 나타나지 않았다. 사고 틀 효과는 전혀 발견되지 않았으며, 판사들의 사후확률 추론은 조건확률보다는 사전확률에 의해 더 크게 영향을 받는 것으로 나타났다. 연구 2와 연구3의 결과에 따르면, 정방 방략 효과는 개인판단과 집단판단에서 모두 나타났으나, 개인판단보다 집단판단에서 더 크게 나타났다. 사고 틀 효과는 개인판단에서 부분적으로 나타났으나, 집단판단에서는 전혀 나타나지 않았다. 대표성 방략 효과는 현역판사의 판단과 모의배심 판단에서 모두 발견되지 않았다. 각 연구의 결과가 사법제도에 대하여 가지는 시사점이 논의되었다.

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