• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• 제13권4호
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• pp.229-239
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• 2013

This paper reports a manner to use a Bayesian approach to derive the optimal replacement policy. In order to produce a system with minimal repair warranty, a replacement model with the extended warranty is considered. Within the warranty period, the failed system is minimally repaired by the manufacturer at no cost to the end-user. The failure time is assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with unknown parameters. The expected cost rate per unit time, from the end-user's viewpoints, is induced by the Bayesian approach, and the optimal replacement policy to minimize the cost rate is proposed. Finally, a numerical example illustrating to derive the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach is described.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• 제22권6호
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• pp.951-959
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• 1989

Between September, 1972 and September, 1989, total 359 patients were operated for acquired heart disease at Department of Thoracic and Cardiovascular Surgery, Hanyang University Hospital. A consecutive series of 293 prosthetic valve replacement was also performed during this period. The results were summarized as follows; 1. There were 141 men and 218 women, whose ages ranged from 6 to 64 years, [mean 35.5 years] 2. Out of 293 cases, mitral valve replacement was 182 cases, aortic valve replacement was 39 cases and double valve replacement was70 cases. 3. Early post-operative death was 30 cases [Mortality; 8.4 %] and late death was 9 cases in the survivors. 4. Re-operation was 30 cases and operative mortality was 10%. 5. Mean post-operative interval was 76 months. [Ranged from 216 months to 2 months] 6. Among re-operation cases, primary prosthetic valve failure was 16 cases and paravalvular leakage was 2 cases. 7. Since January 1988, 79 cases of prosthetic valve replacement were performed and then 1 case was expired. [Mortality; 1.2 %]

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• 제33권2호
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• pp.160-166
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• 2000

Background: The purpose of this study is to evaluate and analyze the surgical results in patients undergoing operations for multiple for multiple valvular heart diseases. Material and method: From April 1982 to June 1997 multiple valve replacement was performed in 150 patients mitral and aortic valve replacement were done in 135 patients mitral and tricuspid valve replacements in 10 patients triple replacements in 4 patients and aortic and tricuspid valve replacement in 1 patient. Of the valves implanted 157 were St. Jude 104 Duromedics 20 Carpenter-Edwards 6 Bjork-Shiley 6 Ionescu-Shiley and 2 Medtronics. Result: The hospital mortality rate was 10.7% (16/150) and the late mortality rate was 7.2% (8/134) The mortality rate was high in early operative period but decreased with time. The causes of death were low cardiac output in 9 sudden death in 3 congestive heart failure in 3 bleeding in 2 cerebral thrombosis in 1 leukemia in 1 multiorgan failure in 1 and so on . The actuarial survival rate excluding operative death was 83.1% at 15 years. Conclusion: With a follow-up now extending to 15 years the multiple valve replacement continues to be reliable procedure with relatively low mortality and morbidity.

• Journal of Korean Tunnelling and Underground Space Association
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.641-656
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• 2019

In this study, a machine learning method was proposed to use in predicting optimal replacement period of shield TBM (Tunnel Boring Machine) disc cutter. To do this, a large dataset of ground condition, disc cutter replacement records and TBM excavation-related data, collected from a shield TBM tunnel site in Korea, was built and they were used to construct a disc cutter replacement period prediction model using a machine learning algorithm, SVM (Support Vector Machine) and to assess the performance of the model. The results showed that the performance of RBF (Radial Basis Function) SVM is the best among a total of three SVM classification functions (80% accuracy and 10% error rate on average). When compared between ground types, the more disc cutter replacement data existed, the better prediction results were obtained. From this results, it is expected that machine learning methods become very popularly used in practice in near future as more data is accumulated and the machine learning models continue to be fine-tuned.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제21권5호
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• pp.873-882
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• 2010

This paper considers a Bayesian approach to replacement policy following the expiration of non-renewing combination warranty. The non-renewing combination warranty is the combination of the non-renewing free replacement warranty and the non-renewing pro-rata replacement warranty. We use the criterion based on the expected cost and the expected downtime to determine the optimal replacement period. To do so, we obtain the expected cost rate per unit time and the expected downtime per unit time, respectively. When the failure times are assumed to follow a Weibull distribution with uncertain parameters, we propose the optimal replacement policy based on the Bayesian approach. The overall value function suggested by Jiang and Ji (2002) is utilized to determine the optimal replacement period. Also, the numerical examples are presented for illustrative purpose.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• 제25권6호
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• pp.1315-1331
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• 2014

Replacement rates which shows the ratio of retirement income relative to preretirement income is used for a valuable evaluation measures while discussing social security benefit levels or the adequacy of retirement income. However, replacement rates has been only used for an index for evaluating benefit level at the time of retirement or specific retirement period in advanced research projects. This article analyzes how much the uncertainty of survival has an influence on retirement income, and shows replacement rates in conformity with the period of survival as an index. The researchers named this index lifetime income replacement rates. Analysis based on this index shows both life replacement income rates of 38.3% in men's case and of 41.1% in women's case while enrolled for 20years in three pension plans - national pension, retirement pension and individual annuity.

• Journal of Chest Surgery
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• 제14권4호
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• pp.369-380
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• 1981

In this department 504 cases of valve replacement were done since 1968 to the end of October 1981. Since October 31, 1978 to the end of October 1981 ,333 Ionescu-Shiley bovine pericardial xenograft bioprosthetic cardiac valves were replaced in 265 patients. There were 149 males and 116 female. Ages ranged from 2 to 63 years with 25 cases under 15 years of age. Among 265 cases of Ionescu valve replacement there were 157 MVR, 36 VAR, 6 TVR, 45 MVR+ AVR, 16 MVR+TVR and 5 MVR+AVR+TVR cases with mortality of 5.7%, 8.3%, 16.7%, 8.9%, 18.8% and 20% for each group respectively. Over all mortality rate in 265 Ionescu valve replacement cases was 7.9% with 21 total deaths. Main causes of operative deaths were due to LCOS in 7, bleeding in 5, arrhythmia in 3, air embolism in 2,and heart block in 2 cases. There were 12 late complications with 6 deaths. Over all long-term survival rate was 89.8%. MVR showed the highest long-term survival rate with 92.4%, and MVR+AVR+TVR the lower with 80% lower with 80%.Average follow-up period was 14 month duration. Twenty five congenital anomaly cases were operated with Ionescu-valve replacement that consisted of 7 VSD+AI, and 5 Ebstein anomaly cases with over all operative mortality of 16% and late mortality of 14.3% among 21 operative survivors. There were 25 Ionescu valve replacement cases in pediatric patients under the age of 15 years, with 4 operative deaths. Fourteen MVR, 7 AVR, and 3 TVR cases were found. Even though long-term follow-up study was short in postoperative period with total of 33~.0 months among 244 operative survivors ranging one to 36 months, the late survivors showed beneficial long-term results two thromboembolic episodes in 244 patients were found. More cases and longer term follow-up study are warranted for valve replacement in pediatric and TVR cases with Ionescu-valves which have advantageous hemodynamic structures compared with other bio-prosthetic heart valves.

• Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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• 대한산업공학회/한국경영과학회 2000년도 춘계공동학술대회 논문집
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• pp.469-472
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• 2000

Replacement policy of a degradation of system is investigated by incorporating the loss function defined by the deviation of the value of quality characteristic from its target value, which determines the loss cost . Two cost minimization problems are formulated : 1)determination of an optimal inspection period given the state for the replacement and 2)determination of an optimal state for replacement under fixed inspect ion period. Simulation analysis is performed to observe the variation of total cost with respect to the variation of the parameters of loss function, inspection cost, respectively. As a result, parameters of loss function are seen to be the most sensitive to the total cost. On the contrary, inspect ion cost is observed to be insensitive.

• Journal of Applied Reliability
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• 제15권1호
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• pp.6-11
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• 2015

Maintenance plays an important role in keeping product availability, reliability and quality at an appropriate level. In this paper, two-types of maintenance policies are studied following the expiration of two-dimensional (2D) free replacement warranty. Both the fixed-maintenance-period policy and the variable-maintenance-period policy are based on a specified region of the warranty defined in terms of age and usage where all failures are minimally repaired. An accelerating failure time (AFT) model is used to allow for the effect of usage rate on product degradation. The maintenance model that arises following the expiration of 2D warranty is discussed. The expected cost rates per unit time from the user's point of view are formulated and the optimal maintenance policies are determined to minimize the expected cost rate to the user. Finally numerical examples are given to illustrate the optimal maintenance polices.

• Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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• 제14권2호
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• pp.87-104
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• 1995

This research investigates the possibility of using the postural sway of patients as a reference for measruing the progress of the disease and healing of patients who received total hip replacement; the progress of the disease by X-ray pictures, the pain felt by the patients, and the difficulties encountered in moving the joints. The measurements on the force platform were taken during a 25 second period standing on both feet and during a 5 second period standing on one foot with both eyes open. The result of the research showed that the trace and area of the overall length of postural sway was a good indicator which represented the healing progress of the patients who received total hip replacement, and the weakening of the muscles and the recovery process for 3 or 4 month after receiving the operation, which did not appear on X-ray pictures, were exhibited on the postural sway. Finally, standing on a single foot represented the healing progress much better than standing on both feet.