• Title/Summary/Keyword: Reliability of Logit

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Effects of Multicollinearity in Logit Model (로짓모형에 있어서 다중공선성의 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Ryu, Si-Kyun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.113-126
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    • 2008
  • This research aims to explore the effects of multicollinearity on the reliability and goodness of fit of logit model. To investigate the effects of multicollinearity on the multinominal logit model, numerical experiments are performed. The exploratory variables(attributes of utility functions) which have a certain degree of correlations from (rho=) 0.0 to (rho=) 0.9 are generated and rho-squares and t-statistics which are the indices of goodness of fit and reliability of logit model are traced. From the well designed numerical experiments, following findings are validated : 1) When a new exploratory variable is added, some of rho-squares increase while the others decrease. 2) The higher relations between generic variables lead a logit model worse with respect to goodness of fit. 3) Multicollinearity has a tendency to produce over-evaluated parameters. 4) The reliability of the estimated parameter has a tendency to decrease when the correlations between attributes are high. These results suggest that we have to examine the existence of multicollinearity and perform the proper treatments to diminish multicollinearity when we develop logit model.

Modal Choice with Travel Time Reliability (통행시간 신뢰도를 고려한 통행수단선택모형에 관한 연구)

  • Nam, Doo-Hee;Park, Dong-Joo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.7-16
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    • 2004
  • In mode choice decision, travelers consider not only travel time but also reliability of its modes. In this paper, reliability was expressed in terms of standard deviation and maximum delay that were measured based on triangular distribution. In order to estimate value of time and value of reliability, the Multinomial and Nested Logit models were used. The analysis results revealed that reliability is an important factor affecting mode choice decisions. Elasticity is used to estimate the impacts of the different policies and system improvements for water transportation mode. Among these policies, decision maker can assess and select the best alternative by doing the benefit and cost analysis based on a new market share, the value of time, and the value of reliability. Finally, a set of promising policies and system improvement of the water transportation were proposed.

Construct Validation of the Short Sensory Profile-2 (SSP-2) for Children With Autism Spectrum Disorder (자폐스펙트럼 장애 아동에 대한 단축형 감각 프로파일-2(Short Sensory Profile-2)의 구성타당도 연구)

  • Bak, Ah-Ream;Yoo, Doo-Han;Hong, Deok-Gi
    • The Journal of Korean Academy of Sensory Integration
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.15-28
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    • 2020
  • Objective : The purpose of this study was to verify the construct validity of Short Sensory Profile-2 (SSP-2) for children with Autism Spectrum Disorder (ASD). Methods : Data were collected from SSP-2 for 120 parents of ASD children. Raw data were analyzed by applying the Rasch analysis to the goodness fit of person and item, item difficulty, rating scale, and separation reliability of SSP-2. Results : 7 persons in sensory processing area and 8 persons in behavioral response area were inappropriate criteria and excluded from the analysis. Item goodness-of-fit analysis determined that the If the Mnsq value is between 0.6 and 1.4 and the Z value is outside the ±2 range for nonconformity. this study All items in the instrument were found to have appropriate criteria. Item difficulty analysis in sensory processing area was high in item 13 (.48 logit) and low in item 10 (-.54 logit). In the behavioral response area, item 25 (1.58 logit) was high and item 30 (-.68 logit) was low. In the rating scale analysis, it was found that the 3-point scale is more appropriate than the 5-point scale. The separation reliability of sensory processing area was .90 and the behavioral response area was .95. Conclusion : This study verified the construct validity of SSP-2 and expected to be applied as a useful evaluation tool for children with ASD.

Impact of Reliability on Consumers' Demand for Environmentally Friendly Agricultural Products (친환경농산물 신뢰제고에 따른 소비의향분석)

  • Kim, Chung-Sil;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Korean Journal of Organic Agriculture
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.275-286
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    • 2008
  • This paper examines the impact of reliability on consumers' demand for environmentally friendly agricultural products using ordered logit model. We survey 100 housewives living in the capital region and five metropolitian cities cross sectional data in 2007. This paper especially estimates the impact of instrumental factor, such as history tracking system, provision of information, safety assurance and labelling of brands on the consumers' demand. The main results show that provision of information and safety assurance affect consumers' demand more confident than others. In order to motivate consumers to buy more environmentally friendly agricultural products, the safety should be assured and more information on production and marketing channel should be labelled.

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Development of Scaled Explosion Logit Model Considering Reliability of Ranking Data (SP 순위 자료별 오차를 고려하는 순위로짓 모형 추정에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Kang-Soo;Cho, Hye-Jin
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.22 no.6
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    • pp.197-206
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    • 2004
  • In ranking data, respondents are required to rank a number of alternatives in order of their preferences and an exploded logit model is generally used. It assumes that each rank contains the same amount of random noise. This study investigates the reliability of ranking data and identifies whether there are different decision rules at each rank stage. The results show that there were differences in the amount of unexplained variation in different ranking stage. A single scaling parameter could not explain the difference of variations of individual coefficients between two ranking data average difference of variations. This paper also investigated the optimal explosion depth in the exploded logit model by using the suggested scaling approach. The scaling approach should be based on particular variables which have different variances rather than based on the whole data set. The empirical analysis show that an explosion depth of 2 is appropriate after scaling the second rank data set, while an explosion including the third rank is inappropriate even though the third rank data set is scaled.

Estimating willingness-to-pay for the tap water quality improvement in Busan using contingent valuation method (조건부가치측정법을 이용한 부산시 상수도 수질개선에 대한 WTP 추정)

  • Pyo, Heedong;Choo, Jae Wook
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.561-571
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    • 2014
  • The paper is to estimate willingness-to-pay (WTP) for tap water quality improvement in Busan, using parametric approach in contingent valuation method(CVM). For parametric approach linear logit model and log logit model are employed in double-bounded dichotomous choice format of CVM. For the reliability and the validity of contingent valuation method a survey was conducted for 665 respondents, who were sampled by stratified random sampling method, by personal interview method. The result of mean WTP for the tap water quality improvement in Busan was estimated to be 3,687 won and 3,660 won per month per household, while median WTP being 1,884 won and 1,892 won per month per household, respectively by linear logit model and log logit model. Provided that our sample is broadly representative of the Busan's population, an estimate of the annual aggregated benefit of residential water improvement for all Busan households is approximately 29.7 billion won to 29.8 billion won based on median WTP.

A study of Airline Choice Behavior of Air Freight Forwarders (화물운송주선업자의 항공사 선택행위 연구)

  • Kim, M.S.;Lee, D.S.;Yoo, K.E.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aviation and Aeronautics
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    • v.13 no.3
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    • pp.85-97
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    • 2005
  • The objective of this study is to investigate freight forwarders' airline choice behaviors in the Korean air cargo transportation market. This study identifies the major factors affecting airline choice and their relative importance by analyzing the data gathered by the survey from freight forwarders in Seoul. The questionnaire of the survey is composed of two parts; the first part is to identify the significant variables of airline choice and the second part is to gather the data about airline choice using stated preference techniques. The relative importance of major variables considered in forwarders' airline choice is estimated by the logit models calibrated with stated preference data. To strength the reliability of the analysis, this study segments the market by three routes; Seoul-Los Angeles, Seoul-Amsterdam and Seoul-Hongkong. The five major variables that are considered seriously in airline choice are reliability, space availability, frequency, cost and flight schedule. The utility trade-offs between variables are estimated by the ratio analysis of coefficients of logit model of each route, and the results of ratio analysis is interpreted as reflecting the reality of market conditions.

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A Study of the Value of Travel Time Reliability (통행시간 신뢰성 가치에 관한 연구)

  • Cho, Hanseon
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.155-165
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    • 2013
  • PURPOSES : Benefits for improvement of travel time reliability obtained from construction of new highways should be considered as a major factor in the feasibility study for highway constructions. The purpose of this study is to develop a method of estimation for the value of travel time reliability. METHODS : Highway type (urban/rural highway) and traffic flow type(interrupted/uninterrupted) was considered to estimate he value of travel time reliability. And Double-bounded Dichotomous Choice among Contingent Valuation Method(CVM) was applied to survey the willingness-to-pay of drivers when travel time reliability is improved. Finally the value of travel time reliability was estimated using the results of survey and logit model. The value of travel time reliability was estimated considering travel objectives, time constraint travel and non-time constraint travel. RESULTS: The value of travel time reliability of business trip is higher than that of non-business trip. The value of travel time reliability of time constraint travel is higher than that of non-time constraint travel. The value of travel time reliability in urban area is higher than that in rural area. CONCLUSIONS: It was concluded that the proposed method in this study is more realistic and proper to estimate the value of travel time reliability because it reflects the situations of time constraint travel and non-time constraint travel.

An Empirical Study on System Evaluation and Recommendation Factors of Internet Banking (인터넷뱅킹 시스템 평가 및 추천 요인에 대한 실증 분석)

  • Kim, Min-Cheol;Noh, Kyoo-Sung;Kim, Hee-Cheol
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.77-87
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    • 2004
  • The main purpose of this study is to establish the empirical model of internet banking system. The results of this study shows that the statistical significant lies in confidentially and response among many factors. And additionally another result for recommendation factor by legit analysis that there is the significant result. Thus in the present period, bank company will focus to rise up the reliance of the internet banking system.

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The Effects of Price on Consumers' Purchasing Behavior for Eco-Friendly Foods (소비자의 친환경농산물 구매에 있어서 가격변수의 중요도 및 영향인자에 관한 분석)

  • Jin, Hyun-Joung;Keum, Seck-Hun
    • Journal of Distribution Research
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.105-133
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    • 2011
  • Short Abstract: This study investigates the effects of price and other variables on consumers' purchasing decision for eco-friendly foods. This study pays particular attention to the effect of price that may influences consumers' decision to buy eco-friendly foods. The empirical findings are summarized as follows. First, the descriptive results of the survey show that "detailed explanation for the products," "distribution channel," "reliability of the labeling for eco-friendly foods" are more important than price and other factors. Second, the ordered logit analysis vindicates that such situational factors as number of children and existence of patient in the family are the most important variables to explain the degree of satisfaction level when considering the price level of eco-friendly foods. Finally, the results of the conjoint analysis indicate that consumers regard distribution channel as the most important factor, and reliability of labeling system and level of price position second and third, respectively. The present study concludes with suggesting some policy implications and directing future studies.

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