• 대한전기학회논문지
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• 제43권5호
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• pp.730-738
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• 1994

The major advantage of the short-term load forecasting technique using general exponential smoothing is high accuracy and operational simplicity, but it makes large forecasting error when the load changes repidly. The paper has presented new technique to improve those shortcomings, and according to forecasted the technique proved to be valid for two years. The structure of load model is time function which consists of daily-and temperature-deviation component. The average of standard percentage erro in daily forecasting for two years was 2.02%, and this forecasting technique has improved standard erro by 0.46%. As relative coefficient for daily and seasonal forecasting is 0.95 or more, this technique proved to be valid.

• 한국기계가공학회지
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• 제17권6호
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• pp.170-176
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• 2018

Recently, weapon system requires personal protection products due to the explosion of rapid-fire explosion, which is considered to be multi threat in modernization, complication and war against terrorism. However, the conventional Korean military bullet protection helmets are not suitable for wearing convenience and combatant interoperability in terms of ergonomic. In this paper, we propose a suitable 3D Scanning method for the head, and compare the measured 3D dimension with the existing 2D measurement value to identity the reliability. Reverse engineered soldier head using the quick surface method was realized with a perfect free-form surface and satisfactory tolerance range (${\pm}0.2mm$). Through the comparison of 3D and 2D measured head dimensions, the absolute error value was 0.73 mm on average and relative error was 0.35 %, confirming the high accuracy of the 3D scan modeling. Also, quick surface method using 3D scanner is suggested a fast and accurate skill for ergonomics in obtaining the head modeling needed for military's personal bullet protection helmet design.

• 한국산업정보학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국산업정보학회 2000년도 춘계학술대회논문집
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• pp.135-143
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• 2000

COCOMO II 모델은 비순차적이며, 빠른 개발방법 과정 등의 새로운 소프트웨어 생명주기에 적합한 비용 모델이다. COCOMO II 모델에서 조율 방법으로 널리 사용된 최소자승 회귀분석 방법은 소프트웨어공학 데이터 셀과 가정이 위배되는 점이 있다 즉, 원시자료는 특히 서로 다른 개발조직으로부터 비용인자 등급, 노력, 크기가 수집되며 부정확하고 이상치가 존재한다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 한계를 극복하기 위하여 우리는 COCOMO II 모델을 가지고 상대오차를 최소화하는 모델 조율에 대한 새로운 방법을 제안한다. 제안된 방법의 특징은 이상치를 갖는 원시 데이터에 덜 민감한 특성을 갖고 있다. 실험결과, 제안된 새로운 조율방법 MRE가 조정된 결정계수(adj-$R^2$), 표준편차(^$\sigma$), 예측 정도( PRED(L))에서 기존의 전통적 회귀분석 방법보다 우수하게 나타났다.