• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.4 no.1
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• pp.19-23
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• 2017

Based on a simultaneous-equation model consisting of aggregate demand and short-run aggregate supply, this paper estimates a reduced-form equation specifying that the equilibrium real GDP is a function of the real effective exchange rate, the government deficit as a percent of GDP, the real interest rate, foreign income, labor productivity, the real oil price, the expected inflation rate, and the interactive and intercept binary variables accounting for a potential change in the slope of the real effective exchange rate and shift in the intercept. Applying the exponential GARCH technique, it finds that aggregate output in Australia has a positive relationship with the real effective exchange rate during 2003.Q3 - 2013.Q2, the government deficit as a percent of GDP, U.S. real GDP, labor productivity and the real oil price and a negative relationship with the real effective exchange rate during 2013.Q3 - 2016.Q1, the real lending rate and the expected inflation rate. These results suggest that real appreciation was expansionary before 2013.Q3 whereas real depreciation was expansionary after 2013.Q2 and that more government deficit as a percent of GDP would be helpful to stimulate the economy. Hence, the impact of real appreciation or real depreciation on real GDP may change overtime.

• East Asian Journal of Business Economics (EAJBE)
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• v.12 no.2
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• pp.19-28
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• 2024

Purpose: In the era of global economic integration, China's doors of openness have widened, leading to increasingly frequent economic and trade exchanges between countries. Exchange rates, as a crucial economic lever for regulating foreign markets, play a vital role in the balanced development of a nation's international trade. Therefore, the relationship between exchange rate fluctuations and foreign trade has garnered widespread attention. Research design, data and methodology: This study utilizes import and export trade data between China and five ASEAN countries from 1998 to 2019. It employs regression analysis to examine the specific impact of the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi on China's import and export trade with these ASEAN nations. Results: The empirical analysis yields the following conclusions: Firstly, the real effective exchange rate of the Renminbi exhibits a long-term stable relationship with China's import and export trade with the five ASEAN countries. Renminbi appreciation contributes to an increase in export trade volume but is detrimental to import trade. While this conclusion may deviate from classical trade theories, it aligns with the practical realities of China's foreign trade. Secondly, the coefficients before Gross Domestic Product (GDP) all display positive values, indicating that the growth of total economic demand has a stimulating effect on China's import and export trade.

• Journal of Distribution Research
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• v.7 no.2
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• pp.69-87
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• 2003

Using a framework of the relational exchanges in relationship marketing, this study analyzed success factors of domestic CATV home shopping market which has rapidly grown recently. In order to carry out this analysis, the current status of domestic CATV home shopping market and the operational strategies of relationship marketing by the concerning enterprises were examined. More specifically, the exchange partners that have exchange relationship with domestic CATV home shopping companies were classified into the end-users, manufacturing companies, logistics and parcel delivery companies, SO companies, and other related industries, and then the operational strategies of relationship marketing for each partner were analyzed.

• The Journal of Economics, Marketing and Management
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• v.4 no.3
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• pp.1-6
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• 2016

The purpose of the present study is to investigate the relationship between Managerial overconfidence and vehicle and parts manufacturing firm value of the listed companies on the Tehran Stock Exchange (TSE). The population includes 25 firms selected through systematic sampling. The data is collected from the audited financial statements of the firms provided by TSE's website from 2010 to 2015. In this study the variables, Overconfidence based on earning per share (OEPS), Overconfidence based on capital cost (OCC) has been used to investigate Managerial overconfidence. The results of multiple linear regression analysis show that there is a significant relationship between Overconfidence based on earning per share (OEPS) and firm value. In addition, there is a significant relationship between Overconfidence based on capital cost (OCC) The present research examined the relationship between Managerial overconfidence and vehicle and parts manufacturing firm value of the listed in Tehran Stock Exchange. The results of multivariate regression accepted two the hypotheses of the research. There is a significant relationship between Managerial overconfidence and vehicle and parts manufacturing firm value.

• Information Systems Review
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• v.7 no.1
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• pp.195-217
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• 2005

Individual recognizes knowledge sharing as a transaction action. This transaction occurring in knowledge sharing is considered as a special and complicated transaction derived from employee's relationship rather than a economic transaction. In addition, It is important that knowledge sharing among individuals is established through a closed interrelationship with situation. In this point of view, knowledge sharing can be explained by a social exchange relationship. Therefore, there are two study's purpose as follows. First, The study draws factors affecting to knowledge sharing in the view of social exchange theory. The study reviews factors that are presented at previous social exchange theories and affecting to knowledge sharing focused on organization contingency traits, relationship traits, and individuals traits among individuals in an organization. Second, even though trust and organization involvement is resulted in above affecting factors, most previous studies are mainly examined as the same level to other factors affecting to knowledge sharing. Thus, this paper focused that the above factors affect to trust and organization involvement that affect to knowledge sharing intention. That is, this study presents that when affecting factors mediate trust and involvement, there is a knowledge sharing intention for creating organization knowledge. For the study, 160 government employees are administered for the survey so that the research model and hypothesis are developed. Empirical study shows that in public organizations knowledge sharing affects to relationship traits factors and individuals traits affects trust and organization involvement. Also, it is examined that trust and organization involvement affecting to knowledge sharing intention in such a sequence.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.28 no.2
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• pp.361-369
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• 2017

This paper analyzes the causal relationship between dollar exchange rate and international oil price. Although large literature on the relationship has accumulated, results are not unique but diversified. Based on the idea that such diversified results may be due to different causality at different economic status, we considers an approach to test the causal relationship at each quantile. This approach is different from the mean causality analysis widely employed by the existing literature of the causal relationship. In this paper, monthly data from May 1987 to 2013 is used for the causal analysis in which Brent oil price and Major Currencies Dollar Index (MCDI) are considered. The test method is the nonparametric test for causality in quantile suggested by Jeong et al. (2012). The results show that although dollar exchange rate causes oil price in mean, the causal relationship does not exist at most quantiles.

• The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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• v.8 no.6
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• pp.543-552
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• 2021

The study examines how foreign capital inflows affect stock market development in Pakistan for the period from July 2008 to June 2018. Several components of foreign capital inflows were used for empirical analysis, namely, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, and remittances. Further, market capitalization was used as a proxy for stock market development. The study uses an ARDL model for examining the long-run and short-run relationships between variables. We also analyze the bi-directional causality between the variables through the Granger causality test. Further, the presence of structural breaks was analyzed through the CUSUM and CUSUM Square test. The results suggest that in the long run, remittances have a positive and significant relationship with stock market development. However, foreign direct investment, foreign portfolio investment, and USD-PKR exchange rate do not have a significant impact on stock market development. The results also suggest that in the short run there is a negative relationship between FDI, USD-PKR exchange rate and market capitalization. Contrarily, we found a positive relationship between FPI and market capitalization. The results of Granger causality test suggest that remittances and USD-PKR exchange rate have a causal relationship with stock market development. Finally, we found no evidence of structural breaks in the dataset.

• International Commerce and Information Review
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• v.12 no.1
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• pp.153-175
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• 2010

This study conducts an analysis to verify an existence of co-movement among the exchange rates of Yuan-Dollar, Yen-Dollar and Won-Dollar by using time series data. An analysis period is divided into two periods. Therefore the first analysis period is from Dec. 17, 1997 to Jul. 21th. 20, 2005 and the second analysis period is from Jul. 25th, 2005 to Nov. 20th. 2009. This paper uses VAR model and daily data of exchange rates during the period. According to the result of an empirical analysis, yuan-dollar exchange rate has affected by th other variables ; yen-dollar exchange rate. It can be proved by result of an impulse response test and variance decomposition test in the second period. Therefore the won-dollar, yen-dollar, and Yen-dollar exchange rate has been influenced each other and the relationship will be maintained.

• Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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• v.11 no.3
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• pp.397-414
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• 2002

This paper presents an empirical analysis of exchange rate volatility, petroleum's import price and industrial production on petroleum imports. The GARCH framework is used to measure the exchange rate volatility. One of the most appealing features of the GARCH model is that it captures the volatility clustering phenomenon. We found one long-run relationship between petroleum imports, import price, industrial production, and exchange rate volatility using Johansen's multivariate cointegration methodology. Since there exists a cointegrating vector, therefore, we employ an error correction model to examine the short-run dynamic linkage, finding that the exchange rate volatility performs a key role in the short-run. This paper also apply impulse-response functions to provide the dynamic responses of energy consumption to the exchange rate volatility. The results show that the response of energy consumption to exchange rate volatility declines at the first month and dies out very quickly.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.14 no.4
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• pp.845-852
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• 2003

Forecasting exchange rate movements is a challenging task since exchange rates impact world economy and determine value of international investments. In particular, Korean-U.S. exchange rate behavior is very important because of strong Korean and U.S. trading relationship. Neural networks models have been used for short-term prediction of exchange rate movements. Least squares support vector machine (LS-SVM) is used widely in real-world regression tasks. This paper describes the use of LS-SVM for short-term and long-term prediction of Korean-U.S. exchange rate.