• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regression algorithm

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Modelling Missing Traffic Volume Data using Circular Probability Distribution (순환확률분포를 이용한 교통량 결측자료 보정 모형)

  • Kim, Hyeon-Seok;Im, Gang-Won;Lee, Yeong-In;Nam, Du-Hui
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.109-121
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    • 2007
  • In this study, an imputation model using circular probability distribution was developed in order to overcome problems of missing data from a traffic survey. The existing ad-hoc or heuristic, model-based and algorithm-based imputation techniques were reviewed through previous studies, and then their limitations for imputing missing traffic volume data were revealed. The statistical computing language 'R' was employed for model construction, and a mixture of von Mises probability distribution, which is classified as symmetric, and unimodal circular probability were finally fitted on the basis of traffic volume data at survey stations in urban and rural areas, respectively. The circular probability distribution model largely proved to outperform a dummy variable regression model in regards to various evaluation conditions. It turned out that circular probability distribution models depict circularity of hourly volumes well and are very cost-effective and robust to changes in missing mechanisms.

Methodology of Springback Prediction of Automotive Parts Applied 3rd Generation AHSS Using the Progressive Meta Model (프로그레시브 메타모델을 이용한 3세대 초고장력강판 적용 차체 부품의 스프링백 예측 방법론)

  • Yoon, J.I.;Oh, K.H.;Lee, S.R.;Yoo, J.H.;Kim, T.J.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.29 no.5
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    • pp.241-250
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the methodology of the springback prediction of automotive parts applied 3rd generation AHSS was investigated using the response surface model analysis based on a regression model, and the meta model analysis based on a Kriging model. To design the learning data set for constructing the springback prediction models, and the experimental design was conducted at three levels for each processing variable using the definitive screening designs method. The hat-shaped member, which is the basic shape of the member parts, was selected and the springback values were measured for each processing type and processing variable using the finite element analysis. When the nonlinearity of the variables is small during the hat-shaped member forming, the response surface model and the meta model can provide the same processing parameter. However, the accuracy of the springback prediction of the meta model is better than the response surface model. Even in the case of the simple shape parts forming, the springback prediction accuracy of the meta model is better than that of the response surface model, when more variables are considered and the nonlinearity effect of the variables is large. The efficient global optimization algorithm-based Kriging is appropriate in resolving the high computational complexity optimization problems such as developing automotive parts.

A Filtering Technique of Terrestrial LiDAR Data on Sloped Terrain (사면지형에서 지상라이다 자료의 필터링 기법)

  • Shin, Yoon Su;Choi, Seung Pil;Kim, Jun Seong;Kim, Uk Nam
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.6_1
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    • pp.529-538
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    • 2012
  • By using an algorithm derived by a multiple linear regression analysis, a technique for filtering was developed; and by using the developed technique, the results of conducting filtering of the raw data collected via scanning with a terrestrial LiDAR the actual sloped terrain was analyzed. As such, when filtering was applied by dividing the observation areas into two areas with the topographical line as a reference in order to improve the filtering accuracy, it was seen that the filtering accuracy improved by about 8.73% as compared to when filtering was applied without dividing the observation area. In addition, considering the fact that the accuracy improved by 5~7% when the sloped sides of a multicurvature topography were divided and a complex filtering applied as compared to when filtering was applied for the entire area or by regions, it can be asserted that the accuracy was higher when a complex filtering was conducted by dividing the sloped areas where the slope is not constant due to the multi-curvature of topography.

Analysis on cognitive variables affecting proportion problem solving ability with different level of structuredness (비례 문제 해결에 영향을 주는 인지적 변인 분석)

  • Sung, Chang-Geun;Lee, Kwang-Ho
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.331-352
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of the study is to verify what cognitive variables have significant effect on proportional problem solving. For this aim, the study classified proportional problem into well-structured, moderately-structured, ill-structured problem by the level of structuredness, then classified the cognitive variables as well into factual algorithm knowledge, conceptual knowledge, knowledge of problem type, quantity change recognition and meta-cognition(meta-regulation and meta-knowledge). Then, it verified what cognitive variables have significant effects on 6th graders' proportional problem solving abilities through multiple regression analysis technique. As a result of the analysis, different cognitive variables effect on solving proportional problem classified by the level of structuredness. Through the results, the study suggest how to teach and assess proportional reasoning and problem solving in elementary mathematics class.

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Papers : Preliminary Design of Hybrid Rocket Based on HTPB Fuel (논문 : HTPB 연료를 사용한 하이브리드 로켓 기초설계)

  • Ha,Yun-Ho;Lee,Chang-Jin;Gwon,Sun-Tak
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.124-131
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    • 2002
  • In this study, a preliminary design code was developed for the initiation of HTPB/LOX hybrid rocket system. HTPB was assumed to have a constant regression rate. And initial input parameters; number of port, initial O/F ratio F/W ratio, and chamber pressure, were varied to analyze the effects on the performance and geometry of rocket system. The results showed a qualitatively good agreement with previous data. And it was revealed that there exists a number of design results that meet the mission requirements and that we could find an optimal design case if a proper constraint would be imposed. Thus, it is natural to account for the optimal algorithm during the design procedure and to consider more realistic and reliable formulations used for weight estimation of structural supports and accessories.

Outlier prediction in sensor network data using periodic pattern (주기 패턴을 이용한 센서 네트워크 데이터의 이상치 예측)

  • Kim, Hyung-Il
    • Journal of Sensor Science and Technology
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    • v.15 no.6
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    • pp.433-441
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    • 2006
  • Because of the low power and low rate of a sensor network, outlier is frequently occurred in the time series data of sensor network. In this paper, we suggest periodic pattern analysis that is applied to the time series data of sensor network and predict outlier that exist in the time series data of sensor network. A periodic pattern is minimum period of time in which trend of values in data is appeared continuous and repeated. In this paper, a quantization and smoothing is applied to the time series data in order to analyze the periodic pattern and the fluctuation of each adjacent value in the smoothed data is measured to be modified to a simple data. Then, the periodic pattern is abstracted from the modified simple data, and the time series data is restructured according to the periods to produce periodic pattern data. In the experiment, the machine learning is applied to the periodic pattern data to predict outlier to see the results. The characteristics of analysis of the periodic pattern in this paper is not analyzing the periods according to the size of value of data but to analyze time periods according to the fluctuation of the value of data. Therefore analysis of periodic pattern is robust to outlier. Also it is possible to express values of time attribute as values in time period by restructuring the time series data into periodic pattern. Thus, it is possible to use time attribute even in the general machine learning algorithm in which the time series data is not possible to be learned.

A Study on Automatic Learning of Weight Decay Neural Network (가중치감소 신경망의 자동학습에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Chang-Ha;Na, Eun-Young;Seok, Kyung-Ha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2001
  • Neural networks we increasingly being seen as an addition to the statistics toolkit which should be considered alongside both classical and modern statistical methods. Neural networks are usually useful for classification and function estimation. In this paper we concentrate on function estimation using neural networks with weight decay factor The use of weight decay seems both to help the optimization process and to avoid overfitting. In this type of neural networks, the problem to decide the number of hidden nodes, weight decay parameter and iteration number of learning is very important. It is called the optimization of weight decay neural networks. In this paper we propose a automatic optimization based on genetic algorithms. Moreover, we compare the weight decay neural network automatically learned according to automatic optimization with ordinary neural network, projection pursuit regression and support vector machines.

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Shape Optimization of the Metal Boss for a Composite Motor Case (복합재 연소관의 금속 보스 형상 최적설계)

  • Jeong, Seungmin;Kim, Hyounggeun;Hwang, Taekyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.29-37
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    • 2016
  • This paper proposes a shape optimization of the metal boss for a composite motor case using finite element analysis. For the structural safety and the weight reduction of the composite motor case, under the internal pressure, the fiber stress in the dome area and the tightening bolt stress are constrained and the boss weight is set to objective function, respectively. The response surface models are constructed for the performance characteristics by using response surface method. The significance of the design variables about the performance characteristics is evaluated through the ANOVA(analysis of variance) and the goodness of fit test for the constructed model is performed through the regression analysis. The SQP(sequential quadratic programming) algorithm is used for the optimization and the proposed method is verified by performing structural analysis for the optimum shape.

Non-invasive hematocrit measurement (혈액중 non-invasive hematocrit 분석)

  • Yoon, Gil-Won;Jeon, Kye-Jin;Park, Kun-Kook;Lee, Jong-Youn;Hwang, Hyun-Tae;Yeo, Hyung-Seok;Kim, Hong-Sig
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Near Infrared Spectroscopy Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.59-62
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    • 2002
  • Wavelength selection and prediction algorithm for determining hematocrit are investigated. A model based on the difference in optical density induced by the pulsation of heart beat is developed by taking approximation of Twersky's theory on the assumption that the variation of blood vessel size is small during arterial pulsing[1]. A device is constructed with a five-wavelength LED array as light source. The selected wavelengths are two isobestic points and three in compensation for tissue scattering. Data are collected from 549 out-patients who are randomly grouped as calibration and prediction sets. The range of percent hematocrit was 19.3∼51.8. The ratio of the variations of optical density between systole and diastole at two different wavelengths is used as a variable. We selected several such variables that show high reproducibility among all variables. Multiple linear regression analysis is made. The relative percent error is 8% and the standard deviation is 3.67 for the calibration set. The relative % error and standard deviation of the prediction set are 8.2% and 3.69 respectively. We successfully demonstrate the possibility of non-invasive hematocrit measurement, particularly, using the wavelengths below 1000nm.

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Function Approximation for accelerating learning speed in Reinforcement Learning (강화학습의 학습 가속을 위한 함수 근사 방법)

  • Lee, Young-Ah;Chung, Tae-Choong
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.635-642
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    • 2003
  • Reinforcement learning got successful results in a lot of applications such as control and scheduling. Various function approximation methods have been studied in order to improve the learning speed and to solve the shortage of storage in the standard reinforcement learning algorithm of Q-Learning. Most function approximation methods remove some special quality of reinforcement learning and need prior knowledge and preprocessing. Fuzzy Q-Learning needs preprocessing to define fuzzy variables and Local Weighted Regression uses training examples. In this paper, we propose a function approximation method, Fuzzy Q-Map that is based on on-line fuzzy clustering. Fuzzy Q-Map classifies a query state and predicts a suitable action according to the membership degree. We applied the Fuzzy Q-Map, CMAC and LWR to the mountain car problem. Fuzzy Q-Map reached the optimal prediction rate faster than CMAC and the lower prediction rate was seen than LWR that uses training example.