• Title/Summary/Keyword: Regional risk

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Sensitivity Analysis of Drought Impact Factors Using a Structural Equation Model and Bayesian Networks (구조방정식모형과 베이지안 네트워크를 활용한 가뭄 영향인자의 민감도 분석)

  • Kim, Ji Eun;Kim, Minji;Yoo, Jiyoung;Jung, Sungwon;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.42 no.1
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    • pp.11-21
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    • 2022
  • Drought occurs extensively over a long period and causes great socio-economic damage. Since drought risk consists of social, environmental, physical, and economic factors along with meteorological and hydrological factors, it is important to quantitatively identify their impacts on drought risk. This study investigated the relationship among drought hazard, vulnerability, response capacity, and risk in Chungcheongbuk-do using a structural equation model and evaluated their impacts on drought risk using Bayesian networks. We also performed sensitivity analysis to investigate how the factors change drought risk. Overall results showed that Chungju-si had the highest risk of drought. The risk was calculated as the largest even when the hazard and response capacity were changed. However, when the vulnerability was changed, Eumseong-gun had the greatest risk. The sensitivity analysis showed that Jeungpyeong-gun had the highest sensitivity, and Jecheon-si, Eumseong-gun, and Okcheon-gun had highest individual sensitivities with hazard, vulnerability, and response capacity, respectively. This study concluded that it is possible to identify impact factors on drought risk using regional characteristics, and to prepare appropriate drought countermeasures considering regional drought risk.

Analysis of Regional-Scale Weather Model Applicabilities for the Enforcement of Flood Risk Reduction (홍수피해 감소를 위한 지역규모 기상모델의 적용성 분석)

  • Jung, Yong;Baek, JongJin;Choi, Minha
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.32 no.5B
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    • pp.267-272
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    • 2012
  • To reduce the flood risk caused by unexpected heavy rainfall, many prediction methods for flood have been developed. A major constituent of flood prediction is an accurate rainfall estimation which is an input of hydrologic models. In this study, a regional-scale weather model which can provide relatively longer lead time for flood mitigation compared to the Nowcasting based on radar system will be introduced and applied to the Chongmi river basin located in central part of South Korea. The duration of application of a regional weather model is from July 11 to July 23 in 2006. The estimated rainfall amounts were compared with observations from rain gauges (Sangkeuk, Samjook, and Sulsung). For this rainfall event at Chongmi river basin, Thomson and Kain-Frisch Schemes for microphysics and cumulus parameterization, respectively, were selected as optimal physical conditions to present rainfall fall amount in terms of Mean Absolute Relative Errors (MARE>0.45).

Microbiota of Breast Tissue and Its Potential Association with Regional Recurrence of Breast Cancer in Korean Women

  • Kim, Hyo-Eun;Kim, Jongjin;Maeng, Sejung;Oh, Bumjo;Hwang, Ki-Tae;Kim, Bong-Soo
    • Journal of Microbiology and Biotechnology
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    • v.31 no.12
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    • pp.1643-1655
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    • 2021
  • Recent studies have reported dysbiosis of the microbiome in breast tissue collected from patients with breast cancer and the association between the microbiota and disease progression. However, the role of the microbiota in breast tissue remains unclear, possibly due to the complexity of breast cancer and various factors, including racial and geographical differences, influencing microbiota in breast tissue. Here, to determine the potential role of microbiota in breast tumor tissue, we analyzed 141 tissue samples based on three different tissue types (tumor, adjacent normal, and lymph node tissues) from the same patients with breast cancer in Korea. The microbiota was not simply distinguishable based on tissue types. However, the microbiota could be divided into two cluster types, even within the same tissue type, and the clinicopathologic factors were differently correlated in the two cluster types. Risk of regional recurrence was also significantly different between the microbiota cluster types (p = 0.014). In predicted function analysis, the pentose and glucuronate interconversions were significantly different between the cluster types (q < 0.001), and Enterococcus was the main genus contributing to these differences (q < 0.01). Results showed that the microbiota of breast tissue could interact with the host and influence the risk of regional recurrence. Although further studies would be recommended to validate our results, this study could expand our understanding on the breast tissue microbiota, and the results might be applied to develop novel prediction methods and treatments for patients with breast cancer.

Synchronous Adenocarcinoma and Gastrointestinal Stromal Tumor of the Stomach Treated by a Combination of Laparoscopy-assisted Distal Gastrectomy and Wedge Resection

  • Jeong, Sang-Ho;Lee, Young-Joon;Park, Soon-Tae;Choi, Sang-Kyung;Hong, Soon-Chan;Jung, Eun-Jung;Ju, Young-Tae;Jeong, Chi-Young;Ha, Woo-Song
    • Journal of Gastric Cancer
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.55-58
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    • 2011
  • The simultaneous occurrence of a gastrointestinal stromal tumor (GIST) and a gastric adenocarcinoma is uncommon, and has rarely been reported in the literature. The present report describes the case of a 74-year-old male patient who initially presented with an adenocarcinoma that had invaded the antral mucosa. Computed tomography then revealed the presence of a suspected GIST, in the form of a $2{\times}2$ cm mass at the hilum of the spleen. In view of the advanced age of the patient, a surgical approach that would minimize risk and maximize quality of life was preferred. The patient therefore underwent simultaneous laparoscopy-assisted distal gastrectomy for the adenocarcinoma and wedge resection for the GIST. This approach was only chosen after confirming that it would be possible to preserve three or more of the short gastric arteries that supply the area below the wedge resection site. This may be considered a feasible apapproach to the management of the simultaneous occurrence of a mid-to-low gastric body adenocarcinoma and a high gastric body GIST.

Analysis of Factors Affecting the Smoking Rates Gap between Regions and Evaluation of Relative Efficiency of Smoking Cessation Projects (지역 간 흡연율 격차 영향요인 분석 및 금연사업 상대적 효율성 평가: Clustering Analysis와 Data Envelopment Analysis를 활용하여)

  • Kim, Heenyun;Lee, Da Ho;Jeong, Ji Yun;Gu, Yeo Jeong;Jeong, Hyoung Sun
    • Health Policy and Management
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    • v.30 no.2
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    • pp.199-210
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    • 2020
  • Background: Based on the importance of ceasing smoking programs to control the regional disparity of smoking behavior in Korea, this study aims to reveal the variation of smoke rate and determinants of it for 229 provinces. An evaluation of the relative efficiency of the cease smoking program under the consideration of regional characteristics was followed. Methods: The main sources of data are the Korean Statistical Information Service and a national survey on the expenditure of public health centers. Multivariate regression is performed to figure the determinants of regional variation of smoking rate. Based on the result of the regression model, clustering analysis was conducted to group 229 regions by their characteristics. Three clusters were generated. Using data envelopment analysis (DEA), relative efficiency scores are calculated. Results from the pooled model which put 229 provinces in one model to score relative efficiency were compared with the cluster-separated model of each cluster. Results: First, the maximum variation of the smoking rate was 16.9%p. Second, sex ration, the proportion of the elder, and high risk drinking alcohol behavior have a significant role in the regional variation of smoking. Third, the population and proportion of the elder are the main variables for clustering. Fourth, dissimilarity on the results of relative efficiency was found between the pooled model and cluster-separated model, especially for cluster 2. Conclusion: This study figured regional variation of smoking rate and its determinants on the regional level. Unconformity of the DEA results between different models implies the issues on regional features when the regional evaluation performed especially on the programs of public health centers.

Effects of Fire Fighters' Absence Ergonomics Risk Factor Exposer (현장활동 소방공무원의 인간공학적 유해요인 노출이 결근에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Seo-Yeon;Park, Dong-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.101-110
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    • 2014
  • This study tried to identify the effects of ergonomic risk factors for absence from work of fire fighters in Korea. A self-administered questionnaire was prepared for this study. The questionnaire consisted of several parts such as 'general information', 'work-related factors', 'physical & chemical risk factors', 'ergonomic risk factors', and 'absence information'. A total of 7,098 fire fighters participated in this study. The data obtained from the survey was mainly analyzed by logistic regression. A total of 856 out of 7,098 fire fighters experienced absence from work. The risk factors such as gender, age, marital status, education level, total work year, work area. position, job rotation, noise, dust, organic solvent, skin contact with chemical substance, toxic waste, regional vibration, manual material handling, continuous standing posture, awkward working posture were associated with absence from work. Specifically, awkward working posture and manual material handling from ergonomic risk factors were major risk factors for absence from work.

Comparison of Linear Accelerator and Helical Tomotherapy Plans for Glioblastoma Multiforme Patients

  • Koca, Timur;Basaran, Hamit;Sezen, Duygu;Karaca, Sibel;Ors, Yasemin;Arslan, Deniz;Aydin, Aysen
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.18
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    • pp.7811-7816
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    • 2014
  • Background: Despite advances in radiotherapy, overall survival of glioblastoma multiforme (GBM) patients is still poor. Moreover dosimetrical analyses with these newer treatment methods are insufficient. The current study is aimed to compare intensity modulated radiation therapy (IMRT) linear accelerator (linac) and helical tomotherapy (HT) treatment plans for patients with prognostic aggressive brain tumors. Material and Methods: A total of 20 GBM patient plans were prospectively evaluated in both linac and HT planning systems. Plans are compared with respect to homogenity index, conformity index and organs at risk (OAR) sparing effects of the treatments. Results: Both treatment plans provided good results that can be applied to GBM patients but it was concluded that if the critical organs with relatively lower dose constraints are closer to the target region, HT for radiotherapeutical application could be preferred. Conclusion: Tomotherapy plans were superior to linear accelerator plans from the aspect of OAR sparing with slightly broader low dose ranges over the healthy tissues. In case a clinic has both of these IMRT systems, employment of HT is recommended based on the observed results and future re-irradiation strategies must be considered.

An Fuzzy-based Risk Reasoning Driving Strategy on VANET

  • Lee, Byung-Kwan;Jeong, Yi-Na;Jeong, Eun-Hee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.16 no.6
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    • pp.57-67
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    • 2015
  • This paper proposes an Fuzzy-based Risk Reasoning Driving Strategy on VANET. Its first reasoning phase consists of a WC_risk reasoning that reasons the risk by using limited road factors such as current weather, density, accident, and construction, a DR_risk reasoning that reasons the risk by combining the driving resistance with the weight value suitable for the environment of highways and national roads, a DS_risk reasoning that judges the collision risk by using the travel direction, speed. and distance of vehicles and pedestrians, and a Total_risk reasoning that computes a final risk by using the three above-mentioned reasoning. Its second speed reduction proposal phase decides the reduction ratio according to the result of Total_risk and the reduction ratio by comparing the regulation speed of road to current vehicle's speed. Its third risk notification phase works in case current driving speed exceeds regulation speed or in case the Total_risk is higher than AV(Average Value). The Risk Notification Phase informs rear vehicles or pedestrians around of a risk according to drivers's response. If drivers use a brake according to the proposed speed reduction, the precedent vehicles transfers Risk Notification Messages to rear vehicles. If they don't use a brake, a current driving vehicle transfers a Risk Message to pedestrians. Therefore, this paper not only prevents collision accident beforehand by reasoning the risk happening to pedestrians and vehicles but also decreases the loss of various resources by reducing traffic jam.

Health Behavior Factors Related Type 2 Diabetes by Obesity for Health Promotion in Adolescents (청소년 건강증진교육을 위한 비만여부에 따른 당뇨병 관련 건강행태)

  • Paek, Kyung-Won;Chun, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of School Health
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.61-73
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    • 2008
  • Purpose: Several health behavior factors affect the incidence of type 2 diabetes. Especially, obesity, which causes insulin resistance, is the most important determinant of diabetes. Therefore, we expect the risk factors associated with insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes are affected by obesity and, additionally, the related factors with diabetes caused by obesity can be controlled. Methods: This study used data collected from the 2001 Korea National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES). A stratified multistage probability sampling method was applied and the final sample included 5,500 subjects over 30 years old who had completed necessary health examinations and health behaviors survey. Results: The risk factors associated with type 2 diabetes are affected by obesity. According to logistic regression model stratified by body mass index (BMI) and sex, abdominal obesity and age were the significant risk factors of diabetes regardless of sex and BMI. However, drinking, smoking, total energy consumption, and protein consumption were risk factors for women with normal BMI, while carbohydrate consumption was a risk factor for man with normal BMI. Sleeping hours affected diabetes for women with obesity and fiber consumption was a risk factor for both women and men with obesity. In addition, statistically the family history of diabetes was a significant risk factor only in the group with normal weight, not in the group with obesity. Conclusion: The study results will provide information for implementing a regional initiative of type 2 diabetes prevention by BMI.

Perception of the Patient Safety Risk Factors and Safety Management by Nurses in Emergency Service, Hospitals (응급실 간호사의 환자안전 위험요인에 대한 위험성 인식과 안전 간호활동)

  • Yun, Jung MI;Park, Hyoung Sook
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.380-391
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    • 2014
  • Purpose: This was a descriptive research study to examine the patient safety risk factors and the level of safety management of nurses in emergency service, hospitals and to analyze the relationship between the two factors. Method: Data for analysis were collected from 232 nurses in emergency service, hospitals in Busan and Gyeongnam from July 30 to September 7, 2013. Data were analyzed using descriptive statistics, t-test, one-way ANOVA, and Pearson correlation coefficients. Results: Therapeutic agents showed the highest risk level. The prevention of transfusion errors showed the highest performance. As the nurses were working in regional emergency medical centers and received education more than 7 sessions on patient safety, they readily recognized the riskiness of the safety risk factors. In addition, as the nurses were older than 40, married, having more education about safety and understood the incident report registration system well, they performed safety management better. There were significant correlations between perception of the patient safety risk factors and performance for safety management. Conclusion: Nurses in emergency service, hospitals should try to improve safety management to reduce the risk factors shown to be higher based on the results and ensure the patient safety.