• Title/Summary/Keyword: Recurrence analysis

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The Prognostic Value of Oligo-Recurrence Following Esophagectomy for Esophageal Cancer

  • Minsang Kang;Woojung Kim;Chang Hyun Kang;Kwon Joong Na;Samina Park;Hyun Joo Lee;In Kyu Park;Young Tae Kim
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.56 no.6
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2023
  • Background: The concept of oligo-recurrence has not been generally applied in esophageal cancer. This study aimed to determine the prognostic significance of the number of recurrences in esophageal cancer. Methods: Patients with squamous cell carcinoma who underwent curative esophagectomy with R0 or R1 resection and who experienced a confirmed recurrence were included. The study included 321 eligible participants from March 2001 to December 2019. The relationship between the number of recurrences and post-recurrence survival was investigated. Results: The mean age was 63.8±8.1 years, and the majority of the participants (97.5%) were men. The median time to recurrence was 10.7 months, and the median survival time after recurrence was 8.8 months. Multiple recurrences with simultaneous local, regional, and distant locations were common (38%). In terms of the number of recurrences, single recurrences were the most common (38.3%) and had the best post-recurrence survival rate (median, 17.1 months; p<0.001). Patients with 2 or 3 recurrences showed equivalent survival to each other and longer survival than those with 4 or more (median, 9.4 months; p<0.001). In the multivariable analysis, the significant predictors of post-recurrence survival were body mass index, minimally invasive esophagectomy, N stage, R0 resection, post-recurrence treatment, and the number of recurrences (p<0.05). Conclusion: After esophagectomy, the number of recurrences was the most significant risk factor influencing post-recurrence survival in patients with esophageal cancer. In esophageal cancer, oligo-recurrence can be defined as a recurrence with three or fewer metastases. More intensive treatment might be recommended if oligo-recurrence occurs.

Prognostication for recurrence patterns after curative resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma

  • Andrew Ang;Athena Michaelides;Claude Chelala;Dayem Ullah;Hemant M. Kocher
    • Annals of Hepato-Biliary-Pancreatic Surgery
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.248-261
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    • 2024
  • Backgrounds/Aims: This study aimed to investigate patterns and factors affecting recurrence after curative resection for pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). Methods: Consecutive patients who underwent curative resection for PDAC (2011-21) and consented to data and tissue collection (Barts Pancreas Tissue Bank) were followed up until May 2023. Clinico-pathological variables were analysed using Cox proportional hazards model. Results: Of 91 people (42 males [46%]; median age, 71 years [range, 43-86 years]) with a median follow-up of 51 months (95% confidence intervals [CIs], 40-61 months), the recurrence rate was 72.5% (n = 66; 12 loco-regional alone, 11 liver alone, 5 lung alone, 3 peritoneal alone, 29 simultaneous loco-regional and distant metastases, and 6 multi-focal distant metastases at first recurrence diagnosis). The median time to recurrence was 8.5 months (95% CI, 6.6-10.5 months). Median survival after recurrence was 5.8 months (95% CI, 4.2-7.3 months). Stratification by recurrence location revealed significant differences in time to recurrence between loco-regional only recurrence (median, 13.6 months; 95% CI, 11.7-15.5 months) and simultaneous loco-regional with distant recurrence (median, 7.5 months; 95% CI, 4.6-10.4 months; p = 0.02, pairwise log-rank test). Significant predictors for recurrence were systemic inflammation index (SII) ≥ 500 (hazard ratio [HR], 4.5; 95% CI, 1.4-14.3), lymph node ratio ≥ 0.33 (HR, 2.8; 95% CI, 1.4-5.8), and adjuvant chemotherapy (HR, 0.4; 95% CI, 0.2-0.7). Conclusions: Timing to loco-regional only recurrence was significantly longer than simultaneous loco-regional with distant recurrence. Significant predictors for recurrence were SII, lymph node ration, and adjuvant chemotherapy.

Exploratory data analysis for Korean daily exchange rate data with recurrence plots (재현그림을 통한 우리나라 환율 자료에 대한 탐색적 자료분석)

  • Jang, Dae-Heung
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.24 no.6
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    • pp.1103-1112
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    • 2013
  • Exploratory data analysis focuses mostly on data exploration instead of model fitting. We can use the recurrence plot as a graphical exploratory data analysis tool. With the recurrence plot, we can obtain the structural pattern of the time series and recognize the structural change points in time series at a glance.

Risk Factors for Early and Late Intrahepatic Recurrence in Patients with Single Hepatocellular Carcinoma Without Macrovascular Invasion after Curative Resection

  • Li, Shu-Hong;Guo, Zhi-Xing;Xiao, Cheng-Zuo;Wei, Wei;Shi, Ming;Chen, Zhi-Yuan;Cai, Mu-Yan;Zheng, Lie;Guo, Rong-Ping
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.8
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    • pp.4759-4763
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    • 2013
  • Background: Prognostic factors of postoperative early and late recurrence in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) undergoing curative resection remain to be clarified. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors for postoperative early (${\leq}$ 2 year) and late (> 2 year) intrahepatic recurrences in patients with single HCCs without macrovascular invasion. Methods: A total of 280 patients from December 2004 to December 2007 were retrospectively included in this study. Intrahepatic recurrence was classified into early (${\leq}$ 2 year) and late (> 2 year) and the Chi-Square test or Fisher's exact test and multivariate logistic regression analysis were performed to determine significant risk factors. Results: During the follow-up, 124 patients had intrahepatic recurrence, early and late in 82 and 42 patients, respectively. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that microvascular invasion (p=0.006, HR: 2.397, 95% CI: 1.290-4.451) was the only independent risk factor for early recurrence, while being female (p = 0.031, HR: 0.326, 95% CI: 0.118-0.901), and having a high degree of cirrhosis (P=0.001, HR: 2.483, 95% CI: 1.417-4.349) were independent risk factors for late recurrence. Conclusions: Early and late recurrence of HCC is linked to different risk factors in patients with single HCC without macrovascular invasion. This results suggested different emphases of strategies for prevent of recurrence after curative resection, more active intervention including adjuvant therapy, anti-cirrhosis drugs and careful follow-up being necessary for patients with relevant risk factors.

Factors related to Fear of Recurrence in Stroke Patients (뇌졸중 환자의 재발염려에 영향을 미치는 요인)

  • Chung, Ji Won;Kim, Jung-Hee
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Fundamentals of Nursing
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.190-197
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: Recently, the number of post-stroke survivors has increased. The physical deficits following stroke have been well studied, but there is little information on fear of recurrence in stroke patients. Objective: The purpose of this study was to investigate the health risk behaviors, health motivation and sense of control on fear of recurrence after a stroke. Method: Data were collected through a questionnaire that included items on general characteristics. Participants were recruited from the convalescent centers and outpatients clinics. Participants completed the mastery scale, health motivation scale, and a fear of stroke recurrence scale. The data were analyzed using hierarchial multiple regressions analysis with SPSS version 18.0. Results: Levels of fear of recurrence, health motivation and sense of control were moderate with means of 19.76(SD=5.15), 26.85(SD=5.10), and 16.69(SD=4.65), respectively. Health motivation and sense of control contributed to fear of recurrence. The variables explained 30.5% of variance in fear of recurrence. Conclusions: Results indicate that interventions for fear of recurrence management after stroke should take into account health motivation and sense of control.

Analysis of Forward Recurrence Time in Alternating Renewal Process

  • Lee, Eui-Yong;An, Hye-Ran;Choi, Seung-Kyoung
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2002.11a
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    • pp.115-117
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we obtain an explicit formula of the Laplace transform of the forward recurrence time at finite time t > 0 in an alternating renewal process, by adopting a Markovian approach. As a consequence, we obtain the first two moments of the forward recurrence time.

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Predictors of Recurrence after Curative Resection in Patients with Early-Stage Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer

  • Lee, Sang Hee;Jo, Eun Jung;Eom, Jung Seop;Mok, Jeong Ha;Kim, Mi Hyun;Lee, Kwangha;Kim, Ki Uk;Park, Hye-Kyung;Lee, Chang Hun;Kim, Yeong Dae;Lee, Min Ki
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.78 no.4
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    • pp.341-348
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    • 2015
  • Background: There have been various results from studies concerning the predictors of recurrence in early-stage nonsmall cell lung cancer (NSCLC). Therefore, an accurate assessment is needed to guide effective adjuvant therapy. We investigated the predictors of a recurrence in patients with resected, early-stage NSCLC and the risk factors associated with locoregional or distant recurrence. Methods: This retrospective study was conducted on patients at the Pusan National University Hospital from January 2006 to December 2011. Patients with pathological stages I or II were included in this study, as based on the seventh edition TNM staging system. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to identify factors associated with recurrence. Results: Two hundred and forty-nine patients were included. Among them, 180 patients were stage I, and 69 were stage II. Overall, by multivariate analysis, the independent factors associated with a 5-year total recurrence were the presence of visceral pleural invasion (VPI) (p=0.018) and maximal standardized uptake values (SUVs) of tumors on positron emission tomography (PET) >4.5 (p=0.037). The VPI was the only independent risk factor associated with both locoregional and distant recurrence, in the analysis of the patterns of tumor recurrence and their risk factors. In the subgroup analysis of stage I patients, three variables (male, VPI and resection margin positive) were significantly associated with a 5-year recurrence. Conclusion: The independent factors associated with postoperative recurrence in early-stage NSCLC were as follows: PET SUV >4.5 and the presence of VPI. For patients with those factors adjuvant therapy should be recommended as a more efficacious treatment.

Long-Term Outcomes in Stage I Lung Cancer After Segmentectomy with a Close Resection Margin

  • Kim, Dae Hyeon;Na, Kwon Joong;Park, In Kyu;Kang, Chang Hyun;Kim, Young Tae;Park, Samina
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.54 no.5
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    • pp.361-368
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    • 2021
  • Background: In general, a 2-cm surgical margin is recommended for limited resection to obtain equivalent oncologic outcomes to lobectomy for lung cancer. This study aimed to examine the patterns of recurrence and prognostic factors for recurrence in patients with a close parenchymal resection margin. Methods: From January 2009 to April 2017, 156 patients with stage I lung cancer who underwent segmentectomy with a close resection margin (<2 cm) were enrolled. Recurrence-free survival and overall survival were assessed. In addition, predisposing factors for recurrence were evaluated. Results: The mean tumor size was 1.7±0.8 cm and the parenchymal resection margin was 1.1±0.6 cm. Recurrence developed in 17 (10.7%) of the 156 patients, and the 5-year recurrence-free survival rate was 88.9%. Distant metastasis (7.7%) was the predominant recurrence pattern. The isolated local recurrence rate was 1.9%. Multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age, tumor size, mediastinal lymph node dissection, postoperative complications, and histologic type were significant predisposing factors for recurrence. However, parenchymal margin distance did not significantly affect the long-term prognosis. Conclusion: Segmentectomy with a close resection margin for early-stage lung cancer in selected patients resulted in acceptable recurrence and survival. However, patients with tumors larger than 2 cm, squamous cell carcinoma histology, and insufficient mediastinal evaluation should be carefully followed up for recurrence.

Identifying Predictive Factors for the Recurrence of Pediatric Intussusception

  • Lee, Dong Hyun;Kim, Se Jin;Lee, Hee Jung;Jang, Hyo-Jeong
    • Pediatric Gastroenterology, Hepatology & Nutrition
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    • v.22 no.2
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    • pp.142-151
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    • 2019
  • Purpose: The aim of the study was to identify factors related to the recurrence of intussusception in pediatric patients. Methods: The medical charts of patients diagnosed with intussusception and treated at Dongsan Medical Center, between March 2015 to June 2017, were retrospectively reviewed. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed. Results: Among 137 patients, 23 patients (16.8%) had a recurrent intussusception and 8 of these patients (6%) had more than 2 episodes of recurrence. The age at diagnosis was significantly different between the non-recurrence and recurrence group (p=0.026), with age >1 year at the time of diagnosis associated with a greater rate of recurrence (p=0.002). The time interval from symptom onset to the initial reduction (<48 vs. ${\geq}48$ hours) was significantly longer in the recurrence group (p=0.034) and patients in the recurrence group had higher levels of C-reactive protein (CRP) (p=0.024). Bloody stools and a history of infection were significantly more frequent in the non-recurrence group (p=0.001 and p<0.001, respectively). On stepwise regression analysis, age >1 year at the time of presentation (odds ratio [OR], 4.79; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.56-14.06; p=0.016) and no history of infection (OR, 0.18; 95% CI, 0.06-0.58; p=0.004) were retained as predictors of recurrence. Conclusion: Patients with intussusception who are older than 1 year at diagnosis, have an elevated CRP level, a delay of ${\geq}48$ hours between symptom onset and the initial reduction, an absence of bloody stools, and no history of infection should be closely monitoring for symptoms and signs of a possible recurrence.

Clinical Analysis of Recurrent Chronic Subdural Hematoma

  • Kang, Hyoung-Lae;Shin, Hyung-Shik;Kim, Tae-Hong;Hwang, Yang-Soon;Park, Sang-Keun
    • Journal of Korean Neurosurgical Society
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    • v.40 no.4
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    • pp.262-266
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    • 2006
  • Objective : Chronic subdural hematoma[CSDH] is usually treated by burr hole trephination and hematoma evacuation with closed drainage and the surgical result is relatively good in most reported series. But, some patients experience the recurrence of CSDH. We study the clinical factors related to the recurrence of CSDH. Methods : 213 consecutive patients with CSDH who were treated with burr hole trephination and hematoma evacuation with closed drainage. The medical records, radiologic findings were reviewed retrospectively and clinical factors associated with the recurrent CSDH were analysed statistically. Results : 8.4%[18 cases] of the 213 patients who were treated due to CSDH were recurred. The demographic variables such as age, sex, coexisting diseases were not related to the recurrence. The preoperative hematoma thickness and postoperative hematoma thickness were not associated with the recurrence. The only factor related to the recurrence is postoperative hematoma density in this study. Conclusion : This study shows that postoperative hematoma density was strongly related to the recurrence of CSDH. However, several factors associated with the recurrent CSDH were reported in the liletrature. Thus, further study will be needed to uncover the factors related to the recurrence of CSDH.