• 제목/요약/키워드: Real-time prediction

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실시간 가중 회기최소자승법을 사용한 익일 부하예측 (Real-Time Building Load Prediction by the On-Line Weighted Recursive Least Square Method)

  • 한도영;이재무
    • 설비공학논문집
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    • 제12권6호
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    • pp.609-615
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    • 2000
  • The energy conservation is one of the most important issues in recent years. Especially, the energy conservation through improved control strategies is one of the most highly possible area to be implemented in the near future. The energy conservation of the ice storage system can be accomplished through the improved control strategies. A real time building load prediction algorithm was developed. The expected highest and the lowest outdoor temperature of the next day were used to estimate the next day outdoor temperature profile. The measured dry bulb temperature and the measured building load were used to estimate system parameters by using the on-line weighted recursive least square method. The estimated hourly outdoor temperatures and the estimated hourly system parameters were used to predict the next day hourly building loads. In order to see the effectiveness of the building load prediction algorithm, two different types of building models were selected and analysed. The simulation results show less than 1% in error for the prediction of the next day building loads. Therefore, this algorithm may successfully be used for the development of improved control algorithms of the ice storage system.

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순환 신경망 기반 딥러닝 모델들을 활용한 실시간 스트리밍 트래픽 예측 (Real-Time Streaming Traffic Prediction Using Deep Learning Models Based on Recurrent Neural Network)

  • 김진호;안동혁
    • 정보처리학회논문지:컴퓨터 및 통신 시스템
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2023
  • 최근 실시간 스트리밍 플랫폼을 기반으로 한 다양한 멀티미디어 컨텐츠의 수요량과 트래픽 양이 급격히 증가하고 있는 추세이다. 본 논문에서는 실시간 스트리밍 서비스의 품질을 향상시키기 위해서 실시간 스트리밍 트래픽을 예측한다. 네트워크 트래픽을 예측하기 위해 통계적 모형을 활용하였으나, 실시간 스트리밍 트래픽은 매우 동적으로 변화함에 따라 통계적 모형보다는 순환 신경망 기반 딥러닝 모델이 적합하다. 따라서, 실시간 스트리밍 트래픽을 수집, 정제 후 Vanilla RNN, LSTM, GRU, Bi-LSTM, Bi-GRU 모델을 활용하여 예측하며, 각 모델의 학습 시간, 정확도를 측정하여 비교한다.

반사 소음을 고려한 능동 적응 소음 제어기의 실시간 구현 (Real-time Implementationi of the Active Adaptive Noise Controller Considering the Reflected Noise)

  • 이종필;장영수;정찬수
    • 한국음향학회지
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    • 제9권6호
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 1990
  • Real-time implementations of the active adaptive noise controller are proposed and tested. There are three problems in active noise control such as real-time processing, an acoustic feedback of secondary signal and a time-delay of control system elements. For real-time processing, the DSP56001 was used. To avoid acoustic feedback, the secondary signal was excluded from prediction. And for compensation of time delay, the ahead prediction was applied. As the primary noise is reflected in space, the reflected noise should be controlled for perfect noise control. But in this case, the controller might be unstable. For solving the problem, it is proposed that the source noise and the reflected noise are predicted separately. Some experimental results show the stability and effectiveness of the proposed controller.

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확장칼만필터를 이용한 실시간 표적추적 (Real-time Target Tracking System by Extended Kalman Filter)

  • 임양남;이성철
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제15권7호
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    • pp.175-181
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    • 1998
  • This paper describes realtime visual tracking system of moving object for three dimensional target using EKF(Extended Kalman Filter). We present a new realtime visual tracking using EKF algorithm and image prediction algorithm. We demonstrate the performance of these tracking algorithm through real experiment. The experimental results show the effectiveness of the EKF algorithm and image prediction algorithm for realtime tracking and estimated state value of filter, predicting the position of moving object to minimize an image processing area, and by reducing the effect by quantization noise of image.

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Accurate Prediction of Real-Time MPEG-4 Variable Bit Rate Video Traffic

  • Lee, Kang-Yong;Kim, Moon-Seong;Jang, Hee-Seon;Cho, Kee-Seong
    • ETRI Journal
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    • 제29권6호
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    • pp.823-825
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    • 2007
  • In this letter, we propose a novel algorithm to predict MPEG-coded real-time variable bit rate (VBR) video traffic. From the frame size measurement, the algorithm extracts the statistical property of video traffic and utilizes it for the prediction of the next frame for I-, P-, and B- frames. The simulation results conducted with real-world MPEG-4 VBR video traces show that the proposed algorithm is capable of providing more accurate prediction than those in the research literature.

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모바일 기기에서 개인화 추천을 위한 실시간 선호도 예측 방법에 대한 연구 (A Study on the Real-Time Preference Prediction for Personalized Recommendation on the Mobile Device)

  • 이학민;엄종석
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제20권2호
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    • pp.336-343
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    • 2017
  • We propose a real time personalized recommendation algorithm on the mobile device. We use a unified collaborative filtering with reduced data. We use Fuzzy C-means clustering to obtain the reduced data and Konohen SOM is applied to get initial values of the cluster centers. The proposed algorithm overcomes data sparsity since it extends data to the similar users and similar items. Also, it enables real time service on the mobile device since it reduces computing time by data clustering. Applying the suggested algorithm to the MovieLens data, we show that the suggested algorithm has reasonable performance in comparison with collaborative filtering. We developed Android-based smart-phone application, which recommends restaurants with coupons and restaurant information.

Plurality Rule-based Density and Correlation Coefficient-based Clustering for K-NN

  • Aung, Swe Swe;Nagayama, Itaru;Tamaki, Shiro
    • IEIE Transactions on Smart Processing and Computing
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    • 제6권3호
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    • pp.183-192
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    • 2017
  • k-nearest neighbor (K-NN) is a well-known classification algorithm, being feature space-based on nearest-neighbor training examples in machine learning. However, K-NN, as we know, is a lazy learning method. Therefore, if a K-NN-based system very much depends on a huge amount of history data to achieve an accurate prediction result for a particular task, it gradually faces a processing-time performance-degradation problem. We have noticed that many researchers usually contemplate only classification accuracy. But estimation speed also plays an essential role in real-time prediction systems. To compensate for this weakness, this paper proposes correlation coefficient-based clustering (CCC) aimed at upgrading the performance of K-NN by leveraging processing-time speed and plurality rule-based density (PRD) to improve estimation accuracy. For experiments, we used real datasets (on breast cancer, breast tissue, heart, and the iris) from the University of California, Irvine (UCI) machine learning repository. Moreover, real traffic data collected from Ojana Junction, Route 58, Okinawa, Japan, was also utilized to lay bare the efficiency of this method. By using these datasets, we proved better processing-time performance with the new approach by comparing it with classical K-NN. Besides, via experiments on real-world datasets, we compared the prediction accuracy of our approach with density peaks clustering based on K-NN and principal component analysis (DPC-KNN-PCA).

결측 택시 Probe 통행속도 예측기법 개발에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Development of a Technique to Predict Missing Travel Speed Collected by Taxi Probe)

  • 윤병조
    • 대한토목학회논문집
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    • 제31권1D호
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    • pp.43-50
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    • 2011
  • 택시 프로브(Probe)를 이용한 구간통행속도 모니터링체계는 지능형교통체계(ITS)의 핵심적인 하부시스템 중 하나이다. 택시 프로브기법을 통해 수집되는 구간통행속도는 도시가로망의 교통상태 모니터링과 통행시간 정보제공에 널리 활용되고 있다. 그러나 택시 Probe기법은 표본수가 적고 교통혼잡으로 인하여 구간통행시간이 자료수집 주기보다 큰 경우, 실시간으로 자료가 수집되지 않는 누락상태가 발생하게 된다. 이러한 누락상태는 단일시간대에서 다중시간대에 걸쳐 발생하게 되며, 기존의 단일시간대 예측기법으로는 다중시간대의 상태를 예측하지 못하는 단점이 있다. 따라서 다중시간대 누락상태에서 실시간 구간통행속도를 예측하기위한 기법이 요구된다. 본 연구에서는 기존의 단일시간대 예측기법의 한계를 극복하면서 단일 및 다중시간대 통행속도를 예측하기위한 기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형은 비모수회귀(NPR)을 기반으로 개발되었으며, 다중시간대 예측에도 불구하고 기존의 단일시간대 예측기법보다 우수한 정확도를 보였다.

Real-time modeling prediction for excavation behavior

  • Ni, Li-Feng;Li, Ai-Qun;Liu, Fu-Yi;Yin, Honore;Wu, J.R.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제16권6호
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    • pp.643-654
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    • 2003
  • Two real-time modeling prediction (RMP) schemes are presented in this paper for analyzing the behavior of deep excavations during construction. The first RMP scheme is developed from the traditional AR(p) model. The second is based on the simplified Elman-style recurrent neural networks. An on-line learning algorithm is introduced to describe the dynamic behavior of deep excavations. As a case study, in-situ measurements of an excavation were recorded and the measured data were used to verify the reliability of the two schemes. They proved to be both effective and convenient for predicting the behavior of deep excavations during construction. It is shown through the case study that the RMP scheme based on the neural network is more accurate than that based on the traditional AR(p) model.

실시간 성형하중 계측을 통한 냉간단조 금형수명 정량예측 정밀도 향상 연구 (A Study on Improving the Precision of Quantitative Prediction of Cold Forging Die Life Cycle Through Real Time Forging Load Measurement)

  • 서영호
    • 소성∙가공
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    • 제30권4호
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    • pp.172-178
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    • 2021
  • The cold forging process induces material deformation in an enclosed space, generating a very high forging load. Therefore, it is mainly designed as a multi-stage process, and fatigue failure occurs in forging die due to cyclic load. Studies have been conducted previously to quantitatively predict the fatigue limit of cold forging dies, however, there was a limit to field application due to the large error range and the need for expert intervention. To solve this problem, we conducted a study on the introduction of a real-time forging load measurement technology and an automated system for quantitative prediction of die life cycle. As a result, it was possible to reduce the error range of the quantitative prediction of die life cycle to within ±7%, and it became possible to use the die life cycle calculation algorithm into an automated system.