• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real-time Rainfall

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A study on the evaluation of dangerous roads under heavy rain (집중호우에 의한 위험도로 평가에 관한 연구)

  • Song, Youngmi;Jung, Myungkyun;Kim, Chang Soo
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Information and Commucation Sciences Conference
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    • 2013.05a
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    • pp.917-918
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    • 2013
  • Navigation or Portal sites is providing real-time information of roads according to heavy rain in guide services for finding a path recently. Especially "e-traffic alerts" is providing traffic information according to the presence of road flooding and accidents. This research is goal to provide drivers to real-time status information of roads which have the connected its information to support the real-time rainfall information of meteorological office and portal sites. We suggest the evaluation method of risk roads combined the real-time rainfall information and portal information.

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Assessment of Flash Flood Forecasting based on SURR model using Predicted Radar Rainfall in the TaeHwa River Basin

  • Duong, Ngoc Tien;Heo, Jae-Yeong;Kim, Jeong-Bae;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2022.05a
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    • pp.146-146
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    • 2022
  • A flash flood is one of the most hazardous natural events caused by heavy rainfall in a short period of time in mountainous areas with steep slopes. Early warning of flash flood is vital to minimize damage, but challenges remain in the enhancing accuracy and reliability of flash flood forecasts. The forecasters can easily determine whether flash flood is occurred using the flash flood guidance (FFG) comparing to rainfall volume of the same duration. In terms of this, the hydrological model that can consider the basin characteristics in real time can increase the accuracy of flash flood forecasting. Also, the predicted radar rainfall has a strength for short-lead time can be useful for flash flood forecasting. Therefore, using both hydrological models and radar rainfall forecasts can improve the accuracy of flash flood forecasts. In this study, FFG was applied to simulate some flash flood events in the Taehwa river basin by using of SURR model to consider soil moisture, and applied to the flash flood forecasting using predicted radar rainfall. The hydrometeorological data are gathered from 2011 to 2021. Furthermore, radar rainfall is forecasted up to 6-hours has been used to forecast flash flood during heavy rain in August 2021, Wulsan area. The accuracy of the predicted rainfall is evaluated and the correlation between observed and predicted rainfall is analyzed for quantitative evaluation. The results show that with a short lead time (1-3hr) the result of forecast flash flood events was very close to collected information, but with a larger lead time big difference was observed. The results obtained from this study are expected to use for set up the emergency planning to prevent the damage of flash flood.

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Forecasting the Flood Inflow into Irrigation Reservoir (관개저수지의 홍수유입량 예측)

  • 문종필;엄민용;박철동;김태얼
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 1999.10c
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    • pp.512-518
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    • 1999
  • Recently rainfall and water evel are monitored via on -line system in real-time bases. We applied the on-line system to get the rainfall and waterlevel data for the development of the real-time flood forecasting model based on SCS method in hourly bases. Main parameters for the model calibration are concentration time of flood and soil moisture condition in the watershed. Other parameters of the model are based on SCS TR-%% and DAWAST model. Simplex method is used for promoting the accuracy of parameter estimation. The basic concept of the model is minimizing the error range between forcasted flood inflow and actual flood inflow, and accurately forecasting the flood discharge some hours in advance depending on the concentration time. The flood forecasting model developed was applied to the Yedang and Topjung reservoir.

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Accuracy analysis of flood forecasting of a coupled hydrological and NWP (Numerical Weather Prediction) model

  • Nguyen, Hoang Minh;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.194-194
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    • 2017
  • Flooding is one of the most serious and frequently occurred natural disaster at many regions around the world. Especially, under the climate change impact, it is more and more increasingly trend. To reduce the flood damage, flood forecast and its accuracy analysis are required. This study is conducted to analyze the accuracy of the real-time flood forecasting of a coupled meteo-hydrological model for the Han River basin, South Korea. The LDAPS (Local Data Assimilation and Prediction System) products with the spatial resolution of 1.5km and lead time of 36 hours are extracted and used as inputs for the SURR (Sejong University Rainfall-Runoff) model. Three statistical criteria consisting of CC (Corelation Coefficient), RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) and ME (Model Efficiency) are used to evaluate the performance of this couple. The results are expected that the accuracy of the flood forecasting reduces following the increase of lead time corresponding to the accuracy reduction of LDAPS rainfall. Further study is planed to improve the accuracy of the real-time flood forecasting.

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Application of a Distribution Rainfall-Runoff Model on the Nakdong River Basin

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob;Sun, Mingdong
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.976-976
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    • 2012
  • The applicability of a distributed rainfall-runoff model for large river basin flood forecasts is analyzed by applying the model to the Nakdong River basin. The spatially explicit hydrologic model was constructed and calibrated by the several storm events. The assimilation of the large scale Nakdong River basin were conducted by calibrating the sub-basin channel outflow, dam discharge in the basin rainfall-runoff model. The applicability of automatic and semi-automatic calibration methods was analyzed for real time calibrations. Further an ensemble distributed rainfall runoff model has been developed to measure the runoff hydrograph generated for any temporally-spatially varied rainfall events, also the runoff of basin can be forecast at any location as well. The results of distributed rainfall-runoff model are very useful for flood managements on the large scale basins. That offer facile, realistic management method for the avoiding the potential flooding impacts and provide a reference for the construct and developing of flood control facilities.

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Development and Assessment of Flow Nomograph for the Real-time Flood Forecasting in Cheonggye Stream (청계천 실시간 홍수예보를 위한 Flow Nomograph 개발 및 평가)

  • Bae, Deg-Hyo;Shim, Jae Bum;Yoon, Seong-Sim
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.45 no.11
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    • pp.1107-1119
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    • 2012
  • The objectives of this study are to develop the flow nomograph for real-time flood forecasting and to assess its applicability in restored Cheonggye stream. The Cheonggye stream basin has the high impermeability and short concentration time and complicated hydrological characteristics. Therefore, the flood prediction method using runoff model is ineffective due to the limit of forecast. Flow nomograph which is able to forecast flood only with rainfall information. To set the forecast criteria of flow nomograph at selected flood forecast points and calculated criterion flood water level for each point, and in order to reflect various flood events set up simulated rainfall scenario and calculated rainfall intensity and rainfall duration time for each condition of rainfall. Besides, using a rating curve, determined scope of flood discharge following criterion flood water level and using SWMM model calculated flood discharge for each forecasting point. Using rainfall information following rainfall scenario calculated above and flood discharge following criterion flood water level developed flow nomograph and evaluated it by applying it to real flood event. As a result of performing this study, the applicability of flow nomograph to the basin of Cheonggye stream appeared to be high. In the future, it is reckoned to have high applicability as a method of prediction of flood of urban stream basin like Cheonggye stream.

Development of Real-Time River Flow Forecasting Model with Data Assimilation Technique (자료동화 기법을 연계한 실시간 하천유량 예측모형 개발)

  • Lee, Byong-Ju;Bae, Deg-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.199-208
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    • 2011
  • The objective of this study is to develop real-time river flow forecast model by linking continuous rainfall-runoff model with ensemble Kalman filter technique. Andong dam basin is selected as study area and the model performance is evaluated for two periods, 2006. 7.1~8.18 and 2007. 8.1~9.30. The model state variables for data assimilation are defined as soil water content, basin storage and channel storage. This model is designed so as to be updated the state variables using measured inflow data at Andong dam. The analysing result from the behavior of the state variables, predicted state variable as simulated discharge is updated 74% toward measured one. Under the condition of assuming that the forecasted rainfall is equal to the measured one, the model accuracy with and without data assimilation is analyzed. The model performance of the former is better than that of the latter as much as 49.6% and 33.1% for 1 h-lead time during the evaluation period, 2006 and 2007. The real-time river flow forecast model using rainfall-runoff model linking with data assimilation process can show better forecasting result than the existing methods using rainfall-runoff model only in view of the results so far achieved.

Estimation of Inundation Area by Linking of Rainfall-Duration-Flooding Quantity Relationship Curve with Self-Organizing Map (강우량-지속시간-침수량 관계곡선과 자기조직화 지도의 연계를 통한 범람범위 추정)

  • Kim, Hyun Il;Keum, Ho Jun;Han, Kun Yeun
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.38 no.6
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    • pp.839-850
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    • 2018
  • The flood damage in urban areas due to torrential rain is increasing with urbanization. For this reason, accurate and rapid flooding forecasting and expected inundation maps are needed. Predicting the extent of flooding for certain rainfalls is a very important issue in preparing flood in advance. Recently, government agencies are trying to provide expected inundation maps to the public. However, there is a lack of quantifying the extent of inundation caused by a particular rainfall scenario and the real-time prediction method for flood extent within a short time. Therefore the real-time prediction of flood extent is needed based on rainfall-runoff-inundation analysis. One/two dimensional model are continued to analyize drainage network, manhole overflow and inundation propagation by rainfall condition. By applying the various rainfall scenarios considering rainfall duration/distribution and return periods, the inundation volume and depth can be estimated and stored on a database. The Rainfall-Duration-Flooding Quantity (RDF) relationship curve based on the hydraulic analysis results and the Self-Organizing Map (SOM) that conducts unsupervised learning are applied to predict flooded area with particular rainfall condition. The validity of the proposed methodology was examined by comparing the results of the expected flood map with the 2-dimensional hydraulic model. Based on the result of the study, it is judged that this methodology will be useful to provide an unknown flood map according to medium-sized rainfall or frequency scenario. Furthermore, it will be used as a fundamental data for flood forecast by establishing the RDF curve which the relationship of rainfall-outflow-flood is considered and the database of expected inundation maps.

Urban Watershed Runoff Analysis Using Urban Runoff Models (도시유출 모형을 이용한 도시화 유역의 유출 해석)

  • Jeong, Dong-Guk;Lee, Beom-Hui
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.75-85
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    • 2003
  • Urban rainfall-runoff procedures are more complex than the agricultural procedures due to the spreading and development of town. And the applications of theses models are more difficult due to the change of real basins. In this study, I applied SWMM and Expert System to get runoff characteristics of an urbanized basin. Noen in Daejeon is selected as a study basin. Real basin data of facilities, rainfall, runoff, and various rainfall intensity equations are used. An Expert System is used to get the parameters of this model. These results can be applied to analyze the reaction tendencies of the urban basin with the time distributions of design rainfall and the urbanization.

Evaluation of GPM IMERG Applicability Using SPI based Satellite Precipitation (SPI를 활용한 GPM IMERG 자료의 적용성 평가)

  • Jang, Sangmin;Rhee, Jinyoung;Yoon, Sunkwon;Lee, Taehwa;Park, Kyungwon
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.59 no.3
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2017
  • In this study, the GPM (Global Precipitation Mission) IMERG (Integrated Multi-satellitE retrievals for GPM) rainfall data was verified and evaluated using ground AWS (Automated Weather Station) and radar in order to investigate the availability of GPM IMERG rainfall data. The SPI (Standardized Precipitation Index) was calculated based on the GPM IMERG data and also compared with the results obtained from the ground observation data for the Hoengseong Dam and Yongdam Dam areas. For the radar data, 1.5 km CAPPI rainfall data with a resolution of 10 km and 30 minutes was generated by applying the Z-R relationship ($Z=200R^{1.6}$) and used for accuracy verification. In order to calculate the SPI, PERSIANN_CDR and TRMM 3B42 were used for the period prior to the GPM IMERG data availability range. As a result of latency verification, it was confirmed that the performance is relatively higher than that of the early run mode in the late run mode. The GPM IMERG rainfall data has a high accuracy for 20 mm/h or more rainfall as a result of the comparison with the ground rainfall data. The analysis of the time scale of the SPI based on GPM IMERG and changes in normal annual precipitation adequately showed the effect of short term rainfall cases on local drought relief. In addition, the correlation coefficient and the determination coefficient were 0.83, 0.914, 0.689 and 0.835, respectively, between the SPI based GPM IMERG and the ground observation data. Therefore, it can be used as a predictive factor through the time series prediction model. We confirmed the hydrological utilization and the possibility of real time drought monitoring using SPI based on GPM IMERG rainfall, even though results presented in this study were limited to some rainfall cases.