• 제목/요약/키워드: Real-Time Prediction

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태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델 분석 (Analysis of prediction model for solar power generation)

  • 송재주;정윤수;이상호
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2014
  • 최근 태양광에너지는 실시간 태양의 위치를 추적하여 모듈경사각과 이루는 갓을 산정하여 일사량을 보정하는 부분에서 컴퓨팅과의 결합이 확대되고 있다. 태양광 발전은 태양의 위치에 따라 출력변동이 심하고 출력 예측이 어려워 효율적인 전력 생산을 위해서 신재생에너지를 전력계통에 안정적으로 연계할 수 있는 기술이 필요하다. 본 논문에서는 실증단지 내 발전단지의 실시간 기상자료 예측값을 이용하여 최종적으로 태양광 발전량 예측값을 산정하는 태양광 발전을 위한 발전량 예측 모델을 분석한다. 태양광 발전량은 태양광 발전기별 모듈특성, 온도 등을 감안하여 보정계수를 입력하고 예측 지역의 위치 경사각을 분석하여 발전량 예측 계산 알고리즘을 통해 최종 발전량을 예측한다. 또한, 제안 모델에서는 실시간 기상청 관측자료와 실시간 중기 예측 자료를 입력 자료로 사용하여 단기 예측 모델을 수행한다.

저가형 측위장치에 RTS 보정정보의 실시간 LSTM 예측 기능 구현을 통한 PPP (Real-time LSTM Prediction of RTS Correction for PPP by a Low-cost Positioning Device)

  • 김범수;김민규;김정래;부성춘;이철수
    • 한국항행학회논문지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.119-124
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    • 2022
  • IGS (international gnss service)에서는 GNSS (global navigation satellite system) 위성의 항법메시지에 적용할 수 있는 RTS (real-time service) 궤도 및 시계 보정정보를 제공한다. 하지만, 인터넷 단절이 발생하면 RTS 값을 수신할 수 없으므로, 안정적인 PPP (precise point positioning)를 수행하기 위해 신호 단절이 발생한 경우 RTS 보정정보를 예측해서 사용해야 한다. 본 논문에서는 실시간으로 신호 단절 구간에서 LSTM (long short-term memory) 알고리듬으로 궤도 및 시계 보정정보를 예측하여 PPP를 진행하였다. 연산 처리 속도가 빠르지 않은 Raspberry Pi (RPI)에 LSTM 알고리듬을 구현하여 예측성능을 분석하였다. 다항식 예측기법과 비교하여 LSTM은 장기간 예측에서 우수한 성능을 보였다.

RAMS의 실시간 기상장 예측 향상을 위한 최신 토지피복도 자료의 적용가능성 (Applicable Evaluation of the Latest Land-use Data for Developing a Real-time Atmospheric Field Prediction of RAMS)

  • 원경미;이화운;유정아;홍현수;황만식;천광수;최광수;이문순
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제24권1호
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2008
  • Chemical Accident Response Information System (CARIS) which has been designed for the efficient emergency response of chemical accidents produces the real-time atmospheric fields through the Regional Atmospheric Modeling System, RAMS. The previous studies were emphasized that improving an initial input data had more effective results in developing prediction ability of atmospheric model. In a continuous effort to improve an initial input data, we replaced the land-use dataset using in the RAMS, which is a high resolution USGS digital data constructed in April, 1993, with the latest land-use data of the Korea Ministry of Environment over the South Korea and simulated atmospheric fields for developing a real-time prediction in dispersion of chemicals. The results showed that the new land-use data was written in a standard RAMS format and shown the modified surface characteristics and the landscape heterogeneity resulting from land-use change. In the results of sensitivity experiment we got the improved atmospheric fields and assured that it will give more reliable real-time atmospheric fields to all users of CARIS for the dispersion forecast in associated with hazardous chemical releases as well as general air pollutants.

인공 신경망을 이용한 실시간 용접품질 예측에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Prediction of Welding Flaw Using Neural Network)

  • 조재형;고상현
    • 디지털융복합연구
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    • 제17권5호
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    • pp.217-223
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    • 2019
  • 자동차 분야에서 저항 점용접의 결함 및 품질을 실시간으로 예측할 수 있는 연구는 원가절감과 고품질 생산을 위한 필수 불가결한 연구 분야라 할 수 있다. 용접 품질은 전단강도와 너깃의 크기에 의해서 결정되며 여러 가지 독립변수에 따라 결과가 달라진다. 실시간 예측시스템을 개발하기 위하여 다중 회귀분석을 실시하여 3개의 독립변수로 두 가지 종속변수를 충분한 통계적 결과로 구하였으나 회귀식에 의한 품질 예측은 정확도를 보장할 수 없었다. 본 연구에서는 다층 신경망 회로를 구축하였다. 10가지의 동저항 변수에 의한 신경망은 3개의 은닉층을 구축하여 실행 함수와 가중치 행렬을 구하였다. 그러나 이 경우, 입력 변수가 너무 많아 실시간 제어에 어려움이 있을 수 있으므로 회귀분석에 의한 3개의 독립변수로 신경망을 구축하였다. 그 결과 모든 시험데이터를 불량, 부분 불량, 양품으로 구분하는데 성공하였다. 따라서 다중 회귀분석에 의해서 구한 3개의 독립변수에 의한 실시간 용접 품질 판정 시스템을 완성할 수 있었다.

Real-time prediction on the slurry concentration of cutter suction dredgers using an ensemble learning algorithm

  • Han, Shuai;Li, Mingchao;Li, Heng;Tian, Huijing;Qin, Liang;Li, Jinfeng
    • 국제학술발표논문집
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    • The 8th International Conference on Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • pp.463-481
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    • 2020
  • Cutter suction dredgers (CSDs) are widely used in various dredging constructions such as channel excavation, wharf construction, and reef construction. During a CSD construction, the main operation is to control the swing speed of cutter to keep the slurry concentration in a proper range. However, the slurry concentration cannot be monitored in real-time, i.e., there is a "time-lag effect" in the log of slurry concentration, making it difficult for operators to make the optimal decision on controlling. Concerning this issue, a solution scheme that using real-time monitored indicators to predict current slurry concentration is proposed in this research. The characteristics of the CSD monitoring data are first studied, and a set of preprocessing methods are presented. Then we put forward the concept of "index class" to select the important indices. Finally, an ensemble learning algorithm is set up to fit the relationship between the slurry concentration and the indices of the index classes. In the experiment, log data over seven days of a practical dredging construction is collected. For comparison, the Deep Neural Network (DNN), Long Short Time Memory (LSTM), Support Vector Machine (SVM), Random Forest (RF), Gradient Boosting Decision Tree (GBDT), and the Bayesian Ridge algorithm are tried. The results show that our method has the best performance with an R2 of 0.886 and a mean square error (MSE) of 5.538. This research provides an effective way for real-time predicting the slurry concentration of CSDs and can help to improve the stationarity and production efficiency of dredging construction.

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능동 적응 소음 제어기의 실시간 구현 (Real-time impletation of active adaptive noise controller)

  • 이종필;장영수;서진현;정찬수
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1990년도 한국자동제어학술회의논문집(국내학술편); KOEX, Seoul; 26-27 Oct. 1990
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    • pp.831-836
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    • 1990
  • Real-time implementations of active noise controller are proposed and tested. For compensation of time delay of feed-back path, the n-step ahead prediction is applied. And predicting source noise and reflection noise respectively, reflection noise can be cancelled. For real-time processing, the DSP56001(Digital Signal Processor) is used. Experimental results show that the proposed controller is stable and of good performance.

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Review of Internet of Things-Based Artificial Intelligence Analysis Method through Real-Time Indoor Air Quality and Health Effect Monitoring: Focusing on Indoor Air Pollution That Are Harmful to the Respiratory Organ

  • Eunmi Mun;Jaehyuk Cho
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • 제86권1호
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    • pp.23-32
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    • 2023
  • Everyone is aware that air and environmental pollutants are harmful to health. Among them, indoor air quality directly affects physical health, such as respiratory rather than outdoor air. However, studies that have examined the correlation between environmental and health information have been conducted with public data targeting large cohorts, and studies with real-time data analysis are insufficient. Therefore, this research explores the research with an indoor air quality monitoring (AQM) system based on developing environmental detection sensors and the internet of things to collect, monitor, and analyze environmental and health data from various data sources in real-time. It explores the usage of wearable devices for health monitoring systems. In addition, the availability of big data and artificial intelligence analysis and prediction has increased, investigating algorithmic studies for accurate prediction of hazardous environments and health impacts. Regarding health effects, techniques to prevent respiratory and related diseases were reviewed.

Risk-Incorporated Trajectory Prediction to Prevent Contact Collisions on Construction Sites

  • Rashid, Khandakar M.;Datta, Songjukta;Behzadan, Amir H.;Hasan, Raiful
    • Journal of Construction Engineering and Project Management
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.10-21
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    • 2018
  • Many construction projects involve a plethora of safety-related problems that can cause loss of productivity, diminished revenue, time overruns, and legal challenges. Incorporating data collection and analytics methods can help overcome the root causes of many such problems. However, in a dynamic construction workplace collecting data from a large number of resources is not a trivial task and can be costly, while many contractors lack the motivation to incorporate technology in their activities. In this research, an Android-based mobile application, Preemptive Construction Site Safety (PCS2) is developed and tested for real-time location tracking, trajectory prediction, and prevention of potential collisions between workers and site hazards. PCS2 uses ubiquitous mobile technology (smartphones) for positional data collection, and a robust trajectory prediction technique that couples hidden Markov model (HMM) with risk-taking behavior modeling. The effectiveness of PCS2 is evaluated in field experiments where impending collisions are predicted and safety alerts are generated with enough lead time for the user. With further improvement in interface design and underlying mathematical models, PCS2 will have practical benefits in large scale multi-agent construction worksites by significantly reducing the likelihood of proximity-related accidents between workers and equipment.

Real-time hybrid testing using model-based delay compensation

  • Carrion, Juan E.;Spencer, B.F. Jr.
    • Smart Structures and Systems
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    • 제4권6호
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    • pp.809-828
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    • 2008
  • Real-time hybrid testing is an attractive method to evaluate the response of structures under earthquake loads. The method is a variation of the pseudodynamic testing technique in which the experiment is executed in real time, thus allowing investigation of structural systems with time-dependent components. Real-time hybrid testing is challenging because it requires performance of all calculations, application of displacements, and acquisition of measured forces, within a very small increment of time. Furthermore, unless appropriate compensation for time delays and actuator time lag is implemented, stability problems are likely to occur during the experiment. This paper presents an approach for real-time hybrid testing in which time delay/lag compensation is implemented using model-based response prediction. The efficacy of the proposed strategy is verified by conducting substructure real-time hybrid testing of a steel frame under earthquake loads. For the initial set of experiments, a specimen with linear-elastic behavior is used. Experimental results agree well with the analytical solution and show that the proposed approach and testing system are capable of achieving a time-scale expansion factor of one (i.e., real time). Additionally, the proposed method allows accurate testing of structures with larger frequencies than when using conventional time delay compensation methods, thus extending the capabilities of the real-time hybrid testing technique. The method is then used to test a structure with a rate-dependent energy dissipation device, a magnetorheological damper. Results show good agreement with the predicted responses, demonstrating the effectiveness of the method to test rate-dependent components.

노면의 강도 추정을 통한 자율 주행 로봇의 실시간 최적 주행 파라미터 예측 (Real-Time Prediction of Optimal Control Parameters for Mobile Robots based on Estimated Strength of Ground Surface)

  • 김자영;이지홍
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제20권1호
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    • pp.58-69
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    • 2014
  • This paper proposes a method for predicting maximum friction coefficients and optimal slip ratios as optimal control parameters for traction control or slip control of autonomous mobile robots on rough terrain. This paper focuses on strength of ground surface which indicates different characteristics depending on material types on surface. Strength of various material types can be estimated by Willoughby sinkage model and by a developed testbed which can measure forces, velocities, and displacements generated by wheel-terrain interaction. Estimated strength is collaborated on building improved Brixius model with friction-slip data from experiments with the testbed over sand and grass material. Improved Brixius model covers widespread material types in outdoor environments on predicting friction-slip characteristics depending on strength of ground surface. Thus, a prediction model for obtaining optimal control parameters is derived by partial differentiation of the improved Brixius model with respect to slip. This prediction model can be applied to autonomous mobile robots and finally gives secure maneuverability on rough terrain. Proposed method is verified by various experiments under similar conditions with the ones for real outdoor robots.