• Title/Summary/Keyword: Real earnings management

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A System Dynamics Model for Analyzing the Effect of Housing Supply Policies (주택공급전략 타당성 검토를 위한 시스템다내믹스 모델 개발)

  • Hwang, Sung-Joo;Park, Moon-Seo;Lee, Hyun-Soo;Kim, Hyun-Soo
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.35-45
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    • 2011
  • Establishing housing supply strategies in Korean housing market is a crucial issue due to contradictory but concurrent two problems in market; one is the unstable working-class residential and the other is the high vacancy rate by the low-level of sales rate. Although government has been continuously implementing various supply policies in an attempt to evenly distribute houses as well as to keep supply and demand in balance, it is difficult to satisfy all of stakeholders, such as housing consumers, housing owners and housing suppliers. This paper, therefore, applies a system dynamics methodology and offers a dynamic and integrated model encompassing for-profit behaviors of each market participants. The proposed model simulates the future trends of house prices, the balances between supply and demand, construction companies earnings and vacancy rate when applying various housing supply scenarios. From the simulation result, recent governmental small-size rental housing supplies in bulks should utilize private construction companies to stabilize housing distribution rate and private supply system as well as the supply and demand are well balanced.

Emotion fusion video communication services for real-time avatar matching technology (영상통신 감성융합 서비스를 위한 실시간 아바타 정합기술)

  • Oh, Dong Sik;Kang, Jun Ku;Sin, Min Ho
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.10 no.10
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    • pp.283-288
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    • 2012
  • 3D is the one of the current world in the spotlight as part of the future earnings of the business sector. Existing flat 2D and stereoscopic 3D to change the 3D shape and texture make walking along the dimension of the real world and the virtual reality world by making it feel contemporary reality of coexistence good show. 3D for the interest of the people has been spreading throughout the movie which is based on a 3D Avata. 3D TV market of the current conglomerate of changes in the market pioneer in the 3D market, further leap into the era of the upgrade was. At the same time, however, the modern man of the world, if becoming a necessity in the smartphone craze new innovation in the IT market mobile phone market and also has made. A small computer called a smartphone enough, the ripple velocity and the aftermath of the innovation of the telephone, the Internet as much as to leave many issues. Smartphone smart phone is a mobile phone that can be several functions. The current iPhone, Android. In addition to a large number of Windows Phone smartphones are released. Above the overall prospects of the future and a business service model for 3D facial expression as input avatar virtual 3D character on camera on your smartphone camera to recognize a user's emotional expressions on the face of the person is able to synthetic synthesized avatars in real-time to other mobile phone users matching, transmission, and be able to communicate in real-time sensibility fused video communication services to the development of applications.

VaR Estimation of Multivariate Distribution Using Copula Functions (Copula 함수를 이용한 이변량분포의 VaR 추정)

  • Hong, Chong-Sun;Lee, Jae-Hyung
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.523-533
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    • 2011
  • Most nancial preference methods for market risk management are to estimate VaR. In many real cases, it happens to obtain the VaRs of the univariate as well as multivariate distributions based on multivariate data. Copula functions are used to explore the dependence of non-normal random variables and generate the corresponding multivariate distribution functions in this work. We estimate Archimedian Copula functions including Clayton Copula, Gumbel Copula, Frank Copula that are tted to the multivariate earning rate distribution, and then obtain their VaRs. With these Copula functions, we estimate the VaRs of both a certain integrated industry and individual industries. The parameters of three kinds of Copula functions are estimated for an illustrated stock data of two Korean industries to obtain the VaR of the bivariate distribution and those of the corresponding univariate distributions. These VaRs are compared with those obtained from other methods to discuss the accuracy of the estimations.