• 제목/요약/키워드: Rate of Reserve

검색결과 198건 처리시간 0.028초

예방정비율(MOR) 모델링 방식이 수급계획의 최소설비예비율 산정에 미치는 영향 (Impact of Maintenance Outage Rate Modeling on the Minimum Reserve Rate in Long-term Generation Expansion Planning)

  • 김형태;이성우;김욱
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제66권12호
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    • pp.1712-1720
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    • 2017
  • In South Korea, minimum reserve rate, which is to satisfy reliability standard, has been determined by simulation result using WASP. But, it is still controversial whether the level of minimum reserve rate is adequate. Thus, in this study, various analyses of minimum reserve rate are being conducted. WASP uses the probabilistic simulation technique to evaluate whether reliability standard is satisfied. In this process, forced outage rate and maintenance periods of each generator play important roles. Especially, the long-term plan can be varied depending on how maintenance periods deal with. In order to model maintenance periods in the probabilistic simulation technique, WASP uses derating method. However, broad analyses have to be conducted because there are various ways including derating method to model maintenance periods which result in different results. Therefore, in this paper, 3 different maintenance outage rate modeling methods are applied to arbitrarily modeled system based on the basic plan for long-term electricity supply and demand of South Korea. Results show impact of each modeling method on minimum reserve rate.

신재생에너지전원을 고려한 새로운 유효설비예비율 평가방법의 개발 (Development of Methodology of New Effective Installed Reserve Rate considering Renewable Energy Generators)

  • 박정제;최재석
    • 전기학회논문지
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    • 제59권1호
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    • pp.26-32
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    • 2010
  • This paper proposes a new effective installed reserve rate in order to evaluate reliability of power system considering renewable generators, which include uncertainty of resource supply. It is called EIRR(effective installed reserve rate) in this paper. It is developed with considering capacity credit based on ELCC by using LOLE reliability criterion. While the conventional installed reserve rate index yields over-evaluation reliability of renewable generators, the proposed EIRR describes actual effective installed reserve rate. However, it is not the probabilistic reliability index as like as LOLE or EENS but another deterministic effective reliability index. The proposed EIRR is able to evaluate the realistic contribution to the reliability level for power system considering wind turbine generators and solar cell generators with high uncertainty in resource supply. The case study in model system as like as Jeju power system size presents a possibility that the proposed EIRR can be used practically as a new deterministic reliability index for generation expansion planning or operational planning in future.

공동 구매 시스템에서의 낙찰 예정가 및 입찰가 자동 생성 (Automatic Generation of Reserve Prices and Bid Prices for a Group Buying System)

  • 김신우;고민정;박성은;이용규
    • 한국전자거래학회지
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.55-68
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    • 2002
  • Internet group buying systems have been widely used recently. In those systems, because the reserve price is provided by the buyer, the success rate can be decreased if the reserve price is set too low compared with the normal price. Otherwise, an unsuitable successful bid can be made if the reserve price is set too high based on inaccurate information. Likewise, the seller's providing too high a bid price can deteriorate his/her own successful bid rate, whereas a successful bid with too low a price may make no profit in the sale. Therefore, pricing agents that recommend adequate prices based on the past buying and selling history data can be helpful. In this paper, we propose two kinds of agents. One suggests reserve prices to buyers based on the past buying history database of the system. The other recommends bid prices to a seller based on the past bidding history data of the company using the cost accounting theory. Through performance experiments, we show that the successful bid rate can increase by preventing buyers from making unreasonable reserve prices. Also, we show that, for the seller, the rate of successful bids with appropriate profits can increase. Using the pricing agents, we design and implement an XML-based group buying system.

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Efficacy of ablation and sclerotherapy for the management of ovarian endometrioma: A narrative review

  • Jee, Byung Chul
    • Clinical and Experimental Reproductive Medicine
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    • 제49권2호
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    • pp.76-86
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    • 2022
  • Ovarian cystectomy is the preferred technique for the surgical management of ovarian endometrioma. However, other techniques such as ablation or sclerotherapy are also commonly used. The aim of this review is to summarize information regarding the efficacy of ablation and sclerotherapy compared to cystectomy in terms of ovarian reserve, the recurrence rate, and the pregnancy rate. Several studies comparing ablation versus cystectomy or sclerotherapy versus cystectomy in terms of the serum anti-Müllerian hormone (AMH) decrement, endometrioma recurrence, or the pregnancy rate were identified and summarized. Both ablation and cystectomy have a negative impact on ovarian reserve, but ablation results in a smaller serum AMH decrement than cystectomy. Nonetheless, the recurrence rate is higher after ablation than after cystectomy. More studies are needed to demonstrate whether the pregnancy rate is different according to whether patients undergo ablation or cystectomy. The evidence remains inconclusive regarding whether sclerotherapy is better than cystectomy in terms of ovarian reserve. The recurrence rates appear to be similar between sclerotherapy and cystectomy. There is not yet concrete evidence that sclerotherapy helps to improve the pregnancy rate via in vitro fertilization in comparison to cystectomy or no sclerotherapy.

전력계통 안정을 위한 공급예비력 적정수준에 대한 연구 (A research of optimum supply reserve levels for stability of power system)

  • 안대훈;권석기;주행로;신중선
    • 한국조명전기설비학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국조명전기설비학회 2008년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.61-65
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    • 2008
  • Because of the high increasing rate of load demand, these days the necessity of deciding what optimum reserve level is appropriate to most stably supply electricity is being emphasized. This research studies the downward tendency of reverve ratio by analyzing the trend of change of the network scale, reserve, and reserve ratio while optimum reserve has been increased as the network system scale grow up. This means, at this moment 6,000MW is optimum level for short term prospect of power supply and demand. And also, it has been analyzed that, as the annual peak load exceeded 50,000MW, confirming the amount of optimum reserve level is more stable than keeping 10 to 12% reserve ratio.

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경매 시스템에서 시계열 분석에 기반한 낙찰 예정가 추천 방법 (Reserve Price Recommendation Methods for Auction Systems Based on Time Series Analysis)

  • 고민정;이용규
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.141-155
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    • 2005
  • It is very important that sellers provide reasonable reserve prices for auction items in internet auction systems. Recently, an agent has been proposed to generate reserve prices automatically based on the case similarity of information retrieval theory and the moving average of time series analysis. However, one problem of the previous approaches is that the recent trend of auction prices is not well reflected on the generated reserve prices, because it simply provides the bid price of the most similar item or an average price of some similar items using the past auction data. In this paper. in order to overcome the problem. we propose a method that generates reserve prices based on the moving average. the exponential smoothing, and the least square of time series analysis. Through performance experiments. we show that the successful bid rate of the new method can be increased by preventing sellers from making unreasonable reserve prices compared with the previous methods.

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데이터마이닝에 기반한 예비군훈련 입소율 예측에 관한 연구 (A study on forecasting attendance rate of reserve forces training based on Data Mining)

  • 조상준;마정목
    • 한국산학기술학회논문지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.261-267
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    • 2021
  • 예비군훈련을 담당하는 부대의 임무는 예비군이 평시에 실전적인 훈련을 받을 수 있는 환경을 만들어주는 것이다. 하지만 예비군훈련 담당부대의 특성상 운용 할 수 있는 병력부족의 문제로 실전적인 훈련환경을 만들어주는 예비군 훈련 지원 인원편성에 어려움이 많이 있다. 이러한 이유로 현재 군에서는 전년도 월 평균 예비군 입소율 결과로 당해연도 일일단위 예비군 입소율을 예측하면서 인력편성과 부대운영에 대한 계획을 수립하고 있다. 그러나 기존 예측방법은 실제 입소율과 비교 시 오차가 크게 발생할 수 있다는 문제점을 가지고 있다. 이 문제점은 훈련을 지원하는 교관과 조교 선정에 어려움을 주어 훈련성과 달성에 부정적으로 작용할 수 있다. 그러므로 실제 입소율과 오차를 최소화 할 수 있는 더 정확한 예측모형이 필요하다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 데이터마이닝을 기반으로 일일단위 예비군훈련 입소율을 예측한 모형을 제시하였다. 데이터마이닝 기반 모형의 검증을 위해 예비군훈련 담당부대에서 수집한 실제 데이터로 현재 군에서 사용하는 기존 예측방법과 비교하였다. 그 결과 본 연구에서 제시한 데이터마이닝 기반 예측모형이 기존 예측방법보다 오차를 줄이는 우수한 성능을 보였다.

인터넷 경매 시스템에서의 낙찰 예정가 자동 생성 에이전트 (A Reserve Price Generation Agent for an Internet Auction System)

  • 고민정;김신우;박성은;이용규
    • 정보처리학회논문지D
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    • 제9D권5호
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    • pp.955-962
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    • 2002
  • 최근에 전자상거래가 보편화되면서 전자경매를 통한 거래가 급증하고 있다. 그러나, 기존 전자경매 시스템들은 낙찰 예정가 결정을 판매자에게만 의존하고 있으므로, 물품의 낙찰가가 낮게 결정되거나 유찰되는 경우가 많다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하고자, 과거의 경매 기록과 인터넷 전자상거래 사이트의 가격 정보로부터 사례 유사도를 적용하여 적합한 낙찰 예정가를 자동으로 생성하고 이를 판매자에게 추천하는 시스템을 제안한다. 성능실험 결과 추천된 낙찰 예정가를 사용할 경우 지나치게 높은 낙찰 예정가로 인한 유찰을 줄임으로써 경매 성공률이 향상될 뿐만 아니라, 물품에 대한 낮은 평가를 방지할 수 있음을 보인다. 또한, 본 논문에서는 낙찰 예정가 자동 생성에이전트를 이용하여 인터넷 경매 시스템을 설계 및 구현한다.

전력계통 안전을 위한 공급예비력 적정수준에 대한 연구 (A Research of Optimum Supply Reserve Levels for Stability of Power System)

  • 안대훈;권석기;주행로;최은재
    • 조명전기설비학회논문지
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    • 제22권9호
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2008
  • 최근 전력수요의 높은 증가율로 인하여 전력계통에 가장 안정적으로 전력을 공급하기 위한 적정예비력을 얼마만큼을 가져야 할 것인가? 하는 필요성이 강조되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 연도별 계통규모와 예비력 및 예비율의 변화 풍향 분석을 통하여 계통규모가 증가할수록 적정 예비력은 증가하고 있는 반면에 예비율은 하락하는 추세를 보이고 있는 것을 분석하였다. 이 자료를 관계로 현재시점에서 단기 전력수급전망에 적용되는 공급예비력으로 산정한 600만[kW]는 적정수준이라 여겨진다. 또한 최대전력수요가 5,000만[kW]를 넘어서면서 적정수준인 $10{\sim}12[%]$ 예비율 보다는 적정수준의 예비력을 산정하여 적용하는 것이 전력계통을 경제적이고 안정적으로 운영할 수 있다고 분석되었다.

Spatiotemporal evolution and influencing factors of ecosystem service value in the Sanjiangyuan nature reserve nature reserve

  • Liu, Hao;Shu, Chang;Sun, Lihui
    • Advances in nano research
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    • 제12권3호
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    • pp.319-336
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    • 2022
  • Evaluating the temporal and spatial changes in the ecosystem service value (ESV) of the Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve is important for understanding the impact of human activities on natural ecosystem and guiding ecosystem restoration and environmental pollution control. In this study, remotely sensed land-cover data and the equivalent factor method were used to analyze the spatiotemporal evolution characteristics of the ESV in Sanjiangyuan Nature Reserve from 1992 to 2015, and regression analysis was employed to determine the factors driving changes in the ESV. The results show that grassland was the main type of ecosystem in the study area, and the transformation of grassland into bare areas was the primary change in land cover. Additionally, the ESV in the study area first decreased and then increased, with an annual growth rate of 0.69%. The ESV mainly increased in the north of the Yellow River's source area, and mainly decreased in the northwest of the Yangtze River's source area. Finally, the gross output value of agriculture, urbanization rate and proportion of secondary industry were found to be the main factors driving the ESV in the study area.