• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random regression

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Application and evaluation of machine-learning model for fire accelerant classification from GC-MS data of fire residue

  • Park, Chihyun;Park, Wooyong;Jeon, Sookyung;Lee, Sumin;Lee, Joon-Bae
    • Analytical Science and Technology
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.231-239
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    • 2021
  • Detection of fire accelerants from fire residues is critical to determine whether the case was arson or accidental fire. However, to develop a standardized model for determining the presence or absence of fire accelerants was not easy because of high temperature which cause disappearance or combustion of components of fire accelerants. In this study, logistic regression, random forest, and support vector machine models were trained and evaluated from a total of 728 GC-MS analysis data obtained from actual fire residues. Mean classification accuracies of the three models were 63 %, 81 %, and 84 %, respectively, and in particular, mean AU-PR values of the three models were evaluated as 0.68, 0.86, and 0.86, respectively, showing fine performances of random forest and support vector machine models.

Combining Conditional Generative Adversarial Network and Regression-based Calibration for Cloud Removal of Optical Imagery (광학 영상의 구름 제거를 위한 조건부 생성적 적대 신경망과 회귀 기반 보정의 결합)

  • Kwak, Geun-Ho;Park, Soyeon;Park, No-Wook
    • Korean Journal of Remote Sensing
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    • v.38 no.6_1
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    • pp.1357-1369
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    • 2022
  • Cloud removal is an essential image processing step for any task requiring time-series optical images, such as vegetation monitoring and change detection. This paper presents a two-stage cloud removal method that combines conditional generative adversarial networks (cGANs) with regression-based calibration to construct a cloud-free time-series optical image set. In the first stage, the cGANs generate initial prediction results using quantitative relationships between optical and synthetic aperture radar images. In the second stage, the relationships between the predicted results and the actual values in non-cloud areas are first quantified via random forest-based regression modeling and then used to calibrate the cGAN-based prediction results. The potential of the proposed method was evaluated from a cloud removal experiment using Sentinel-2 and COSMO-SkyMed images in the rice field cultivation area of Gimje. The cGAN model could effectively predict the reflectance values in the cloud-contaminated rice fields where severe changes in physical surface conditions happened. Moreover, the regression-based calibration in the second stage could improve the prediction accuracy, compared with a regression-based cloud removal method using a supplementary image that is temporally distant from the target image. These experimental results indicate that the proposed method can be effectively applied to restore cloud-contaminated areas when cloud-free optical images are unavailable for environmental monitoring.

EFFICIENT ESTIMATION OF POPULATION MEAN IN STRATIFIED SAMPLING USING REGRESSION TYPE ESTIMATOR

  • Grover Lovleen Kumar
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.35 no.4
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    • pp.441-452
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    • 2006
  • Here an efficient regression type estimator for a stratified population mean is proposed under the two-phase sampling scheme. While constructing the proposed estimator, it is assumed that the first auxiliary variable x is directly and highly correlated with the study variable y, and the second auxiliary variable z is directly and highly correlated with the first auxiliary variable x. However the variable z is not directly correlated with the variable y, but they are just correlated with each other only due to their direct and high correlation with the variable x. The proposed regression type estimator is found to be always more efficient than the existing estimators defined under the same situation.

Sampling Based Approach to Bayesian Analysis of Binary Regression Model with Incomplete Data

  • Chung, Young-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.493-505
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    • 1997
  • The analysis of binary data appears to many areas such as statistics, biometrics and econometrics. In many cases, data are often collected in which some observations are incomplete. Assume that the missing covariates are missing at random and the responses are completely observed. A method to Bayesian analysis of the binary regression model with incomplete data is presented. In particular, the desired marginal posterior moments of regression parameter are obtained using Meterpolis algorithm (Metropolis et al. 1953) within Gibbs sampler (Gelfand and Smith, 1990). Also, we compare logit model with probit model using Bayes factor which is approximated by importance sampling method. One example is presented.

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Support Vector Quantile Regression Using Asymmetric e-Insensitive Loss Function

  • Shim, Joo-Yong;Seok, Kyung-Ha;Hwang, Chang-Ha;Cho, Dae-Hyeon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.165-170
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    • 2011
  • Support vector quantile regression(SVQR) is capable of providing a good description of the linear and nonlinear relationships among random variables. In this paper we propose a sparse SVQR to overcome a limitation of SVQR, nonsparsity. The asymmetric e-insensitive loss function is used to efficiently provide sparsity. The experimental results are presented to illustrate the performance of the proposed method by comparing it with nonsparse SVQR.

Bayesian Inference for Censored Panel Regression Model

  • Lee, Seung-Chun;Choi, Byongsu
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.193-200
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    • 2014
  • It was recognized by some researchers that the disturbance variance in a censored regression model is frequently underestimated by the maximum likelihood method. This underestimation has implications for the estimation of marginal effects and asymptotic standard errors. For instance, the actual coverage probability of the confidence interval based on a maximum likelihood estimate can be significantly smaller than the nominal confidence level; consequently, a Bayesian estimation is considered to overcome this difficulty. The behaviors of the maximum likelihood and Bayesian estimators of disturbance variance are examined in a fixed effects panel regression model with a limited dependent variable, which is known to have the incidental parameter problem. Behavior under random effect assumption is also investigated.

Multi-Finger 3D Landmark Detection using Bi-Directional Hierarchical Regression

  • Choi, Jaesung;Lee, Minkyu;Lee, Sangyoun
    • Journal of International Society for Simulation Surgery
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.9-11
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    • 2016
  • Purpose In this paper we proposed bi-directional hierarchical regression for accurate human finger landmark detection with only using depth information.Materials and Methods Our algorithm consisted of two different step, initialization and landmark estimation. To detect initial landmark, we used difference of random pixel pair as the feature descriptor. After initialization, 16 landmarks were estimated using cascaded regression methods. To improve accuracy and stability, we proposed bi-directional hierarchical structure.Results In our experiments, the ICVL database were used for evaluation. According to our experimental results, accuracy and stability increased when applying bi-directional hierarchical regression more than typical method on the test set. Especially, errors of each finger tips of hierarchical case significantly decreased more than other methods.Conclusion Our results proved that our proposed method improved accuracy and stability and also could be applied to a large range of applications such as augmented reality and simulation surgery.

Reliability Analysis of Hybrid Rocket using Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테 카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용한 하이브리드 로켓의 신뢰성 분석)

  • Moon, Keunhwan;Kim, Wanbeom;Lee, Jungpyo;Choi, Jooho;Kim, Jinkon
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2013
  • In this study, probabilistic reliability analysis was conducted for hybrid rocket performance using Monte-Carlo Simulation. For the accuracy, reliability analysis was performed with experimental data. To simplify the analysis process, the oxidizer was supplied with constant pressure, so that pressure variation with time can be eliminated. And time-space averaged regression rate model was used. The regression rate is obtained with a series of experiments. For reliability analysis of thrust, constant exponent of regression rate is assumed that has probabilistic character. So, the efficiency of characteristic velocity has also probabilistic values. As a results, probability distribution of the thrust is obtained by Monte-Carlo simulation using random samples of the input parameter and validated under the 95% confidence level.

Support vector quantile regression ensemble with bagging

  • Shim, Jooyong;Hwang, Changha
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.677-684
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    • 2014
  • Support vector quantile regression (SVQR) is capable of providing more complete description of the linear and nonlinear relationships among random variables. To improve the estimation performance of SVQR we propose to use SVQR ensemble with bagging (bootstrap aggregating), in which SVQRs are trained independently using the training data sets sampled randomly via a bootstrap method. Then, they are aggregated to obtain the estimator of the quantile regression function using the penalized objective function composed of check functions. Experimental results are then presented, which illustrate the performance of SVQR ensemble with bagging.

A Study on Domestic Drama Rating Prediction (국내 드라마 시청률 예측 및 영향요인 분석)

  • Kang, Suyeon;Jeon, Heejeong;Kim, Jihye;Song, Jongwoo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.28 no.5
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    • pp.933-949
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    • 2015
  • Audience rating competition in the domestic drama market has increased recently due to the introduction of commercial broadcasting and diversification of channels. There is now a need for thorough studies and analysis on audience rating. Especially, a drama rating is an important measure to estimate advertisement costs for producers and advertisers. In this paper, we study the drama rating prediction models using various data mining techniques such as linear regression, LASSO regression, random forest, and gradient boosting. The analysis results show that initial drama ratings are affected by structural elements such as broadcasting station and broadcasting time. Average drama ratings are also influenced by earlier public opinion such as the number of internet searches about the drama.