• Title/Summary/Keyword: Random Distribution

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Assessment of Local Social Vulnerability in Facing Merapi Volcanic Hazard (메라피 화산재해에 대한 지역단위의 사회적 취약성 평가)

  • Lee, Sungsu;Maharani, Yohana Noradika;Yi, Waon-Ho
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
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    • v.27 no.6
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    • pp.485-492
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    • 2014
  • In regards to natural disasters, vulnerability analysis is a component of the disaster risk analysis with one of its objectives as a basis for planning priority setting activities. The volcano eruption raises many casualties and property in the surrounding area, especially when the volcano located in densely populated areas. Volcanic eruptions cannot be prevented, but the risk and vulnerability can be reduced which involve careful planning and preparations that anticipate a future crisis. The social vulnerability as social inequalities with those social factors can influence the susceptibility of various groups to harm and govern their ability to respond. This study carried out the methods of Social Vulnerability Index (SoVI) to measure the socially created vulnerability of the people living in Merapi proximal hamlets in Central Java, Indonesia that refers to the socioeconomic and demographic factors that affect the resilience of communities in order to describe and understand the social burdens of risk. Social vulnerability captured here, using a qualitative survey based-data such as interviews to local people with random ages and background to capture the answer vary, also interviews to stakeholders to help define social vulnerability variables. The paper concludes that by constructing the vulnerability index for the hamlets, the study reveals information about the distribution and causes of social vulnerability. The analysis using SoVI confirms that this method works well in ensuring that positive values indicating high social vulnerability and vice versa.

Forest Structure of the Region from Dongchanggyo to Deogjusa in Woraksan National Park, Korea (월악산국립공원 덕주사-동창교 지역의 산림군집구조)

  • Kim Gab-Tae;Choo Gab-Cheul
    • Korean Journal of Environment and Ecology
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 2005
  • To investigate the vegetation structure of the region from Dongchanggyo to Deogjusa in Woraksan National Park, 23 plots$(400m^2)$ set up with random sampling method were surveyed. Three groups Quercus mongolica-pinus densiflora community, Pinus densiflora-Quercus molica community, Mixed Broad-leaved community were classified by cluster analysis. Quercus mongolica, pinus densiflora, Quercus serrata and Fraxinus rhynchophyllai were found as a major woody plant species in Woraksan National Park region. In this area, Quercus mongolica and Pinus densiflora were dominated partially. In the future, the importance percentage of Pinus densiflora might be decreased, but those of Quercus mongolica, Quercus serrata and Fraxinus rhynchophyllai might be increased. High positive correlations were proved between Acer pic tum and Corylus heterophylla, Betula schimidtii; Acer pseudosieboldianum, Cornus controversa ; Stephanandra incisa and Symplocos sawafutagi, Lespedeza maximowixzii ; Symplocos sawafutagi and Fraxinus rhynchophyllai, Lespedeza maximowixzii; Fraxinus rhynchophyllai and Acer pseudosieboldianum, Lespedeza maximowixzii; Quercus variabilis and Fraxinus sieboldiana; Corylus heterophylla, and Rhododendron schlippenbachii; Acer pseudo sieboldianum and Lespedeza maximowixzii, and relatively high negative corrlations was proved between Quercus serrata and Betula schimidtii; Quercus mongolica and Quercus serrata; Corylus heterophylla and Lindera erythrocarpa. Species diversity(H') of investigated groups were ranged from $1.2393\~1.3674$ and it was relatively high compared to those of the ridge area of other national parks.

An Empirical Study on the Size Distribution of Venture Firms in the center of KOSDAQ Listed Companies (국내 벤처기업 진화과정에 관한 실증분석 - 코스닥상장 기술벤처기업 분석을 중심으로 -)

  • Cho, Sang-Sup;Yang, Young-Seok
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.23-37
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    • 2011
  • This paper is brought to carry out an empirical study whether evolution process of venture firm's scale is following the Gibrat's law; random evolution process, or Pareto law; self-organizing process. The empirical test, as attaching theoretical explanation, of this research utilize the serial data samples of 92 KOSDAQ listed companies from the year of 2005 through 2008. Summarizing the research results are as followed. First, Gini Coefficients representing the density of venture firm's scale has been constantly reduced since the year of 2005 in terms of number of employee, while these index increased during the same time period from the perspective of sales volume. Second, the evolution process of Korea venture firm's scale is following the Power Law related to Pareto Law. In particular, estimated Pareto coefficient, ${\alpha}$, is shown lower than 1 which is significant result. Third, the probability of joining in the top tier group of firm starting from the early stage growing is forecasted into 6.9%, the result which emphasize the starting scale of venture firm play an important role in long term evolution of venture firm.

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Characteristics of the Point-source Spectral Model for Odaesan Earthquake (M=4.8, '07. 1. 20) (오대산지진(M=4.8, '07. 1. 20)의 점지진원 스펙트럼 모델 특성)

  • Yun, Kwan-Hee;Park, Dong-Hee
    • Geophysics and Geophysical Exploration
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    • v.10 no.4
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    • pp.241-251
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    • 2007
  • The observed spectra from Odaesan earthquake were fitted to a point-source spectral model to evaluate the source spectrum and spatial features of the modelling error. The source spectrum was calculated by removing from the observed spectra the path and site dependent responses (Yun, 2007) that were previously revealed through an inversion process applied to a large accumulated spectral dataset. The stress drop parameter of one-corner Brune's ${\omega}^2$ source model fitted to the estimated source spectrum was well predicted by the scaling relation between magnitude and stress drop developed by Yun et al. (2006). In particular, the estimated spectrum was quite comparable to the two-corner source model that was empirically developed for recent moderate earthquakes occurring around the Korean Peninsula, which indicates that Odaesan earthquake is one of typical moderate earthquakes representative of Korean Peninsula. Other features of the observed spectra from Odaesan earthquake were also evaluated based on the commonly treated random error between the observed data and the estimated point-source spectral model. Radiation pattern of the error according to azimuth angle was found to be similar to the theoretical estimate. It was also observed that the spatial distribution of the errors was correlated with the geological map and the $Q_0$ map which are indicatives of seismic boundaries.

The Accelerated Life Test of 2.5 Inch Hard Disk In The Environment of PC using (PC 사용 환경의 2.5 인치 하드디스크의 가속 수명 시험)

  • Cho, Euy-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Kyu;Seo, Hui-Don
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.19-27
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    • 2014
  • In order to estimate the life of 2,5 inch HDD which is adopted by PC environment, make the test plan which reflect the failure mode of market, make the test model of accelerated life test which reflect the stress of temperature. after an analysis of the environment of PC using, test procedure was decided that operation was write 50 % and read 50 %, and then access method was sequential 50 % and random 50%. The acceleration life test was executed on condition that temperature was $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$, performance was 95 % in max performance, test time was 1000 hours. by the test of goodness of fit of anderson-darling of the failure data during test, it was confirmed that the distribution of failure fellow weibull. test for shape and scale was equal, and shape parameter was 0.7177, characteristic life was 429434 hours at normal user condition($30^{\circ}C$) by the analysis of weibull-arrhenius modeling. It made no difference about the statistics when equality test was executed. The activation energy was 0.2775eV. In analyzing between the failure samples of acceleration test and the samples of market return even though there is detail difference about the share of failure mode, the rank of share was almost same. This study suggest the test procedure of acceleration test of 2.5 inch HDD in PC using environment, and help the life estimation at manufacture and user.

Optimal Release Problems based on a Stochastic Differential Equation Model Under the Distributed Software Development Environments (분산 소프트웨어 개발환경에 대한 확률 미분 방정식 모델을 이용한 최적 배포 문제)

  • Lee Jae-Ki;Nam Sang-Sik
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.31 no.7A
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    • pp.649-658
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    • 2006
  • Recently, Software Development was applied to new-approach methods as a various form : client-server system and web-programing, object-orient concept, distributed development with a network environments. On the other hand, it be concerned about the distributed development technology and increasing of object-oriented methodology. These technology is spread out the software quality and improve of software production, reduction of the software develop working. Futures, we considered about the distributed software development technique with a many workstation. In this paper, we discussed optimal release problem based on a stochastic differential equation model for the distributed Software development environments. In the past, the software reliability applied to quality a rough guess with a software development process and approach by the estimation of reliability for a test progress. But, in this paper, we decided to optimal release times two method: first, SRGM with an error counting model in fault detection phase by NHPP. Second, fault detection is change of continuous random variable by SDE(stochastic differential equation). Here, we decide to optimal release time as a minimum cost form the detected failure data and debugging fault data during the system test phase and operational phase. Especially, we discussed to limitation of reliability considering of total software cost probability distribution.

Structural relationship among servant leadership, empowerment and sports satisfaction of badminton coaches (배드민턴 지도자의 서번트 리더십과 임파워먼트 및 운동만족의 구조관계)

  • Lee, Mi-Sook;Nam, Jung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.317-331
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    • 2012
  • The purpose of this study was to verify the relationship among servant leadership, empowerment and sports satisfaction of badminton coaches by self-leadership. Among national badminton players, total 343 copies of data were collected and used at the study by using of random sampling. The normal distribution on data and the validity and reliability for each factors were proven to confirm through descriptive statistics, exploratory & confirmatory factor analysis and reliability analysis with SPSS 18.0 and AMOS 18.0 program. The relationship among each factors by the purpose of study were analyzed by correlation analysis and structural model analysis. The results were as follows. First, the servant leadership of badminton coaches had positive effect on empowerment. Second, the servant leadership of badminton coaches had positive effect on self-leadership. Third, the servant leadership of badminton coaches had positive effect on sports satisfaction. Fourth, empowerment had positive effect on sports satisfaction. Fifth, self-leadership had positive effect on sports satisfaction. Sixth, for the relationship between servant leadership and sports satisfaction, empowerment and self-leadership had indirect effects.

Prediction System of Hydrodynamic Circulation and Freshwater Dispersion in Mokpo Coastal Zone (목포해역의 해수유동 및 담수확산 예측시스템)

  • Jung, Tae-Sung;Kim, Tae-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2008
  • In coastal region, eutrophication, Do deficit and red tide are frequently occurred by influx of fresh water. When the fresh water containing pollutants is discharged into the sea, the surrounding water is contaminated by dispersion of freshwater flowing into coastal waters. The prediction and analysis about the dispersion process of the discharged fresh water should be conducted. A modeling system using GUI was developed to simulate hydrodynamic flow and fresh water dispersion in coastal waters and to analyze the results efficiently. The modeling module of the system includes a tide model using a finite element method and a fresh water dispersion model using a particle-tracking method. This system was applied to predict the tidal currents and fresh water dispersion in Mokpo coastal zone. To verify accuracy of the hydrodynamic model, the simulation results were compared with observed sea level and time variations of tidal currents showing a good agreement. The fresh water dispersion was verified with observed salinity distribution. The dispersion model also was verified with analytic solutions with advection-diffusion problems in 1-dimensional and 2-dimensional simple domain. The system is operated on GUI environment, to ease the model handling such as inputting data and displaying results. Therefore, anyone can use the system conveniently and observe easily and accurately the simulation results by using graphic functions included in the system. This system can be used widely to decrease the environmental disaster induced by inflow of fresh water into coastal waters.

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A Evaluation Model of AHP Results Using Monte Carlo Simulation (Depending on the Case Studies of Road and Rail) (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 통한 AHP결과 해석모형개발 (도로 및 철도부문 사례를 중심으로))

  • Sul, You-Jin;Chung, Sung-Bong;Song, Ki-Han;Chon, Kyung-Soo;Rhee, Sung-Mo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.26 no.4
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    • pp.195-204
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    • 2008
  • Multi-Criteria Analysis is one method for optimizing decisions that include numerous characteristics and objective functions. The Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) is used as a general Multi-Criteria Analysis considering many critical issues. However, since validation procedures for the decision reliability of AHP valuers had been left off existing methodologies, a new methodology including such validation procedures is required to make more reliable decisions. In this research, idea decision results are derived using Monte Carlo Simulation in cases where AHP valuers do not have expertise in the specific project, and these results are compared with the results derived from experts to develop a new analysis model to make more reliable decisions. Finally, this new analysis is applied to various field case studies of road and rail carried out by the Korea Development Institute (KDI) between 2003 and 2006 to validate the new analysis model. The study found that approximately 20% of decisions resulting from the existing methodology are considered prudent. In future studies, the authors suggest analyzing the correlation between initial weights and final results since final results are enormously influenced by the initial weight.

Analysis of genetic diversity of cowpea landraces from Korea determined by Simple Sequence Repeats and establishment of a core collection

  • Lee, Jeongran;Baek, Hyung-Jin;Yoon, Mun-Sup;Park, Sang-Koo;Cho, Yang-Hee;Kim, Chang-Yung
    • Korean Journal of Breeding Science
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    • v.41 no.4
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    • pp.369-376
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    • 2009
  • Cowpea might have been introduced from China to Korea and cultivated for several hundred years but it has never been a staple food crop in Korea. In this study, genetic diversity of 492 Korean cowpea landrace accessions that have passport information was estimated using six SSR markers. The mean of Weir's gene diversity was 0.665 from all accessions investigated in the study. Cowpea gene diversity of six local provinces in Korea was ranged from 0.370 in accessions of Gangwon to 0.680 in Jeonra provinces. Low gene diversity of the cowpea genepool of Gangwon province was probably derived from relatively few introductions. Especially SSR markers VM36 and VM39 seem to be good markers to distinguish the Gangwon accessions from others by occurring at a specific locus with higher than 78% of allele frequency. Except for the Gangwon province with the low genetic diversity, gene diversity of cowpea accessions from other provinces was ranged from 0.600 to 0.680 indicating no big differences among provinces. Distribution pattern of the allele frequencies was similar among the other provinces. This may reveal that Korean farmers might exchange cowpea seeds easily with even their neighbors with geographical barriers. A core collection, 100 landraces, ca. 20% of base collection, was developed at the 70% of a similarity coefficient level using random sampling approaches after stratification of the entire landrace collection based on the phenetic dendrogram. The variability of SSR in the base and core collections of Korean cowpea landrace was compared by calculating Weir's gene diversity. The mean of Weir's gene diversity of the core was 0.707 while that of the base collection was 0.665. The higher diversity index in the core collection indicates that it maintains the initial variability and well represents the base collection. The core collection included one of determinate accession (IT 216155) and two of no branching type accessions (IT 103959 and IT 161024). The core collection could be used to guide more efficient management and utilization of the entire collection. This core collection should be revised periodically as additional accessions are collected and further characterization is conducted.