• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall range

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Correlations between variables related to slope during rainfall and factor of safety and displacement by coupling analysis

  • Jeong-Yeon Yu;Jong-Won Woo;Kyung-Nam Kang;Ki-Il Song
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • v.33 no.1
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    • pp.77-89
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    • 2023
  • This study aims to establish the correlations between variables related to a slope during rainfall and factor of safety (FOS) and displacement using a coupling analysis method that is designed to consider both in rainfall conditions. With the recent development of measurement technologies, the approach of using the measurement data in the field has become easier. Particularly, they have been obtained in tests to determine the real-time safety and movement of a slope; however, a specific method has not been finalized. In addition, collected measurement data for recognizing the FOS and displacement in real-time with a specific relevance is difficult, and risks of uncertainty, such as in soil parameters and time, exist. In this study, the correlations between various slope-related variables (i.e., rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, angle of the slope, and mechanical properties including strength parameters of selected three types of soil; loamy sand, silt loam, sand) and the FOS and displacement are analyzed in order of seepage analysis, slope stability analysis and slope displacement analysis. Moreover, the methodology of coupling analysis is verified and a fundamental understanding of the factors that need to be considered in real-time observations is gained. The results show that the contributions of the abovementioned variables vary according to the soil type. Thus, the tendency of the displacement also differs by the soil type and variables but not same tendency with FOS. The friction angle and cohesion are negative while the rainfall duration and rainfall intensity are positive with the displacement. This suggests that understanding their correlations is necessary to determine the safety of a slope in real-time using displacement data. Additionally, databases considering rainfall conditions and a wide range of soil characteristics, including hydraulic and mechanical parameters, should be accumulated.

Flood Simulation using Vflo and Radar Rainfall Adjustment Data by Statistical Objective Analysis (통계적 객관 분석법에 의한 레이더강우 보정 및 Vflo를 이용한 홍수모의)

  • Noh, Hui Seong;Kang, Na Rae;Kim, Byung Sik;Kim, Hung Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.14 no.2
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    • pp.243-254
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    • 2012
  • Recently, the use of radar rainfall data that can help tracking of the development and movement of rainfall's spatial distribution is drawing much attention in hydrology. The reliability of existing radar rainfall compared to gauge rainfall data on the ground has not yet been confirmed and so we have difficulties to apply the radar rainfall in hydrology. The radar rainfall for the applications in hydrology are adjusted merging method derived from gage. This study uses the Mean-Field Bias (MFB) and Statistical Objective Analysis (SOA) as correction methods to create adjusted grid-based radar rainfall data which can represent the temporal and spatial distribution of rainfall. This study used a storm event occurred in August 2010 for the adjustment of radar rainfall. In addition, the grid-based distributed rainfall-runoff model (Vflo), which enables more detailed examinations of spatial flux changes in the basin rather than the lumped hydrological models, has been applied to Gamcheon river basin which is a tributary of Nakdong River located in south-eastern part of the Korean peninsular and the basin area is $1005km^2$. The simulated runoff was compared with the observed runoff in an attempt to evaluate the usability of radar rainfall data and the reliability of the correction methods. The error range of peak discharge using each correction method was within 20 percent and the efficiency of the model was between 60 and 80 percent. In particular, the SOA method showed better results than MFB method. Therefore, the SOA method could be used for the adjustment of grid-based radar rainfall and the adjusted radar rainfall can be used as an input data of rainfall-runoff models.

Calculation of Rainfall Triggering Index (RTI) to Predict the Occurrence of Debris Flow (토석류 발생 예측을 위한 강우경보지수 산정)

  • Nam, Dong-Ho;Lee, Suk-Ho;Kim, Man-Il;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2018
  • At present, there has been a wide range of studies on debris flow in Korea, more specifically, on rainfall characteristics that trigger debris flow including rainfall intensity, rainfall duration, and preceding rainfall. the prediction of landslide / debris flow relies on the criteria for landslide watch and warning by the Korea Forest Service (KFS, 2012). Despite this, it has been found that most incidents of debris flow were caused by rainfall above the level of landslide watch, maximum hourly rainfall, extensive damage was caused even under the watch level. Under these circumstances, we calculated a rainfall triggering index (RTI) using the main factors that trigger debris flow-rainfall, rainfall intensity, and cumulative rainfall-to design a more sophisticated watch / warning criteria than those by the KFS. The RTI was classified into attention, caution, alert, and evacuation, and was assessed through the application of two debris flow incidents that occurred in Umyeon Mountain, Seoul, and Cheongju, Inje, causing serious damage and casualties. Moreover, we reviewed the feasibility of the RTI by comparing it with the KFS's landslide watch / warning criteria (KFS, 2012).

Predictability for Heavy Rainfall over the Korean Peninsula during the Summer using TIGGE Model (TIGGE 모델을 이용한 한반도 여름철 집중호우 예측 활용에 관한 연구)

  • Hwang, Yoon-Jeong;Kim, Yeon-Hee;Chung, Kwan-Young;Chang, Dong-Eon
    • Atmosphere
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.287-298
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    • 2012
  • The predictability of heavy precipitation over the Korean Peninsula is studied using THORPEX Interactive Grand Global Ensemble (TIGGE) data. The performance of the six ensemble models is compared through the inconsistency (or jumpiness) and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) for MSLP, T850 and H500. Grand Ensemble (GE) of the three best ensemble models (ECMWF, UKMO and CMA) with equal weight and without bias correction is consisted. The jumpiness calculated in this study indicates that the GE is more consistent than each single ensemble model. Brier Score (BS) of precipitation also shows that the GE outperforms. The GE is used for a case study of a heavy rainfall event in Korean Peninsula on 9 July 2009. The probability forecast of precipitation using 90 members of the GE and the percentage of 90 members exceeding 90 percentile in climatological Probability Density Function (PDF) of observed precipitation are calculated. As the GE is excellent in possibility of potential detection of heavy rainfall, GE is more skillful than the single ensemble model and can lead to a heavy rainfall warning in medium-range. If the performance of each single ensemble model is also improved, GE can provide better performance.

Large Scale Rainfall-runoff Analysis Using SWAT Model: Case Study: Mekong River Basin (SWAT 모형을 이용한 대유역 강우-유출해석: 메콩강 유역을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Yu, Wan Sik;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.60 no.1
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    • pp.47-57
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    • 2018
  • This study implemented the rainfall-runoff analysis of the Mekong River basin using the SWAT (Soil and Water Assessment Tool). The runoff analysis was simulated for 2000~2007, and 11 parameters were calibrated using the SUFI-2 (Sequential Uncertainty Fitting-version 2) algorithm of SWAT-CUP (Calibration and Uncertainty Program). As a result of analyzing optimal parameters and sensitivity analysis for 6 cases, the parameter ALPHA_BF was found to be the most sensitive. The reproducibility of the rainfall-runoff results decreased with increasing number of stations used for parameter calibration. The rainfall-runoff simulation results of Case 6 showed that the RMSE of Nong Khai and Kratie stations were 0.97 and 0.9, respectively, and the runoff patterns were relatively accurately simulated. The runoff patterns of Mukdahan and Khong Chaim stations were underestimated during the flood season from 2004 to 2005 but it was acceptable in terms of the overall runoff pattern. These results suggest that the combination of SWAT and SWAT-CUP models is applicable to very large watersheds such as the Mekong for rainfall-runoff simulation, but further studies are needed to reduce the range of modeling uncertainty.

A Unification of the Probable Rainfall Intensity Formula at Seoul (서울지방의 통합형 확률강우강도식)

  • Lee, Won Hwan;Park, Sang Deog
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.135-143
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    • 1992
  • The probable rainfall depth is an important hydrologic design data in establishing the hydraulic engineering project at urban watershed. This study is to unificate the probable rainfall intensity formula at Seoul. The probable rainfall intensity formula at Seoul is basically formed by the types of Talbot, Sherman and Japanese. But these formulae may be unified to uniform type. The unified probable rainfall intensity formula is more applicable than that of the existing types at Seoul. Especially on the probable rainfall depth of total duration the application of unified formula general type is better than existing types. In this formula, values of n are decreasing with return period and increasing with rainfall duration, and values of coefficient, b, are decreasing with the increase of return period. The range of n varies from 0.55 to 0.60 for short duration, from 0.60 to 0.82 for long duration, and from 0.60 to 0.66 for total duration of probable rainfall depth.

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Numerical Investigation into Behavior of Retaining Wall Subject to Cycles of Wetting and Drying (습윤-건조 반복작용에 노출되는 옹벽의 거동에 관한 수치해석 연구)

  • Yoo, Chung-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.13-22
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    • 2013
  • This paper presents the results of a numerical investigation into the behavior of retaining wall subject to cycles of wetting and drying due to rainfall. The stress-pore pressure coupled finite element modeling strategy was first established for stimulating the wall behavior. A series of finite element analyses were then performed on a range of conditions including different rainfall and backfill conditions. The results indicated that the rainfall intensity was the primary influencing factor for the wall behavior. Also revealed was that the pre-rainfall condition determines the magnitudes and the distribution of matric suction which in fact has a significant impact on the behavior of wall during a major rainfall. This result demonstrates the importance of incorporating the pre-rainfall condition for numerical modeling of walls during heavy rainfall. Practical implications of the findings from this study are discussed in great detail.

Characteristics of Runoff Load from Nonpoint Source Pollutants in the Lake Doam Watershed (도암호 유역에서 비점오염물질의 유출부하 특성)

  • Kwak, Sungjin;Bhattrai, Bal Dev;Gim, Giyoung;Kang, Phil-Goo;Heo, Woomyung
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.51 no.1
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    • pp.135-147
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    • 2018
  • In order to investigate the runoff characteristics of nonpoint source pollutants in the Lake Doam watershed, water quality and flow rate were monitored for 38-rainfall events from 2009 to 2016. The EMC values of SS, COD, TN and TP were in the range of 33~2,169, 3.5~56.9, 0.09~7.65 and $0.06{\sim}2.21mg\;L^{-1}$, respectively. As a result of analyzing the effect of rainfall factor on the nonpoint source pollutant load, EMCs of SS, COD and TP showed a statistically significant correlation with rainfall (RA) (p<0.01) and SS showed highly significant correlation with maximum rainfall intensity (MRI, R=0.48). The load ranges of SS, COD, TN and TP were 10.4~11,984.6, 1.1~724.4, 0.6~51.6 and $0.03{\sim}22.85ton\;event^{-1}$, respectively, showing large variation depending on the characteristics of rainfall events. The effect of rainfall on the load was analyzed. SS, COD and TP showed a positive correlation, but TN did not show any significant correlation. The annual load of SS was the highest with $88,645tons\;year^{-1}$ in 2011 when rainfall was the highest with 1,669 mm. The result of impact analysis of nonpoint source pollution reduction project and land-use change on runoff load showed that pollutant load significantly reduced from 2009 to 2014 but SS and TP loads were increased from 2014 to 2016 due to increase in construction area. Therefore, we suggested that nonpoint source pollution abatement plan should be continued to reduce the soil loss and pollutants during rainfall, and countermeasures to reduce nonpoint source pollution due to construction need to be established.

The Study on Development and Verification of Rainfall-Runoff Simulator for LID Technology Verification (LID 기술의 효율성 검증을 위한 강우-유출 모의장치 개발 및 검증실험에 관한 연구)

  • Jang, Young Su;Kim, Mi Eun;Baek, Jong Seok;Shin, Hyun Suk
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.513-522
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    • 2014
  • Climate change and urbanization have affected a increase of peak discharge and water pollution etc. In a view of these aspects, the LID(Low Impact Development) technology has been highlighted as one of adjustable control measures to mimic predevelopment hydrologic condition. Many LID technologies have developed, but there is a lack of studies with verification of LID technology efficiency. Therefore this study developed a rainfall-runoff simulator could be possible to verify LID technology efficiency. Using this simulator, this study has experimented the rainfall verification through the rainfall distribution experiment and the experiment to show the relation between inflow and effective rainfall in order to sprinkle the equal rainfall in each unit bed. As a result, the study defined the relation between allowable discharge range and RPM by nozzle types and verified the hydrologic cycle such as the relation between infiltration rate, surface runoff and subsurface runoff at pervious area and impervious area through the rainfall-runoff experiment.

Assessment of causality between climate variables and production for whole crop maize using structural equation modeling

  • Kim, Moonju;Sung, Kyungil
    • Journal of Animal Science and Technology
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    • v.63 no.2
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    • pp.339-353
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    • 2021
  • This study aimed to assess the causality of different climate variables on the production of whole crop maize (Zea mays L.; WCM) in the central inland region of the Korea. Furthermore, the effect of these climate variables was also determined by looking at direct and indirect pathways during the stages before and after silking. The WCM metadata (n = 640) were collected from the Rural Development Administration's reports of new variety adaptability from 1985-2011 (27 years). The climate data was collected based on year and location from the Korean Meteorology Administration's weather information system. Causality, in this study, was defined by various cause-and-effect relationships between climatic factors, such as temperature, rainfall amount, sunshine duration, wind speed and relative humidity in the seeding to silking stage and the silking to harvesting stage. All climate variables except wind speed were different before and after the silking stage, which indicates the silking occurred during the period when the Korean season changed from spring to summer. Therefore, the structure of causality was constructed by taking account of the climate variables that were divided by the silking stage. In particular, the indirect effect of rainfall through the appropriate temperature range was different before and after the silking stage. The damage caused by heat-humidity was having effect before the silking stage while the damage caused by night-heat was not affecting WCM production. There was a large variation in soil surface temperature and rainfall before and after the silking stage. Over 350 mm of rainfall affected dry matter yield (DMY) when soil surface temperatures were less than 22℃ before the silking stage. Over 900 mm of rainfall also affected DMY when soil surface temperatures were over 27℃ after the silking stage. For the longitudinal effects of soil surface temperature and rainfall amount, less than 22℃ soil surface temperature and over 300 mm of rainfall before the silking stage affected yield through over 26℃ soil surface temperature and less than 900 mm rainfall after the silking stage, respectively.