• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall pattern

검색결과 355건 처리시간 0.025초

Impact of predicted climate change on groundwater resources of small islands : Case study of a small Pacific Island

  • Babu, Roshina;Park, Namsik
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2018년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.145-145
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    • 2018
  • Small islands rely heavily on groundwater resources in addition to rainwater as the source of freshwater since surface water bodies are often absent. The groundwater resources are vulnerable to sea level rise, coastal flooding, saltwater intrusion, irregular pattern of precipitation resulting in long droughts and flash floods. Increase in population increases the demand for the limited groundwater resources, thus aggravating the problem. In this study, the effects of climate change on Tongatapu Island, Kingdom of Tonga, a small island in Pacific Ocean, are investigated using a sharp interface transient groundwater flow model. Twenty nine downscaled General Circulation Model(GCM) predictions are input to a water balance model to estimate the groundwater recharge. The temporal variation in recharge is predicted over the period of 2010 to 2099. A set of GCM models are selected to represent the ensemble of 29 models based on cumulative recharge at the end of the century. This set of GCM model predictions are then used to simulate a total of six climate scenarios, three each (2010-2039, 2040-2069, and 2070-2099) under RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5. The impacts of predicted climate change on groundwater resources is evaluated in terms of freshwater volume changes and saltwater ratios in pumping wells compared to present conditions. Though the cumulative recharge at the end of the century indicates a wetter climate compared to the present conditions the large variability in rainfall pattern results in frequent periods of groundwater drought leading to saltwater intrusion in pumping wells. Thus for sustaining the limited groundwater resources in small islands, implementation of timely assessment and management practices are of utmost importance.

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동적효과를 고려한 저류함수모형의 최적 매개변수 결정 (The optimal parameter estimation of storage function model based on the dynamic effect)

  • 김종래;김주철;정동국;김재한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권7호
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    • pp.593-603
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    • 2006
  • 강우로부터 유출현상은 고유적으로 비선형성이다. 더욱이 실제적으로 이와 같은 비선형성의 해석은 많은 어려움을 내포하고 있다. 또한, 부정류효과의 동적작용을 고려한 저류개념은 매개변수의 유역특성상 추정하기가 상당히 복잡하기 때문에 피해오고 있는 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 이와 같은 동적효과를 고려한 비선형의 저류함수에 대한 매개변수의 최적치를 얻고자 시도한다. 이를 위한 수치해법은 금강의 보청천유역의 관측치와 계산치의 오차를 최소로 하는 최소자승법에 의거 준선형화, Runge-Kutta 및 pattern-search 법들을 적용한다. 본 연구의 동적효과를 고려한 비선형 개념적모형의 적용성은 비선형성만을 고려한 저류함수모형 및 기존의 Nash 모형과 비교하여 검토하였다. 그 결과 2계모형이 l계모형보다 강우로부터 유출예측치를 보다 더 잘 재현하는 것을 알 수 있었으며, Nash 모형과는 대등함을 보여주었다. 여기서 획득된 매개변수들은 물리적 의미뿐만 아니라 본 모형의 국내 적용성도 제공한다.

관악산에 식재된 리기다소나무림에서의 낙엽의 생산과 분해 (Litter Production and Decomposition in the Pinus rigida Plantation in Mt. Kwan-ak)

  • Kim, Jae-Geun;Chang, Nam-Kee
    • The Korean Journal of Ecology
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.9-20
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    • 1989
  • Annual production and decomposition of litter were studied in piuns rigida platation in Mt. Kwan-ak. The peak time of litter production was October-November. The litterfalll at that time was 54% of annual litter production. But the peak time of litterfall of reproductive parts was Junejuly. The peak times of litter production in Alnus hirsuta plantation were June-July, and November. It is thought that difference of seasonal distribution of letterfall between two forest types were assigned to litter falling factors such as temperature and insects. Total amount of letter loss increased according to time. Particulary, the peak time of loss rate was July-August. It was shown that the protein and phosphorus were accumulated in the letter for an experimental period. The amount of crude protein increased to 150% of initial amount. The amount of potassium was increased by August and then decreased rapidly. The contents of crude fat, holocellulose, lignin, and Na were decreased slowly. The loss of holocellulose was the largiest among them. Calcium was in steady state. It was thought that this variation pattern was assigned to leaching of soluble parts by high temperature, rainfall and growth rate of microorganisms.

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Survey of Flea Infestation in Dogs in Different Geographical Regions of Iran

  • Tavassoli, Mosa;Ahmadi, Amir;Imani, Abbas;Ahmadiara, Emad;Javadi, Shahram;Hadian, Mojtaba
    • Parasites, Hosts and Diseases
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    • 제48권2호
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    • pp.145-149
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    • 2010
  • Medically important arthropods, including fleas, play an important role in causing clinical disorders and disease in man and domestic animals. This study was conducted to determine the seasonal flea infestations for domestic dogs from different geographic regions of Iran. A total of 407 fleas, belonging to 5 different species, were recovered from 83 domestic dogs from 3 regions. There was a distinctive pattern of species distribution and infestations with the highest infestation rates observed in a temperate climate and higher rainfall. Additionally, fleas were observed over all seasons, except February and March, with the highest infestation rate observed in August (24.7%) and the lowest rate in January (1.7%). They also parasitize dogs with a different spectrum of species. The cat flea, Ctenocephalides felis (67.5%), exhibited the highest prevalence among all flea species found on dogs. Thus, climatic conditions and seasonal patterns impact on flea infestation and must be considered in developing control programs.

가뭄심도-지속기간-빈도해석을 통한 우리나라 가뭄의 공간분포 분석 (Analysis of Spatial Distribution of Droughts in Korea through Drought Severity-Duration-frequency Analysis)

  • 김대하;유철상
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제39권9호
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    • pp.745-754
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    • 2006
  • 본 연구에서는 구형펄스모형을 이용한 가뭄심도-지속기간-생기빈도 해석 방법을 적용하여 전국 59개 지점에 대한 분석을 수행하고, 이를 통해 남한전체 가뭄심도의 공간분포를 특성화하였다. 먼저 일정재현기간에 대해 가뭄심도는 대체적으로 남부지방에서 크게 나타남을 확인할 수 있었다. 구형펄스의 중첩을 고려하는 경우와 고려하지 않는 경우 모두에 대해 이러한 경향은 일관되게 나타났으며 지속기간이 증가하더라도 남부지방의 가뭄 심도는 타 지역에 비해 여전히 큰 것으로 나타났다. 본 연구의 결과는 관측된 가뭄의 발생횟수 및 최대심도와 비교되었는데, 이를 통해 본 연구에서의 해석결과가 어느 정도의 신뢰도를 가짐을 확인할 수 있었다.

제주지역의 강우패턴과 가정용 우수이용시스템 (Rainfall Pattern in Jeju-do and Rainwater Utilizing System at Domestic District)

  • 장경수;전지영;서영민;이승윤;지홍기
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2006년도 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.1420-1424
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    • 2006
  • 제주도는 연 평균 강우량이 전국 평균의 1.5배에 해당하는 다우지역이다. 그러나 화산섬으로서의 특수한 지형 및 지질구조 때문에 지표수가 거의 발달하지 않았으며, 이러한 수문지질여건으로 인하여 수자원의 대부분을 지하수 개발에 의존할 수 밖에 없어 용수 수요량의 증가를 충족시키기 위한 지하수 개발이 가속화되어 왔다. 그러나 지하수의 과다개발 등으로 지하수의 부존량은 점차 감소할 수 밖에 없는 실정이며, 제주도의 투수성이 높은 지질과 토양으로 지하수 오염에 취약해 최근 수질기준을 초과하는 지역이 늘어나고 있는 실정이다. 이에 제주 당국은 국제자유도시특별법 규정에 권장대상 빗물이용시설에 대한 시설비 보조에 관한 사항 등을 정하여 우수이용을 권장하고 있다. 본 연구에서는 제주도지역의 강우패턴과 세대별 생활용수량 자료를 조사 분석하여 효율적인 가정용 우수 이용 시스템으로서 갈수기에도 안정적으로 용수를 공급받을 수 있는 저류탱크의 크기 및 우수배관의 관경결정 기법을 개발하고 수질의 안정화를 위한 우수수질 안정화 기법을 제시하였다. 우수이용 시스템의 설계를 위하여 개발한 모형인 DDP, DOS 모형을 이용하여 강우 및 용수의 기초자료가 비교적 풍부한 제주도 지역에 적용함으로써 국내의 다른 산간지역과 도서지역에서도 본 시스템의 적용이 용이하게 될 수 있을 것으로 판단되며, 본 시스템 및 시스템 모형화에 대한 지속적인 연구를 통하여 보다 경제적이고 안정적인 시스템 설계가 가능한 범용적인 모형의 개발을 할 수 있을 것으로 사료된다.

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TIME SERIES ANALYSIS OF SPOT NDVI FOR IDENTIFYING IRRIGATION ACTIVITIES AT RICE CULTIVATION AREA IN SUPHANBURI PROVINCE, THAILAND

  • Kamthonkiae Daroonwan;Kiyoshe Honda;Hugh Turral
    • 대한원격탐사학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한원격탐사학회 2005년도 Proceedings of ISRS 2005
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2005
  • In this paper, the real scenario of water situation (e.g. water management, water availability and flooding) in an irrigated rice cultivation area in Suphanburi Province, Central-West Thailand is discussed together with the NDVI time series data. The result shown is derived by our classifier named 'Peak Detector Algorithm (PDA)'. The method discriminated 5 classes in terms of irrigation activities and cropping intensities, namely, Non-irrigated, Poorly irrigated - 1 crop/year, Irrigated - 2 crops/year, Irrigated - 3 crops/year and Others (no cultivation happens in a year or other land covers). The overall accuracy of all classified results (1999-2001) is around $77\%$ against independent ground truth data (general activities or function of an area). In the classified results, spatial and temporal inconsistency appeared significantly in the Western and Southern areas of Suphanburi. The inconsistency resulted mainly by anomaly of rainfall pattern in 1999 and their temporal irrigation activity. The algorithm however, was proved that it could detect actual change of irrigation status in a year.

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기상재해연구-태풍과 해난- (A Study on the Meteorological Disaster in Korean Waters)

  • 박종길;김유근;안영화
    • 수산해양기술연구
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.56-63
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    • 1991
  • This paper aims to describe the relation between the weather condition, especially typhoon and a shipwreck in Korean waters. For this study, it was investigated the statistical characteristics of a shipwreck due to the weather, pressure patterns governing the shipwreck in Korean waters. and the relation between the intensity of typhoon and the amount of a disaster. The results are summarized as follows: 1) The monthly occurrence frequency of a shipwreck was the heighest in July followed by February, March in descending order. 2) The pressure patterns governing the shipwreck were classified broadly into six types and pressure pattern which had most occurrence frequency of a shipwreck was Type V and then cames Type I, Type III and type IV in that order. 3) Occurence frequency of a shipwreck and the amount of a kinetic energy of typhoon have nothing to do with each other. In case of Wind-Typhoon that brought more a strong wind than a heavy rainfall, there were seriously affected ships and buildings by the wind.

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LARS-WG 상세화 기법을 적용한 미래 기온 및 강수량 전망 및 분석 - 우리나라 8개 기상관측소를 대상으로 - (Projection and Analysis of Future Temperature and Precipitation using LARS-WG Downscaling Technique - For 8 Meteorological Stations of South Korea -)

  • 신형진;박민지;조형경;박근애;김성준
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제52권4호
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    • pp.83-91
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    • 2010
  • Generally, the GCM (General Circulation Model) data by IPCC climate change scenarios are used for future weather prediction. IPCC GCM models predict well for the continental scale, but is not good for the regional scale. This paper tried to generate future temperature and precipitation of 8 scattered meteorological stations in South Korea by using the MIROC3.2 hires GCM data and applying LARS-WG downscaling method. The MIROC3.2 A1B scenario data were adopted because it has the similar pattern comparing with the observed data (1977-2006) among the scenarios. The results showed that both the future precipitation and temperature increased. The 2080s annual temperature increased $3.8{\sim}5.0^{\circ}C$. Especially the future temperature increased up to $4.5{\sim}7.8^{\circ}C$ in winter period (December-February). The future annual precipitation of 2020s, 2050s, and 2080s increased 17.5 %, 27.5 %, and 39.0 % respectively. From the trend analysis for the future projected results, the above middle region of South Korea showed a statistical significance for winter precipitation and south region for summer rainfall.

농업가뭄대응을 위한 가뭄기상시나리오 모델 개발 및 적용 (Developing Model of Drought Climate Scenarios for Agricultural Drought Mitigation)

  • 유승환;최진용;남원호;김태곤;고광돈
    • 한국농공학회논문집
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    • 제54권2호
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2012
  • Different from other natural hazards including floods, drought advances slowly and spreads widely, so that the preparedness is quite important and effective to mitigate the impacts from drought. Evaluation and forecast the status of drought for the present and future utilizing the meteorological scenario for agricultural drought can be useful to set a plan for agricultural drought mitigation in agriculture water resource management. In this study, drought climate scenario model on the basis of historical drought records for preparing agricultural drought mitigation was developed. To consider dependency and correlation between various climate variables, this model was utilized the historical climate pattern using reference year setting of four drought levels. The reference year for drought level was determined based on the frequency analysis result of monthly effective rainfall. On the basis of this model, drought climate scenarios at Suwon and Icheon station were set up and these scenarios were applied on the water balance simulation of reservoir water storage for Madun reservoir as well as the soil moisture model for Gosam reservoir watershed. The results showed that drought climate scenarios in this study could be more useful for long-term forecast of longer than 2~3 months period rather than short-term forecast of below one month.