• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall pattern

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Two-dimensional Inundation Analysis Using Stochastic Rainfall Variation and Geographic Information System (추계학적 강우변동생성 기법과 GIS를 연계한 2차원 침수해석)

  • Lee, Jin-Young;Cho, Wan-Hee;Han, Kun-Yeun;Ahn, Ki-Hong
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.101-113
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    • 2010
  • Recently actual rainfall pattern is decreasing rainy days and increasing in rainfall intensity and the frequency of flood occurrence is also increased. To consider recent situation, Engineers use deterministic methods like a PMP(Probable Maximum Precipitation). If design storm wouldn't occur, increasing of design criteria is extravagant. In addition, the biggest structure cause trouble with residents and environmental problem. And then it is necessary to study considering probability of rainfall parameter in each sub-basin for design of water structure. In this study, stochastic rainfall patterns are generated by using log-ratio method, Johnson system and multivariate Monte Carlo simulation. Using the stochastic rainfall patterns, hydrological analysis, hydraulic analysis and 2nd flooding analysis were performed based on GIS for their applicability. The results of simulations are similar to the actual damage area so the methodology of this study should be used about making a flood risk map or regidental shunting rout map against the region.

Microcrustacean Community Dynamics in Upo Wetlands: Impact of Rainfall and Physiochemical Factor on Microcrustacean Community (우포늪의 미소갑각류 군집 동태: 강우량 및 이화학적 요인이 미소갑각류 군집 분포에 미치는 영향)

  • Choi, Jong-Yun;Kim, Seong-Ki;La, Geung-Hwan;Jeong, Kwang-Seuk;Kim, Hyun-Woo;Kim, Tae-Kyu;Joo, Gea-Jae
    • Korean Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.45 no.3
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    • pp.340-346
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    • 2012
  • The relationships between environmental factors and the dynamics of the microcrustacean community, including planktonic or epiphytic cladocerans and copepods, were studied at Upo Wetlands from 2001 to 2010. Among 10 identified cladoceran taxon, epiphytic cladocerans (Alona, Camptocercus, Simocephalus, Diaphanosoma, Sida) and planktonic cladocerans (Bosmina, Ceriodaphnia, Daphnia, Moina, Scapholeberis) showed distinctive patterns in appearance throughout the year. Overall, epiphytic cladocerans were more abundant during the aquatic plant development season (May to Nov.), planktonic cladocerans were similarly distributed throughout the seasons, but showed a lower density than epiphytic cladocerans. The seasonal changes in copepods abundance showed a similar seasonal pattern when compared to epiphytic cladocerans. Planktonic cladocerans showed no significant relationship to rainfall and physico-chemical factors, while epiphytic cladocerans exhibited a distinct relationship with rainfall and water temperature (n=120, p<0.01), and a negative relationship with pH and conductivity (n=120, p<0.05). Among the epiphytic cladocerans, the Alona and Diaphanosoma showed a distinctive correlation with environmental factors, and their density was affected by rainfall and water temperature (n=120, p<0.01). Copepods had a positive relationship with rainfall (n=120, p<0.01) and water temperature (n=120, p<0.05). In conclusion, changes in rainfall and water temperature can affect the seasonal changes of microcrustacean community and abundance in Upo Wetlands.

Grid Network Analysis for Distributed Rainfall-Runoff Modelling (분포형 강우-유출 모의를 위한 격자 네트워크 해석)

  • Choi, Yun-Seok;Lee, Jin-Hee;Kim, Kyung-Tak
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.11
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    • pp.1123-1133
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    • 2008
  • It needs to conceptualize watershed with triangular or rectangular elements and to analyze the changes in hydrological components of each element for distributed modeling of rainfall-runoff process. This study is the network analysis of watershed grid for flow routing occurred in each element when analyzing rainfall-runoff process by one-dimensional kinematic wave equation. Single flow direction from D8-method(deterministic eight-neighbors method) is used, and the information of flow direction and flow accumulation are used to determine the computation order of each element. The application theory of finite volume method is suggested for each flow direction pattern between elements, and it is applied it to calculate the flow of each grid. Network analysis method from this study is applied to GRM(Grid based Rainfall-runoff Model) which is physically based distributed rainfall-runoff model, and the results from simplified hypothetical watersheds are compared with $Vflo^{TM}$ to examine the reasonability of the method. It is applied to Jungrangcheon watershed in Han river for verification, and examination of the applicability to real site. The results from Jungrangcheon watershed show good agreement with measured hydrographs, and the application of the network analysis method to real site is proper.

A Determination of the Maximum Potential Runoff of Small Rural Basins (소하천(小河川) 유역(流域)의 잠재유출량(潛在流出量) 결정(決定))

  • Yoon, Yong Nam;Hong, Chang Seon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1982
  • An effort of preliminary type has been made to develope a practical method for the waterway area determination of a drainage outlet in rural or agricultural areas. The Seoul meteorological station was selected as tile index station, and the maximum rainfalls-duration-frequency (R-D-F) relation of short-time intense rainfalls was first established. A frequency analysis of the daily rainfalls for the 75 stations selected throughout the country resulted the 50-year daily rainfall for each station. The rainfall factor, which is defined here as the ration of 50-year daily rainfalls of individual station and the index station, was determined for the 8 climatological regions divided in this study. Following the US SCS method the runoff number of a watershed was given based on the soil type, land-use pattern, and the surface treatment. With this runoff number and the R-D-F relationship the runoff factors for the index station were computed and hence a nomogram could be drawn which makes it possible to determine the runoff factor for a given rainfall number and a rainfall of specific duration and frequency. With this done, the potential runoff of a watershed for a given rainfall duration could be calculated, based on the unit hydrograph theory, by multiplying the rainfall factor, the runoff factor, and the drainage area of the watershed under consideration. Then, the maximum runoff potential was determined by varying the rainfall duration and finding out the duration which results the peak discharge of a gived return period.

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Runoff Characteristics of Non-Point Source Pollutants in Storm Event -Case Study on the Upstream and Downstream of Kokseong River, Korea- (강우시 비점오염물질의 유출특성에 관한 연구 -곡성천 상.하류를 대상으로-)

  • Yang Hea-Kun
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.41 no.4 s.115
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    • pp.418-434
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    • 2006
  • The study was investigated to runoff characteristics of non-point pollutants according to rainfall in Kokseong river watershed. The result of which is as follows : First of all, major reason which affect the formation of water quality of Kokseong River is judged to be caused by non-point pollution source which flows out from farmland and residential area. Flow of rainfall effluent in the downstream in which direct flow components of urban district and combined sewer overflows of farmland was intervened faster than that in the upstream reacted more promptly. Generation of pollutants by non-point source shows increasing trend in general in accordance with the increase in the intensity of rainfall but it was affected by SS, BOD, COD and T-P in the upstream part whereas BOD, COD and T-N were significantly affected by beginning period of rainfall in the downstream. EMC in the downstream increased approximately 3-315 times as compared to upstream, particularly the discharge of SS5 and T-P were extremely increased. While surface flow out of rainfall effluent in the upstream was only 4.7%, the surface flow in the downstream took up as much as 29%, which was major reason for the increase of EMC. From the above contents, we can see that the change in water quality according to the increase and decrease of effluent at the time of rainfall showed very complex pattern depending on the type of land use, and it is judged that the most important thing for the administration of non-point pollution source is to come up with the solution for the reduction of effluent at the beginning.

A Study on Heavy Rainfall Guidance Realized with the Aid of Neuro-Fuzzy and SVR Algorithm Using AWS Data (AWS자료 기반 SVR과 뉴로-퍼지 알고리즘 구현 호우주의보 가이던스 연구)

  • Kim, Hyun-Myung;Oh, Sung-Kwun;Kim, Yong-Hyuk;Lee, Yong-Hee
    • The Transactions of The Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers
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    • v.63 no.4
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    • pp.526-533
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we introduce design methodology to develop a guidance for issuing heavy rainfall warning by using both RBFNNs(Radial basis function neural networks) and SVR(Support vector regression) model, and then carry out the comparative studies between two pattern classifiers. Individual classifiers are designed as architecture realized with the aid of optimization and pre-processing algorithm. Because the predictive performance of the existing heavy rainfall forecast system is commonly affected from diverse processing techniques of meteorological data, under-sampling method as the pre-processing method of input data is used, and also data discretization and feature extraction method for SVR and FCM clustering and PSO method for RBFNNs are exploited respectively. The observed data, AWS(Automatic weather wtation), supplied from KMA(korea meteorological administration), is used for training and testing of the proposed classifiers. The proposed classifiers offer the related information to issue a heavy rain warning in advance before 1 to 3 hours by using the selected meteorological data and the cumulated precipitation amount accumulated for 1 to 12 hours from AWS data. For performance evaluation of each classifier, ETS(Equitable Threat Score) method is used as standard verification method for predictive ability. Through the comparative studies of two classifiers, neuro-fuzzy method is effectively used for improved performance and to show stable predictive result of guidance to issue heavy rainfall warning.

Time trend of malaria in relation to climate variability in Papua New Guinea

  • Park, Jae-Won;Cheong, Hae-Kwan;Honda, Yasushi;Ha, Mina;Kim, Ho;Kolam, Joel;Inape, Kasis;Mueller, Ivo
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.31
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    • pp.3.1-3.11
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    • 2016
  • Objectives This study was conducted to describe the regional malaria incidence in relation to the geographic and climatic conditions and describe the effect of altitude on the expansion of malaria over the last decade in Papua New Guinea. Methods Malaria incidence was estimated in five provinces from 1996 to 2008 using national health surveillance data. Time trend of malaria incidence was compared with rainfall and minimum/maximum temperature. In the Eastern Highland Province, time trend of malaria incidence over the study period was stratified by altitude. Spatio-temporal pattern of malaria was analyzed. Results Nationwide, malaria incidence was stationary. Regionally, the incidence increased markedly in the highland region (292.0/100000/yr, p =0.021), and remained stationary in the other regions. Seasonality of the malaria incidence was related with rainfall. Decreasing incidence of malaria was associated with decreasing rainfall in the southern coastal region, whereas it was not evident in the northern coastal region. In the Eastern Highland Province, malaria incidence increased in areas below 1700 m, with the rate of increase being steeper at higher altitudes. Conclusions Increasing trend of malaria incidence was prominent in the highland region of Papua New Guinea, while long-term trend was dependent upon baseline level of rainfall in coastal regions.

Analysis of Debris Flow of Chun-cheon Landslide Area using Numerical Methods (수치해석을 통한 춘천 산사태지역 토석류 거동 분석)

  • Choi, Junghae
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.27 no.1
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    • pp.59-66
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    • 2017
  • The characteristic of recent rainfall pattern in Korea is concentrated in summer season and it is very different compare with former characteristic. In 2011, there was heavy rainfall in Chuncheon city of northern part of Korea. Because of rainfall in short time, many landslides were occurred in narrow area and many people were killed by these landslides at that time. The purpose of this study is to calculate run-out distance of debris flow and analyze the movement properties of debris flow according to the elapsed time using numerical analysis method at that time. The debris 2D program, which is developed by prof. Liu in National Taiwan University, was used in this study. Run-out distance of debris flow was calculated under different yield strength conditions which were controlled by rainfall amount. The results reveal that absolute maximum velocity of the debris flow is about 8.1 m/s and maximum depth of debris flow is about 7 m when debris flow was occurred. The run-out distance after 500 sec is about 300 m from end of the valley. It is very well similar with actual debris flow run-out distance. From these results, we can presume the maximum velocity and depth of debris flow at that time.

A Study on urban runoff by deter ministic simulation techniques. (확정론적 모의기법에 의한 도시유출 해석에 관한 연구)

  • 이은영;강관원
    • Water for future
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    • v.15 no.3
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    • pp.37-47
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    • 1982
  • In the past, the design flow of the urban storm drainage systems has been used largely on a basis of empirical and experience, and the rational formula one of empirical method has been widely used for our country, as well as world wide. But the empirical method has insufficient factor because minimal consideration is given to the relationship of the parameters in the equation to the processes being considered, and considerable use of experience and judgment in setting values to the coefficients in the equation is made. The postcomputer era of hydrology has brought an acceleration development of mathematical methods, thus mathematical models are methods which will greatly increase our understanding in hydrology. On this study, a simple mathematical model of urban presented by British Road Research Laboratory is tested on urban watersheds in Ju An Ju Gong Apartment. The basin is located in Kan Seog Dong, Inchon. The model produces a runoff hydrograph by applying rain all to only the directly connected impervious area of the basin. To apply this model the basin is divided into contributing areas or subbasins. With this information the time area for contributing is derived. The rainfall hyetograph to design storm for the basin flow has been obtained by determination of total rainfall and the temporal distribution of that rainfall determined on the basis of Huff's method form historical rainfall data of the basin. The inflows from several subbaisns are successively routed down the network of reaches from the upstream end to the outlet. A simple storage routing technique is used which involves the use of the Manning equation to compute the stage discharge curve for the cross-section in question. To apply the model to a basin, the pattern of impervious areas must be known in detail, as well as the slopes and sizes of all surface and subsurface drains.

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Typical Patterns of the Heavy Rains and their Associated Atmospheric Circulation (전형적인 호우와 연관된 대기순환)

  • Hi-Ryong Byun;Mo-Rang Her
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.7 no.2
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 1998
  • The spatial rainfall distributions accompanied by the heavy rainfalls in the Korean peninsula were class-sified to 6 typical patterns and synoptic characteristics of each pattern were muined. 274 cases of heavy rainfall events occurred for 10 years from 1981 through 1990 were used for thls study In the 4 types of them, heavy rainfalls are not by the strongly developed but by the rapidly deepening low pressure systems. which have a wall defiried low and high level jets before arrival to the Korean peninsula. In another 2 types, heavy rainfall are due to speciauy developed surface low pressure system. Most of the heavy rain areas are associated with the location of the low level Jets and their direction and with the position of surface warm front. In the 4 types, the heavy rain areas extend In zonal direction. And the latitudinal locations of these areas are associated with the polar low center or strong main trough over 500 hPa level. The more northwestern part of the Asla the low locates the higher latitude in the Korean Peninsula the rainfall concentration occurs at. It is also known that the seasonal drifting of the lows have some relations to the procession of summer monsoon but its characteristics change year by year.

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