• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall and Flood

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A Study of Progressive Parameter Calibrations for Rainfall-Runoff Models (강우-유출모형을 위한 매개변수 순차 보정기법 연구)

  • Kwak, Jae-Won;Kim, Duk-Gil;Hong, Il-Pyo;Kim, Hung-Soo
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.107-121
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    • 2009
  • Many rainfall-runoff models have been used for the flood forecasting. However, the determination of rainfall-runoff model parameters is very difficult. In this study, we investigated the efficiency of flood forecasting models by studying the optimization techniques for parameter calibration of SFM, Tank, and SSARR models. We analyzed the correlations between parameters in optimization techniques, then classified the parameters into parameter groups. For this we applied the sequential calibration method through the sensitivity analysis. As the results of the analysis, the parameter groups clibration method showed better result for peak flow and clibtation time.

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A Study on the Improvement of Huff's Method for Applying in Korea : II. Improvement of Huff's Method (Huff 강우시간분포방법의 개선방안 연구 : II. Huff 방법의 개선방안)

  • Jang Su-Hyung;Yoon Jae-Young;Yoon Yong-Nam
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.9 s.170
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    • pp.779-786
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we propose a new method that utilizes rainfall data in and out of a basin, which is greater than 25.4mm for point rainfall or 12.7mm for areal mean rainfall respectively. From our analysis, most frequent quartile for point and areal mean rainfall were found to be the same in general for various rainfall duration intervals. From an evaluation of design rainfall per each rainfall duration distributed in time by the MOCT(Ministry of Construction and Transportation) version of Huff's method and this study, peak rainfall intensity by this study was found to be greater than the one by MOCT, but there were no consistent increase or decrease of this difference with rainfall durations. Using the distributed design rainfall per each duration by MOCT and this study, corresponding flood inflow hydrographs were simulated and compared each other. Contrary to the case of peak rainfall intensity, difference in peak flow by both methods per each rainfall duration started to increase from about 12-hr duration. Especially, the difference in peak flow was significant when critical rainfall duration was considered, and this trend was similar for peak flows of other rainfall durations. Therefore, the method proposed in this study is thought to be the effective procedure for the construction of dimensionless cumulative rainfall curve that is representative of a basin while considering time distribution characteristics for different rainfall durations.

Estimation of Design Rainfalls Considering an Increasing Trend in Rainfall Data (강우량의 증가 경향성을 고려한 목표년도 확률강우량 산정)

  • Kwon, Young-Moon;Park, Jin-Won;Kim, Tae-Woong
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2B
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    • pp.131-139
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    • 2009
  • Recently frequent occurrences of heavy rainfall and increases of rainfall intensity resulted in severe flood damage in Korea. In order to mitigate the vulnerability of flood, it is necessary to estimate proper design rainfalls considering the increasing trend of extreme rainfalls for hydrologic planning and design. This study focused the estimation of design rainfalls in a design target year. Tests of trend indicated that there are 7 sites showing increasing trends among 56 sites which have hourly data more than 30 years in Korea. This study analyzed the relationship between mean of annual maximum rainfalls and parameters of the Gumbel distribution. Based on the relationship, this study estimated the probability density function and design rainfalls in a design target year, and then constructed the rainfall-frequency curve. The proposed method estimated the design rainfalls 6-20% higher than those from the stationary rainfall frequency analysis.

Calculation of Runoff in Flood Basin Using GIS (GIS를 활용한 홍수유역의 유출량 산정)

  • 이형석;김인호
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.143-153
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    • 2003
  • In order to investigate the effect of a pouring rain that it follows in the typhoon, the effect analysis with actual measurement data of rainfall outflow it follows in flood basin is necessary. Also there is a case that it analyzes with the fact that the rainfall occurs identically in whole basin in case of the rainfall outflow analysis, but the actual rainfall distribution from the basin very will be irregular and the interpretation which it reflects must become accomplished. It created spatial information of terrain, land use and the soil using GIS. It created topographical factor of the subject area and calculated CN(runoff curve number) with WMS(Watershed Modeling System). It calculated runoff using a HEC-1 model and the Rational Method connected at the WMS. By connecting GIS and WMS, it calculated the effect of a pouring rain and runoff from the construction area. Also it will be able to apply with a basic data in more efficient runoff analysis.

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Spatio-Temporal Summer Rainfall Pattern in 2020 from a Rainfall Frequency Perspective (2020년 여름철 강우의 시공간적 특성 분석: 빈도해석을 중심으로)

  • Kim, Yong-Tak;Park, Moonhyung;Kwon, Hyun-Han
    • Journal of Korean Society of Disaster and Security
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.93-104
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    • 2020
  • Climate change has emerged as a social issue, and efforts have been made to overcome it in various ways. However, climate change due to global warming is likely to accelerate further than we expected, and the associated damage is also likely to increase. This tendency is expected to continue in the future, leading to difficulties for the existing water resource management system based on historical data. The precipitation in 2020 caused property damage and loss of life due to the extreme rainfall exceeding the design rainfall with the very unusual prolonged rainy days. With this 2020 flood, we should no longer be passive in managing flood risk due to uncertainties in climate change.

DEVELOPMENT OF A REAL-TIME FLOOD FORECASTING SYSTEM BY HYDRAULIC FLOOD ROUTING

  • Lee, Joo-Heon;Lee, Do-Hun;Jeong, Sang-Man;Lee, Eun-Tae
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2001
  • The objective of this study is to develop a prediction mode for a flood forecasting system in the downstream of the Nakdong river basin. Ranging from the gauging station at Jindong to the Nakdong estuary barrage, the hydraulic flood routing model(DWOPER) based on the Saint Venant equation was calibrated by comparing the calculated river stage with the observed river stages using four different flood events recorded. The upstream boundary condition was specified by the measured river stage data at Jindong station and the downstream boundary condition was given according to the tide level data observed at he Nakdong estuary barrage. The lateral inflow from tributaries were estimated by the rainfall-runoff model. In the calibration process, the optimum roughness coefficients for proper functions of channel reach and discharge were determined by minimizing the sum of the differences between the observed and the computed stage. In addition, the forecasting lead time on the basis of each gauging station was determined by a numerical simulation technique. Also, we suggested a model structure for a real-time flood forecasting system and tested it on the basis of past flood events. The testing results of the developed system showed close agreement between the forecasted and observed stages. Therefore, it is expected that the flood forecasting system we developed can improve the accuracy of flood forecasting on the Nakdong river.

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Flood Control Operation Model of Reservoir Using CSUDP (CSUDP를 이용한 홍수기 댐운영)

  • Lim, Kwang-Suop;Shim, Kyu-Cheoul;Hwang, Yeon-Sang
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2006.05a
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    • pp.918-922
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    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study is development of operation model for flood control of multi-reservoir in river basin, which can provide the best decision of reservoir release in timely and appropriately manner using CSUDP. For verification and validation of the developed system, the Gum River Basin was selected, which has 82 rainfall gauging stations, 28 water level gauging and 2 multi-purpose reservoirs which can control flood. There was a successful simulation of the developed model and system, using the real-time data from the Han River Basin Flood Forecast Center. Specially, case study for '1995 flood was performed.

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Analyzing the Flood Inundation in Low Agricultural Area (저지대 농경지의 홍수범람 분석)

  • Jun, Kye-Won;Lee, Ho-Jin
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.49 no.2
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    • pp.17-24
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    • 2007
  • This study analyzes the flood inundation in low agricultural area caused by rainfall during typhoon periods and how flood inundation areas should be affected. GIS techniques, HEC-HMS and HEC-GeoHMS were used for flood runoff, HEC-RAS was applied in water surface elevation analysis at each cross-section. RMA2, SED2D were applied for runoff characteristics of inundation areas and river bed change and distribution of sediment. As a result, velocity distribution was analyzed 2.6 m/s-3.4 m/s in flood inundation by water level increase. In the case of bed elevation change, most sediments were deposited to the parts that adjoin bank.

The Appropriateness of Probabilistic Rainfall of Disaster Impact Assessment System in Jeju Island (재해영향평가 적용 확률강우량의 적정성에 관한 연구 (제주도를 중심으로))

  • Hong-Jun Jo;Seung-Hyun Kim;Kwon-Moon Ko;Dong-Wook Lee
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.55-64
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    • 2024
  • The disaster impact assessment system was introduced in 2005 as a disaster prevention procedure for comprehensive and systematic developmental projects. However, according to the 'Practical Guidelines for Disaster Impact Assessment', Jeju Island's unique hydrogeological features necessitate the calculation of isohyetal-based probabilistic rainfall, which can reflect altitude, when estimating probabilistic rainfall for flood volume determination, rather than using conventional methods. Despite Jeju Island being centered around Hallasan, there are three Automatic Weather Stations (AWS) located at the summit of Hallasan, making weather stations denser than in other cities and provinces. Therefore, it is judged that there would be no difficulty in applying conventional methods, such as utilizing the probabilistic rainfall data from the weather stations or employing the Thiessen method, to estimate flood volumes for small-scale project areas. Accordingly, this study conducts a comparative analysis of the impact of applying general probabilistic rainfall from weather stations and isohyetal-based probabilistic rainfall in site in the context of Jeju Island's disaster impact assessment system.

Development of a Short-term Rainfall Forecasting Model Using Weather Radar Data (기상레이더 자료를 이용한 단시간 강우예측모형 개발)

  • Kim, Gwang-Seob; Kim, Jong-Pil
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.41 no.10
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    • pp.1023-1034
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    • 2008
  • The size and frequency of the natural disaster related to the severe storms are increased for recent decades in all over the globe. The damage from natural disasters such as typhoon, storm and local severe rainfall is very serious in Korea since they are concentrated on summer season. These phenomena will be more frequent in the future because of the impact of climate change related to increment of $CO_2$ concentration and the global warming. To reduce the damage from severe storms, a short-range precipitation forecasting model using a weather radar was developed. The study was conducted as following four tasks: conversion three-dimensional radar data to two-dimensional CAPPI(Constant Altitude Plan Position Indicator) efficiently, prediction of motion direction and velocity of a weather system, estimation of two-dimensional rainfall using operational calibration. Results demonstrated that two-dimensional estimation using weather radar is useful to analyze the spatial characteristics of local storms. If the precipitation forecasting system is linked to the flood prediction system, it should contribute the flood management and the mitigation of flood damages.