• 제목/요약/키워드: Rainfall Structure

검색결과 272건 처리시간 0.024초

Some models for rainfall focused on the inner correlation structure

  • Kim, Sangdan
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2004년도 학술발표회
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    • pp.1290-1294
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    • 2004
  • In this study, new stochastic point rainfall models which can consider the correlation structure between rainfall intensity and duration are developed. In order to consider the negative and positive correlation simultaneously, the Gumbels type-II bivariate distribution is applied, and for the cluster structure of rainfall events, the Neyman-Scott cluster point process is selected. In the theoretical point of view, it is shown that the models considering the dependent structure between rainfall intensity and duration have slightly heavier tail autocorrelation functions than the corresponding independent mode]s. Results from generating long time rainfall events show that the dependent models better reproduce historical rainfall time series than the corresponding independent models in the sense of autocorrelation structures, zero rainfall probabilities and extreme rainfall events.

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강우시 성토사면의 열차운전규제기준 (Rail Transport Operation Control for Railway Embankment under rainfall)

  • 김현기;신민호;최찬용
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 2009년도 세계 도시지반공학 심포지엄
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    • pp.225-232
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    • 2009
  • Infiltration of rainfall causes railway slopes to be unstable and may result in failure. Basic relationship between the rainfall and stability of railway embankment is defined to analyze its stability by rainfall. An experimental study for defining of infiltration rate of rainfall into slope is conducted in the lab. The results of Rainfall infiltration show that rainfall infiltration is not equal to infiltration as like reservoir because rate of rainfall infiltration is controlled by slope angle. Based on these results, boundary condition of rainfall is altered and various numerical analysis are performed. The variation of shear strength, the degree of saturation and pore-water pressure for railway slope during rainfall can be predicted and the safety factor of railway slope can be expressed as the function of rainfall amount, namely rainfall index. And suggested rainfall index is compared with the rail transport operation control which is used in KORAIL. It is judged that this rainfall index can be a good tool for the rail-transport operation control.

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한국 일강우의 추계학적 구조 (Stochastic Structure of Daily Rainfall in Korea)

  • 이근후
    • 한국농공학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.72-80
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    • 1989
  • Various analyses were made to investigate the stochastic structure of the daily rainfall in Korea. Records of daily rainfall amounts from 1951 to 1984 at Chinju Metesrological Station were used for this study. Obtained results are as follows : 1. Time series of the daily rainfall at Chinju were positively, serially correlated for the lag as large as one day. 2. Rainfall events, defined as a sequence of consecutive wet days separated by one or more dry days, showed a seasonal variation in the occurrence frequency. 3. The marginal distribution of event characteristics of each month showed significant dif- ferences each other. Events occurred in summer had longer duration and higher magnitude with higher intensity than those of events occurred in winter. 4. There were significant positive correlations among four event characteristics ; dura- tion, magnitude, average intensity, and maximum intensity. 5. Correlations among the daily rainfall amounts within an event were not significant in general. 6. There were no consistant significancy in identity or difference between the distribu- tions of daily rainfall amounts for different days within events. 7. Above mentioned characteristics of daily rainfall time series must be considered in building a stochastic model of daily rainfall.

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절취 사면의 파괴 특성과 관련된 영향 요인 분석 ; 경기도 남부 국도 사례 (Analysis of Influence Factors Related to Failure Characteristics of Excavated Slopes ; A Case of Southern Kyounggi Area along the Nat과l Road)

  • 김정환;윤운상;최재원
    • 한국지반공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국지반공학회 1999년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.277-284
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    • 1999
  • This study describes the influence factors related to slope failure pattern and dimension in the southern Kyounggi area. Intrusive and metamorphic rocks are distributed in the study area. Geological condition, rainfall property and slope geometry are influence on slope failure characteristics in the study we& Geological factors related to slope failure are rock type, geological structure and weathering condition. Because of deep soil (RS-CW) depth of granite region, circular failure type is major failure pattern in granite region. Almost granite slopes with circular or surface failure pattern are failed during heavy rainfall season. But typical wedge failure type related to geological structure factor is a main failure pattern of metamorphic rock slope. Additionally failure dimension is influenced by geological factors and several factors, i.e. natural slope condition, failure type, rainfall intensity and etc. failure height/width ratio and thickness/length ratio of granite slope are 0.88 and 0.23. But the ratios of metamorphic rock slope are 1.36 and 0.19.

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수문기상학적 활용을 위한 레이더 강우자료 생산(II) : 레이더 강우앙상블 (Generation of radar rainfall data for hydrological and meteorological application (II) : radar rainfall ensemble)

  • 김태정;이동률;장상민;권현한
    • 한국수자원학회논문집
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    • 제50권1호
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    • pp.17-28
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    • 2017
  • 최근 국지성 집중호우 및 돌발홍수와 같은 급격한 기상변화로 인한 기상재해의 발생빈도가 증가함에 따라 고해상도의 기상레이더 강우자료를 사용한 수공학 분야의 연구가 활발하게 진행되고 있다. 기상레이더는 넓은 지역에 걸쳐 실시간으로 강우현상 감시가 가능하며 지상우량계로는 파악이 불가능한 미계측유역을 통과하는 강우장의 이동 및 변동성 파악이 가능한 장점이 있지만 대기 중 존재하는 수상체로부터 반사되는 반사도를 사용하여 강우량을 산정하므로 시공간적 오차가 존재한다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 문제점을 해결하기 위하여 다변량 Copula 함수를 활용하여 레이더 강우에 존재하는 시공간적 오차를 규명하고 레이더 강우앙상블 생산기법을 개발하였다. 개발된 모형으로부터 생산된 레이더 강우앙상블은 통계적 효율기준 분석결과 우수한 모형성능을 확인하였으며 추가적으로 극치호우 및 강우시계열 패턴 분석결과 지상강우의 특성을 효과적으로 재현하는 것을 확인하였다.

장마전선상에서 하층제트 유입으로 인한 집중호우에 관한 연구 (A Study on the Heavy Rainfall Cases Associated with Low Level Jet Inflow along the Changma Front)

  • 최지영;신기창;류찬수
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.44-57
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    • 2011
  • In general, heavy rainfall in Korea is mostly associated with inflow of 850hPa low-level jet. It transports abundant heat and moisture flux to the Changma front. In this study, synoptic characteristics of heavy rainfall in Korea from a case study is examined by classifying heavy rainfall cases with synoptic patterns, in particular distribution of upper- and low-level jets, western North Pacific high, and moisture flux. The surface and upper-level weather charts including auxiliary analysis chart and radar and satellite images obtained from the Korea Meteorological Administration, and 500hPa geopotential heights from NCEP/NCAR are used and then KLAPS is applied to understand the local atmospheric structure associated with heavy rainfall. Results show that maximum frequency in 60 heavy rainfall cases with more than 150mm/day appears in the Changma type of 43 cases (a proportion in relation to a whole is 52%) including the combined Changma types with typhoon and cyclone. As indicated in previous studies, most heavy rainfall cases are related to inflow of low-level jet. In addition, synoptic characteristics based on the analyses of weather charts, radar and satellite images, and KLAPS in heavy rainfall case of 12 July, 2009 reveal that the atmospheric vertical structure in particular equivalent potential temperature favorable for effective inflow of warm and moist southwesterly into the Changma front is linked to large potential instability and the strong convergence accompanied with low-level jet around Suwon contributes to atmospheric upsliding along the Changma front, producing heavy rainfall.

Advanced Uses of Weather radar into Analysis and Prediction of Rainfall for Hydrological Applications

  • Eiichi Nakakita;Yoshiharu Suzuki;Shuichi Ikebuchi
    • 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국수자원학회 2001년도 학술발표회 논문집(I)
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    • pp.35-44
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    • 2001
  • As one of advanced uses of radar, a physically based rainfall prediction method which uses a conceptual rainfall model assimilated by information from volume scanning radar is shown. As another example of advanced utilization of weather radar, results from analyzing a hierarchical time-scale structure in dependency of rainfall distribution en topography are shown.

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장마철 우리나라 강수의 지속성에 따른 종관 특성의 차이 (Difference of Synoptic Characteristics according to the Persistence of Rainfall in Korea during the Changma Season)

  • 박병익
    • 대한지리학회지
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    • 제45권6호
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    • pp.748-765
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    • 2010
  • 본 연구에서는 장마철 우리나라의 지역 평균 강수량을 이용하여 강수의 지속성에 따른 종관 특성의 차이를 살펴보았다. 그 결과 일강수량 10mm 이상이 4일 이상 지속되는 강수(장기 강수)와 1~2일에 그치는 강수(단기 강수) 사이에는 종관 특성에 차이가 있음을 알았다. 장기 강수의 경우 우리나라 동쪽에 기압능이 발달, 저기압과 전선의 정체를 유도하였고, 또 강수 1일 전에 찬 공기가 화중지방으로 남하, 전선이 활발해져 강수의 지속성에 기여하였다. 단기 강수의 경우 저기압이 우리나라를 정체 없이 통과하였다. 또한 장기 강수와 단기 강수의 경우에 우리나라 부근의 전선이 대류권 전체에 미치는 경압성이 큰 구조를 보였다. 장기 강수의 전선 구조가 일본 남서부 지역 장기 강수의 경우와 다르며, 단기 강수의 경우는 양 지역에서 같다. 이는 장마가 반드시 일본 바이우(Baiu)의 연장선상에 있는 것은 아님을 의미한다.

인공신경망기법에 상관계수를 고려한 서울 강우관측 지점 간의 강우보완 및 예측 (Rainfall Adjust and Forecasting in Seoul Using a Artificial Neural Network Technique Including a Correlation Coefficient)

  • 안정환;정희선;박인찬;조원철
    • 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국방재학회 2008년도 정기총회 및 학술발표대회
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    • pp.101-104
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    • 2008
  • In this study, rainfall adjust and forecasting using artificial neural network(ANN) which includes a correlation coefficient is application in Seoul region. It analyzed one-hour rainfall data which has been reported in 25 region in seoul during from 2000 to 2006 at rainfall observatory by AWS. The ANN learning algorithm apply for input data that each region using cross-correlation will use the highest correlation coefficient region. In addition, rainfall adjust analyzed the minimum error based on correlation coefficient and determination coefficient related to the input region. ANN model used back-propagation algorithm for learning algorithm. In case of the back-propagation algorithm, many attempts and efforts are required to find the optimum neural network structure as applied model. This is calculated similar to the observed rainfall that the correlation coefficient was 0.98 in missing rainfall adjust at 10 region. As a result, ANN model has been for suitable for rainfall adjust. It is considered that the result will be more accurate when it includes climate data affecting rainfall.

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A Study on the Characteristics of the Heavy Rainfall Events in Honam District along the Border of mT Airmass

  • Yang, Se-Hwan;Ryu, Chan-Su
    • 통합자연과학논문집
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    • 제5권4호
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    • pp.220-228
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    • 2012
  • District of Korea affected by westerly wind and heavy rainfall is predominantly distributed in the west and south of Honam district. So, this study is becoming a necessity. In this study, it is investigated that the characteristics of heavy rainfall occurred frequently in Honam district along the border of mT airmass after the end of rainy season due to atmospheric instability, lower (850 hPa) convergence and topographic effect. Our results show that heavy rainfall occurred in Honam district along the border of mT airmass results from the appropriate mechanism of the unstable vertical structure and moisture flux in the expansion and contraction of the border of mT airmass. All things considered, the improvement of the predictability of heavy rainfall occurred in Honam district along the border of mT airmass could be possible by the generalization of the results of this study.