• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Station

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Regionalized Regression Model for Monthly Streamflow in Korean Watersheds (韓國河川의 月 流出量 推定을 위한 地域化 回歸模型)

  • Kim, Tai-Cheol;Park, Sung-Woo
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.106-124
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    • 1984
  • Monthly streanflow of watersheds is one of the most important elements for the planning, design, and management of water resources development projects, e.g., determination of storage requirement of reservoirs and control of release-water in lowflow rivers. Modeling of longterm runoff is theoretically based on water-balance analysis for a certain time interval. The effect of the casual factors of rainfall, evaporation, and soil-moisture storage on streamflow might be explained by multiple regression analysis. Using the basic concepts of water-balance and regression analysis, it was possible to develop a generalized model called the Regionalized Regression Model for Monthly Streamflow in Korean Watersheds. Based on model verification, it is felt that the model can be reliably applied to any proposed station in Korean watersheds to estimate monthly streamflow for the planning, design, and management of water resources development projects, especially those involving irrigation. Modeling processes and properties are summarized as follows; 1. From a simplified equation of water-balance on a watershed a regression model for monthly streamflow using the variables of rainfall, pan evaporation, and previous-month streamflow was formulated. 2. The hydrologic response of a watershed was represented lumpedly, qualitatively, and deductively using the regression coefficients of the water-balance regression model. 3. Regionalization was carried out to classify 33 watersheds on the basis of similarity through cluster analysis and resulted in 4 regional groups. 4. Prediction equations for the regional coefficients were derived from the stepwise regression analysis of watershed characteristics. It was also possible to explain geographic influences on streamflow through those prediction equations. 5. A model requiring the simple input of the data for rainfall, pan evaporation, and geographic factors was developed to estimate monthly streamflow at ungaged stations. The results of evaluating the performance of the model generally satisfactory.

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Calibration and Sensitivity Analysis of LRCS Rainfall-Runoff Model(II) : Application (LRCS 강우-유출 모형의 보정 및 민감도 분석(II) : 적용)

  • O, Gyu-Chang;Lee, Gil-Seong;Lee, Sang-Ho
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.32 no.6
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    • pp.665-674
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    • 1999
  • This paper confirmed the applicability of model to Korean rivers through the calibration and sensitivity analysis of LRCS rainfall runoff model for 18 storm events of Songriweon station in Nakdong river system, and achieved that LS and WLS were better than LAD by model fitting results. Diagonal element of "hat" matrix and affluence measures were used by analysis of parameter estimates, and parameter IL was the most important parameter in model output. By the results of error propagation according to parameter error, parameters IL, TP, F1 were affected by error propagation, and this is measure of sensitivity for the model output. This paper confirmed the relationship of calibration and sensitivity analysis of model through analysis of sensitivity coefficient, diagonal element $h_i$ and $D_i$._i$.

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Development of Empirical Formulas for Storage Function Method (저류함수법의 매개변수 산정식 개발)

  • Choi, Jong-Nam;Ahn, Won-Shik;Kim, Tae-Gyun;Chung, Gun-Hui
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Hazard Mitigation
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    • v.9 no.5
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    • pp.125-130
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    • 2009
  • Storage function method which considers the non-linearity of the relationship between rainfall and runoff has been frequently used to predict runoff in a basin and a flood pattern. However, it is time-consuming to estimate appropriate parameters of every basin and rainfall event, which requires the empirical parameter equation applicable in Korea. In this study, multiple regression analysis is used to develop empirical equations to estimate parameters of Storage Function method using basin characteristics. The basin area, maximum stream length, and stream slope are considered as the basin characteristics as the result of the regression analysis. Collinearity is removed and trial-and-error method is used to choose the most descriptive parameters to the dependent variables in Han River basin which is divided into 30 subbasins. The developed equations are validated using the rainfall events in MunMak gauging station and named as 'Han River equation'. The equation could provide the useful information about Storage Function method parameter to calculate runoff from a basin and predict river stage.

Analysis of future flood inundation change in the Tonle Sap basin under a climate change scenario

  • Lee, Dae Eop;Jung, Sung Ho;Yeon, Min Ho;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.48 no.3
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    • pp.433-446
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the future flood inundation changes under a climate change were simulated in the Tonle Sap basin in Cambodia, one of the countries with high vulnerability to climate change. For the flood inundation simulation using the rainfall-runoff-inundation (RRI) model, globally available geological data (digital elevation model [DEM]; hydrological data and maps based on Shuttle elevation derivatives [HydroSHED]; land cover: Global land cover facility-moderate resolution imaging spectroradiometer [GLCF-MODIS]), rainfall data (Asian precipitation-highly-resolved observational data integration towards evaluation [APHRODITE]), climate change scenario (HadGEM3-RA), and observational water level (Kratie, Koh Khel, Neak Luong st.) were constructed. The future runoff from the Kratie station, the upper boundary condition of the RRI model, was constructed to be predicted using the long short-term memory (LSTM) model. Based on the results predicted by the LSTM model, a total of 4 cases were selected (representative concentration pathway [RCP] 4.5: 2035, 2075; RCP 8.5: 2051, 2072) with the largest annual average runoff by period and scenario. The results of the analysis of the future flood inundation in the Tonle Sap basin were compared with the results of previous studies. Unlike in the past, when the change in the depth of inundation changed to a range of about 1 to 10 meters during the 1997 - 2005 period, it occurred in a range of about 5 to 9 meters during the future period. The results show that in the future RCP 4.5 and 8.5 scenarios, the variability of discharge is reduced compared to the past and that climate change could change the runoff patterns of the Tonle Sap basin.

Change of AMC due to Climatic Change (기후변화에 따른 선행토양함수조건(AMC)의 변화)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Park, Cheong Hoon;Kim, Joong Hoon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.26 no.3B
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    • pp.233-240
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    • 2006
  • One of the main factor that effects on the CN's value in SCS Curve Number method for the estimation of direct runoff is the antecedent soil moisture condition (AMC). It is also common to use the AMC-III in hydrologic practice, which provides the largest runoff as possible. In this paper, AMC defending on the rainfall characteristics is analyzed using daily rainfall data at rainy season (June~September) of the Seoul station from 1961 to 2002. The probability mass function of AMC is also investigated to analyze the variation of AMC based on climate change, scenarios from several General Circulation Model (GCM) predictions. As a results we can find that the occurrence of AMC-I is reduced, and AMC-III is increased, whereas AMC-II does not change.

Surface Flux Measurements at King Sejong Station in West Antarctica: II. Turbulent exchanges of sensible heat and latent heat in the austral summer of 2002-2003 (남극 세종기지에서의 지표 플럭스 관측: II. 2002-2003년 남반구 여름 기간의 열과 수증기의 난류 교환)

  • Choi, Tae-Jin;Lee, Bang-Yong;Lee, Hee-Choon;Kim, Seong-Joong;Hong, Sung-Min
    • Journal of the Korean Geophysical Society
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    • v.8 no.3
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    • pp.159-167
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    • 2005
  • Turbulent fluxes of sensible heat and latent heat were analyzed at King Sejong station in the austral summer of 2002 (December) and 2003 (January and February). Monthly mean air temperatures of January and February (2.2oC) were similar to those averaged over 1988 to 2001. Precipitation was less in January and greater in February than those averaged over last 14 years. In December of 2002 and January, there was precipitation primarily when easterly wind blew usually. The frequency of snowfall was equal to or larger than that of rainfall. In the mean while, precipitation primarily in forms of rainfall occurred with westerly wind in February. In addition, while for easterly wind, temperature and humidity was low, temperature and humidity were high in case of westerly wind. Based on flux footprint, measured flux mainly came from within 300 m with maximum of 40 m upwind, indicating the insignificant role of the sea around the study site. Half-hourly downward short wave radiation amounted up to ∼ 1000 Wm-2 and net radiation ranged from -50 to 600 Wm-2. Half-hourly sensible heat flux was positive at daytime with maximum of ∼ 400 Wm-2, except the 27th and 28th in February of 2003 when it was negative all day despite of positive net radiation at short daytime. Latent heat flux was positive with maximum of ∼ 130 Wm-2. Depending on wind direction, the partitioning of net radiation into the sum of sensible heat flux and latent heat flux was larger than 0.8, indicating the strong source of the land surface for the atmospheric heating. The daytime averaged Bowen ratio (=sensible heat flux /latent heat flux) was significantly greater than 1, indicating that sensible heat flux was the main source to heat the atmosphere over the site.

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Investigation and Complementary Measures Establishment for Flood on Tidal Reclaimed Paddy Fields (간척지 논 침수 원인 조사와 방재 대책 수립)

  • Jeong, Ju-Hong;Yoon, Kwang-Sik;Choi, Soo-Myung;Yoon,, Suk-Gun;Go, Young-Bae;Kim, Young-Taek
    • KCID journal
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.105-114
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    • 2010
  • Tidal land reclamation provided water resources and land for agriculture and contributed stable crop production. However, climate change by global warming disrupts the hydrologic circulatory system of the earth resulting in sea level rise and more frequent flood for reclaimed arable land. Recently, Suyu reclaimed paddy field in Jindo-gun experienced prolonged inundation after heavy rainfall and there is a growing risk of flood damage. Onsite survey and flood analysis using GATE_Pro model of Korea Rural Corporation were conducted to investigate causes of flooding. To perform the analysis, input data such as inflow hydrograph, the lowest elevation of paddy field, neap tide level, management level of Gunnae estuary lake at the time of the flood were collected. Flood analysis confirmed that current drainage facilities are not enough to prevent 20year return period flood. The result of analysis showed flooding more than 24hours. Therefore, flood mitigation alternatives such as sluice gate expansion, installation drainage pumping station, refill paddy land, and catch canal were studied. Replacing drainage culvert of Suyu dike to sluice gate and installing drainage pumping station at the Gunne lake were identified as an effective flood control measures. Furthermore, TM/TC (SCADA) system and expert for gate management are required for the better management of drainage for estuary dam and flood mitigation.

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A Fundamental Study on the Snowmelt Effects for Long-Term Runoff Analysis (장기 유출해석에서의 융설영향에 관한 기초 연구)

  • Bae, Deok-Hyo
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.31 no.6
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    • pp.833-844
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    • 1998
  • The objectives of this study are to adopt a snowmelt model for coupling a rainfall-runoff model and to study snowmelt effects for long-term runoff analysis on the northeast mountaneous area in Korea. The NWS temperature-index snowmelt model was selected and tested on the 1,059+,6 km$^2$ Naerinchen basin. It can be observed that the time variations of the computed areal extents of snow cover from the model are well agreement with those of the observe station snowfall records on the Inje meteorological station. It is also evident that the computed soil water contents and river flows indicate quite different behaviors with or without snowmelt model. It is concluded that the snowmelt model works well and the snowmelt effects for multi-decadal river flow computations are important on the study area.

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Development of a Stream Discharge Estimation Program (자연하천 유량산정 프로그램 개발)

  • Lee Sang Jin;Hwang Man Ha;Lee Bae Sung;Ko Ick Hwan
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.48 no.1
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2006
  • In this study, we developed a program to estimate discharge efficiently considering major hydraulic characteristic including water level, river bed, water slope and roughness coefficient in a natural river. Stream discharge was measured at Gongju gauge station located in the down stream of the Daechung Dam during normal and dry seasons from 2003 to 2004. The developed model was compared with the results from the existing rating curve at T/M gage stations, and was used for runoff analyses. Evaluating the developed river discharge estimation program, it was applied during 1983-2004 that base flow separation method and RRFS (Rainfall Runoff Forecasting System) which is based on SSARR (Streamflow Synthesis And Resevoir Regulation). The result presents the stage-discharge curve creator range at the Gong-ju is overestimated by approximately $10-20\%$, especially at the low stage. It is attributed to the hydraulic characteristics at the study. The discharge simulated by the RRFS and base flow separation, which is calibrated using the measurement at the early spring and late fall season during relatively d]v season, shows the least errors. The coefficient of roughness at Gongju station varied with the high and low water level.

A Model to Identify Expeditiously During Storm to Enable Effective Responses to Flood Threat

  • Husain, Mohammad;Ali, Arshad
    • International Journal of Computer Science & Network Security
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    • v.21 no.5
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    • pp.23-30
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    • 2021
  • In recent years, hazardous flash flooding has caused deaths and damage to infrastructure in Saudi Arabia. In this paper, our aim is to assess patterns and trends in climate means and extremes affecting flash flood hazards and water resources in Saudi Arabia for the purpose to improve risk assessment for forecast capacity. We would like to examine temperature, precipitation climatology and trend magnitudes at surface stations in Saudi Arabia. Based on the assessment climate patterns maps and trends are accurately used to identify synoptic situations and tele-connections associated with flash flood risk. We also study local and regional changes in hydro-meteorological extremes over recent decades through new applications of statistical methods to weather station data and remote sensing based precipitation products; and develop remote sensing based high-resolution precipitation products that can aid to develop flash flood guidance system for the flood-prone areas. A dataset of extreme events has been developed using the multi-decadal station data, the statistical analysis has been performed to identify tele-connection indices, pressure and sea surface temperature patterns most predictive to heavy rainfall. It has been combined with time trends in extreme value occurrence to improve the potential for predicting and rapidly detecting storms. A methodology and algorithms has been developed for providing a well-calibrated precipitation product that can be used in the early warning systems for elevated risk of floods.