• Title/Summary/Keyword: Rainfall Days

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Development of Prediction Model of Fuel Moisture Changes in the Spring for the Pine Forest Located the Yeongdong Region(Focused on the Fallen Leaves and Soil Moisture Level) (영동지역 봄철 소나무림에서 연료습도변화 예측모델 개발(낙엽 및 토양습도를 중심으로))

  • Lee, Si-Young;Kwon, Chun-Geun;Lee, Myung-Woog;Lee, Hae-Pyeong;Cha, Joo-Young
    • Fire Science and Engineering
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.67-75
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    • 2010
  • The fuel moisture changes accompanying with the elapsed days after a rainfall is very important to predict the risk of forest fire and make a good use of forest fire guard. So, to investigate the conditions for the risk of forest fire, it was studied the risk of forest fire for fallen leaves level, rotten level, and soil level after more-than-5 mm-rainfall according to the different forest density of pine forests which were located in Yeong-dong region in the Spring of 2007. The result of the study showed that the around 17% of fuel moisture which was the risky level for forest fire was reached after three days of a rainfall in the coarse dense forest region and after five days in the medium or highly dense forest region. However, for the rotten level represents more than 30% of fuel moisture even after six days after the rainfall, and the lower and upper level of the soil represented a slight or almost no changes. Based on the result, the prediction model ($R^2$=0.56~0.87) for the change of fuel moisture was developed, and it was examined by applying to actual meteorological measurements in the same period of 2008. It showed a meaningful result of 1% level of distinction.

Analysis of Contribution of Climate and Cultivation Management Variables Affecting Orchardgrass Production (오차드그라스의 생산량에 영향을 미치는 기후 및 재배관리의 기여도 분석)

  • Moonju Kim;Ji Yung Kim;Mu-Hwan Jo;Kyungil Sung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Grassland and Forage Science
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    • v.43 no.1
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2023
  • This study aimed to confirm the importance ratio of climate and management variables on production of orchardgrass in Korea (1982-2014). For the climate, the mean temperature in January (MTJ, ℃), lowest temperature in January (LTJ, ℃), growing days 0 to 5 (GD 1, day), growing days 5 to 25 (GD 2, day), Summer depression days (SSD, day), rainfall days (RD, day), accumulated rainfall (AR, mm), and sunshine duration (SD, hr) were considered. For the management, the establishment period (EP, 0-6 years) and number of cutting (NC, 2nd-5th) were measured. The importance ratio on production of orchardgrass was estimated using the neural network model with the perceptron method. It was performed by SPSS 26.0 (IBM Corp., Chicago). As a result, EP was the most important variable (100%), followed by RD (82.0%), AR (79.1%), NC (69.2%), LTJ (66.2%), GD 2 (63.3%), GD 1 (61.6%), SD (58.1%), SSD (50.8%) and MTJ (41.8%). It implies that EP, RD, AR, and NC were more important than others. Since the annual rainfall in Korea is exceed the required amount for the growth and development of orchardgrass, the damage caused by heavy rainfall exceeding the appropriate level could be reduced through drainage management. It means that, when cultivating orchardgrass, factors that can be controlled were relatively important. Although it is difficult to interpret the specific effect of climates on production due to neural networking modeling, in the future, this study is expected to be useful in production prediction and damage estimation by climate change by selecting major factors.

Analysis of the Crop Damage Area Related to Flood by Climate Change Using a Constrained Multiple Linear Regression Model (구속 다중선형회귀 모형을 이용한 기후변화에 따른 농작물 홍수 피해 면적 분석)

  • Kim, Myojeong;Kim, Gwangseob
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.62 no.2
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2020
  • In this study, the characteristics of crop damage area by flooding for 113 middle range watersheds during 2000-2016 were analyzed and future crop damage area by flooding were analyzed using 13 GCM outputs such as hourly maximum rainfall, 10-min maximum rainfall, number of days of 80 mm/day, daily rainfall maximum, annual rainfall amount associated with RCP 4.5 and RCP 8.5 scenarios and watershed characteristic data such as DEM, urbanization ratio, population density, asset density, road improvement ratio, river improvement ratio, drainage system improvement ratio, pumping capacity, detention basin capacity, and crop damage area by flooding. A constrained multiple linear regression model was used to construct the relationships between the crop damage area by flooding and other variables. Future flood index related to crop damage may mainly increase in the Mankyung watershed, Southwest part of Youngsan and Sumjin river basin and Southern part of Nackdong river basin. Results are useful to identify watersheds which need to establish strategies for responding to future flood damage.

Volume Estimation Method for Greenhouse Rainwater Tank (온실 빗물 저수조의 용량산정 방법)

  • Seo, Chan Joo;Koo, Ja-Kong
    • Journal of the Korea Organic Resources Recycling Association
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.31-39
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    • 2016
  • Due to the temporal variation of inflow/outflow, the water tank is needed. For the calculation of water tank capacity, the absolute difference between cumulative amounts of supply(e.g., rainfall) and demand(e.g.,watering) is used. No matter the (-) and (+) the absolute maximum capacity of the subtraction is calculated as the capacity. In this paper, using rainfall and watering of greenhouse facilities, it is proved that the non-linear supply or demand can be applied, and it is proved also that the greater non-linear variation case. And as the time interval for monitoring is decreased, the basin or tank volume are increased, with approximately 10 days as the critical monitoring interval for the annual natural rainfall event.

Revision of Agricultural Drainage Design Standards (농업생산기반정비사업 계획설계기준 배수편 개정)

  • Kim, Kyoung Chan;Kim, Younghwa;Song, Jaedo;Chung, Sangok
    • KCID journal
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.32-44
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    • 2014
  • In Korea, global warming caused by the climate changes impacted on weather system with increase in frequency and intensity of precipitation, and the rainfall pattern changes significantly by regional groups. Furthermore, it is expected that the regional and annual fluctuation ranges of the rainfall in the future would be more severe. Nowadays, agricultural drainage system designed by the existing standard of 20-year return period and 2 days of fixation time cannot deal with the increment rainfall such as localized heavy rain and local torrential rainfalls. Therefore, it is required to reinforce the standard of the drainage system in order to reduce the agricultural flood damage brought by unusual weather. In addition, it is needed to improve the standard of agricultural drainage design in order to cultivate farm products in paddy fields as facility vegetable cultivation and up-land field crop have been damaged by the moisture injury and flooding. In order to prepare for the changes of rainfall pattern due to climate changes and improve the agricultural drainage design standards by the increase of cultivating farm products, the purpose of this study is to examine the impact of climate changes, the changes of relative design standard, and the analytic situation of agricultural flood damages, to consider the drainage design standard revision, and finally to prepare for enhanced agricultural drainage design standards.

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Two-dimensional Numerical Simulation of Rainfall-induced Slope Failure (강우에 의한 사면붕괴에 관한 2차원 수치모의)

  • Regmi, Ram Krishna;Jung, Kwan-Sue;Lee, Gi-Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2012.05a
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    • pp.34-34
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    • 2012
  • Heavy storms rainfall has caused many landslides and slope failures especially in the mountainous area of the world. Landslides and slope failures are common geologic hazards and posed serious threats and globally cause billions in monetary losses and thousands of casualies each year so that studies on slope stability and its failure mechanism under rainfall are being increasing attention of these days. Rainfall-induced slope failures are generally caused by the rise in ground water level, and increase in pore water pressures and seepage forces during periods of intense rainfall. The effective stress in the soil will be decreased due to the increased pore pressure, which thus reduces the soil shear strength, eventually resulting in slope failure. During the rainfall, a wetting front goes downward into the slope, resulting in a gradual increase of the water content and a decrease of the negative pore-water pressure. This negative pore-water pressure is referred to as matric suction when referenced to the pore air pressure that contributes to the stability of unsaturated soil slopes. Therefore, the importance is the study of saturated unsaturated soil behaviors in evaluation of slope stability under heavy rainfall condition. In an actual field, a series of failures may occur in a slope due to a rainfall event. So, this study attempts to develop a numerical model to investigate this failure mechanism. A two-dimensional seepage flow model coupled with a one-dimensional surface flow and erosion/deposition model is used for seepage analysis. It is necessary to identify either there is surface runoff produced or not in a soil slope during a rainfall event, while analyzing the seepage and stability of such slopes. Runoff produced by rainfall may result erosion/deposition process on the surface of the slope. The depth of runoff has vital role in the seepage process within the soil domain so that surface flow and erosion/deposition model computes the surface water head of the runoff produced by the rainfall, and erosion/deposition on the surface of the model slope. Pore water pressure and moisture content data obtained by the seepage flow model are then used to analyze the stability of the slope. Spencer method of slope stability analysis is incorporated into dynamic programming to locate the critical slip surface of a general slope.

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Loading Characteristics of Non-Point Source Pollutants by Rainfall - Case Study with Sweet Potato Plot - (강우시 비점오염원의 오염부하 특성 - 고구마 재배지를 대상으로 -)

  • Kang, Mee-A;Jo, Soo-Hyun;Choi, Byoung-Woo;Yoon, Young-Sam;Lee, Jae-Kwan
    • The Journal of Engineering Geology
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.365-371
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    • 2009
  • This paper address the characteristics of loading pollutants caused by the unit agricultural area to establish an efficient management method in NPS (non-point source). The relationship between rainfall and runoff shows good coefficient with 0.92, when the event which shows relatively long antecedent dry days is excepted. The impact of runoff volume on the runoff coefficient can be described by the rainfall intensity strongly. The pollutant EMCs (event mean concentrations) in runoff increased by the increase of antecedent dry days due to dry soil conditions. As the similar pattern of pollutant's loads such as TSS, BOD, COD, TN and TP, it is cleared that other pollutants can be removed when TSS is removed. Therefore the system using only runoff coefficients is not sufficient for the prediction of pollutant loads. It is necessary to consider soil conditions such as rainfall, antecedent dry day, antecedent rainfall etc. for the prediction system.

An Experimental Study to Predict the Concentration of Moving Tire and Road Wear Particles from Road to Ocean Environment (도로에서 해양 환경까지 이동하는 타이어 마모입자의 농도를 예측하기 위한 실험적 연구)

  • Tae-Woo Kang;Won-Hyun Ji
    • Journal of the Korean Recycled Construction Resources Institute
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.196-205
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    • 2024
  • In this study, sample collection and quantification analysis of Tire and Road Wear Particles (TRWP) from the road surface were conducted to predict the amount of TRWP generated on the road surface moving by environmental compartment depending on rainfall intensity. Samples were collected from TRWP remaining on the road surface two days after the 3 days average rainfall (0-60 mm/day) occurred and the road surface was completely dry. Only TRWP were separated from the collected samples through size and density separation, and the difference in the content of TRWP remaining on the road surface after rainfall was based on the value of 60.2 g o f TRWP o n a day witho ut rain (0 mm/day). By calculating, it was co nfirmed that 0-49.4 g o f TRWP can mo ve to the environmental compartment depending on the intensity of rainfall. In addition, it was confirmed that when the rainfall intensity was 60 mm/day, the amount of TRWP moving to each environmental section was 3.75 times higher compared to 5 mm/day, and using the results of previous research, the total amount of TRWP that can be transported to the environmental compartment by rainfall from the domestic road environment annually is 9,592 tons, and 288 tons of this can be affected by marine microplastics. However, this study has limitations in terms of limited space and predicted results, but it would like to mention the need to improve the domestic road environment and sewage treatment system to reduce TRWP. In the future, we plan to conduct sample collection and concentration analysis studies of TRWP in real environmental compartments to verify the results of this study.

Investigating Changes over Time of Precipitation Indicators (강수지표의 시간에 따른 변화 조사)

  • Han, Bong-Koo;Chung, Eun-Sung;Lee, Bo-Ram;Sung, Jang Hyun
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.233-250
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    • 2013
  • Gradually or radically change how the characteristics of the climate characteristic using change point analysis for the precipitation indicators were investigated. Significantly the amount, extreme and frequency were separated by precipitation indicators, each indicator RIA(Rainfall Index for Amount), RIE(Rainfall Index for Extremes) and RIF(Rainfall Index for Frequency) was defined. Bayesian Change Point was applied to investigate changing over time of precipitation indicators calculated. As the result of analysis, precipitation indicators in South Korea was found to recently increase all indicators except for the annual precipitation days and 200-yr precipitation. RIA revealed that there was a very clear point of significance for the change in Ulleungdo, Relatively significant results for RIE were identified in Gumi, Jecheon and Seogwipo. Also, since the 1990s, an increase in the number of variation points, and the horizontal width of the fluctuation point was being relatively wider. Based on these results, rethink the precipitation on the assumption of stationarity was judged necessary.

Difference of Synoptic Characteristics according to the Persistence of Rainfall in Korea during the Changma Season (장마철 우리나라 강수의 지속성에 따른 종관 특성의 차이)

  • Park, Byong-Ik
    • Journal of the Korean Geographical Society
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    • v.45 no.6
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    • pp.748-765
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    • 2010
  • This study aims to investigate the difference of synoptic characteristics over East Asia according to the persistence of rainfall in Korea during the Changma season (June and July). In the cases of consecutive rainfall which lasts four or more days, there are developed ridges in 850hPa level east of the Korean peninsula which introduce stagnation of the synoptic cyclone over Korea. An cold area in 850hPa level moves southward from the Northern China in one day before the beginning the rainfall day in Korea and it aids the development of the stationary front in East Asia. When rainfall lasts a day or two, cyclones pass over Korea in rainy day and the stationary front in East Asia is not intensified. In both cases the synoptic cyclones near the Korean peninsula shows a deep-baroclinic structure, while in the former cases over the southwestern part of Japan a subtropical frontal zone which has a shallow structure appears near Japan. In latter cases the frontal structures are same near Korea and Japan. So, this means that the Changma is not necessarily similar to the Baiu of Japan in all cases.