• Title/Summary/Keyword: ROC curve 분석

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Comparative Analysis of the Accuracy of Severity Scoring Systems for the Prediction of Healthcare Outcomes of Intensive Care Unit Patients (중환자실 환자의 건강결과 예측을 위한 중증도 평가도구의 정확도 비교분석)

  • Seong, Ji-Suk;So, HeeYoung
    • Journal of Korean Critical Care Nursing
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.71-79
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    • 2015
  • Purpose: The purpose of this study was to compare the applicability of the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and Acute Physiology, Age, Chronic Health Evaluation III (APACHE III) to the prediction of the healthcare outcomes of intensive care unit (ICU) patients. Methods: This research was performed with 136 adult patients (age>18 years) who were admitted to the ICU between May and June 2012. Data were measured using the CCI score with a comorbidity index of 19 and the APACHE III score on the standard of the worst result with vital signs and laboratory results. Discrimination was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and area under an ROC curve (AUC). Calibration was performed using logistic regression. Results: The overall mortality was 25.7%. The mean CCI and APACHE III scores for survivors were found to be significantly lower than those of non-survivors. The AUC was 0.835 for the APACHE III score and remained high, at 0.688, for the CCI score. The rate of concordance according to the CCI and the APACHE III score was 69.1%. Conclusion: The route of admission, days in ICU, CCI, and APACHE III score are associated with an increased mortality risk in ICU patients.

Clinical Analysis of Rhabdomyolysis Complicated with Drug Intoxications (횡문근융해증을 유발하는 음독 약물별 임상경과 분석)

  • Lee Mi Jin;Kim Hyung Min;Kim Young Min;Lee Won Jae;So Byung Hak;Kim Se Kyung
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Clinical Toxicology
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.27-33
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    • 2003
  • Purpose: According as the accessibility about drugs becomes various, the occurrence of drug intoxication is increasing. Since report that doxylamine causes rhabdomyolysis often, drug-induced rhabdomyolysis is one of the most important complications in patients with drug intoxication. Acute renal failure (ARF)'s availability is important to the management in rhabdomyolysis, but report about rhabdomyolysis or ARF occurrence for whole intoxicated drugs is lacking up to now. Methods: This research did to 61 patient who had rhabdomyolysis of drug intoxication. First, object patients were divided into two gruops: doxylamine-ingested (Group I) vs non-doxylamine ingested (Group II). And then we analyzed on the early patient's clinical events and laboratory data. We used ROC curve to recognize'the early clinical factors that could forecast ARF appearance among these patients in addition. Results: Almost rhabdomyolysis was happened by doxylamine in drug intoxication ($55.7\%$). However, as compared to group II, group I showed better clinical course, lesser ARF occurrence and hemodialysis requirement. In group II, time was longer in hospital reaching from intoxication, the ARF occurrence rate was higher ($52.6\%$). Analyzing the ROC curve to useful initial factors, they were creatinine, uric acid and interval time from ingestion to hospital. These cut-off values were 1.44 mg/dL, 6.8 mg/dL and 5 hrs. Sensitivity for ARF estimate was $100\%$, specificity $69-98\%$. Conclusion: Compared to group II, Doxylamine-ingested group showed good clinical course. Creatinine, uric acid, interval time from ingestion to hospital aided in ARF estimate in drug-induced rhabdomyolysis.

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Development of Work-related Musculoskeletal Disorder Questionnaire Using Receiver Operating Characteristic Analysis (Receiver Operating Characteristic 분석법을 이용한 업무관련성 근골격계질환 설문지 개발)

  • Kwon, Ho-Jang;Ju, Yeong-Su;Cho, Soo-Hun;Kang, Dae-Hee;Sung, Joo-Hon;Choi, Seong-Woo;Choi, Jae-Wook;Kim, Jae-Young;Kim, Don-Gyu;Kim, Jai-Yong
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.361-373
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    • 1999
  • Objectives: Receive Operating Characteristic(ROC) curve with the area under the ROC curve(AUC) is one of the most popular indicator to evaluate the criterion validity of the measurement tool. This study was conducted to develop a standardized questionnaire to discriminate workers at high-risk of work-related musculoskeletal disorders using ROC analysis. Methods: The diagnostic results determined by rehabilitation medicine specialists in 370 persons(89 shipyard CAD workers, 113 telephone directory assistant operators, 79 women with occupation, and 89 housewives) were compared with participant's own replies to 'the questionnair on the worker's subjective physical symptoms'(Kwon, 1996). The AUC's from four models with different methods in item selection and weighting were compared with each other. These 4 models were applied to 225 persons, working in an assembly line of motor vehicle, for the purpose of AUC reliability test. Results: In a weighted model with 11 items, the AUC was 0.8155 in the primary study population, and 0.8026 in the secondary study population(p=0.3780). It was superior in the aspects of discriminability, reliability and convenience. A new questionnaire of musculoskeletal disorder could be constructed by this model. Conclusion: A more valid questionnaire with a small number of items and the quantitative weight scores useful for the relative comparisons are the main results of this study. While the absolute reference value applicable to the wide range of populations was not estimated, the basic intent of this study, developing a surveillance fool through quantitative validation of the measures, would serve for the systematic disease prevention activities.

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A Discussion on Image Analysis in 18F-Florbetaben PET/CT (18F-Florbetaben PET/CT 검사에서 영상분석에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Yong-Hoon;Bahn, Young-Kag;Lim, Han-Sang;Kim, Jae-Sam
    • The Korean Journal of Nuclear Medicine Technology
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.33-37
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    • 2022
  • Purpose 18F-Florbetaben (FBB) Readings are made by visually comparing the signal strengths of gray matter and white matter. We intend to evaluate the usefulness of image analysis by comparing quantified image analysis with readout. Materials and Methods Based on the reading results, 100 patients were divided into a negative scan and a positive scan, and 300 MBq of FBB was injected, and images were taken 90 minutes later for 20 minutes. The equipment was a Discovery 600 (GE Healthcare, MI, USA). Four regions of interest (lateral temporal lobes, frontal lobes, posterior cingulate & precuneus, and parietal lobes) were established based on the amyloid reading standard provided by the manufacturer. For image analysis, SUVratio (SUVr) was calculated by dividing each SUVmean by the cerebellum, and the average SUVr in the entire area was performed. Statistical analysis analyzed the cutoff derivation through ROC Curve, the difference between groups in Independent sample t-test, and the degree of agreement with the reading result through Kappa test. Results The average SUVr cutoff in the entire area was 1.23. Concordance with the read results using cutoff was 95/100 (95%) for negative and 92/100 (92%) for positive. As a result of the t-test, there was a statistically significant difference between the groups (P < 0.05), and the Kappa statistical result showed a high degree of agreement with 0.867 (P < 0.05). Conclusion The results of image analysis were statistically significant and showed a high degree of agreement with the reading results. In addition, FBB image analysis can be viewed by 3D mapping the area where amyloid is accumulated, location estimation is possible, and quantitative analysis results can be viewed in detail. If quantified FBB image analysis is used as an auxiliary indicator, it is thought to be helpful in reading.

The Accuracy of Echocardiography and ECG in the Left Ventricular Hypertrophy (좌심실비대 진단에서 심장초음파와 심전도검사의 정확성)

  • Yang, SungHee;Lee, Jin-Soo;Kim, Changsoo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.666-672
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    • 2016
  • We extracted 50 LVH patients out of 30'~80's who performing ECG and echocardiography examination. We used Devereux's theory to examinate LVH with echocardiography and used Sokolow-Lyon's theory to examinate LVH with ECG. We used regression and correlation analysis by SPSS, used ROC curve analysis to decide predominance of two ways of .Age, BMI, SBP and DBP whice are the danger factors of LVH and standard value of LVH diagnosis examination seems correlated. Out of 50 LVH patients, 50 patients were diagnosed LVH by echcardiography examination and only 21 patients were diagnosed LVH by ECG examination. Also echocardiography was AUC 99%, sensitivity 96%, singularity 95%, accuracy 95.5%. And ECG was AUC 76%, sensitivity 62%, singularity 76%, accuracy 68%.By comparing accuracy between echocardiography and ECG in diagnosing LVH, we could tell echocardiography was examination with higher accuracy. Therefore, if one was diagnosed with summit on 1st examination with ECG, considering age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure and dilator blood pressure, should offer echocardiography examination.

Comparison of Feature Selection Methods Applied on Risk Prediction for Hypertension (고혈압 위험 예측에 적용된 특징 선택 방법의 비교)

  • Khongorzul, Dashdondov;Kim, Mi-Hye
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2022
  • In this paper, we have enhanced the risk prediction of hypertension using the feature selection method in the Korean National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (KNHANES) database of the Korea Centers for Disease Control and Prevention. The study identified various risk factors correlated with chronic hypertension. The paper is divided into three parts. Initially, the data preprocessing step of removes missing values, and performed z-transformation. The following is the feature selection (FS) step that used a factor analysis (FA) based on the feature selection method in the dataset, and feature importance (FI) and multicollinearity analysis (MC) were compared based on FS. Finally, in the predictive analysis stage, it was applied to detect and predict the risk of hypertension. In this study, we compare the accuracy, f-score, area under the ROC curve (AUC), and mean standard error (MSE) for each model of classification. As a result of the test, the proposed MC-FA-RF model achieved the highest accuracy of 80.12%, MSE of 0.106, f-score of 83.49%, and AUC of 85.96%, respectively. These results demonstrate that the proposed MC-FA-RF method for hypertension risk predictions is outperformed other methods.

Dimensionality Reduction Methods Analysis of Hyperspectral Imagery for Unsupervised Change Detection of Multi-sensor Images (이종 영상 간의 무감독 변화탐지를 위한 초분광 영상의 차원 축소 방법 분석)

  • PARK, Hong-Lyun;PARK, Wan-Yong;PARK, Hyun-Chun;CHOI, Seok-Keun;CHOI, Jae-Wan;IM, Hon-Ryang
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2019
  • With the development of remote sensing sensor technology, it has become possible to acquire satellite images with various spectral information. In particular, since the hyperspectral image is composed of continuous and narrow spectral wavelength, it can be effectively used in various fields such as land cover classification, target detection, and environment monitoring. Change detection techniques using remote sensing data are generally performed through differences of data with same dimensions. Therefore, it has a disadvantage that it is difficult to apply to heterogeneous sensors having different dimensions. In this study, we have developed a change detection method applicable to hyperspectral image and high spat ial resolution satellite image with different dimensions, and confirmed the applicability of the change detection method between heterogeneous images. For the application of the change detection method, the dimension of hyperspectral image was reduced by using correlation analysis and principal component analysis, and the change detection algorithm used CVA. The ROC curve and the AUC were calculated using the reference data for the evaluation of change detection performance. Experimental results show that the change detection performance is higher when using the image generated by adequate dimensionality reduction than the case using the original hyperspectral image.

A probabilistic knowledge model for analyzing heart rate variability (심박수변이도 분석을 위한 확률적 지식기반 모형)

  • Son, Chang-Sik;Kang, Won-Seok;Choi, Rock-Hyun;Park, Hyoung-Seob;Han, Seongwook;Kim, Yoon-Nyun
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.20 no.3
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    • pp.61-69
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    • 2015
  • This study presents a probabilistic knowledge discovery method to interpret heart rate variability (HRV) based on time and frequency domain indexes, extracted using discrete wavelet transform. The knowledge induction algorithm was composed of two phases: rule generation and rule estimation. Firstly, a rule generation converts numerical attributes to intervals using ROC curve analysis and constructs a reduced ruleset by comparing consistency degree between attribute-value pairs with different decision values. Then, we estimated three measures such as rule support, confidence, and coverage to a probabilistic interpretation for each rule. To show the effectiveness of proposed model, we evaluated the statistical discriminant power of five rules (3 for atrial fibrillation, 1 for normal sinus rhythm, and 1 for both atrial fibrillation and normal sinus rhythm) generated using a data (n=58) collected from 1 channel wireless holter electrocardiogram (ECG), i.e., HeartCall$^{(R)}$, U-Heart Inc. The experimental result showed the performance of approximately 0.93 (93%) in terms of accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, and AUC measures, respectively.

Development of Simple Prediction Method for Injury Severity and Amount of Traumatic Hemorrhage via Analysis of the Correlation between Site of Pelvic Bone Fracture and Amount of Transfusion: Pelvic Bleeding Score (골반골절 환자의 골절위치와 출혈량간의 상관관계 분석을 통한 대량수혈 필요에 대한 간단한 예측도구 개발: 골반골 출혈 지수)

  • Lee, Sang Sik;Bae, Byung Kwan;Han, Sang Kyoon;Park, Sung Wook;Ryu, Ji Ho;Jeong, Jin Woo;Yeom, Seok Ran
    • Journal of Trauma and Injury
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.139-144
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: Hypovolemic shock is the leading cause of death in multiple trauma patients with pelvic bone fracures. The purpose of this study was to develop a simple prediction method for injury severity and amount of hemorrhage via an analysis of the correlation between the site of pelvic bone fracture and the amount of transfusion and to verify the usefulness of the such a simple scoring system. Methods: We analyzed retrospectively the medical records and radiologic examination of 102 patients who had been diagnosed as having a pelvic bone fracture and who had visited the Emergency Department between January 2007 and December 2011. Fracture sites in the pelvis were confirmed and re-classified anatomically as pubis, ilium or sacrum. A multiple linear regression analysis was performed on the amount of transfusion, and a simplified scoring system was developed. The predictive value of the amount of transfusion for the scoring system as verified by using the receiver operating characteristics (ROC). The area under the curve of the ROC was compared with the injury severity score (ISS). Results: From among the 102 patients, 97 patients (M:F=68:29, mean $age=46.7{\pm}16.6years$) were enrolled for analysis. The average ISS of the patients was $16.2{\pm}7.9$, and the average amount of packed RBC transfusion for 24 hr was $3.9{\pm}4.6units$. The regression equation resulting from the multiple linear regression analysis was 'packed RBC units=1.40${\times}$(sacrum fracture)+1.72${\times}$(pubis fracture)+1.67${\times}$(ilium fracture)+0.36' and was found to be suitable (p=0.005). We simplified the regression equation to 'Pelvic Bleeding Score=sacrum+pubis+ilium.' Each fractured site was scored as 0(no fracture) point, 1(right or left) point, or 2(both) points. Sacrum had only 0 or 1 point. The score ranged from 0 to 5. The area under the curve (AUC) of the ROC was 0.718 (95% CI: 0.588-0.848, p=0.009). For an upper Pelvis Bleeding Score of 3 points, the sensitivity of the prediction for a massive transfusion was 71.4%, and the specificity was 69.9%. Conclusion: We developed a simplified scoring system for the anatomical fracture sites in the pelvis to predict the requirement for a transfusion (Pelvis Bleeding Score (PBS)). The PBS, compared with the ISS, is considered a useful predictor of the need for a transfusion during initial management.

A Study on the Detection Ability of Minute Lesions in X-ray Using the Molybdenum Target (Molybdenum 저지극을 이용한 X-ray의 미세병소 검출능력에 관한 연구)

  • Yang, Da-Rae;Dong, Kyung-Rae;Park, Yong-Soon;Ji, Youn-Sang;Kim, Young-Keun;Kim, Chang-Bok
    • Journal of Radiation Protection and Research
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.43-48
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    • 2010
  • Beam quality is determined according to Xray tube's target material. In a range of between 22 kVp and 28 kVp, molybdenum target generates the characteristics energy between the average 17.9 kVp and 19.5 kVp, which produces the high contrast image of the breast. In this study, we used the Mo/Mo combination breast device and ALVIM TRM phantom and measured the detection ability of the minute lesion in the breast imaging throughout analyzing ROC curves. Assuming that an average subject thickness of the breast is 40 mm, the detection ability was not dependent on the kVp changes in a while dependent on both the mAs and thickness change. We can assure that it is not needed to increase the kVp for the imaging of breast which thickness is within the mean range of 40 mm.