• Title/Summary/Keyword: ROC analysis

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Drought Monitoring Accuracy Evaluation through ROC Analysis for Satellite Image based Drought Indices (ROC 분석에 의한 위성기반 가뭄지수의 모니터링 정확도 평가)

  • Park, Seo Yeon;Seo, Chan Yang;Hong, Hyun Pyo;Lee, Joo Heon
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.149-149
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    • 2017
  • 최근 지구온난화에 따른 기후변화로 인하여 전 세계적으로 가뭄, 홍수 등의 극한 기후사상이 발생하고 있다. 그 중 가뭄의 발생은 다른 수문학적 재해와는 다르게 장기간에 걸쳐서 발생하고 그 피해 범위가 광범위하게 나타난다. 또한, 기후변화를 고려한 다양한 기후예측모델의 예측 결과는 가뭄 재해가 앞으로 더 심각해질 수 있다는 전망을 하고 있다는 점에서 그 심각성이 더욱 대두되고 있다. 이러한 가뭄을 효과적으로 감시하고 평가할 수 있는 방안이 필요로 하게 되며, 기존의 가뭄지수(drought index)의 단점을 보완할 수 있는 수단으로 높은 활용성을 갖고 있는 위성영상자료를 활용한 효과적인 가뭄모니터링 기술의 개발이 요구되고 있다. 본 연구에서는 가뭄을 시 공간적으로 모니터링하기 위해서 위성자료를 활용하였으며, Terra/Aqua 위성의 MODIS 영상자료 와 TRMM 및 GPM 위성의 강우자료를 활용하여 가뭄을 감시할 수 있는 가뭄지수 인 VHI(Vegetation Health Index), DSI(Drought Severity Index), Water Balance Method를 산정하였다. 산정된 지수의 정확도를 정량적으로 평가하기 위하여 가뭄 피해조사 결과에 의한 2001년 및 2014-2015년 농업적/수문학적 가뭄피해지역과 위성기반 가뭄지수에 의한 가뭄모니터링 결과 간의 ROC 분석을 통해 위성자료 기반 가뭄감시의 적용 가능성을 평가하였다. 본 연구의 결과를 통하여 위성영상 자료를 통하여 산정되는 가뭄지수의 기상학적/농업적/수문학적 가뭄감시 기능 및 적용성이 정량적으로 평가될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Receiver Operating Characteristic Analysis for Prediction of Postpartum Metabolic Diseases in Dairy Cows in an Organic Farm in Korea

  • Kim, Dohee;Choi, Woojae;Ro, Younghye;Hong, Leegon;Kim, Seongdae;Yoon, Ilsu;Choe, Eunhui;Kim, Danil
    • Journal of Veterinary Clinics
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    • v.39 no.5
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 2022
  • Postpartum diseases should be predicted to prevent productivity loss before calving especially in organic dairy farms. This study was aimed to investigate the incidence of postpartum metabolic diseases in an organic dairy farm in Korea, to confirm the association between diseases and prepartum blood biochemical parameters, and to evaluate the accuracy of these parameters with a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis for identifying vulnerable cows. Data were collected from 58 Holstein cows (16 primiparous and 42 multiparous) having calved for 2 years on an organic farm. During a transition period from 4 weeks prepartum to 4 weeks postpartum, blood biochemistry was performed through blood collection every 2 weeks with a physical examination. Thirty-one (53.4%) cows (9 primiparous and 22 multiparous) were diagnosed with at least one postpartum disease. Each incidence was 27.6% for subclinical ketosis, 22.4% for subclinical hypocalcemia, 12.1% for retained placenta, 10.3% for displaced abomasum and 5.2% for clinical ketosis. Between at least one disease and no disease, there were significant differences in the prepartum levels of parameters like body condition score (BCS), non-esterified fatty acid (NEFA), total bilirubin (T-bil), direct bilirubin (D-bil) and NEFA to total cholesterol (T-chol) ratio (p < 0.05). The ROC analysis of each of these prepartum parameters had the area under the curve (AUC) <0.7. However, the ROC analysis with logistic regression including all these parameters revealed a higher AUC (0.769), sensitivity (71.0%), and specificity (77.8%). The ROC analysis with logistic regression including the prepartum BCS, NEFA, T-bil, D-bil, and NEFA to T-chol ratio can be used to identify cows that are vulnerable to postpartum diseases with moderate accuracy.

Evaluation of the Usefulness of Differential Diagnosis of Breast Mass using Elasticity Score and Elasticity Ratio in Elastography (탄성초음파에서 유방종괴의 감별진단을 위한 탄성도 점수와 변형비의 유용성 평가)

  • An, Hyun;Im, In-Chul;Lee, Hyo-Yeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.12 no.5
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    • pp.677-682
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    • 2018
  • This study evaluated the usefulness of the elasticity score and elasticity ratio in the differential diagnosis of benign and malignant lesion in breast elastography. We performed a retrospective analysis based on the results of core needle biopsy histology. The Mann-Whitney U test was used to confirm the difference between the 5-degree elasticity score and the Fisher's Exact test. ROC curve analysis was used to determine the elasticity score and the best cut-off value of the elasticity ratio for the prediction of malignant lesions. There was a statistically significant difference (p= .000) between the homogeneity of the elasticity score and the difference of the elasticity ratio between the benign and malignant lesion groups. On the ROC curve analysis, the elasticity score and the elasticity ratio for predicting benign and malignant lesion were determined as AUC 0.806, 0.824, cut-off value 3, 4.4 (p= .001). Therefore, the elasticity score and elasticity ratio may be useful in the differential diagnosis of breast mass.

Machine-part Group Formation Methodology for Flexible Manufacturing Systems (유연생산시스템(FMS)에서의 기계-부품그룹 형성기법)

  • Ro, In-Kyu;Kwon, Hyuck-Chun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.75-82
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    • 1991
  • This research is concerned with Machine-Part Group Formation(MPGF) methodology for Flexible Manufacturing Systems(FMS). The purpose of the research is to develop a new heuristic algorithm for effectively solving MPGF problem. The new algorithm is proposed and evaluated by 100 machine-part incidence matrices generated. The performance measures are (1) grouping ability of mutually exclusive block-diagonal form. (2) number of unit group and exceptional elements, and (3) grouping time. The new heuristic algorithm has the following characteristics to effectively conduct MPGF : (a) The mathematical model is presented for rapid forming the proper number of unit groups and grouping mutually exclusive block-diagonal form, (b) The simple and effective mathematical analysis method of Rank Order Clustering(ROC) algorithm is applied to minimize intra-group journeys in each group and exceptional elements in the whole group. The results are compared with those from Expert System(ES) algorithm and ROC algorithm. The results show that the new algorithm always gives the group of mutually exclusive block-diagonal form and better results(85%) than ES algorithm and ROC algorithm.

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Evaluation on Performance of Accuracy for Analysis and Classification of Data Related to Industrial Accidents (산업재해 데이터의 분석 및 분류를 위한 정확도 성능 평가)

  • Leem Young-Moon;Ryu Chang-Hyun
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2006.04a
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2006
  • Recently data mining techniques have been used for analysis and classification of data related to industrial accidents. The main objective of this study is to compare performance of algorithms for data analysis of industrial accidents and this paper provides a comparative analysis of 5 kinds of algorithms including CHAID, CART, C4.5, LR (Logistic Regression) and NN (Neural Network) with ROC chart, lift chart and response threshold. In this study, data on 67,278 accidents were analyzed to create risk groups for a number of complications, including the risk of disease and accident. The sample for this work chosen from data related to manufacturing industries during three years $(2002\sim2004)$ in korea. According to the result analysis, NN has excellent performance for data analysis and classification of industrial accidents.

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Application of Computer-Aided Diagnosis for the Differential Diagnosis of Fatty Liver in Computed Tomography Image (전산화단층촬영 영상에서 지방간의 감별진단을 위한 컴퓨터보조진단의 응용)

  • Park, Hyong-Hu;Lee, Jin-Soo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.10 no.6
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    • pp.443-450
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    • 2016
  • In this study, we are using a computer tomography image of the abdomen, as an experimental linear research for the image of the fatty liver patients texture features analysis and computer-aided diagnosis system of implementation using the ROC curve analysis, from the computer tomography image. We tried to provide an objective and reliable diagnostic information of fatty liver to the doctor. Experiments are usually a fatty liver, via the wavelet transform of the abdominal computed tomography images are configured with the experimental image section, shows the results of statistical analysis on six parameters indicating a feature value of the texture. As a result, the entropy, average luminance, strain rate is shown a relatively high recognition rate of 90% or more, the control also, flatness, uniformity showed relatively low recognition rate of about 70%. ROC curve analysis of six parameters are all shown to 0.900 (p = 0.0001) or more, showed meaningful results in the recognition of the disease. Also, to determine the cut-off value for the prediction of disease six parameters. These results are applicable from future abdominal computed tomography images as a preliminary diagnostic article of diseases automatic detection and eventual diagnosis.

A Study on the Diagnostic Detection Ability of the Artificial Proximal Caries by Digora$\textregistered$ (Digora$\textregistered$ 영상시스템을 이용한 인접면 인공 치아우식병소의 진단능에 관한 연구)

  • Oh Kyung-Ran;Choi Eui-Hwan;Kim Jae-Duk
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Oral and Maxillofacial Radiology
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    • v.28 no.2
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    • pp.415-433
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    • 1998
  • Digora system is an intraoral indirect digital radiography system utilizing storage phosphor image plate. It has wide dynamic range which allows it to decrease the patient s exposure time and may increase diagnostic ability through image processing (such as edge enhancement, grey scale conversion, brightness change, and contrast enhancement). And also, it can transmit and storage image information. The purpose of this study was to evaluate the diagnostic ability of artificial proximal caries between Conventional radiograph and Digora images(unenhanced image, brightness & contrast controlled image, and edge enhanced image). ROC(Receiver Operating Characteristic) analysis, paired t-tests, and F-tests were done for the statistical evaluation of detectability. The following results were acquired: 1. In Grade I lesions, the mean ROC areas of Conventional radiograph, Digora unenhanced image, Digora controlled image, and Digora edge enhanced image were 0.953, 0.933, 0.965, 0.978 (p>0.05). 2. In Grade II lesions, the mean ROC areas of Conventional radiograph, Digora unenhanced image, Digora controlled image, and Digora edge enhanced image were 0.969, 0.964, 0.988, 0.994. Among theses areas, there was just statistical significance between Diagnostic abilities of Digora edge enhanced image and Conventional radiograph (p<0.05). 3. In the Interobserver variability, the ROC curve areas of Digora edge enhanced image was lowermost in these areas, regardless of the Carious lesion depths. In conclusion, intraoral indirect digital system, Digora system, has the potential possibility as an alternative of Conventional radiograph in the diagnosis of proximal caries.

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Assessment of Linear Binary Classifiers and ROC Analysis for Flood Hazard Area Detection in North Korea (북한 홍수위험지역 탐지를 위한 선형이진분류법과 ROC분석의 적용성 평가)

  • Lee, Kyoung Sang;Lee, Dae Eop;Try, Sophal;Lee, Gi Ha
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2017.05a
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    • pp.370-370
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    • 2017
  • 최근 기후변화와 이상기후의 영향으로 인하여 홍수재해의 시 공간적 패턴은 보다 복잡해지고, 예측이 어려워지고 있다. 이러한 기상이변에 따른 홍수피해를 예방하기 위한 비구조적 대책으로 홍수위험등급 및 범람범위 등의 정보를 포함하고 있는 홍수위험지도의 작성이 필요하다. 실제로 고정밀도 홍수위험지도를 작성하기 위해서는 지형, 지질, 기상 등의 디지털 정보 및 사회 경제와 관련된 다양한 DB를 필요로 하며, 강우-유출-범람해석 모델링을 통해 범람면적 및 침수깊이 등의 정보를 획득하게 된다. 하지만 일부지역, 특히 개발도상국에서는 이러한 계측 홍수 데이터가 부족하거나 획득할 수가 없어 홍수위험지도 제작이 불가능하거나 그 정확도가 매우 낮은 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 ASTER 또는 SRTM과 같은 범용 DEM 등 지형자료만을 기반으로 한 선형이진분류법(Liner binary classifiers)과 ROC분석(Receiver Operation Characteristics)을 이용하여 미계측 유역 (DB부재 또는 부족으로 강우-유출-범람해석 모델링이 불가능한 북한지역)의 홍수위험지역을 탐지하고, 적용성을 평가하고자 한다. 5개의 단일 지형학적 지수와 6개의 복합 지형학적 지수를 이용하여 Area Under the Curve (AUC)를 계산하고, Sensitivity (민감도)와 Specificity (특이도)가 가장 높은 지수를 선별하여 홍수위험지도를 작성하고, 실제 홍수범람 영상(2007년 북한 함경남도지역 용흥강 홍수)과 비교 분석하였다. 본 연구에서 제시하는 선형이진분류법과 ROC분석 방법은 홍수범람해석을 위한 다양한 기초정보를 필요로 하지 않고, 지형정보만을 사용하기 때문에 관측 데이터가 없거나 부족한 지역에 대해서 우선적으로 홍수위험지역을 탐지하고, 선별하는데 유용할 것으로 판단된다.

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Psychometric Properties of Korean Minimal Insomnia Screening Scale (불면증 최소스크리닝척도의 심리측정적 특성과 적합성 검증)

  • Kim, Inja;Kim, Sungjae;Kim, Beomjong;Choi, Heejung
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.853-860
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    • 2012
  • Purpose: The purposes of this study were to develop a Minimal Insomnia Screening Scale for Korean adults (KMISS) and to evaluate psychometric properties and discriminant ability of the developed scale. Methods: Data from a cross-sectional survey of 959 Korean adults were analyzed to develop the summated insomnia scale, which was evaluated in terms of reliability, validity, and discriminant ability by receiver operating characteristics (ROC) curve analysis. Results: Item-total correlations ranged between .71-.79 and Cronbach's ${\alpha}$ was .87. Adequate validity was also evident. ROC-curve analysis showed area under ROC was .87 (95% CI: .84-.90) and identified the optimal cut-off score as ${\leq}20$ (sensitivity, .83; specificity, .75; positive/negative predictive values, .40/.95). Using this cut-off score, the prevalence of insomnia in the study sample was 26.3% and most frequent among women and the oldest group. Conclusion: Data supports the psychometric properties of KMISS as a possible insomnia screening instrument. KMISS also shows promise as a convenient ultra-short screening measure of insomnia for adults and epidemiological studies in community health care settings.

Using SEER Data to Quantify Effects of Low Income Neighborhoods on Cause Specific Survival of Skin Melanoma

  • Cheung, Min Rex
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.3219-3221
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    • 2013
  • Background: This study used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves to screen Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results (SEER) skin melanoma data to identify and quantify the effects of socioeconomic factors on cause specific survival. Methods: 'SEER cause-specific death classification' used as the outcome variable. The area under the ROC curve was to select best pretreatment predictors for further multivariate analysis with socioeconomic factors. Race and other socioeconomic factors including rural-urban residence, county level % college graduate and county level family income were used as predictors. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to identify and quantify the independent socioeconomic predictors. Results: This study included 49,999 parients. The mean follow up time (SD) was 59.4 (17.1) months. SEER staging (ROC area of 0.08) was the most predictive foctor. Race, lower county family income, rural residence, and lower county education attainment were significant univariates, but rural residence was not significant under multivariate analysis. Living in poor neighborhoods was associated with a 2-4% disadvantage in actuarial cause specific survival. Conclusions: Racial and socioeconomic factors have a significant impact on the survival of melanoma patients. This generates the hypothesis that ensuring access to cancer care may eliminate these outcome disparities.