• Title/Summary/Keyword: RMSE

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Comparative Study of Estimation Methods of the Endpoint Temperature in Basic Oxygen Furnace Steelmaking Process with Selection of Input Parameters

  • Park, Tae Chang;Kim, Beom Seok;Kim, Tae Young;Jin, Il Bong;Yeo, Yeong Koo
    • Korean Journal of Metals and Materials
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    • v.56 no.11
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    • pp.813-821
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    • 2018
  • The basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking process in the steel industry is highly complicated, and subject to variations in raw material composition. During the BOF steelmaking process, it is essential to maintain the carbon content and the endpoint temperature at their set points in the liquid steel. This paper presents intelligent models used to estimate the endpoint temperature in the basic oxygen furnace (BOF) steelmaking process. An artificial neural network (ANN) model and a least-squares support vector machine (LSSVM) model are proposed and their estimation performance compared. The classical partial least-squares (PLS) method was also compared with the others. Results of the estimations using the ANN, LSSVM and PLS models were compared with the operation data, and the root-mean square error (RMSE) for each model was calculated to evaluate estimation performance. The RMSE of the LSSVM model 15.91, which turned out to be the best estimation. RMSE values for the ANN and PLS models were 17.24 and 21.31, respectively, indicating their relative estimation performance. The essential input parameters used in the models can be selected by sensitivity analysis. The RMSE for each model was calculated again after a sequential input selection process was used to remove insignificant input parameters. The RMSE of the LSSVM was then 13.21, which is better than the previous RMSE with all 16 parameters. The results show that LSSVM model using 13 input parameters can be utilized to calculate the required values for oxygen volume and coolant needed to optimally adjust the steel target temperature.

Evaluation of the Gap Filler Radar as an Implementation of the 1.5 km CAPPI Data in Korea (국내 1.5 km CAPPI 자료 보완을 위한 Gap Filler Radar의 효용성 평가)

  • Yoo, Chulsang;Yoon, Jungsoo;Kim, Jungho;Ro, Yonghun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2015.05a
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    • pp.521-521
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    • 2015
  • This study evaluated the gap filler radar as an implementation of the 1.5 km CAPPI data in Korea. The use of the 1.5 km CAPPI data was an inevitable choice, given the topography of the Korean Peninsula and the location of the radar. However, there still exists a significant portion of beam blockage, and thus there has been debate about the need to introduce the gap filler radar (or, the gap-filler). This study evaluated the possible benefits of introducing gap-fillers over the Korean Peninsula. As a first step, the error of the radar data was quantified by the G/R ratio and RMSE, and the radar data over the Korean Peninsula were evaluated. Then, the gap-fillers were located where the error was high, whose effect was then evaluated by the decrease in the G/R ratio and RMSE. The results show that the mean values of the G/R ratio and RMSE of the 1.5 m CAPPI data over the Korean Peninsula were estimated to be about 2.5 and 4.5 mm/hr, respectively. Even after the mean-field bias correction, the RMSE of the 1.5 km CAPPI data has not decreased much to be remained very high around 4.4 mm/hr. Unfortunately, the effect of the gap-filler on the 1.5 CAPPI data was also found very small, just 1 - 2%. However, the gap-filler could be beneficial, if the lowest elevation angle data were used instead of the 1.5 km CAPPI data. The effect of five gap-fillers could be up to 7% decrease in RMSE.

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Development of a Speed Prediction Model for Urban Network Based on Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU 기반의 도시부 도로 통행속도 예측 모형 개발)

  • Hoyeon Kim;Sangsoo Lee;Jaeseong Hwang
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.22 no.1
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    • pp.103-114
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    • 2023
  • This study collected various data of urban roadways to analyze the effect of travel speed change, and a GRU-based short-term travel speed prediction model was developed using such big data. The baseline model and the double exponential smoothing model were selected as comparison models, and prediction errors were evaluated using the RMSE index. The model evaluation results revealed that the average RMSE of the baseline model and the double exponential smoothing model were 7.46 and 5.94, respectively. The average RMSE predicted by the GRU model was 5.08. Although there are deviations for each of the 15 links, most cases showed minimal errors in the GRU model, and the additional scatter plot analysis presented the same result. These results indicate that the prediction error can be reduced, and the model application speed can be improved when applying the GRU-based model in the process of generating travel speed information on urban roadways.

Radiation Prediction Based on Multi Deep Learning Model Using Weather Data and Weather Satellites Image (기상 데이터와 기상 위성 영상을 이용한 다중 딥러닝 모델 기반 일사량 예측)

  • Jae-Jung Kim;Yong-Hun You;Chang-Bok Kim
    • Journal of Advanced Navigation Technology
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.569-575
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    • 2021
  • Deep learning shows differences in prediction performance depending on data quality and model. This study uses various input data and multiple deep learning models to build an optimal deep learning model for predicting solar radiation, which has the most influence on power generation prediction. did. As the input data, the weather data of the Korea Meteorological Administration and the clairvoyant meteorological image were used by segmenting the image of the Korea Meteorological Agency. , comparative evaluation, and predicting solar radiation by constructing multiple deep learning models connecting the models with the best error rate in each model. As an experimental result, the RMSE of model A, which is a multiple deep learning model, was 0.0637, the RMSE of model B was 0.07062, and the RMSE of model C was 0.06052, so the error rate of model A and model C was better than that of a single model. In this study, the model that connected two or more models through experiments showed improved prediction rates and stable learning results.

Impacts of OSTIA Sea Surface Temperature in Regional Ocean Data Assimilation System (지역 해양순환예측시스템에 대한 OSTIA 해수면온도 자료동화 효과에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Ji Hye;Eom, Hyun-Min;Choi, Jong-Kuk;Lee, Sang-Min;Kim, Young-Ho;Chang, Pil-Hun
    • The Sea:JOURNAL OF THE KOREAN SOCIETY OF OCEANOGRAPHY
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.1-15
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    • 2015
  • Impacts of Sea Surface Temperature (SST) assimilation to the prediction of upper ocean temperature is investigated by using a regional ocean forecasting system, in which 3-dimensional optimal interpolation is applied. In the present study, Sea Surface Temperature and Sea Ice Analysis (OSTIA) dataset is adopted for the daily SST assimilation. This study mainly compares two experimental results with (Exp. DA) and without data assimilation (Exp. NoDA). When comparing both results with OSTIA SST data during Sept. 2011, Exp. NoDA shows Root Mean Square Error (RMSE) of about $1.5^{\circ}C$ at 24, 48, 72 forecast hour. On the other hand, Exp. DA yields the relatively lower RMSE of below $0.8^{\circ}C$ at all forecast hour. In particular, RMSE from Exp. DA reaches $0.57^{\circ}C$ at 24 forecast hour, indicating that the assimilation of daily SST (i.e., OSTIA) improves the performance in the early SST prediction. Furthermore, reduction ratio of RMSE in the Exp. DA reaches over 60% in the Yellow and East seas. In order to examine impacts in the shallow costal region, the SST measured by eight moored buoys around Korean peninsula is compared with both experiments. Exp. DA reveals reduction ratio of RMSE over 70% in all season except for summer, showing the contribution of OSTIA assimilation to the short-range prediction in the coastal region. In addition, the effect of SST assimilation in the upper ocean temperature is examined by the comparison with Argo data in the East Sea. The comparison shows that RMSE from Exp. DA is reduced by $1.5^{\circ}C$ up to 100 m depth in winter where vertical mixing is strong. Thus, SST assimilation is found to be efficient also in the upper ocean prediction. However, the temperature below the mixed layer in winter reveals larger difference in Exp. DA, implying that SST assimilation has still a limitation to the prediction of ocean interior.

A Study on the Efficient Application for Cadastral Surveying of RTK-GPS (RTK-GPS의 지적측량에 효율적 적용 연구)

  • Hong, Sung-Eon;Lee, Woo-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2012
  • The study conducted the measurement of RTK-GPS with changing the number of observation as the method to differ reference stations of RTK-GPS. Also it aimed to suggest an effective application plan for cadastral surveying based on the accuracy analysis accordingly. According to the result of selecting the study region, observing with different reference stations, and comparing with previous TS performance, the 1st reference station was calculated as ${\pm}0.024m$ for x-coordinate's RMSE and ${\pm}0.029m$ for y-coordinate's RMSE, and the 2nd reference station was calculated as ${\pm}0.040m$ for x-coordinate's RMSE and ${\pm}0.029m$ for y-coordinate's RMSE. All these results (the 1st and the 2nd reference stations) are allowed as acceptable performance within the margin of error according to the existing cadastral regulations, and there was no significant difference between two performances. Therefore, unless there was no problem in receiving GPS satellite data, it would be possible to secure stable performance enough with 1 observation. Depending on surveying environment that has possible problems in receiving data, however, 2 or more observations would be necessary to secure stable performance.

Application of Drone Photogrammetry for Current State Analysis of Damage in Forest Damage Areas (드론 사진측량을 이용한 산림훼손지역의 훼손 현황 분석)

  • Lee, Young Seung;Lee, Dong Gook;Yu, Young Geol;Lee, Hyun Jik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Geospatial Information Science
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.49-58
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    • 2016
  • Applications of drone in various fields have been increasing in recent years. Drone has great potential for forest management. Therefore this paper is using drone for forest damage areas. Forest damage areas is divided into caused by anthropogenic and occurs naturally, the possibility of disasters, such as slope sliding, slope failures and landslides, sediment runoff exists. Therefore, this research was to utilize the drone photogrammetry to perform the damage analysis of forest damage areas. Geometrical treatment processing results in Drone Photogrammetry, the plane position error RMSE was ${\pm}0.034m$, the elevation error RMSE was ${\pm}0.017m$. The plane position error of orthophoto RMSE was ${\pm}0.083m$, the elevation error of digital elevation model RMSE was ${\pm}0.085m$. In addition, It was possible to current state analysis of damage in forest damage areas of airborne LiDAR data of before forest damage and drone photogrammetry data of after forest damage. and application of drone photogrammetry for production base data for restoration and design in forest damage areas.

Median Modified Wiener Filter for Noise Reduction in Computed Tomographic Image using Simulated Male Adult Human Phantom (시뮬레이션된 성인 남성 인체모형 팬텀을 이용한 전산화단층촬영 에서의 노이즈 제거를 위한 Median Modified Wiener 필터)

  • Ju, Sunguk;An, Byungheon;Kang, Seong-Hyeon;Lee, Youngjin
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.21-28
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    • 2021
  • Computed tomography (CT) has the problem of having more radiation exposure compared to other radiographic apparatus. There is a low-dose imaging technique for reducing exposure, but it has a disadvantage of increasing noise in the image. To compensate for this, various noise reduction algorithms have been developed that improve image quality while reducing the exposure dose of patients, of which the median modified Wiener filter (MMWF) algorithm that can be effectively applied to CT devices with excellent time resolution has been presented. The purpose of this study is to optimize the mask size of MMWF algorithm and to see the excellence of noise reduction of MMWF algorithm for existing algorithms. After applying the MMWF algorithm with each mask sizes set from the MASH phantom abdominal images acquired using the MATLAB program, which includes Gaussian noise added, and compared the values of root mean square error (RMSE), peak signal-to-noise ratio (PSNR), coefficient correlation (CC), and universal image quality index (UQI). The results showed that RMSE value was the lowest and PSNR, CC and UQI values were the highest in the 5 x 5 mask size. In addition, comparing Gaussian filter, median filter, Wiener filter, and MMWF with RMSE, PSNR, CC, and UQI by applying the optimized mask size. As a result, the most improved RMSE, PSNR, CC, and UQI values were showed in MMWF algorithms.

Predictive Analysis of Fire Risk Factors in Gyeonggi-do Using Machine Learning (머신러닝을 이용한 경기도 화재위험요인 예측분석)

  • Seo, Min Song;Castillo Osorio, Ever Enrique;Yoo, Hwan Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.39 no.6
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    • pp.351-361
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    • 2021
  • The seriousness of fire is rising because fire causes enormous damage to property and human life. Therefore, this study aims to predict various risk factors affecting fire by fire type. The predictive analysis of fire factors was carried out targeting Gyeonggi-do, which has the highest number of fires in the country. For the analysis, using machine learning methods SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), GBRT (Gradient Boosted Regression Tree) the accuracy of each model was presented with a high fit model through MAE (Mean Absolute Error) and RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error), and based on this, predictive analysis of fire factors in Gyeonggi-do was conducted. In addition, using machine learning methods such as SVM (Support Vector Machine), RF (Random Forest), and GBRT (Gradient Boosted Regression Tree), the accuracy of each model was presented with a high-fit model through MAE and RMSE. Predictive analysis of occurrence factors was achieved. Based on this, as a result of comparative analysis of three machine learning methods, the RF method showed a MAE = 1.765 and RMSE = 1.876, as well as the MAE and RMSE verification and test data were very similar with a difference between MAE = 0.046 and RMSE = 0.04 showing the best predictive results. The results of this study are expected to be used as useful data for fire safety management allowing decision makers to identify the sequence of dangers related to the factors affecting the occurrence of fire.

An Experimental Study on Assessing Precision and Accuracy of Low-cost UAV-based Photogrammetry (저가형 UAV 사진측량의 정밀도 및 정확도 분석 실험에 관한 연구)

  • Yun, Seonghyeon;Lee, Hungkyu;Choi, Woonggyu;Jeong, Woochul;Jo, Eonjeong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.40 no.3
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    • pp.207-215
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    • 2022
  • This research has been focused on accessing precision and accuracy of UAV (Unmanned Aerial Vehicle)-derived 3-D surveying coordinates. To this end, a highly precise and accurate testing control network had been established by GNSS (Global Navigation Satellite Systems) campaign and its network adjustment. The coordinates of the ground control points and the check points were estimated within 1cm accuracy for 95% of the confidence level. FC330 camera mounted on DJI Phantom 4 repeatedly took aerial photos of an experimental area seven times, and then processed them by two widely used software packages. To evaluate the precision and accuracy of the aerial surveys, 3-D coordinates of the ten check points which automatically extracted by software were compared with GNSS solutions. For the 95% confidence level, the standard deviation of two software's result is within 1cm, 2cm, and 4cm for the north-south, east-west, and height direction, and RMSE (Root Mean Square Error) is within 9cm and 8cm for the horizontal, vertical component, respectively. The interest is that the standard deviation is much smaller than RMSE. The F-ratio test was performed to confirm the statistical difference between the two software processing results. For the standard deviation and RMSE of most positional components, exception of RMSE of the height, the null hypothesis of the one-tailed tests was rejected. It indicates that the result of UAV photogrammetry can be different statistically based on the processing software.