• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quantitative-Risk-Analysis

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Development of SVM-based Construction Project Document Classification Model to Derive Construction Risk (건설 리스크 도출을 위한 SVM 기반의 건설프로젝트 문서 분류 모델 개발)

  • Kang, Donguk;Cho, Mingeon;Cha, Gichun;Park, Seunghee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.841-849
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    • 2023
  • Construction projects have risks due to various factors such as construction delays and construction accidents. Based on these construction risks, the method of calculating the construction period of the construction project is mainly made by subjective judgment that relies on supervisor experience. In addition, unreasonable shortening construction to meet construction project schedules delayed by construction delays and construction disasters causes negative consequences such as poor construction, and economic losses are caused by the absence of infrastructure due to delayed schedules. Data-based scientific approaches and statistical analysis are needed to solve the risks of such construction projects. Data collected in actual construction projects is stored in unstructured text, so to apply data-based risks, data pre-processing involves a lot of manpower and cost, so basic data through a data classification model using text mining is required. Therefore, in this study, a document-based data generation classification model for risk management was developed through a data classification model based on SVM (Support Vector Machine) by collecting construction project documents and utilizing text mining. Through quantitative analysis through future research results, it is expected that risk management will be possible by being used as efficient and objective basic data for construction project process management.

A Study on Risk Issues and Policy for Future Society of Digital Transformation: Focusing on Artificial Intelligence (디지털 전환의 미래사회 위험이슈 및 정책적 대응 방향: 인공지능을 중심으로)

  • Koo, Bonjin
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.1-20
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    • 2022
  • Digital transformation refers to the economic and social effects of digitisation and digitalisation. Although digital transformation acts as a useful tool for economic/social development and enhancing the convenience of life, it can have negative effects (misuse of personal information, ethical problems, deepening social gaps, etc.). The government is actively establishing policies to promote digital transformation to secure competitiveness and technological hegemony, however, understanding of digital transformation-related risk issues and implementing policies to prevent them are relatively slow. Thus, this study systematically identifies risk issues of the future society that can be caused by digital transformation based on quantitative analysis of media articles big data through the Embedded Topic Modeling method. Specifically, first, detailed issues of negative effects of digital transformation in major countries were identified. Then detailed issues of negative effects of artificial intelligence in major countries and Korea were identified. Further, by synthesizing the results, future direction of the government's digital transformation policies for responding the negative effects was proposed. The policy implications are as follows. First, since the negative effects of digital transformation does not only affect technological fields but also affect the overall society, such as national security, social issues, and fairness issues. Therefore, the government should not only promote the positive functions of digital transformation, but also prepare policies to counter the negative functions of digital transformation. Second, the detailed issues of future social risks of digital transformation appear differently depending on contexts, so the government should establish a policy to respond to the negative effects of digital transformation in consideration of the national and social context. Third, the government should set a major direction for responding negative effects of digital transformation to minimize confusion among stakeholders, and prepare effective policy measures.

Quantitative Analysis of Thermal Radiation in Flare Stack (플레어스택의 정량적인 복사열 분석)

  • Jung, Sang-Yong;Lee, Heon-Seok;Kim, Bum-Su;Yoo, Jin-Hwan;Park, Chul-Hwan;Ko, Jae-Wook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.37-41
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    • 2010
  • The most important element for improving the process safety that occurs from the flare system installed to convert into safe materials by burning the inflammable or toxic gases within the process and this is specified in the API 521 Code so that the radiation does not cause a risk factor. The flames that occur from the flare stack holds the shape of jet fire due to the pressure and flow velocity of discharge gas. This study has identified the shape of flames by using the Chamberlain Model rather than the API 521 Code method, analyzing the radiation due to this.

Structural Analysis and Practitioner Needs Survey for a WMSD Prevention Program (근골격계질환 예방관리 프로그램에 대한 구조 분석 및 실무자 요구 사항 조사)

  • Jung, Ki-Hyo;Lee, Sang-Ki;Kwon, O-Chae;You, Hee-Cheon;Kim, Dae-Seong
    • Journal of the Ergonomics Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2005
  • The KOSHA codes H-31 and H-30 provide general guidelines to establish a prevention program for work-related musculoskeletal disorders(WMSD). Understanding of the components and practitioner needs for a WMSD prevention program is necessary for effective revision and implementation of the KOSHA codes. The present study established a comprehensive structure for a WMSD prevention program and surveyed practitioner needs for the KOSHA codes. The comprehensive prevention program structure, consisting of 7 parts(organization, education, risk management, medical management, program evaluation, and record keeping) and 90 items, was constructed by analyzing WMSD prevention guidelines published by various government agencies such as KOSHA, OSHA and NIOSH. Next, 20 practitioners, from four industry sectors(auto manufacturing, auto part manufacturing, shipbuilding, and machinery), working in a safety and health department or labor union, were interviewed to collect opinions for the KOSHA codes in terms of relevance, government support, and additional information needed. Guidelines of the KOSHA codes requiring modifications and government supports were identified, which can be used to revise the KOSHA codes and to establish a government policy to promote the implementation of the KOSHA codes. Lastly, the survey revealed that integrated, customized, quantitative, and case information for WMSD prevention is additionally needed, which can be used as design guidelines for a WMSD prevention program manual for practitioners.

Synthesizing Failure Data of Pump in PCB Manufacturing using Bayesian Method (베이지안 방법을 이용한 PCB 제조공정의 펌프 고장 데이터 합성)

  • Woo, Jeong Jae;Kim, Min Hwan;Chu, Chang Yeop;Baek, Jong Bae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2020
  • Failure data that has systematically managed for a long time has high reliability to an estimated volume. But since much cost and effort are needed to secure reliability data, data from overseas country is used in quantitative risk analysis in many workplaces. Reliability of the data that can be collected in workplaces can be dropped because of insufficient sample or lack of observation time. Therefore, estimated data is difficult to use as it is and environment and characteristic of the workplace cannot be reflected by using data from overseas country. So this study used Bayesian method that can be used reflecting both reliability data from overseas country and workplace failure data that has less samples. As a setting toward difficult situation that securing sufficient failure data cannot be achieved, we composed workplace failure data equivalent to mass observation time 20%(t=17000), 40%(t=24000), 60%(t=31000), 80%(t=38000) and IEEE data by using Bayesian method.

Application of a Decision Support System for Total Maximum Daily Loads (오염총량관리를 위한 의사결정 지원시스템 적용)

  • Lee, Hye-Young;Park, Seok-Soon
    • Journal of Korean Society on Water Environment
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.151-156
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    • 2004
  • A decision support system, Watershed Analysis Risk Management Framework(WARMF), was applied to the Kyungan Stream watershed, a tributary of Lake Paldang, for calculation of total maximum daily loads(TMDL). The WARMF system was developed by Systech Engineering, USA, and has been successfully used in several watersheds, for TMDL studies. The study area was divided into 14 sub-basins, based on digital elevation model(DEM). The integrated watershed and stream model of WARMF was validated by flow and BOD data measured during the year of 1999. There were reasonable agreements between model results and field data, both in water flow and BOD. The validated Kyungan WARMF was extensively utilized to study the quantitative relationship between waste loads and receiving water quality. Based on TMDL guideline at Paldang Lake and Kyungan Stream, the water quality criterion were set to be 3.0mg/L, 3.5mg/L, and 4.0mg/L at the watershed outlet. The allowable waste loads of BOD, both from point and non-point sources, were determined at each water quality criterion. From this study, it was concluded that the WARMF provided several advantages over the conventional application of watershed and stream models for TMDL study, such as time variable simulations, multiple possible soutions, and reduction loads for goal water quality, etc.

An analysis of unplanned reoperation ('계획에 없던 재수술' 의 분석)

  • Kim, Eun-Gyung;Cho, Sung-Hyun;Kim, Chang-Yup;Oh, Byung-Hee
    • Quality Improvement in Health Care
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    • v.2 no.1
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    • pp.118-124
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    • 1995
  • Background: Clinical indicators are objective measures of process or outcome of patient care in quantitative terms. This study aims to review the medical records of patients who 'return to operating room during the same admission', which is one of the critical clinical outcomes, and describe the result by unplanned reoperation rate. Methods: Computerized patient registry was used for selecting subject conditions. For medical records retrieved, two nurse evaluators identified the presence of explicit reoperation planning in medical records. Results: Overall reoperation rate was 2.8% and unplanned reoperation rate 1.3%. The main category of reoperation cause was the postoperative bleeding. Duration of stay from previous operation to reoperation of the unplanned group, 12.7 days, was shorter than that of the planned(p< .05). The differences did not reach statistical significance in age, sex and length of stay. Conclusion: Results suggested that unplanned reoperation rate was lower than 'threshold' level other institutions had established. However, this result could become comparable only after management of medical records would be improved and risk adjusted.

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The Relationship between Risk of Eating Disorder and Severity of State-Trait Anxiety (일부 대학생의 상태-특성 불안 정도와 식사 장애 위험 정도의 관계)

  • Nam Hee-Jung;Kim Young-Soon
    • The Korean Journal of Food And Nutrition
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.229-240
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    • 2005
  • This quantitative study was investigated to examine the relationship between severity of state-trait anxiety and disordered eating patterns in some university students. This study used a cross-sectional study design. Total 347 students participated in this study (88 male and 259 female) among three universities. The assessment of eating disorder was conducted by Eating Attitudes Test (EAT-26), a score of >or=20 identified individuals likely to have an eating disorder, including anorexia nervosa and bulimia nervosa. Scores of healthy dietary behaviors were obtained by self-assessment instrument on healthy diet scale(20-item questionnaire), and severity of state-trait anxiety was calculated by state-trait anxiety inventory(Total 40- item questionnaire). In groups for each state anxiety and trait anxiety, there were divided between 50 percentile point of cumulatived scores of state anxiety and trait anxiety in all subjects. Linear regression analysis showed overall significant difference between dietary patterns(anorexia nervosa and healthy dietary behaviors) and severity of state-trait anxiety in all sex. Our results indicated that severity of state-trait anxiety may marked eating disorder symptomatology on dimensions of eating disorder prevention.

Fine Dust Monitoring and Removal Method in Urban Construction Sites Using Autonomous Mobile Vehicle and Dry Fog System (자율이동체와 드라이포그를 활용한 도심지 건설현장 미세먼지 모니터링 및 대응 방안)

  • Kim, Kyoon Tai
    • Ecology and Resilient Infrastructure
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    • v.6 no.4
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    • pp.277-286
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    • 2019
  • The construction industry is known to be one of the representative industries that generate fine dust. Therefore, reducing the amount of fine dust generated in construction sites is very important for the overall fine dust management. Based on this, this study proposed the fine dust measurement and removal technology combined with advanced technologies such as autonomous mobile vehicle IoT and DFS. The qualitative, quantitative and risk elimination effects that can be expected when applying the proposed technique are analyzed. The proposed technique will be validated through system development and field application and evaluated specific economics through cost analysis.

Association Analysis between Genes' Variants for Regulating Mitochondrial Dynamics and Fasting Blood Glucose Level

  • Jung, Dongju;Jin, Hyun-Seok
    • Biomedical Science Letters
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.107-114
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    • 2016
  • Maintenance of fasting blood glucose levels is important for glucose homeostasis. Disruption of feedback mechanisms are a major reason for elevations of glucose level in blood, which is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes mellitus that is mainly caused by malfunction of pancreatic beta-cell and insulin. The fasting blood glucose level has been known to be influenced by genetic and environmental factors. Mitochondria have many functions for cell survival and death: glucose metabolism, fatty acid oxidation, ATP generation, reactive oxygen species (ROS) metabolism, calcium handling, and apoptosis regulation. In addition to these functions, mitochondria change their morphology dynamically in response to multiple signals resulting in fusion and fission. In this study, we aimed to examine association between fasting blood glucose levels and variants of the genes that are reported to have functions in mitochondrial dynamics, fusion and fission, using a cohort study. A total 416 SNPs from 36 mitochondrial dynamics genes were selected to analyze the quantitative association with fasting glucose level. Among the 416 SNPs, 4 SNPs of PRKACB, 13 SNPs of PPP3CA, 6 SNPs of PARK2, and 3 SNPs of GDAP1 were significantly associated. In this study, we were able to confirm an association of mitochondrial dynamics genes with glucose levels. To our knowledge our study is the first to identify specific SNPs related to fasting blood glucose level.