• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quality of Predictions

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Development of a Deep Learning-based Midterm PM2.5 Prediction Model Adapting to Trend Changes (경향성 변화에 대응하는 딥러닝 기반 초미세먼지 중기 예측 모델 개발)

  • Dong Jun Min;Hyerim Kim;Sangkyun Lee
    • The Transactions of the Korea Information Processing Society
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    • v.13 no.6
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 2024
  • Fine particulate matter, especially PM2.5 with a diameter of less than 2.5 micrometers, poses significant health and economic risks. This study focuses on the Seoul region of South Korea, aiming to analyze PM2.5 data and trends from 2017 to 2022 and develop a mid-term prediction model for PM2.5 concentrations. Utilizing collected and produced air quality and weather data, reanalysis data, and numerical model prediction data, this research proposes an ensemble evaluation method capable of adapting to trend changes. The ensemble method proposed in this study demonstrated superior performance in predicting PM2.5 concentrations, outperforming existing models by an average F1 Score of approximately 42.16% in 2019, 58.92% in 2021, and 34.79% in 2022 for future 3 to 6-day predictions. The model maintains performance under changing environmental conditions, offering stable predictions and presenting a mid-term prediction model that extends beyond the capabilities of existing deep learning-based short-term PM2.5 forecasts.

A Study on Dynamic Characteristics of Welding Current and Arc Length At GMAW (GMA용접에서 용접전류와 아크 길이의 동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Tae-Young
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.15-21
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    • 2011
  • Welding variables and conditions in gas metal arc welding (GMAW) effect on the quality and productivity of the weld, extensive research efforts have been made to analyze the effect of the welding variables and conditions. In this study dynamic behavior of GMAW system is investigated using the characteristics of the power supply, wire and welding arc. Characteristic equation of wire is modified to include the effect of droplets attached at the electrode tip. The dynamic characteristics of arc length, current, voltage with respect to the step, ramp inputs of CTWD was simulated. From results of simulation, some predictions about dynamic characteristics of GMAW and welding process are available. The proposed simulator and results appear to be utilized to determine the proper welding conditions, to be improved by considering power supply dynamic characteristics.

Factors Affecting the Sales of Newspapers and Magazines Based on Concise Catalog

  • Dayou Jiang
    • Journal of Information Processing Systems
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.498-512
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    • 2023
  • The traditional newspaper industry faces the opportunities and challenges of industry transformation and integration with new media. Consequently, the catalogs of newspapers and magazines are also updated. In this study, necessary information on catalogs was obtained and used to analyze the overall development trend of the newspaper industry. A word frequency analysis was then performed on the introduction and product categories of the catalogs, and the content and types of newspapers and magazines were examined. Furthermore, related factors such as price, number of pages, publishing frequency, and best-selling status were analyzed; the correlation among factors affecting best-selling status was also explored. Subsequently, each element and a combination of elements were used to generate a dataset, build three classification models, and analyze the accuracy of predictions of whether newspapers sold well under other circumstances. The experimental results showed that price is the most critical factor affecting the best-selling status of newspapers and magazines. Publishing frequency and the number of pages were also found to be significant indicators that impact people's subscription choices. Finally, a competitive strategy regarding content, price, quality, and positioning was developed.

A Study on the Improvement of Co-Co Type Locomotive's Vertical Dynamic Performance (Co-Co형 기관차의 수직방향 동적성능 향상에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Ju-Hyuk;Choe, Yeong-Hyu;Park, Sam-Jin
    • 한국기계연구소 소보
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    • s.14
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    • pp.17-31
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    • 1985
  • The Primary object of this study is to predict rigid carbody's vertical and pitch acceleration and/or displacement frequency response to vertical sinusoidal rail surface irregularities for any specified point of the carbody, and to verify the predictions by means of experiments. The developed computer program also calculates vertical and pith transmissibilities and acceleration spectra. This model can be used for first order analysis of ride behabior. it's main advantage is its simplicity and ease of use. This model can be used for first order analysis of ride quality behabior. It's main advantage is its simplicity and ease of use. The model was designed with 6 degreed of freedom. Equations of motion were derived by Lagrangian method. This calculation was applied to the vertical dynamic analysis in order to pursue a possible improvement of the dynamic performance of co-co locomotive, and results were very useful.

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A Study on Dynamic Characteristics of Welding voltage and Welding Current At GMAW (GMA 용접에서 전압과 전류의 동특성에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Myun-Hee;Choi, Young-Geun;Lee, Moon-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.207-213
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    • 2001
  • Welding variables and condition in gas metal arc welding (GMAW) effect on the weld quality and productivity, extensive research efforts have been made to analyze the welding variables and conditions. In this study dynamic behavior of GMAW system is investigated using the chararcteristic equations of the power supply. wire and welding arc. Characteristic equation of wire is modified to include the effect of droplets attached at the electrode tip. The dynamic characteristics of arc length, current, voltage with respect to the step, ramp inputs of CTWD was simulated. From results of simulation, some predictions about dynamic characteristics of GMAW and welding process are available. The proposed simulator and results appear to be utilized to determine the proper welding conditions, to be improved by considering power supply dynamic characteristics.

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Evaluation of Hydrological Impacts Caused by Land Use Change (토지이용변화에 따른 수문영향분석)

  • Park, Jin-Yong
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.54-66
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    • 2002
  • A grid-based hydrological model, CELTHYM, capable of estimating base flow and surface runoff using only readily available data, was used to assess hydrologic impacts caused by land use change on Little Eagle Creek (LEC) in Central Indiana. Using time periods when land use data are available, the model was calibrated with two years of observed stream flow data, 1983-1984, and verified by comparison of model predictions with observed stream flow data for 1972-1974 and 1990-1992. Stream flow data were separated into direct runoff and base flow using HYSEP (USGS) to estimate the impacts of urbanization on each hydrologic component. Analysis of the ratio between direct runoff and total runoff from simulation results, and the change in these ratios with land use change, shows that the ratio of direct runoff increases proportionally with increasing urban area. The ratio of direct runoff also varies with annual rainfall, with dry year ratios larger than those for wet years shows that urbanization might be more harmful during dry years than abundant rainfall years in terms of water yield and water quality management.

Predictions of Strip Temperatures for Finishing Mill of Gwangyang Hot Rolling Line $\#3$ (광양 3열연 사상압연에서의 스탠드간 판 온도 예측)

  • Kim H. J.
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Technology of Plasticity Conference
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    • 2004.08a
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    • pp.349-358
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    • 2004
  • The strip temperature history of finishing mill process is one of the most important factors to stabilize the facilities and to achieve the better product quality including a better prediction of roll force etc. The ultimate goal of this study is to improve scientific understanding of the finishing mill process in the view of heat transfer science. Finishing mill cooling facilities of KwangYang $\#3$ hot rolling are introduced and heat transfer analyses from FET to FDT are particularly focused in this study Three major tasks are successfully achieved as follows: 1) The temperature Prediction Models are developed. 2) The average absolute error is found to be less then 10 Celsius degree (about $8.5^{\circ}C$). 3) Prediction rate (less then $\bar{+}20$) are $10.2\%$ improved $(80.1\;\rightarrow\;90.3\%)$.

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Development of a Deep Learning Algorithm for Small Object Detection in Real-Time (실시간 기반 매우 작은 객체 탐지를 위한 딥러닝 알고리즘 개발)

  • Wooseong Yeo;Meeyoung Park
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Industry Convergence
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    • v.27 no.4_2
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    • pp.1001-1007
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    • 2024
  • Recent deep learning algorithms for object detection in real-time play a crucial role in various applications such as autonomous driving, traffic monitoring, health care, and water quality monitoring. The size of small objects, in particular, significantly impacts the accuracy of detection models. However, data containing small objects can lead to underfitting issues in models. Therefore, this study developed a deep learning model capable of quickly detecting small objects to provide more accurate predictions. The RE-SOD (Residual block based Small Object Detector) developed in this research enhances the detection performance for small objects by using RGB separation preprocessing and residual blocks. The model achieved an accuracy of 1.0 in image classification and an mAP50-95 score of 0.944 in object detection. The performance of this model was validated by comparing it with real-time detection models such as YOLOv5, YOLOv7, and YOLOv8.

A Water Model Study on Molten Metal Flow in Die Cavity of Die Casting (다이캐스트 주물의 금형공동내에서 탕류에 관한 수모델적 연구)

  • Kim, Myung-Jae;Choi, Hee-Ho;Cho, Nam-Don
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.14 no.6
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    • pp.576-589
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    • 1994
  • Water modeling experiments and computer simulation for the predictions of defects of die castings are very important to produce high quality castings with less cost. The relation between the variable air vent system and the characteristics of the fluid flow in the die cavity is studied by using water modeling tests, which give ideas on reasonable designing of die cavity, vent arrangement and gating system. In order to test the water modeling, injection is done by using water containing NaCl. Flow behaviors in cavities are visualized by high speed camera and video tape recorder, and local filling time is measured with electrode sensors. Special attention is paid to the configuration of die cavity. Simulated results by computer are examined and compared with the results of water modeling experiments. There are close correlations between the simulated results and water modeling ones.

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Dynamic behavior of GMA considering metal transfer (금속이행을 고려한 GMA 용접 시스템의 동특성 해석)

  • 박세홍;김면희;강세령;최상균;이상룡
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Precision Engineering Conference
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    • 2002.05a
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    • pp.565-568
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    • 2002
  • Welding variables and conditions in gas metal arc welding (GMAW) effect on the weld quality and productivity, extensive research efforts have been made to analyze the welding variables and conditions. In this study dynamic behavior of GMAW system is investigated using the characteristic equations of the power supply, wire and welding arc. Characteristic equation of wire is modified to include the effect of droplets attached at the electrode tip. The dynamic characteristics of arc length, current, voltage with respect to the step, ramp inputs of CTWD was simulated, seam tracking procedure using arc sensor was simulated with variable V-Groove geometries and weaving frequencies. From results of simulation, some predictions about dynamic characteristics of GMAW and welding process are available. The proposed simulator and results appear to be utilized to determine the proper welding conditions, to be improved by considering power supply dynamic characteristics.

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