• Title/Summary/Keyword: Quality of Predictions

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Effects of Iron on Arsenic Speciation and Redox Chemistry in Acid Mine Water

  • Bednar A.J.;Garbarino J.R.;Ranville J.F.;Wildeman T.R.
    • Proceedings of the KSEEG Conference
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    • 2004.12a
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    • pp.9-28
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    • 2004
  • Concern about arsenic is increasing throughout the world, including areas of the United States. Elevated levels of arsenic above current drinking-water regulations in ground and surface water can be the result of purely natural phenomena, but often are due to anthropogenic activities, such as mining and agriculture. The current study correlates arsenic speciation in acid mine drainage and mining influenced water with the important water-chemistry properties Eh, pH, and iron(III) concentration. The results show that arsenic speciation is generally in equilibrium with iron chemistry in low pH AMD, which is often not the case in other natural-water matrices. High pH mine waters and groundwater do not 짐ways hold to the redox predictions as well as low pH AMD samples. The oxidation and precipitation of oxyhydroxides depletes iron from some systems, and this also affects arsenite and arsenate concentrations differently through sorption processes.

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Development of Empirical and Statistical Models for Prediction of Water Quality of Pretreated Wastewater in Pulp and Paper Industry (제지공정 폐수 전처리 수질예측을 위한 실험적 모델과 통계적 모델 개발)

  • Sohn, Jinsik;Han, Jihee;Lee, Sangho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Water and Wastewater
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.289-296
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    • 2017
  • Pulp and paper industry produces large volumes of wastewater and residual sludge waste, resulting in many issues in relation to wastewater treatment and sludge disposal. Contaminants in pulp and paper wastewater include effluent solids, sediments, chemical oxygen demand (COD), and biological oxygen demand (BOD), which should be treated by wastewater treatment processes such as coagulation and biological treatment. However, few works have been attempted to predict the treatment efficiency of pulp and paper wastewater. Accordingly, this study presented empirical models based on experimental data in laboratory-scale coagulation tests and compared them with statistical models such as artificial neural network (ANN). Results showed that the water quality parameters such as turbidity, suspended solids, COD, and UVA can be predicted using either linear or expoential regression models. Nevertheless, the accuracies for turbidity and UVA predictions were relatively lower than those for SS and COD. On the other hand, ANN showed higher accuracies than the emprical models for all water parameters. However, it seems that two kinds of models should be used together to provide more accurate information on the treatment efficiency of pulp and paper wastewater.

Development and Assessment of a Dynamic Fate and Transport Model for Lead in Multi-media Environment

  • Ha, Yeon-Jeong;Lee, Dong-Soo
    • Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.53-60
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    • 2009
  • The main objective was to develop and assess a dynamic fate and transport model for lead in air, soil, sediment, water and vegetation. Daejeon was chosen as the study area for its relatively high contamination and emission levels. The model was assessed by comparing model predictions with measured concentrations in multi-media and atmospheric deposition flux. Given a lead concentration in air, the model could predict the concentrations in water and soil within a factor of five. Sensitivity analysis indicated that effective compartment volumes, rain intensity, scavenging ratio, run off, and foliar uptake were critical to accurate model prediction. Important implications include that restriction of air emission may be necessary in the future to protect the soil quality objective as the contamination level in soil is predicted to steadily increase at the present emission level and that direct discharge of lead into the water body was insignificant as compared to atmospheric deposition fluxes. The results strongly indicated that atmospheric emission governs the quality of the whole environment. Use of the model developed in this study would provide quantitative and integrated understanding of the cross-media characteristics and assessment of the relationships of the contamination levels among the multi-media environment.

Prediction of ocean surface current: Research status, challenges, and opportunities. A review

  • Ittaka Aldini;Adhistya E. Permanasari;Risanuri Hidayat;Andri Ramdhan
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.85-99
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    • 2024
  • Ocean surface currents have an essential role in the Earth's climate system and significantly impact the marine ecosystem, weather patterns, and human activities. However, predicting ocean surface currents remains challenging due to the complexity and variability of the oceanic processes involved. This review article provides an overview of the current research status, challenges, and opportunities in the prediction of ocean surface currents. We discuss the various observational and modelling approaches used to study ocean surface currents, including satellite remote sensing, in situ measurements, and numerical models. We also highlight the major challenges facing the prediction of ocean surface currents, such as data assimilation, model-observation integration, and the representation of sub-grid scale processes. In this article, we suggest that future research should focus on developing advanced modeling techniques, such as machine learning, and the integration of multiple observational platforms to improve the accuracy and skill of ocean surface current predictions. We also emphasize the need to address the limitations of observing instruments, such as delays in receiving data, versioning errors, missing data, and undocumented data processing techniques. Improving data availability and quality will be essential for enhancing the accuracy of predictions. The future research should focus on developing methods for effective bias correction, a series of data preprocessing procedures, and utilizing combined models and xAI models to incorporate data from various sources. Advancements in predicting ocean surface currents will benefit various applications such as maritime operations, climate studies, and ecosystem management.

Orbit Determination Using SLR Data for STSAT-2C: Short-arc Analysis

  • Kim, Young-Rok;Park, Eunseo;Kucharski, Daniel;Lim, Hyung-Chul
    • Journal of Astronomy and Space Sciences
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.189-200
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    • 2015
  • In this study, we present the results of orbit determination (OD) using satellite laser ranging (SLR) data for the Science and Technology Satellite (STSAT)-2C by a short-arc analysis. For SLR data processing, the NASA/GSFC GEODYN II software with one year (2013/04 - 2014/04) of normal point observations is used. As there is only an extremely small quantity of SLR observations of STSAT-2C and they are sparsely distribution, the selection of the arc length and the estimation intervals for the atmospheric drag coefficients and the empirical acceleration parameters was made on an arc-to-arc basis. For orbit quality assessment, the post-fit residuals of each short-arc and orbit overlaps of arcs are investigated. The OD results show that the weighted root mean square post-fit residuals of short-arcs are less than 1 cm, and the average 1-day orbit overlaps are superior to 50/600/900 m for the radial/cross-track/along-track components. These results demonstrate that OD for STSAT-2C was successfully achieved with cm-level range precision. However its orbit quality did not reach the same level due to the availability of few and sparse measurement conditions. From a mission analysis viewpoint, obtaining the results of OD for STSAT-2C is significant for generating enhanced orbit predictions for more frequent tracking.

A Study on AI-based Composite Supplementary Index for Complementing the Composite Index of Business Indicators (경기종합지수 보완을 위한 AI기반의 합성보조지수 연구)

  • JUNG, NAK HYUN;Taeyeon Oh;Kim, Kang Hee
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.51 no.3
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    • pp.363-379
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    • 2023
  • Purpose: The main objective of this research is to construct an AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model to achieve accurate predictions of the Composite Index of Business Indicators. By incorporating various economic indicators as independent variables, the ACSI model enables the prediction and analysis of both the leading index (CLI) and coincident index (CCI). Methods: This study proposes an AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model that leverages diverse economic indicators as independent variables to forecast leading and coincident economic indicators. To evaluate the model's performance, advanced machine learning techniques including MLP, RNN, LSTM, and GRU were employed. Furthermore, the study explores the potential of employing deep learning models to train the weights associated with the independent variables that constitute the composite supplementary index. Results: The experimental results demonstrate the superior accuracy of the proposed composite supple- mentary index model in predicting leading and coincident economic indicators. Consequently, this model proves to be highly effective in forecasting economic cycles. Conclusion: In conclusion, the developed AI-based Composite Supplementary Index (ACSI) model successfully predicts the Composite Index of Business Indicators. Apart from its utility in management, economics, and investment domains, this model serves as a valuable indicator supporting policy-making and decision-making processes related to the economy.

Analysis of the High Pressure Die Casting Process by Computer Simulation (수치해석에 의한 고압다이캐스팅용 금형설계 및 주조공정해석)

  • Lee, Chang-Ho;Choi, Jae-Kwon;Nam, Tae-Woon
    • Journal of Korea Foundry Society
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.400-406
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    • 2000
  • Computer simulation for the predictions of casting defects is very important to produce high quality castings with less cost. Complicate shaped Al solenoid housing part was selected to be cold chamber die cast and a numerical simulation technique was applied for the optimization of the chill vent position and gating. A first design led to insufficient central flow. This flow left the last filled areas falling into the inner portion of the part. And last filled area did not fit the chill vent position. So these resulted in a high possibility of air entrapment in the casting and the design was not proper for the part. The design was improved by using a proper gating system, a more chill vent and proper overflow positions. New design provided a homogenous mold filling pattern and the last filled areas that being located at the overflow and chill vent. Casting plan which produce good quality solenoid housing part was established by using the computer simulation.

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Improving Collaborative Filtering with Rating Prediction Based on Taste Space (협업 필터링 추천시스템에서의 취향 공간을 이용한 평가 예측 기법)

  • Lee, Hyung-Dong;Kim, Hyoung-Joo
    • Journal of KIISE:Databases
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    • v.34 no.5
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    • pp.389-395
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    • 2007
  • Collaborative filtering is a popular technique for information filtering to reduce information overload and widely used in application such as recommender system in the E-commerce domain. Collaborative filtering systems collect human ratings and provide Predictions based on the ratings of other people who share the same tastes. The quality of predictions depends on the number of items which are commonly rated by people. Therefore, it is difficult to apply pure collaborative filtering algorithm directly to dynamic collections where items are constantly added or removed. In this paper we suggest a method for managing dynamic collections. It creates taste space for items using a technique called Singular Vector Decomposition (SVD) and maintains clusters of core items on the space to estimate relevance of past and future items. To evaluate the proposed method, we divide database of user ratings into those of old and new items and analyze predicted ratings of the latter. And we experimentally show our method is efficiently applied to dynamic collections.

Research on Insurance Claim Prediction Using Ensemble Learning-Based Dynamic Weighted Allocation Model (앙상블 러닝 기반 동적 가중치 할당 모델을 통한 보험금 예측 인공지능 연구)

  • Jong-Seok Choi
    • The Journal of Korea Institute of Information, Electronics, and Communication Technology
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    • v.17 no.4
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    • pp.221-228
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    • 2024
  • Predicting insurance claims is a key task for insurance companies to manage risks and maintain financial stability. Accurate insurance claim predictions enable insurers to set appropriate premiums, reduce unexpected losses, and improve the quality of customer service. This study aims to enhance the performance of insurance claim prediction models by applying ensemble learning techniques. The predictive performance of models such as Random Forest, Gradient Boosting Machine (GBM), XGBoost, Stacking, and the proposed Dynamic Weighted Ensemble (DWE) model were compared and analyzed. Model performance was evaluated using Mean Absolute Error (MAE), Mean Squared Error (MSE), and the Coefficient of Determination (R2). Experimental results showed that the DWE model outperformed others in terms of evaluation metrics, achieving optimal predictive performance by combining the prediction results of Random Forest, XGBoost, LR, and LightGBM. This study demonstrates that ensemble learning techniques are effective in improving the accuracy of insurance claim predictions and suggests the potential utilization of AI-based predictive models in the insurance industry.

Determination of Seed Protein and Oil Concentration in Kiddny Bean by Near Infrared Spectroscopic Analysis (근적외 분광분석법을 이용한 강낭콩 종실단백질 및 지방의 비파괴 분석)

  • 이한범;최병렬;강창성;김영호;최영진
    • KOREAN JOURNAL OF CROP SCIENCE
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    • v.46 no.3
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    • pp.248-252
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    • 2001
  • Near infrared spectroscopy (NIRS) is a rapid and accurate analytical method for determining the composition of agricultural products and feeds. An important merit of the NIRS analytical system is consistent predictions across instruments. However, proper calibration is the most important factor for a NIRS analytical system. Forty samples were obtained from Kyonggi-do Agricultural Research and Extension Services, and used to develop calibrations for crude protein content and crude oil content. Calibrations equations were developed using multiple linear regression (MLR). Accuracy and precision of NIRS predictions were adequate for quality measurement for the two constituents in kidney bean seed. In calibration sample sets (N=30), multiple correlation coefficient between NIR and lab measurements is 0.90 for seed, 0.97 for powder in seed protein concentration and 0.40 for seed and 0.92 for powder in seed oil concentration, respectively. It is concluded that NIRS method is suitable for the determination of seed composition in whole kidney bean.

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