• 제목/요약/키워드: Quadratic Regression

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온도와 부하의 비선형성을 이용한 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델 (TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Nonlinearity of Temperature and Load)

  • 이경훈;이윤호;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제50권9호
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    • pp.399-399
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily high or low temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in the lower regime and a positive slope in the upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. TAR model is adequate for analyzing these phenomena since TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In this paper, we estimated and forecasted one day-ahead daily peak load by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

온도와 부하의 비선형성을 이용한 단기부하예측에서의 TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) 모델 (TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) Model for Short-Term Load Forecasting Using Nonlinearity of Temperature and Load)

  • 이경훈;이윤호;김진오
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제50권9호
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    • pp.309-405
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes TAR(Threshold Autoregressive) model for short-term load forecasting including temperature variable. In the scatter diagram of daily peak load versus daily high or low temperature, we can find out that the load-temperature relationship has a negative slope in the lower regime and a positive slope in the upper regime due to the heating and cooling load, respectively. TAR model is adequate for analyzing these phenomena since TAR model is a piecewise linear autoregressive model. In this paper, we estimated and forecasted one day-ahead daily peak load by applying TAR model using this load-temperature characteristic in these regimes. The results are compared with those of linear and quadratic regression models.

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퍼지 하이브리드 다층 퍼셉트론구조의 최적설계 (Optimal Design of Fuzzy Hybrid Multilayer Perceptron Structure)

  • 김동원;박병준;오성권
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2000년도 하계학술대회 논문집 D
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    • pp.2977-2979
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    • 2000
  • A Fuzzy Hybrid-Multilayer Perceptron (FH-MLP) Structure is proposed in this paper. proposed FH-MLP is not a fixed architecture. that is to say. the number of layers and the number of nodes in each layer of FH-MLP can be generated to adapt to the changing environment. FH-MLP consists of two parts. one is fuzzy nodes which each node is operated as a small fuzzy system with fuzzy implication rules. and its fuzzy system operates with Gaussian or Triangular membership functions in premise part and constants or regression polynomial equation in consequence part. the other is polynomial nodes which several types of high-order polynomial such as linear. quadratic. and cubic form are used and is connected as various kinds of multi-variable inputs. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. time series data for gas furnace process has been applied.

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미기압파 저감을 위한 고속전철 열차-터널 조건의 근사최적설계 (Approximate Optimization of High-speed Train Shape and Tunnel Condition to Reduce the Micro-pressure Wave)

  • 김정희;이종수;권혁빈
    • 대한기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한기계학회 2004년도 춘계학술대회
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    • pp.1023-1028
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    • 2004
  • A micro-pressure wave is generated by the high-speed train which enters a tunnel, and it causes explosive noise and vibration at the exit. It is known that train speed, train-tunnel area ratio, nose slenderness and nose shape mainly influence on generating micro-pressure wave. So it is required to minimize it by searching optimal values of such train shape factors and tunnel condition. In this study, response surface model, one of approximation models, is used to perform optimization effectively and analyze sensitivity of design variables. Owen's randomized orthogonal array and D-optimal Design are used to construct response surface model. In order to increase accuracy of model, stepwise regression is selected. Finally SQP(Sequential Quadratic Programming) optimization algorithm is used to minimize the maximum micro-pressure wave by using built approximation model.

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신경회로망을 이용한 사출성형품의 체적수축률에 관한 연구 (A Study on Volumetric Shrinkage of Injection Molded Part by Neural Network)

  • 민병현
    • 한국정밀공학회지
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    • 제16권11호
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    • pp.224-233
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    • 1999
  • The quality of injection molded parts is affected by the variables such as materials, design variables of part and mold, molding machine, and processing conditions. It is difficult to consider all the variables at the same time to predict the quality. In this paper neural network was applied to analyze the relationship between processing conditions and volumetric shrinkage of part. Engineering plastic gear was used for the study, and the learning data was extracted by the simulation software like Moldflow. Results of neural network was good agreement with simulation results. Nonlinear regression model was formulated using the test data of 3,125 obtained from neural network, Optimal processing conditions were calculated to minimize the volumetric shrinkage of molded part by the application of RQP(Recursive Quadratic Programming) algorithm.

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Fitting to Panchromatic Image for Pansharpening Combining Point-Jacobian MAP Estimation

  • Lee, Sang-Hoon
    • 대한원격탐사학회지
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    • 제24권5호
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    • pp.525-533
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    • 2008
  • This study presents a pansharpening method, so called FitPAN, to synthesize multispectral images at a higher resolution by exploiting a high-resolution image acquired in panchromatic modality. FitPAN is a modified version of the quadratic programming approach proposed in (Lee, 2008), which is designed to generate synthesized multispectral images similar to the multispectral images that would have been observed by the corresponding sensor at the same high resolution. The proposed scheme aims at reconstructing the multispectral images at the higher resolution with as less spectral distortion as possible. This study also proposes a sharpening process to eliminate some distortions appeared in the fused image of the higher resolution. It employs the Point-Jacobian MAP iteration utilizing the contextual information of the original panchromatic image. In this study, the new method was applied to the IKONOS 1m panchromatic and 4m multispectral data, and the results were compared with them of several current approaches. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed scheme can achieve significant improvement in both spectral and block distortion.

Are More Followers Always Better? The Non-Linear Relationship between the Number of Followers and User Engagement on Seeded Marketing Campaigns in Instagram

  • Moon, Suyoung;Yoo, Shijin
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.62-77
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    • 2022
  • Seeded marketing campaign (SMC) is a newly created type of marketing activities with the widespread use of social media. Previous research has examined to find out the optimal seeding strategy that yields the best outcome from the campaign. This research explores the relationships between the characteristics of the seeded influencer and user engagement. The data consists of information from 1062 seeded Instagram posts posted in September 2020 in Korea and 778 seeded influencers who posted those contents. Analyzed by negative binomial regression, our quadratic model suggests that the relationship between user engagement and the number of followers of the seeded influencer draws an inverted U-shape, indicating influencers with greater number of followers may not always be the best choice for the marketers. Moreover, this research shows that the negative marginal impact coming from the huge number of followers can be attenuated when the influencer is an expert of the seeded product.

Nutrient Digestibility and Metabolizable Energy Content of Mucuna pruriens Whole Pods Fed to Growing Pelibuey Lambs

  • Loyra-Tzab, Enrique;Sarmiento-Franco, Luis Armando;Sandoval-Castro, Carlos Alfredo;Santos-Ricalde, Ronald Herve
    • Asian-Australasian Journal of Animal Sciences
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    • 제26권7호
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    • pp.981-986
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    • 2013
  • The nutrient digestibility, nitrogen balance and in vivo metabolizable energy supply of Mucuna pruriens whole pods fed to growing Pelibuey lambs was investigated. Eight Pelibuey sheep housed in metabolic crates were fed increasing levels of Mucuna pruriens pods: 0 (control), 100 (Mucuna100), 200 (Mucuna200) and 300 (Mucuna300) g/kg dry matter. A quadratic (p<0.002) effect was observed for dry matter (DM), neutral detergent fibre (aNDF), nitrogen (N) and gross energy (GE) intakes with higher intakes in the Mucuna100 and Mucuna200 treatments. Increasing M. pruriens in the diets had no effect (p>0.05) on DM and GE apparent digestibility (p<0.05). A linear reduction in N digestibility and N retention was observed with increasing mucuna pod level. This effect was accompanied by a quadratic effect (p<0.05) on fecal-N and N-balance which were higher in the Mucuna100 and Mucuna200 treatments. Urine-N excretion, GE retention and dietary estimated nutrient supply (metabolizable protein and metabolizable energy) were not affected (p>0.05). DM, N and GE apparent digestibility coefficient of M. pruriens whole pods obtained through multiple regression equations were 0.692, 0.457, 0.654 respectively. In vivo DE and ME content of mucuna whole pod were estimated in 11.0 and 9.7 MJ/kg DM. It was concluded that whole pods from M. pruriens did not affect nutrient utilization when included in an mixed diet up to 200 g/kg DM. This is the first in vivo estimation of mucuna whole pod ME value for ruminants.

확률론적 베이지언 모델링에 의한 케이블 교량의 복합열화 리스크 평가 및 예측시스템 (The Risk Assessment and Prediction for the Mixed Deterioration in Cable Bridges Using a Stochastic Bayesian Modeling)

  • 조태준;이정배;김성수
    • 한국구조물진단유지관리공학회 논문집
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    • 제16권5호
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    • pp.29-39
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    • 2012
  • 상관관계가 높은 복합열화의 완벽한 개별예측모델의 개발은 매우 어려운 문제로, 본 논문에서는 현수교 시스템의 미래열화와 유지 예산을 예측하기 위하여, 10년간의 유지 데이터가 주어진 매개변수(파손지표와 사용성)의 사후 확률 밀도함수를 찾기 위해 베이지언 추론을 적용하였다. 마르코프 연쇄 몬테카를로법을 이용하여 매개변수의 사후 분포를 조사하였다. 감소한 사용성의 모의위험예측은 사전분포와 연간유지 업무에서 업데이트한 데이터의 가능성에 따라 작성한 사후 분포이다. 기존의 선형 예측 모델과 비교하면, 제안된 2차 모델은 교량부품의 사용성, 위험요소, 그리고 유지 예산의 측정 데이터에 대하여 매우 개선된 수렴성과 근접성을 제공한다. 따라서 제안된 2차 추계학적 회귀 모델을 기반으로 복잡한 사회간접설비의 미래 성능과 유지관리예산을 예측하고 제어할 수 있는 기회를 제공할 것으로 기대한다.

루틴, 퀘르세틴, 식이섬유 혼합물 설계를 이용한 전분소화 지연 효과의 최적화에 대한 융합 연구 (Convergence Study on the Optimization for Suppression of Starch Hydrolysis using Rutin, Quercetin and Dietary Fiber Mixture Design)

  • 오임경;배인영
    • 한국융합학회논문지
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    • 제11권5호
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    • pp.35-41
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    • 2020
  • 본 연구는 루틴, 퀘르세틴, 식이섬유가 전분 소화율에 미치는 영향을 통계적 혼합물 설계방법을 이용하여 확인하고자 하였다. 세 가지 성분들은 모두 농도가 증가함에 따라 전분소화 지연 효과가 나타났으며, 그 중에서도 퀘르세틴과 식이섬유가 함께 섞였을 때 가장 높은 지연 효과를 보였다. 이 혼합물 설계는 simplex-centroid 실험설계법을 이용하였고, 최적 모델은 quadratic 모델에서 나타났다. 이때 얻어진 회귀방정식을 통하여 유의한 상승효과를 확인할 수 있었다. 최적화 통계 방법을 사용하여 혼합비를 분석한 결과 퀘르세틴과 식이섬유가 72: 28 비율에서 전분 소화 지연 효과가 최대로 나타나는 것을 확인하였다. 전분소화에 대한 영향을 3차원 표면 도표로 시각화하여 나타내었으며, 이 결과로 퀘르세틴과 식이섬유의 상호작용으로 인하여 전분 소화를 15% 이상 지연시키는 것을 확인할 수 있었다.