• Title/Summary/Keyword: Public Sales Housing

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An Empirical Study on the Estimate of Rational Real Estate Bubble in Korea (한국 부동산 시장의 합리적 버블 추정에 관한 실증연구)

  • Chun, Hae-Jung
    • Journal of the Economic Geographical Society of Korea
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.147-159
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    • 2014
  • The present study was aimed to estimate the rational bubble by using the state space model and Kalman filter, of the national, capital, non-capital, Gangnam, and Gangbuk regions housing sales price from November 2003 to August 2013, for the whole period, and before and after the global financial crisis. For the whole period, Gangnam marked the highest rational bubble of 25.4%, followed by Gangbuk 21.3%, capital region 20.1%, whole country 18.9%, and non-capital region 14.3%. Prior to the global financial crisis, Gangnam showed 26.7% of bubble, which is approximately 7.4% higher than Gangbuk with 19.3%. On the other hand, after the global financial crisis, the bubble has collapsed a lot with Gangnam 13.2% and Gangbuk 10.7%; however, the non-capital region showed rather an increase of about 15% from 4.2% before the crisis to 9.0% after the crisis. The main cause of this is that the trading price has declined but the rents have risen in the capital region including Gangnam and Gangbuk, while the transaction price has gone up in non-capital region due to various positive signs like the moving of public institutions.

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The study on estimating the coefficients of factors affecting business closure and exploring their geographic variations: The case of Chungnam Province (사업체 폐업 요인의 영향력 추정 및 지역적 편차 탐색에 관한 연구: 충남지역을 사례로)

  • Lee, Gyeong Ju;Im, Jun Hong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.11 no.1
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    • pp.79-86
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    • 2020
  • The number of business closure is one of key indicators diagnosing the status of local economy. The increases in closure are attributed to various endogenous/exogenous factors such as decreases in sales of stores, decline of local market, deterioration of global financial condition, but it is not trivial task to figure out the cause and effect mechanism among variables. The effects of those factors are expected to show geographical variations, which the empirical analysis results in this study presented. As such, the objective of this study is to estimate the effects of variables on increase in the number of business closure and examine the distributional properties of the geographic variations of the effects among spatial units of analysis. To this end, GWR (Geographically Weighted Regression) model was utilized to draw empirical analysis outcomes. It is expected that the outcomes of the sort in this research may be useful in aiding decision-making process of drafting locality-specific policies and/or deciding where to prioritize the limited public resources available.

Relationships between the Housing Market and Auction Market before and after Macroeconomic Fluctuations (거시경제변동 전후 주택시장과 경매시장 간의 관계성 분석)

  • Lee, Young-Hoon;Kim, Jae-Jun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.17 no.6
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    • pp.566-576
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    • 2016
  • It is known that the Real Estate Sales Market and Auction Market are closely interrelated with each other in a variety of respects and the media often mention the real estate auction market as a leading indicator of the real estate market. The purpose of this paper is to analyze the relationships between the housing market and auction market before and after macroeconomic fluctuations using VECM. The period from January 2002 to December 2008, which was before the financial crisis, was set as Model 1 and the period from January 2009 to November 2015, which was after the financial crisis, was set as Model 2. The results are as follows. First, the housing auction market is less sensitive to changes in the housing market than it is to fluctuations in the auction market. This means that changes in the auction market precede fluctuations in the housing market, which shows that the auction market as a trading market is activated. In this respect, public institutions need to realize the importance of the housing auction market and check trends in the housing contract price in the auction market. Also, investors need to ensure that they have expertise in the auction market.

The estimation of selection probability on the preference of unbundled parking system and sales discount rate -targeted for the public apartment residents in Seoul- (공동주택 주차장 분리분양제의 선호 및 분양 할인율에 대한 선택 확률 추정 -서울시 공동주택 입주민을 대상으로-)

  • Chung, Sang-Woon;Rho, Jung-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.587-595
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    • 2017
  • The study examinesthe hindrance factors including various laws and institutions with regard to the Unbundled Parking System (UPS) that has recently attracted the greatest attention as a way to manage traffic demand for sustainable development, efficient utilization of parking spaces, and to overcome the unstable housing market.The direction of improvement of related laws and institutions is also suggested. Its usage is proven by countries such as the United States of America and France, as they have already implemented this institution. To lay the foundation for the introduction of UPS of our own country, a survey on the preference for UPS was conducted. The survey equally divided 300 respondents into three clusters based on the sales price of apartments in Seoul. The analyses revealed that all three clusters have similar preferences (cluster 1: 68%, cluster 2: 62%, cluster 3: 65%) on UPS, and younger groups seem to answer in the affirmative more than the other age groups no matter what cluster they belong to. In conclusion, the results on the estimation of selection probability on the preference of unbundled parking system and sales discount rate are as follow. The groups of non-vehicle users have higher preference on UPS. When the discount rate is 14%, 69%, 77% and 62%ofrespondents would choose unbundled parking system for clusters 1, 2 and 3, respectively (₩6,370,000/PY,₩3,930,000/PY and ₩2,270,000/PY reduce when applying avg. sales price, respectively).

An Exploratory Study on Development Plan of Consumer-centered Cluster Complex in 6th Industry (수요자 중심의 6차산업 특화단지 조성을 위한 탐색적 연구)

  • Lee, Yun-Sang;Ahn, Hyeon
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.33-40
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    • 2018
  • Korea seems to have introduced the legal basis for supporting and revitalizing the 6th industry since about 2010. Problems such as lack of systematic support system, inadequacy of cooperation and cooperation between ministries, and poor efficiency have been raised. Also, there is a lack of information on the designation, development method, participant, and management plan of the 6th industrial complex. In this study, we review prior researches and cases related to the 6th industry and examine how to efficiently create the 6th industry-specific complex by analyzing the requirements of customers for the enterprises, residents, professionals and officials of the metropolitan area and non-metropolitan areas. As a result of the questionnaire survey, some suggestions for the establishment of the 6th industry specialization complex were drawn. First, 77.5% of the total requires a combination of public and mixed use, which can be expected to have positive effects such as sharing development gains with local residents and improving resettlement of local residents. Second, the 6th industrial complex should be harmonized with the 1st, 2nd and 3rd industries. However, unlike the standardized land use plan of existing industrial complex, it is necessary to expand the distribution and sales space to reflect the demand for tertiary industry. It is also necessary to consider measures for securing primary industrial sites or securing primary industrial sites through external procurement. Third, it is necessary to establish and operate a plan reflecting rent and rental demand after leasing for a certain period.

The Factors Affecting the Population Outflow from Busan to the Seoul Metropolitan Area (지역별 수도권으로의 인구유출에 영향을 미치는 요인 연구: 부산시 사례를 중심으로)

  • LIM, Jaebin;Jeong, Kiseong
    • Land and Housing Review
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.47-59
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to review the trends of the population outflows in the metropolitan area of Busan and to investigate the factors that affect population out-migration to the Seoul metropolitan area. The following variables are considered for analysis: traditional population movement variables and quality of life variables, such as population, society, employment, housing, culture, safety, medical care, greenery, education, and childcare. The 'domestic population movement data', provided by the MDIS of the National Statistical Office, was used for this research. Out of the total of 57 million population movement data in the period 2012 - 2017, population outmigration from Busan to the Seoul metropolitan area was extracted. Independent variables were drawn from public data sources in accordance with the temporal and spatial settings of the study. The multiple linear regression model was specified based on the dataset, and the fit of the model was measured by the p-value, and the values of Adjusted R2, Durbin-Watson analysis, and F-statistics. The results of the analysis showed that the variables that have a significant effect on population movement from Busan to the Seoul metropolitan area were as follows: 'single-person households', 'the elderly population', 'the total birth rate', 'the number of companies', 'the number of employees', 'the housing sales price index', 'cultural facilities', and 'the number of students per teacher'. More positive (+) influences of the population out-movement were observed in areas with higher numbers of single-person households, lowers proportions of the elderly, lower numbers of businesses, higher numbers of employees, higher numbers of housing sales, lower numbers of cultural facilities, and lower numbers of students. The findings suggest that policies should enhance the environments such as quality jobs, culture, and welfare that can retain young people within Busan. Improvements in the quality of life and job creation are critical factors that can mitigate the outflows of the Busan residents to the Seoul metropolitan area.

Proposal for Evacuee Guidance of Cloud-based Elevator System in Emergency Situation (클라우드 기반 비상탈출 시 피난유도 승강기시스템 제안)

  • Choi, Jun-Ho;Shin, Seung-Jung
    • The Journal of the Institute of Internet, Broadcasting and Communication
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.25-28
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    • 2015
  • Lifts are used as an essential means of transportation within the building in an emergency situation, when used as a means of escape, so expect a lot of research has been conducted high effect. Number of stories in the Seoul-rise building guidelines underground 7th floor, 53 ground floor, floor area $6,800m^2$, floor area $127,050m^2$, use is cultural and convention facilities and sales facilities, business facilities and accommodation (hotel), the construction of public housing (apartments) hagieneun not efficient to install elevators for evacuation mothada was determined separately in designing the lift is designed according to the standards of passenger lifts installed under a judgment as to use for evacuation. However, this does not include detailed design guidelines so far.[1] We propose the Evacuee Guidance of Elevator System that can be used as entering air equipment, sprinkler and smart phone evacuation system.

Estimating Construction Cost for Small-Sized Apartment Unit (소형공동주택의 적정건축비 추정방안 연구)

  • Lee, Yoo-Seob;Kang, Tae-Kyung;Cho, Hun-Hee;Huh, Young-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.94-104
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    • 2006
  • The changed Korean government law associated with the public apartment housing supply, so called the $^{\circ}{\AE}$Apartment Sales Price $Cap^{\circ}{\phi}$, requires new system for estimating construction cost in order to set appropriate price. A model apartment project was carefully designed and its construction cost were analyzed in many different ways. Based on the analyses outcomes, 1,028,000 Won/m2 (excluding cost for underground parking lot) is the most appropriate Price Cap for a smaller than $85{\beta}{\geq}$ apartment unit. Further, it was revealed that the price have to be adjusted reflecting such factors as underground size; structural system; external complex quality; and consumer preferences. Findings from this study will enable the Korean government to realize faster and better application of the related laws. The methodology for obtaining appropriate apartment construction cost will also benefit for future researchers.

Analysis the Appropriate Schedule for the Installment Payment Amount and Establishment of the Post sale System and Policy in the Apartment Construction (공동주택 건설사업에서 후분양의 제도 및 정책 수립을 위한 분담금 납부 적정시기 분석)

  • Yoon, Inhwan;Bae, Byungyun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.59-65
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    • 2021
  • Since the 2016 "Housing Act Partial Amendment" and the "2018 Housing Comprehensive Amendment Plan", interest in the pre sale system and post sale system of apartment houses has been on the rise. In order to compare the advantages and disadvantages of the pre sale system and the post sale system of apartment houses, and to establish the basis for the institutional policy of the post sale system, a questionnaire survey method was used for tenants of the apartment house from the public side, and issues of time and cost. The time series analysis method is intended to suggest an appropriate time for payment of contributions. Accordingly, through a review of existing theories and literature, the post sale system of public and private institutions was organized, and through a questionnaire survey, the path to securing pre sale money, product information of the model house, and the degree of awareness of the effect of the post sale system were investigated. For the post sale fund support and payment method, it is necessary to increase the commercial line for existing financiers from the user's point of view, and it is necessary to operate in consideration of the economic power of the pre sale market by region. Both 60% post sale and 80% post sale have a price range of up to KRW 10 million, and the total interest rate is 5.0%, and the annual interest rate is about 2.8% for 60% post sale, and about 2.1% for 80% post sale, which is lower than the current 3.1%. I need an interest rate. The research is a perception survey targeting a total of 5,213 households in a sample of after sale apartments in public institutions. As the actual values are analyzed using a time series on the effects of market supply and demand and market prices, there is a limit to applying them to prospective residents of private apartments. In addition, to respond to first time tenants, a questionnaire survey was conducted on five complexes that have moved in within the last five years.

Improvement Plans of Urban Policies for the Realization of a Barrier-Free City (무장애도시 구현을 위한 도시정책 개선방안에 관한 연구)

  • YOON, Jae-Bong;KIM, Ji-Hyeon;OH, Se-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Association of Geographic Information Studies
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.26-40
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    • 2021
  • This study aims to propose improvement plans and directions of existing policies to build a Barrier-Free city for the socially underprivileged. We conducted correlation analysis and T-test based on the results of a survey of the general public including the socially underprivileged to understand how their satisfaction with the use of facilities close to their daily lives, such as housing, sales·business facilities, affects their happiness. The results are as follows: First of all, the socially underprivileged experienced discomfort and barriers in urban life more than the privileged, and there was a negative(-) correlation between the degree of discomfort and barrier that the socially underprivileged experienced and happiness in urban life. Second, as a result of analyzing the difference in satisfaction with the life·welfare·leisure environment indicators, the satisfaction with the life environment showed a significant difference between the socially underprivileged and the privileged, and it was found that satisfaction in the life environment had the greatest effect on happiness to the socially underprivileged. We examined the current status and the spatial distribution of BF-certified facilities, one of the representative policies for the socially underprivileged to support their urban life without any obstacles, based on the above outcome, and most certified facilities were concentrated in welfare environment. In addition, we used ArcGIS to analyze that BF-certified facilities have been being supplied to people who really need them and saw that the spatial distribution of the socially underprivileged (elderly, children, and infant) and the distribution of BF certification facilities were somewhat consistent, but were intensively supplied to urban areas.