• Title/Summary/Keyword: Project Evaluation Model

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EVALUATION OF MINIMUM REVENUE GUARANTEE(MRG) IN BOT PROJECT FINANCE WITH OPTION PRICING THEORY

  • Jae Bum Jun
    • International conference on construction engineering and project management
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    • 2009.05a
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    • pp.800-807
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    • 2009
  • The limited public funds available for infrastructure projects have led governments to consider private entities' participation in long-term contracts for finance, construction, and operation of these projects to share risks and rewards between the public and the private. Because these projects have complicated risk evolutions, diverse contractual forms for each project member to hedge risks involved in a project are necessary. In light of this, Build-Operate-Transfer(BOT) model is considered as effective to accomplish Public Private Partnerships(PPPs) with a characteristic of an ownership-reversion. In BOT projects, the government has used such an incentive system as minimum revenue guarantee(MRG) agreement to attract the private's participation. Although this agreement turns out critical in success of BOT project, there still exist problematic issues in a financial feasibility analysis since the traditional capital budgeting theory, Net Present Value(NPV) analysis, has failed to evaluate the contingent characteristic of MRG agreement. The purpose of this research is to develop real option model based on option pricing theory so as to provide a theoretical framework in valuing MRG agreement in BOT projects. To understand the applicability of the model, the model is applied to the example of the BOT toll road project and the results are compared with that by NPV analysis. Finally, we found that the impact of the MRG agreement is significant on the project value. Hence, the real option model can help the government establish better BOT policies and the developer make appropriate bidding strategies.

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Evaluation of R&D Projects in Electric Power Industry with Efficiency and Effectiveness (전력산업 R&D 프로젝트의 효율성 및 효과성 평가)

  • Park, Sung-Min;Kim, Heon;Baek, Dong-Hyun
    • IE interfaces
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.192-204
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    • 2009
  • Based on the characteristics of 'Korean electric power industry R&D programs', this study proposes a new performance evaluation framework where electric power industry related R&D projects are scrutinized. The abovementioned R&D programs have their own goals and especially they emphasize the effectiveness as well as the efficiency of each subordinate R&D project. Hence, in this framework, a performance evaluation procedure is established and then a mathematical model is developed according to the procedure. The model calculates performance evaluation indices for a set of R&D projects integrating the effectiveness with the efficiency of each R&D project. In a case study with an empirical dataset, statistical significance is tested on the integrated performance evaluation indices of R&D projects regarding organizational types and program categories considered.

A study on a schedule-cost analysis model for defense R&D project planning (국방 R&D프로젝트의 일정-비용분석모델의 연구)

  • 황홍석;류정철;정덕길
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 1996.04a
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    • pp.213-216
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    • 1996
  • R'||'&'||'D project management is a process of decisions concerned with the achievement of goals of objectives. Especially, defense R'||'&'||'D project planning is the key in the successfull management of defense development. The defense project managers are constantly having to perform "what if\ulcorner" exercise, such as what if the project is extended out for an additional cost\ulcorner In this reserch, we developed a schedule-cost analysis model based upon Critical Path Method(CPM) and Venture Evaluation and Review Technique(VERT) for schedule-cost trade off analysis defense R'||'&'||'D projects. In the first step, a deterministic model is developed as a heuristic which deterministic model is developed as a heuristic which determines the schedule extension and reduction cost as a function desired schedule. In the second step, a stochastic network simulation model is developed to analyse the project risk (sucess and failure). The expected time and cost can be determined for desired schedule under the assumptions of stochastic arc data (time and cost) with a various precedence relationships. This model provides the defense R'||'&'||'D managers with an estimated and expected cost for curtailing or extending a project a given amount of time. The effectiveness and efficiency of the proposed methods, a heuristic and stochastic networks simulations, have been demonstrated through examples.

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An option pricing-based model for evaluating privatized infrastructure projects (옵션기반모형을 활용한 민간 사회기반시설 프로젝트 평가 사례: 인천공항철도 민간투자사업)

  • Lee, Sun-Ju;Yoo, Shi-Yong
    • Journal of the Korea Academia-Industrial cooperation Society
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    • v.11 no.4
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    • pp.1442-1448
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    • 2010
  • The evaluation of the financial viability of a privatized infrastructure project is complex because of the uncertainties involved due to the project's scale, long concession period and complexity. Use the BOT option valuation(BOT-OV) model, for evaluating the financial analysis of a privatized infrastructure project. This sophisticated for financial evaluation compared with a traditional NPV analysis.

Development of R&D Project Selection Model and Web-based R&D Project Selection System using Hybrid DEA/AHP Model (DEA/AHP 모형을 이용한 R&D 프로젝트 선정모형 및 Web 기반 R&D 프로젝트 선정시스템 개발)

  • Lee, Deok-Joo;Bae, Sungsik;Kang, Jinsoo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.32 no.1
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    • pp.18-28
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    • 2006
  • Some issues which should be considered in an R&D project selection problem are as follows: First, quantitative analysis on the efficiencies of R&D projects is required to guarantee objective validity in the evaluation of the projects. For this reason, the methodology for selecting R&D projects should be based on mathematical models that perform quantitative analysis. Second, in general there are ordinal factors like Likert-scale in the data for evaluating R&D projects. Previous researches, however, couldn't suggest explicit methods incorporating these ordinal factors into models. Third, for the R&D project selection problems with limited resources like budget, it is necessary to decide the perfect ranking of the all projects. This paper develops a mathematical model that can be applicable to the problems of selecting R&D projects with the previous features. In this paper, we improve the original DEA model for evaluating efficiency to incorporate ordinal factors and suggest a new model which can decide the perfect ranking of all projects by merging the improved DEA model and AHP method. Furthermore a web-based R&D project selection system using the DEA/AHP model suggested in this paper is developed and illustrated.

Development of Engineering Checklist Model for Case-based Evaluation of Plant EPC Project (플랜트사업 설계사례의 체크리스트기반 평가모델에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Sang-Youb;Son, Jae-Ho;You, Young-Hun;Han, Choong-Hee
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.146-152
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    • 2008
  • Since the year of mid 2000, the EPC industry in Korea has the highest amount of orders received due to tremendous need form middle east asia region. However, the quality requirement from the owner is getting critical, which lead to the more competitive engineering capacity equipped. In order to do so, the development of objective and quantitative evaluation model of engineering process is essential. In order to develop the engineering checklist model for case-based evaluation of EPC project, first, the general description of worldwide EPC industry as well as the literature review of prior study have been performed. Then, the survey interview with experts in the engineering area of EPC project was performed In order to Identify the engineering work tasks and the critical check items, which should be checked during engineering process. Based on these checklist, the weights of check items as well as engineering work tasks also have been defined. The developed checklist model evaluated the two EPC project cases of S company in Thailand in order to explore its applicability. From the analysis of evaluation results, it is expected that the continuous implementation of evaluation based on checklist model can help the EPC practitioner check the critical items in engineering process more efficiently and take an appropriate action for better engineering performance, which finally can lead to the Korea EPC industry being more competitive.

A Study on Model for Evaluating ERP Project from Customer and Consulting Firm Perspectives using AHP (AHP를 활용한 고객사와 컨설팅사의 ERP 프로젝트 평가모형 연구)

  • Jeong, Hee-Yeon;Lee, Jonh Hearn
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.241-263
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    • 2006
  • Since 1995 many enterprises have introduced ERP to strengthen competitive power. However, enterprises that have introduced ERP for the first time have experienced various types of problems integrating them; to this day, there are only a few enterprises that have implemented ERP successfully. The main reason for the failures of successful ERP implementing is that enterprises frequently ignore and/or don't know how to systematically evaluate the construction process of ERP and busy finishing a phase without resolving problems before going on to the next phase. This research focused on the implementation process of ERP project to evaluate the process of ERP at each phase. As a result, we propose an evaluation model of ERP project as a tool to find critical problems at each phase and improve on how to resolve the problems found at each phase. This evaluation model makes it possible to introduce ERP successfully by presenting the basis of assessment which will be used by enterprises to minimize the trial and error of construction process of ERP.

A Study on Design of Production System for reducing Production Time in the Small and Medium Business (중소기업에서 생산시간 감소를 위한 생산시스템 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 조석호;양광모;서장훈;강경식
    • Proceedings of the Safety Management and Science Conference
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    • 2003.11a
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    • pp.203-206
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    • 2003
  • Each method for economic evaluation has its own characteristics. Therefore adoption of each of them in evaluation production investment project results in many problems. Hence combination & modification of them are required to perform more accurate evaluation about investment project. This paper discuss evaluation method of investment projects expansion and replacement investment on each line or individual in the production. Generally investment evaluation method has add to a few method by Subsidiary means with use a especial method. And then in this paper, a Taguchi Techniques is presented, which may be effective to the facilities appraisal or improvement. We propose a decision model to incorporates the values assigned by a group of experts on different factors in production. Using this model, SN ratio of taguchi method for each of subjective factors as well as values of weights are used in this comprehensive method for reducing production rate in production management.

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A Study on Robust Design for reducing Production Time (생산시간 감소를 위한 강건 설계에 관한 연구)

  • 양광모;서장훈;송관배
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.147-156
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    • 2003
  • Each method for economic evaluation has its own characteristics. Therefore adoption of each of them in evaluation production investment project results in many problems. Hence combination & modification of them are required to perform more accurate evaluation about investment project. This paper discuss evaluation method of investment projects expansion and replacement investment on each line or individual in the production. Generally investment evaluation method has add to a few method by Subsidiary means with use a especial method. And then in this paper, a Taguchi Techniques is presented, which may be effective to the facilities appraisal or improvement. We propose a decision model to incorporates the values assigned by a group of experts on different factors in production. Using this model, SN ratio of taguchi method for each of subjective factors as well as values of weights are used in this comprehensive method for reducing production rate in production management.

Development of a new Model and Methodology for the Analysis of the Performance Evaluation of G2B Systems in e-government: EEM (전자정부 G2B 시스템의 성과평가 분석을 위한 새로운 평가 모델 및 방법론 개발)

  • Lim, Gyoo-Gun;Lee, Jae-Kyu;Lee, Dae-Chul
    • Information Systems Review
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.269-289
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    • 2008
  • It is very difficult problem to estimate and evaluate the performance of e-government system which scope and size are large and its effectiveness can not be seen shortly but reveals after several years. It is because the previous offline processes can not be transformed to online ones fully and shortly. For such e-transformation cases, the performance evaluation model should be adjusted and modified gradually as time passes. This paper propose new EEM(E-transformation Evaluation Model) model and methodology to evaluate G2B system that is one of large e-government project. EEM model can derive monetary value of e-transformatized business process areas(online areas). It also estimate the expected effect of offline area that is not yet transformed to online. EEM model consists of standard model, verification model and estimation model with some variables such as evaluation year, evaluation area and data type. By using survey data and database data together it can validate the correctness of the model and derive the effect of the system introduction. This paper also propose EEM evaluation methodology consisting of 5 stages and 10 sub processes to evaluate online and offline effect efficiently. To show the usefulness of this study, we evaluate the performance of Korea G2B system named KONEPS which is famous as a successful e-government case in the world by using the proposed model and methodology. The proposed model and methodology can be applied to different similar areas including e-government projects and large scale information system introduction in private sectors. This study can be also used for establishing appropriate policies about e-government project and informatization issues.