• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability tables

검색결과 55건 처리시간 0.026초

다차원 전이확률표를 이용한 이벤트 발생 재현 및 시간 독립적인 예측을 위한 장치 및 방법 (Apparatus and Method for reproducing and forecasting event generation time-independently using multi-dimensional transition probability tables)

  • 최민석;안창원
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회 2015년도 제52차 하계학술대회논문집 23권2호
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    • pp.179-180
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    • 2015
  • 에이전트 기반 마이크로 시뮬레이션에서 많이 사용하는 단순 전이확률(transition probability) 행렬이나 추정된 전이확률함수는 단순화하는 과정에서 정보 손실이 발생하고 복잡한 모델에서 사용할 수 없고 전이확률이 시간에 따라 변화하면 시간 변화를 따르는 별도의 추정이 필요로 한다. 본 연구는 이런 기존 방법의 한계를 해결하기 위하여, 다차원 전이확률표들을 이용해서 이벤트 발생을 결정함으로써 정보 손실을 줄이고 단순 행렬이나 함수로 표현하기 어려운 경우에도 이벤트 발생을 재현하고, 시간 독립적인 전이확률표를 이용해서 이벤트 발생을 결정함으로써 시간 변화를 별도로 추정하지 않고 이벤트 발생을 예측할 수 있는 방법을 제안하는데 있다.

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u 관리도에서 단위당결점수 변화 탐지 (Detection of Changes of Mean Nonconformities per Unit in the u Control Chart)

  • 장경;양문희
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제20권43호
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    • pp.205-209
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    • 1997
  • One objective of the u control chart is to detect changes of mean nonconformities per unit occurred owing to various causes. This paper shows the detection probability using the Poisson distribution for various parameters, that is, subsample size n, mean nonconformities per unit $u_o$, and $u_o's$ change ratio k. We find that (1) as $u_o$ increases the smaller n is required for the same detection probability and the same change ratio; (2) as k gets away from 1 the smaller n is required; (3) the bigger n is required for the bigger detection probability. Several tables are given from our findings and are hoped to be used as guidelines for u chart users.

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Evaluation of a Solar Flare Forecast Model with Cost/Loss Ratio

  • Park, Jongyeob;Moon, Yong-Jae;Lee, Kangjin;Lee, Jaejin
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제40권1호
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    • pp.84.2-84.2
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    • 2015
  • There are probabilistic forecast models for solar flare occurrence, which can be evaluated by various skill scores (e.g. accuracy, critical success index, heidek skill score, true skill score). Since these skill scores assume that two types of forecast errors (i.e. false alarm and miss) are equal or constant, which does not take into account different situations of users, they may be unrealistic. In this study, we make an evaluation of a probabilistic flare forecast model (Lee et al. 2012) which use sunspot groups and its area changes as a proxy of flux emergence. We calculate daily solar flare probabilities from 1996 to 2014 using this model. Overall frequencies are 61.08% (C), 22.83% (M), and 5.44% (X). The maximum probabilities computed by the model are 99.9% (C), 89.39% (M), and 25.45% (X), respectively. The skill scores are computed through contingency tables as a function of forecast probability, which corresponds to the maximum skill score depending on flare class and type of a skill score. For the critical success index widely used, the probability threshold values for contingency tables are 25% (C), 20% (M), and 4% (X). We use a value score with cost/loss ratio, relative importance between the two types of forecast errors. We find that the forecast model has an effective range of cost/loss ratio for each class flare: 0.15-0.83(C), 0.11-0.51(M), and 0.04-0.17(X), also depending on a lifetime of satellite. We expect that this study would provide a guideline to determine the probability threshold for space weather forecast.

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의료영상의 JPEG 압축을 위한 양자화 테이블과 허프만 테이블 설계 (Design of Quantization Tables and Huffman Tables for JPEG Compression of Medical Images)

  • 양시령;정제창;박상규
    • 대한전기학회논문지:시스템및제어부문D
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    • 제53권6호
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    • pp.453-456
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    • 2004
  • Due to the bandwidth and storage limitations medical images are needed to be compressed before transmission and storage. DICOM (Digital Imaging and Communications in Medicine) specification, which is the medical images standard, provides a mechanism for supporting the use of JPEG still image compression standard. In this paper, we explain a method for compressing medical images by PEG standard and propose two methods for JPEG compression. First, because medical images differ from natural images in optical feature, we propose a method to design adaptively the quantization table using spectrum analysis. Second, because medical images have higher pixel depth than natural images do, we propose a method to design Huffman table which considers the probability distribution feature of symbols. Simulation results show the improved performance compared to the quantization table and the adjusted Huffman table of JPEG standard.

대학급식소 작업시설과 환경의 미생물 오염도 분석 및 작업환경 실태조사 (Investigation of Microbial Contamination and Working Environment in University Foodservices)

  • 박순희;문혜경
    • 대한영양사협회학술지
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.180-191
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    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to identity the probability of cross-contamination from the environment. For this, we examined foodservices at 20 universities/colleges for microbiological analysis of their working facilities and environment as well as their preventive equipment against cross-contamination. Seventy percent of the 20 foodservices were found to maintain one unified working area, which suggests high probability of contamination of food/utensils/equipment in the cooking area by pre-preparation or dish washing. According to the microbiological analysis, the hygiene acceptance ratio of working facilities in the clean zone was 70%, which was higher than the average 45% hygiene acceptance ratio of working facilities in the contamination operating zone. There was a significant difference in the total plate count (P<0.001) and coliform count (P<0.01), which demonstrates that work tables in the clean zone were in a good state compared to those in the contamination operating zone. In the contamination operating zone, refrigerator shelves had a high probability of cross-contamination. Regarding the floor surface and airborne microbes, cooking areas which should be maintained as clean zones had higher cross-contamination probability than those in the contamination operating zone. So corrective actions such as cleaning and sanitizing, keeping dry floors, lowered temperature and humidity, shoe disinfecting facilities, and checking concentrations, are necessary to manage floor surfaces and airborne microbes in the cooking area.

Mathematical Models for Hit Probabilities using Small-arms against Fast Low Flying Aircraft

  • Park, Chan-Tae
    • 한국국방경영분석학회지
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.81-117
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    • 1981
  • Mathematical models for hit probabilities of small arms are developed in order to estimate the expected hits on an aircraft for certain altitudes and air speeds. A model for the firing lead angle is developed for cases when the distribution of hits is normal and the firing angle is from 20 degrees to 160 degrees. probabilities of hit for single and multiple shots at various altitudes are calculated. Tables are given showing the probability of hits and kill for targets flying at high speed above 500 feet from ground level.

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Comparison of Several Populations with a Control Involving Folded Normal Distributions

  • Lee, Seung-Ho;Lee, Kang-Sup
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.45-58
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    • 1982
  • The problem of comparing k normal populations with a control (or a standard) in terms of the absolute values of their means is considered. Under the framework of indifference-zone formulation a single-state and a two-stage procedures for selecting the best are proposed, according to their commom vairances known or unknown respectively. The procedures guarantee that the probability of correct selection is not less than some preassigned lower limit. Selected tables necessary to implement the procedures are provided.

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p관리도의 불량률의 변화 탐지 (Detection of Changes of the Population Fraction Nonconforming in the p Control Chart)

  • 장경;양문희
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제25권3호
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    • pp.74-85
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    • 1997
  • In this paper we calculate the subgroup size necessary for detecting the change of percent defective with several detection probabilities for orginal population fraction nonconforming p, changed population fraction nonconforming $p^*$, and the ratio k=$p^*$/p in the usage of p control charts. From our calculation we can know the error level of normal a, pp.oximation in detection probability calculation and recommend the subgroup size with lower error levels of normal a, pp.oximation, and then we show the reasonable subgroup size necessary for p, $p^*$, k, and the detection probability of the change of fraction nonconforming in a process. The information that we here show in tables will be useful when p control chart users decide the subgroup size in the p control chart users decide the subgroup size in the p control chart.

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움직임 보상 기법과 분할 대역 기법을 사용한 동영상 부호화 기법 (An image sequence coding using motion-compensated transform technique based on the sub-band decomposition)

  • 백훈;김인철;이상욱
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.1-16
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    • 1996
  • 본 논문에서는 동영상 부호화를 위하여 움직임 보상기법과 분할 대역 기법을 사용한 MCSBC 부호화 기법을 제안하였다. 또한 MCSBC에 관한 여러가지 문제들, 즉 각 분할 대역에의 움직임 보상 기법에 관한 문제, 각 분할 대역의 DCT 계수에 대한 효율적인 비트 할당등을 다루었다. MCSBC의 효율적인 부호화를 위하여 먼저 원신호에 대역 분할을 수행한 후, 움직임 보상 기법은 저대역의 영상 신호에만 적용하였고, 모든 대역에 이산 여현 변환(DCT)를 적용하였다. DCT가 적용된 블럭들은 각 대역 신호의 특징에 따라 최적화된 주사 방법 및 비트 할당을 사용하여 부호화한다. 이러한 MCSBC 기법은 고화질 TV 용 동영상에 적용하여 모의 실험을 수행하였다. 모의 실험 결과, 제안한 MCSBC 기법은 일반적인 움직임 보상 동영상 부호화 기법에 비하여 약 1.5dB의 성능향상을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Empirical Forecast of Solar Proton Events based on Flare and CME Parameters

  • Park, Jin-Hye;Moon, Yong-Jae
    • 천문학회보
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    • 제36권2호
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    • pp.97.1-97.1
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    • 2011
  • In this study we have examined the probability of solar proton events (SPEs) and their peak fluxes depending on flare (flux, longitude and impulsive time) and CME parameters (linear speed, longitude, and angular width). For this we used the NOAA SPE list and their associated flare data from 1976 to 2006 and CME data from 1997 to 2006. We find that about 3.5% (1.9% for M-class and 21.3% for X-class) of the flares are associated with SPEs. It is also found that this fraction strongly depends on longitude; for example, the fraction for $30W^{\circ}$ < L < $90W^{\circ}$ is about three times larger than that for $30^{\circ}E$ < L < $90^{\circ}E$. The SPE probability with long duration (${\geq}$ 0.3 hours) is about 2 (X-class flare) to 7 (M-class flare) times larger than that for flares with short duration (< 0.3 hours). In case of halo CMEs with V ${\geq}$ 1500km/s, 36.1% are associated with SPEs but in case of partial halo CME ($120^{\circ}$ ${\leq}$ AW < $360^{\circ}$) with 400 km/s ${\leq}$ V < 1000 km/s, only 0.9% are associated with SPEs. The relationships between X-ray flare peak flux and SPE peak flux are strongly dependent on longitude and impulsive time. The relationships between CME speed and SPE peak flux depend on longitude as well as direction parameter. From this study, we suggest a new SPE forecast method with three-steps: (1) SPE occurrence probability prediction according to the probability tables depending on flare and CME parameters, (2) SPE flux prediction from the relationship between SPE flux and flare (or CME) parameters, and (3) SPE peak time.

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