• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability of survival

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A Study on the Reliability and Life of the Ravigneaux Planetry Gear Train (라비니오 유성기어의 신뢰성 및 수명에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, T.H.;Kim, H.S.;Yang, S.M.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Precision Engineering
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    • v.13 no.10
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    • pp.36-45
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    • 1996
  • The precise estimation of the reliability and life of the Ravigneaux planetary gear train used in an automatic transmission is necessary in order to enable accurate material and geometric properties to reliability distrobution and the number of load cycles at failure. These are critical for the proba- bilistic design of complex planetary gear system as Ravigneaux type particularly during various gear ratios. The Ravigneaux planetary gear train has five gears, such as a forward and a reverse sun gear, a short and a long pinion, and an annulus gear. In this paper, the Ravigneaux gear system is analyzed to figure out the reliablity distribution. i.e. the probability of survival in the system without its overhaul. First, the reliablity method based on the Weibull distribution is used in conjuction with the Palmgren's model to predict both the individual reliabilities of its components and the nimber of load cycles when the system failed. Then using the presented method, the life of the Ravigneaux gear system can be determined. Alwo the different design parameters such as tooth face width, material property, and Weibull exponent are applied and reached to optimal ones. Thus, the precise evaluation of the reliability and life of the Ravigneaux planetary gear train used in an automatic transmission can be effectively carried out.

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An Assessment Study for Design Load of a Small Wind Turbine (소형풍력발전기의 설계하중 평가 연구)

  • Hyun, Seung-Gun;Kim, Keon-Hoon;Huh, Jong-Chul
    • 한국태양에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2011.04a
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    • pp.48-53
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    • 2011
  • In this study, it is to verify the applicability for a simplified model(IEC61400-2, Design Require-ments for Small Wind Turbines, 2006-03) is the international standard is used to the structural design. In the design process of a wind turbine, the safety of a designed wind turbine is one of the most important factors. The simplified model can be used to determine the design load for small wind turbines. So, this paper has been re-evaluated a small wind turbine design loads that produced already. As a result, the material characteristic value(Rchar) of Blade, Rotor shaft and the tower are $90E6[N/m^2]$, $441E6[N/m^2]$ and $94E6[N/m^2]$. Therefore, the value of the applied safety factor to each part of the survival probability of 95% are satisfied.

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Long-term clinical results of isolated mitral valve replacement with the Ionescu-Shiley bovine pericardial valve (이오네스큐 판막의 장기 임상성)

  • 김종환
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.212-222
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    • 1984
  • A total of and consecutive 291 patients underwent isolated mitral valve replacement using the Ionescu-Shiley bovine pericardial xenograft valve during the 5-year period between October 1978 and June 1983. Thirty-two patients were the children under 15 years of age. There were 15 deaths within 30 days after surgery [operative mortality, 5.2%]. All early survivors except 6 children were placed on the long-term oral anticoagulation longer than postoperative 3 months. A total follow-up period extended for 398.2 patient-years, and 12 patients died [late mortality, 4.1%, or 3.0%/patient- year]. Ten patients experienced the thromboembolic complication [2.51%/patient-year], occurring in 8 patients within the first 3 postoperative months, and 4 died. Three patients had the late prosthetic valve endocarditis [0.75%/patient-year] and 2 died. The incidence of overall valve failure according to the criteria was 3.01%/patient-year, or 12 patients, and 2 had replacement of the failed bioprostheses [primary tissue failure, 0.5%/patient-year]. The long-term survival rate was 87.8%\ulcorner2.6% at 5 years postoperatively, and 84% of the late survivors were in NYHA Class I at the end of the follow- up. The probability remaining free from thromboembolism and overall valve failure was 89.8%\ulcorner6.3% and 81.2%\ulcorner.8% at 5 years respectively. These clinical results confirm the safety of mitral valve replacement. The only remaining clinical problem is the structural and functional durability of the bovine pericardial xenograft valve, and its use in young patients may be stopped in preference to the mechanical prosthetic valves.

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Lung Cancer Detection by Screening - Presenting Circulating miRNAs as a Promising Next Generation Biomarker Breakthrough

  • Ramshankar, Vijayalakshmi;Krishnamurthy, Arvind
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.2167-2172
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    • 2013
  • Lung cancer remains a major cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, accounting for more deaths than any other cause. All the clinical practice guidelines recommended against routine screening for lung cancer have cited lack of robust evidence, at least until a few years back. However, the potential to screen lung cancers has received renewed interest due to superior performance of low dose CT (LD-CT) in detecting early stage cancers. The incremental costs and risks involved due to the invasive procedures in the screened population due to a high false positivity rate questions the use of LD-CT scan as a reliable community based screening tool. There is therefore an urgent need to find a less invasive and a more reliable biomarker that is crucial to increase the probability of early lung cancer detection. This can truly make a difference in lung cancer survival and at the same time be more cost and resource utilization effective. Sampling blood serum being minimally invasive, low risk and providing an easy to obtain biofluid, needs to be explored for potential biomarkers. This review discusses the use of circulatory miRNAs that have been able to discriminate lung cancer patients from disease free controls. Several studies conducted recently suggest that circulating miRNAs may have promising future applications for screening and early detection of lung cancer.

Assessment of casting parts fatigue life for 3MW offshore wind turbine (3MW 해상풍력발전기 주물품의 내구수명 평가)

  • Roh, Gitae;Kang, Wonhyoung;Lee, Seongchan
    • 한국신재생에너지학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2010.11a
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    • pp.189.2-189.2
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    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is fatigue damage assessment for large sized casting parts (hub and mainframe) of the 3MW offshore wind turbine by computer simulation. Hub and mainframe durability assessment is necessary because wind turbine have to guarantee for 20 years. Fatigue life evaluation must be considered all of fatigue load conditions as the components are wind load transmission path. Palmgren-Miner linear damage accumulation hypothesis is applied for fatigue life estimation with stress-life approach. S-N curve for the spheroid graphite cast iron EN-GJS-400-18-LT is derived according to durability guidelines. Reduction factors were applied for survival probability, surface roughness, material quality and partial safety factor according to Germanischer Lloyd rules. To calculate fatigue damage, stress tensors, extracted from the unity load calculation from ANSYS is multiplied with time track of fatigue loads extracted from GH bladed. Damage accumulation is performed with all of fatigue load conditions at each finite element nodes. In this study maximum nodal damage value is under 1.0. casted parts are safe. This research was financially supported by the Ministry of Knowledge Economy(MKE), Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology(KIAT) and Honam Leading Industry Office through the Leading Industry Development for Economic Region.

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Mechanical Behavior of Steel Pipe Pin-Cups Embedded in Concrete (콘크리트에 매입된 강관 핀컵의 역학적 거동)

  • Jo, Jae Byung;Im, Seok Bean
    • Journal of Korean Society of Steel Construction
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    • v.16 no.5 s.72
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    • pp.705-712
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    • 2004
  • To investigate the mechanical behavior of pin cups created from steel pipes embedded in concrete, test blocks were made and load tests were conducted. The pin was inserted in the pin cup at various depths and was loaded in a lateral direction at a constant displacement speed. A formula, which took into consideration the deformation and failure shapes of the pin cups, observed during and after the tests, was used to estimate its mechanical behavior. The test values were determined to be relevant to the formula and were distributed within a reasonably narrow range. The mean and the 95% survival probability value of maximum resistance were determined by factoring the formula at 1.01 and 0.92, respectively.

Study on Pedestrian Protection device in collision using Pneumatic cylinder and simple link mechanism (공압 실린더 및 단순 링크기구를 이용한 충돌 보행자 보호 장치에 관한 연구)

  • Noh, S.H.;Lee, D.R.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.64-71
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    • 2008
  • This study is on pedestrian protection device using pneumatic cylinder and simple link mechanism when vehicle collide with pedestrian. This study ensured the safety space between engine and hood after it applies to simple link mechanism and pneumatic cylinder. It can absorb the damage which measure the specific device if vehicle collide with pedestrian. Combination of simple link mechanism and pneumatic cylinder was more superior than the present pedestrian protection device. Simple link mechanism could confirm superior height and survival probability than when only cylinder operated. It also ensured enough space between engine and hood. And if a cylinder is not working because of old cylinder, poor repair or damage of accident vertical cylinder would be difficult to execute because there exists the irregular space between engine and hood. If simple link mechanism operates with only one cylinder it could ensure the regular space because simple link mechanism set up at the middle of hood. So this device could confirm high safety for pedestrian.

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Short-term and Intermediate-term Follow-up After Valve Replacement with the St.Jude Medical Prosthesis (St. Jude 기계판막의 단기및 중기 성적)

  • 조범구
    • Journal of Chest Surgery
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.57-65
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    • 1992
  • St.Jude Medical cardiac valve replacement was performed in 322 patients: 191 had mitral, 58 had aortic, 72 had double valve and 3 had tricuspid valve replacement. Motality rate in early period was 2.8%[9 patients]. The most common cause of early death was low cardic output syndrome. Follow up extended from 1 to 90 months[mean: 34 months] in 292 patients among 313 in all surviving patients [93.6%]. There were thrombolic complications in eighteen patients. The probability of free from thromboembolism at 5 yerars in MVR, AVR and DVR were 84.7%, 91.8% and 90.2% respectively. And also, actuarial event free rate at 5 years in MVR, AVR and DVR were 80.1%, 82.2%, and 81.4% respectively. There were fourteen late death during follow up period: six from thromboembolism, one from hemorrhage and the others from non valve related -or unknown complications. The acturial survival rate at 5 years were 93.1% in mitral, 92.1% in aortic and 97.1% in double valve replacement. In conclusion, the performance of the St. Jude Mecanical valve compares most favorably with other artificial valves. But it remains still hazards of mechanical prosthesis such as thromboembolism and anticoagulant related hemorrhage.

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Fountain Code-based Hybrid P2P Storage Cloud (파운틴 코드 기반의 하이브리드 P2P 스토리지 클라우드)

  • Park, Gi Seok;Song, Hwangjun
    • KIISE Transactions on Computing Practices
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.58-63
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    • 2015
  • In this work, we present a novel fountain code-based hybrid P2P storage system that combines cloud storage with P2P storage. The proposed hybrid storage system minimizes data transmission time while guaranteeing high data retrieval and data privacy. In order to guarantee data privacy and storage efficiency, the user transmits encoded data after performing fountain code-based encoding. Also, the proposed algorithm guarantees the user's data retrieval by storing the data while considering each peer's survival probability. The simulation results show that the proposed algorithm enables fast completion of the upload transmission while satisfying the required data retrieval and supporting the privacy of user data under the system parameters.

The Effect of External Radiation Therapy in Management of Malignant Obstructive Jaundice due to Porta Hepatis Metastasis from Stomach Cancer (위암의 간문맥 전이로 발생한 악성 폐쇄성 황달에 대한 외부 방사선치료 효과)

  • Yang, Kwang-Mo;Kim, Joon-Hee;Kim, Chul-Soo;Suh, Hyun-Suk;Kim, Re-Hwe
    • Radiation Oncology Journal
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.339-348
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    • 1995
  • Purpose : Since 1983, authors have conducted a study to evaluate the effect of external radiation therapy and to determine affected factors in management of the patients with malignant obstructive jaundice due to porta hepatis metastasis from stomach cancer. Materials and Methods : Thirty two patients with malignant obstructive jaundice due to porta hepatis metastasis from gastric cancer were presented. We have analysed 23 patients who were treated with external radiation therapy of more than 3000cGy. The radiation dose, disease extent at developement of jaundice, total bilirubin levels before radiation therapy, differentiation of histology, combind treatment, intent of primary surgery, initial stage of gastric cancer were analyzed to determine affected factors in radiation therapy. External radiation therapy was delivered with a daily dose of 180-300cGy, 5 times a week fractionation using 4 MeV linear accelerator. The radiation field included the porta hepatis with tumor mass by the abdominal ultrasonography or CT scan. In twenty three patients received more than 3000cGy, total irradiation dose was ranged from 3000cGy to 5480cGy, median 3770cGy. Among 23 patients, 13 patients were delivered more than equivalant dose of TDF 65(4140cGy/23fx). Results : Among 23 patients, complete, partial and no response were observed in 13, 5, 5 patients, respectively. The median survival for all patients was 5 momths. The significant prolongation of median survival was observed in complete responders(11 months) as compared to partial and no responders(5 months, 5 months respectively) Out of 13 patients with complete response, 6 patients lived more than a year Among 13 patients receiving more than 4140cGy equivalent dose, complete, partial and no response were observed in 10, 2 and 1 patients, respectively. The median survival for all these patients was 9.5 months. The median survival for complete responders(10/13) was 11.5 months. Among 10 patients receiving less than 4140cGy equivalent dose, complete, partial and no response were observed in 3, 3, 4 patients, respetively. The median survival for all these patients was 4.3 months Therefore, the radiation dose affected the results of treatment. For the complete response with prolongation of survival duration, at least 4140cGy equivalant dose should be delivered to porta hepatis. In evaluation of the disease extent, 7 patients of 13 complete responders showed localized disease in porta hepatis or peripancreatic area, but all patients with partial and no response showed wide extensive disease or persistant disease of primary gastric cancer. Therefore. the patients with the localized disease were the higher probability of complete response and long term survival. This study suggested that the radiation dose and the disease extent at developement of jaundice affected in radiation therapy for malignant obstructive jaundice. There were no serious complications related to external radiation therapy. Conclusion : External radiation therapy only could achieve the palliative effect in the patients with malignant obstructive jaundice due to porta hepatis metastasis from stomach cancer. This study suggested that the prolongation of survival duration could be achived in complete responders and radiation dose, extent of disease affected the results of treatment of malignant obstructive jaundice.

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