• 제목/요약/키워드: Probability of exceeding standards

검색결과 4건 처리시간 0.02초

부산지역에서의 PM2.5 기준치 미달성확률 추정 (Estimation of the Probability of Exceeding PM2.5 Standards in Busan)

  • 장재수;정장표
    • 한국대기환경학회지
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    • 제28권6호
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    • pp.697-705
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    • 2012
  • Particulate matter (PM) data collected from the Urban Air Monitoring Network in Busan during the period from 2006 through 2010 were statistically examined and analyzed to estimate the probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ 24 hour and annual standard to be implemented from January $1^{st}$, 2015. For Jangrimdong, Yeonsandong, Kijangeup, and Jwadong where simultaneous measurement of $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ was conducted, the probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ standards was estimated using $PM_{2.5}$ data measured on site. For other areas where there were no measured $PM_{2.5}$ data available, the probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ standards was statistically estimated using $PM_{10}$ measured on site and $PM_{2.5}/PM_{10}$ ratios obtained from the four stations where both $PM_{2.5}$ and $PM_{10}$ were monitored simultaneously. At Jangrimdong, Yeonsandong, Kijangeup, and Jwadong, mean value of annual 99 percentile of 24 hr average $PM_{2.5}$ for 5 years from 2006 through 2010 was 99.3, 74.5. 57.0, and $62.5{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively, and the probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ 24 hr standard was estimated at 100%. For areas where there were no measured $PM_{2.5}$ data available, the estimated probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ 24 hr standard was more than 0.82. Mean value of annual average $PM_{2.5}$ from 2008 through 2010 was 31.7 and $27.6{\mu}g/m^3$ for Jangrimdong and Yeonsandong, respectively, which exceeded $PM_{2.5}$ annual standard of $25{\mu}g/m^3$. Mean value of annual average $PM_{2.5}$ during the same period for Kijangeup and Jwadong was 19.2 and $20.7{\mu}g/m^3$, respectively, which satisfied $PM_{2.5}$ annual standard. For other areas where there were no measured $PM_{2.5}$ data available, the probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ annual standard was more than 0.95 except Taejongdae and Kwangahndong. With $PM_{10}$ and $PM_{2.5}$ data measured at 17 Urban Air Monitoring Stations in Busan, the probability of exceeding $PM_{2.5}$ standards was estimated to be very high for almost all areas. This result indicates that proper measures to mitigate $PM_{2.5}$ in Busan should be investigated and established as soon as possible.

구간단속장비 설치 효과 분석 및 사고예측모형 개발 (A Study on Effectiveness Analysis and Development of an Accident Prediction Model of Point-to-Point Speed Enforcement System)

  • 김다예;이호원;홍경식
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제34권5호
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    • pp.144-152
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    • 2019
  • According to the National Police Agency, point-to-point speed enforcement system is being installed and operated in 97 sections across the country. It is more effective than other enforcement systems in terms of stabilizing the traffic flow and inhibiting the kangaroo effect. But it is only 5.1% of the total enforcement systems. The National Police Agency is also aware that its operation ratio is very low and it is necessary to expand point-to-point speed enforcement system. Hence, this study aims to provide the expansion basis of the point-to-point speed enforcement operation through analysis of the quantitative effects and development the accident prediction model. Firstly, this study analyzed the effectiveness of point-to-point speed enforcement system. Naive before-after study and comparison group method(C-G Method) were used as methodologies of analyzing the effectiveness. The result of using the naive before-after study was significant. Total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 42.15%, 70.64% and 45.30% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 6.92% and 20.50%p respectively. Moreover, using the C-G method total accidents, EPDOs and casualty crashes decreased by 31.35%, 66.62% and 10.04% respectively. And average speed and the ratio of exceeding speed limit decreased by 3.49% and 56.65%p respectively. Secondly, this study developed a prediction model for the probability of casualty crash. It was dependant on factors of traffic volume, ratio of exceeding speed limit, ratio of heavy vehicle, ratio of curve section, and presence of point-to-point speed enforcement. Finally, this study selected the most danger sections to the major highway and evaluated proper installation sections to the recent installation section by applying the accident prediction model. The results of this study are expected to be useful in establishing the installation standards for the point-to-point speed enforcement system.

서울지역 유통한약재의 통계적 품질관리 - 회분, 산불용성회분, 건조감량, 유해중금속을 중심으로 - (Statistical Quality Control of Herbal Drugstuffs Distributed in Seoul Area - Centering around Ash, Acid-insoluble Ash, Loss on Drying and Hazardous Heavy Metals -)

  • 김동규;김복순;한창호;김은주;최병현;박승국
    • 약학회지
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    • 제53권5호
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    • pp.274-280
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    • 2009
  • To survey the status of quality control of major ingredients of 'Ssanghwatang (Oriental medicine used for fatigue)', we analyzed 1,024 samples (9 kinds) of medical herbs to determine amounts of ashes, acid-insoluble ashes, loss on drying that are major elements to ensure basic quality of herbal drugstuffs. After ash analysis, Paeoniae Radix (from China) failed to meet the herbal standard criterion. After yielding Z-score(indicating the probability of exceeding its criterion) Zizyphi Fructus, Zingiberis Rhizoma, Paeoniae Radix, Rehmanniae Radix Preparata became objects of intense quality control (=IQC). Analysis on loss on drying shows Cinnamomi Cortex was unsuitable and was put under the IQC. In case of respective heavy metals, Angelicae Gigantis Radix, Cnidii Rhizoma, Cinnamomi Cortex exceeded the maximum permissible range for Cd. The 3 kinds of sub-standards were put to the IQC. Statistic figures showed a significant correlation (t-test, p<0.01) between country-of-origin and sub-quality rates. Compared to domestic one, imported medicinal herbs were less suitable in regard of acid-insoluble ash, loss on drying and Pb/Hg content. Meanwhile, amounts of Acid-insoluble ash showed positive relation with amounts of Pb (r=0.202) and As (r=0.243) among heavy metals leading to an inference that herbs of which root/rhizome is used for medical purposes attribute its high heavy metal content to the fine earth/sand being stuck to its root stalk.

원자력 발전소 온배수 피해역 산정을 위한 영향지수 시안 (Thermal Index for the Assessment of the Impacted Area by the Thermal Discharge from Nuclear Power Plant in Korea)

  • 노영재
    • 한국해양학회지:바다
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.35-42
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    • 2007
  • 국내 원자력 발전소의 온배수 배출을 둘러싸고 제기된 각 종 수산업 피해 민원이 발생한지도 20년이 가까워 온다. 온배수에 의한 연안환경 및 수산업 피해를 보다 과학적이고 합리적으로 산정하기 위한 지침이 한국 해양학회, 수산학회 공동의 노력으로 마련되었다. 피해역 산정 방안을 보다 합리적으로 마련하기 위하여 기존의 특정 상승온도 기준을 탈피하고 환경과 생태계의 다양한 영향을 포괄적으로 고려할 수 있는 온배수 영향지수를 제안하였다. 이 영향지수는 UNEP(2002)의 권고안에 따른 지침을 수용하고, 현실성과 경제성 및 미래지향적 특성을 갖출 수 있다. 특정 원자력발전소 현장에 적용 가능한 영향지수의 구현을 위하여 예비 실험의 노력이 요구된다.