• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Factor

Search Result 1,015, Processing Time 0.028 seconds

Grandparenting Style and Consumption Behavior of Elderly Consumers for Grandchildren (한국 노인의 조부모역할 유형과 손자녀를 위한 소비행동)

  • Hong, Seung Woo;Choi, Hye Kyong
    • 한국노년학
    • /
    • v.32 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1163-1180
    • /
    • 2012
  • The main purpose of this study is to figure out the spending tendency of elderly consumers for their grandchildren. To this end, a detailed survey was carried out for two months from October 1 to November 30, 2011. The respondents consist of 461 elderly consumers over 60s who have grandchildren in elementary grades. Among the gathered data, relevant information was sorted out, coded, and then turned into statistical figures through SPSS 18.0 program. The outcome of this research is explained in the following three respects. First of all, based upon factor and cluster analysis, the role of grandparents has been divided into three categories, which are a babysitter, a friend and a visitor. Depending on their role, the surveyed elderly have been split into three groups-'Friend Group', 'Formal Visitor Group', 'Attached Group'. Second, to give you an overview of the consumption trend of the three groups, this study has reviewed the expenditure items, spending amount and consumption patterns, and made a list of products and services they purchased for the past one year for their grandchildren. Third, given the probability of wealth transfer to the next generation, there is a compelling need to figure out the purchase pattern of financial products. The elderly have been categorized into those with bank deposits only and those with a mixture of bank deposits and other financial products (insurance, fund, stocks, gold, dollar etc.).

Risk assessment of Staphylococcus aureus infection in ready-to-eat Samgak-Kimbap (즉석섭취 삼각김밥에서의 Staphylococcus aureus 위해평가 연구)

  • Lee, Chae Lim;Kim, Yeon Ho;Ha, Sang-Do;Yoon, Yo Han;Yoon, Ki Sun
    • Korean Journal of Food Science and Technology
    • /
    • v.52 no.6
    • /
    • pp.661-669
    • /
    • 2020
  • Samgak-Kimbap is a popular ready-to-eat (RTE) food at convenience stores, in Korea. Although Samgak-Kimbap is distributed through the cold chain supply system, inappropriate temperature storage conditions prior to consumption are a cause of concern. The objective of this study was to evaluate the risk of Staphylococcus aureus growth in Samgak-Kimbap in the retail market. The prevalence and contamination levels of S. aureus in Samgak-Kimbap (n=170) were monitored, and the predictive growth model of a five-strain cocktail of enterotoxin-producing S. aureus (SEA, SEB, SEC, SED, and SEE) was developed in Samgak-Kimbap as a function of temperature (4, 10, 11, 20, 25, and 37℃). We could not observe the growth of S. aureus and enterotoxin-producing S. aureus in Samgak-Kimbap at temperatures below 10℃. The probability of illness with S. aureus per serving of Samgak-Kimbap was 1.44×10-10 per day. The most influential factor in increasing the risk of foodborne illnesses was the contamination level of S. aureus in Samgak-Kimbap.

Conservativeness of Response Displacement Method used in Seismic Response Analysis of Power Cable Tunnels (전력구의 지진응답해석법에 사용되는 응답변위법의 보수성 평가)

  • Lim, Jae-Sung;Yang, Dae-Seung;Hwang, Kyeong-Min;Kim, Jae-Min
    • Journal of the Computational Structural Engineering Institute of Korea
    • /
    • v.34 no.4
    • /
    • pp.243-254
    • /
    • 2021
  • In this study, the conservatism of the response displacement method (RDM) for the seismic response analysis of box-shaped power cable tunnels was evaluated. A total of 50 examples were used considering the cross-sections of 25 power cable tunnels and two soil conditions for each power cable tunnel. The following three methods were applied for the analysis by the RDM: (1) single cosine method, (2) double cosine method, and (3) dynamic free-field analysis method. A refined dynamic analysis method considering soil-structure interaction (SSI) was employed to compare the conservatism of the RDM. The double cosine method demonstrated the most conservative result, while the dynamic free-field analysis method yielded the least deviation. The soil stiffness reduction factor, C, for the double cosine method was recommended to be 0.9 and 0.7 for the operational performance and collapse prevention levels, respectively, to ensure a probability of at least 80% that the member force by the RDM is larger than that of dynamic SSI analysis.

Pohang City Fire Vulnerable Area Prediction and Fire Damage Rating Measurement by Administrative District (포항시 화재 취약지역 예측 및 이에 따른 행정구역별 화재 피해 등급 측정)

  • Lim, Jung-Hoon;Kim, Heon-Joo
    • The Journal of the Korea Contents Association
    • /
    • v.21 no.4
    • /
    • pp.166-176
    • /
    • 2021
  • Due to urbanization and industrialization, the importance of large-scale fire prevention, management and measures is increasing day by day. However, the fire site arrival rate in Golden Time, which is a factor that can minimize large-scale fire damage, of Pohang, a large city with a population of over 500,000, is relatively low. So additional fire fighting power deployment and infrastructure investment are required. However, as budget and manpower are limited, it is necessary to selectively deploy fire fighting power and invest in infrastructure. Therefore, this study attempted to present a fire damage rating that can compare the level of fire damage, which is an index that can help selectively provide fire fighting services in Pohang and make related decisions. For the index, the OD cost matrix was used to predict fire vulnerable areas with a high probability of increasing the fire scale in the event of a fire. Also fire damage was measured by predicting the level of fire damage in the event of a fire according to population, building density, and access of fire trucks. It is expected that the fire damage rating will be able to help in various decisions related to fire fighting service deployment and services not only in Pohang city, but also in other regions.

The Relationship among Localized Marketing, Brand Image, and Customer's Intention to Revisit of Korean Restaurant Franchises: Focused on Beijing, China (한식당 프랜차이즈 기업의 현지화 마케팅과 브랜드 이미지, 고객 재방문의도와의 관계: 중국 베이징 지역을 중심으로)

  • JUNG, Sung Mok;LEE, Il Han
    • The Korean Journal of Franchise Management
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.1-15
    • /
    • 2022
  • Purpose: The globalization of the Korean restaurant franchise industry differs from the business performance of enhancing the brand image and customers' intention to revisit depending on the degree of localization marketing. Therefore, it is necessary to consider the extent to which the localization marketing activities of overseas Korean restaurant franchise companies affect the customer's perception. This study aims to investigate the effects of localization marketing (Localized Menu, Localized Price, Localized Service Experience, Localized Promotion, Localized Physical Environment) of Korean restaurant franchise companies on customer revisit intention. Research design, data, and methodology: For this study, 150 questionnaires using local Korean restaurants in Beijing, China, were analyzed using SPSS Ver.21 and AMOS Ver.22. Result: It was confirmed that the localized menu, localized service experience, and localized physical environment all affect the intention to revisit customers. Based on these verification results, if overseas franchises fully recognize localization marketing, which is an important factor for local business success, and establish localization strategies, they can gain an edge in competition with local Korean restaurants or restaurant franchises founded by locals. There may be a higher probability that However, it was found that localization price and localization promotion had no mediating effect of brand image between revisit intention and revisit intention. It was found that it had no effect on the degree of inquiry and had a negative effect. Conclusions: Due to the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic, there have been many changes in the domestic and overseas food service industry over the past two years. Therefore, in future research, it is necessary to study the localization of overseas Korean restaurant franchise companies that are more multidimensionally subdivided. Various measures of customized localization marketing for optimal regional characteristics should be developed and applied to enhance customer revisiting and brand image of Korean restaurant franchise companies entering overseas. In the future, this study will be meaningful data for the establishment of localization marketing (Localized Menu, Localized Price, Localized Service Experience, Localized Promotion, Localized Physical Environment) strategies for Korean restaurant franchise companies that consider overseas expansion or have already entered.

Analysis of Characteristics of the Cancelled Districts of Housing Redevelopment Project - Focusing on Decision Tree Analysis - (재정비사업 해제구역 의사결정 특성 연구 - 의사결정나무기법 중심으로 -)

  • Lee, Do-Ghil
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
    • /
    • v.37 no.4
    • /
    • pp.49-59
    • /
    • 2021
  • This study aims to identify the characteristics of the cancelled districts of housing redevelopment and housing reconstruction project. The subject of this study is 189 project districts(121 promoted districts, 68 cancelled districts). Both 121 promoted districts and 68 cancelled districts were analyzed by Decision Tree Analysis. The first separation of the release zone influencing factors was made by the Development Actors. In other words, the most important independent variable for determining the release zone influence factor was shown to be the presence or absence of propulsion actors. Of the 89 districts without propellers, 41 were lifted and 48 were promoted, and 9 out of 100 districts with propellers were lifted and 91 were promoted. The second separation of the impact factors on the zone was then made by Land Owners, and the probability of cancellation increased if the number of landowners was less than 468 and 37 out of 62 were removed. On the other hand, four out of 27 districts with more than 468 landowners were lifted and 23 districts were promoted. The third separation was made by the Average Land Assessment, and 35 zones were lifted below the standard of KRW 269.64 million/m2 approximately KRW 8.91 million per pyeong, and two zones were lifted at higher official prices. In the second division, the number of landowners was 468 or more, and in node4, four areas were removed from areas with a public land area ratio of 29.43% or more, and no areas less were released. This study used SPSS Statistics 26 S/W for analysis.

Analysis of connectedness Between Energy Price, Tanker Freight Index, and Uncertainty (에너지 가격, 탱커운임지수, 불확실성 사이의 연계성 분석)

  • Kim, BuKwon;Yoon, Seong-Min
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.38 no.4
    • /
    • pp.87-106
    • /
    • 2022
  • Uncertainties in the energy market are increasing due to technology developments (shale revolution), trade wars, COVID-19, and the Russia-Ukraine war. Especially, since 2020, the risk of international trade in the energy market has increased significantly due to changes in the supply chain of transportation and due to prolonged demand reduction because of COVID-19 and the Russian-Ukraine war. Considering these points, this study analyzed connectedness between energy price, tanker index, and uncertainty to understand the connectedness between international trade in the energy market. Main results are summarized as follows. First, as a result of analyzing stable period and unstable period of the energy price model using the MS-VAR model, it was confirmed that both the crude oil market model and the natural gas market model had a higher probability of maintaining stable period than unstable period, increasing volatility by specific events. Second, looking at the results of the analysis of the connectedness between stable period and unstable period of the energy market, it was confirmed that in the case of total connectedness, connectedness between variables was increased in the unstable period compared to the stable period. In the case of the energy market stable period, considering the degree of connectedness, it was confirmed that the effect of the tanker freight index, which represents the demand-side factor, was significant. Third, unstable period of the natural gas market model increases rapidly compared to the crude oil market model, indicating that the volatility spillover effect of the natural gas market is greater when uncertainties affecting energy prices increase compared to the crude oil market.

The Effect of Smart Safety and Health Activities on Workers' Intended Behavior (스마트 안전보건활동이 근로자의 의도된 행동에 미치는 영향)

  • Choonhwan Cho
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.519-531
    • /
    • 2023
  • With the aim of preventing safety accidents at construction sites, the company aims to create safe behaviors intended through variables called smart safety and health activities to help reduce industrial accidents. Purpose: It analyzes how smart safety and health activities affect accidents caused by unsafe behavior and changes in worker behavior, which is the root cause, and verifies the hypothesis that it helps prevent safety accidents and protect workers' lives. Method: Smart safety and health activities were selected as independent variables (X), and intended safety and anxiety, which are workers' behavioral intentions, were set as dependent variables (Y), attitude and subjective norms, and planned behavioral control as parameters (M). Exploratory factor analysis, discriminant validity analysis, and intensive validity analysis of safety and health activities were used to analyze the scale's reliability and validity. To verify the hypothesis of behavior change, the study was verified through Bayesian model analysis and MC simulation's probability density distribution. Result: It was found that workers who experienced smart safety and health activities at construction sites had the highest analysis of reducing unstable behavior and performing intended safety behavior. The research hypothesis that this will affect changes in worker behavior has been proven, the correlation between variables has been verified in the structural equation and path analysis of the research analysis, and it has been confirmed that smart safety and health activities can control and reduce worker instability. Conclusion: Smart safety and health activities are a very important item to prevent accidents and change workers' behavior at construction sites.

Comparison of Genome-wide Association Study (GWAS) Algorithms for Detecting Genetic Variants Associated with Growth Traits in Olive Flounder Paralichthys olivaceus (넙치(Paralichthys olivaceus)의 성장형질 연관 유전자 변이 탐색을 위한 전장유전체연관분석(GWAS) 알고리즘 비교 분석 연구)

  • Sangwon Yoon;Heegun Lee;Jong-Won Park;Minhwan Jeong;Dain Lee;Hyo Sun Jung;Julan Kim;Hye-Rim Yang;Seung Hwan Lee;Jeong-Ho Lee
    • Korean Journal of Fisheries and Aquatic Sciences
    • /
    • v.56 no.4
    • /
    • pp.411-418
    • /
    • 2023
  • Genome wide association studies (GWAS) identify genetic loci associated with quantitative traits in genomic selection. Although several studies have compared performance of various algorithms, no study compares them in olive flounder Paralichthys olivaceus. This study compared the GWAS results of four mixed linear model (MLM) algorithms and one Fixed and random model Circulating Probability Unification (FarmCPU) algorithm in olive flounder. Considering gender and genetic association matrices as fixed and random effects, the MLM had stable performance without inflation for λGC (genomic inflation factor) of -log10P. The FarmCPU algorithm had some appropriate λGC of -log10P, and an upward tail was identified in quantile-quantile plots. Therefore, the models were suitable for detecting genetic variants associated with olive flounder growth traits. Moreover, significant genotypes appeared several times at chromosome 22, around which quantitative trait loci are expected to exist. Finally, in both models, some of the most genetic variants were found in genes related to growth traits, confirming their reliability. These results will be helpful when applied to the genomic selection of olive flounder growth traits in the future.

Estimation Method of Key Block Size on a Large Scale Rock Slope by Simulation of 3-D Rock Joint System (3차원 절리계 모사를 통한 대규모 암반비탈면 파괴블록크기 추정방법)

  • Kim, Dong-Hee;Jung, Hyuk-Il;Kim, Seok-Ki;Lee, Woo-Jin;Ryu, Dong-Woo
    • Journal of the Korean Geotechnical Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.10
    • /
    • pp.97-107
    • /
    • 2007
  • Accurate evaluation of the slope stability by assuming failure block as the entire slope is considered to be apposite for the small scale slope, whereas it is not the case for the large scale slope. Hence, appropriate estimation of a failure block size is required since the safety factor and the joint strength parameters are the function of the failure block size. In this paper, the size of failure block was investigated by generating 3-dimensional rock joint system based on statistical data of joints obtained from research slope, such as joint orientation, spacing and 3-dimensional joint intensity. The result indicates that 33 potential failure blocks exist in research slope, as large as 1.4 meters at least and 38.7 meters at most, and average block height is 15.2 meters. In addition, the data obtained from 3 dimensional joint system were directly applicable to the probability analysis and 2 and 3 dimensional discontinuity analysis.