• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probability Factor

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A study on the vessel traffic safety assessment of Busan Harbor (부산항내 선박통항 안전성 평가에 관한 연구)

  • KIM, Won-Ouk;KIM, Dae-Hee;KIM, Seok-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Fisheries and Ocean Technology
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    • v.53 no.4
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    • pp.423-429
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    • 2017
  • As invigoration plan of the marine tourism, Busan City has the plan to operate the cruise ship inside of the harbor, but the area has narrow water way with heavy traffic. As a result it is requested to evaluate the safety for the preparation of actual navigation. In this study, the Ship Handling Simulation (SHS) Assessment was conducted, which is regulated by the Maritime Traffic Safety Audit Scheme (MTSAS) in compliance with the Marine Safety Law and the Maritime Traffic Risk Assessment System based on the Electronic Chart Display and Information System (ECDIS). The proximity assessment, control assessment and subjective assessment were implemented, which is enacted by the Marine Safety Law by using the SHS. In the case of proximity assessment, the probability of trespass was not analyzed. As the control assessment, the swept path was measured at 11.7 m and 11.5 m for port entry and port departure respectively, which exceeded the width of the model vessel, 10.4 m over; it was considered as a marginal factor. As a result of the subjective evaluation of the navigator, there would be no difficulty on ship maneuvering by paying particular attention to the mooring vessel nearby the Busan Bridge and Yeongdo Bridge as well as the coming vessel from the invisible sea area when the vessel is entering and departing the port. The Marine Traffic Risk Assessment System analyzed as [Cautious] level until the vessel passed the Busan bridge and the curved area at 5 kts and it became to [Dangerous] level from where it left 75 m to the Busan Bridge. When the vessel passed the Busan Bridge and the curved area at 10 kts and entered the narrow area, it indicated the [Dangerous] level and became to [Very dangerous] level from where it left 410 m to the Busan bridge. In conclusion, the vessel should maintain at the speed of 5 kts to reduce the risk when it passes this area.

Development of Update Methods for Configuration Data of NETCONF Protocol considering Multiple Network Administrators (다수 네트워크 관리자를 고려한 NETCONF 프로토콜의 설정 데이터 갱신 기법 개발)

  • Lee, Yang-Min;Cha, Mi-Yang;Lee, Jae-Kee
    • Journal of Internet Computing and Services
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.27-38
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    • 2013
  • Currently a number of managers exist to manage heterogeneous networks, in this situation, the NETCONF protocol for efficient network management has been proposed as a new protocol. However, the standard NETCONF protocol stack continuous improvement since the establishment but in four layers still have some problems. Especially in situations where there are multiple administrators, problems are more highlighted in operation layer. In this paper, we focus on these issues and the Operation layer has improved the efficiency and flexibility of operations among NETCONF four layers. Additionally, for the inefficiency of updates improved the device settings based on improved operation techniques. In addition, standard protocol NETCONF did not proposed content layer data structure and we propose standard technique of content layer that can generate configuration structure of devices. Improved the three techniques are applied appropriately to the NETCONF, the proposed method and the existing NETCONF was performed experiment to compare with experimental four factors. Compare key factor are four kind as maintaining the probability of network function, the reaction performance about command, the number of control packets, performance of data creation in content layer. Such factors after performing the experiment, the proposed method in this paper is superior to the existing NETCONF and there was confirmed by analysis Experimental results.

Density Effect and Diversity of Fish in Water System at Both Reservoirs in the Youngsan-ri, Goseong-gun (고성군 용산리의 두 저수 수계에서 어류의 다양성과 밀도 효과)

  • Huh, Man Kyu;Choi, Byoung-Ki
    • Journal of Life Science
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.533-538
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    • 2015
  • Four sites and one site were used to analyze fish diversity at the water systems of the Sineun reservoir and the Jeonchon reservoir, respectively. The field experiments were conducted to test the density dependence that could lead to population regulation by artificial inferences and environmental changes. We examined the effects of environmental factors on fish densities using SMATR freeware. It was estimated to be reduced to the density effect at four sites in 2012. Shannon-Weaver indices of the diversity (H’) of the Sineun reservoir were similar to those of the Jeonchon reservoir. Species diversity was in a range of 0.645 to 2.105. The H’ value of the upper region was higher than those of middle and low regions were, and values of richness were lower in downstream than upstream. Using the maximum likelihood solution for the removal estimators of two low regions of the river stations, the estimated migration probabilities from the resident fish to the migrated fish for five species (Cyprinus cuvieri, Carassius auratus, Pseudorasbora parva, Misgurnus mizolepis, and Oryzias latipes) had a mean of 0.623. Especially, migration probabilities from the Jeonchon reservoir to the Sineun reservoir for five species were high (a mean of 0.681). The period of migration was suggested to be about one month because of short geographical distances (50 m). We found no significant difference between the three categories in the distribution of the other four species, indicating the species probability was similar among stations.

The Acclerated Life Test of Hard Disk In The Environment of PACS (PACS 환경에서 하드디스크의 가속 수명시험)

  • Cho, Euy-Hyun;Park, Jeong-Kyu;Chae, Jong-Gyu
    • Journal of Digital Contents Society
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    • v.16 no.1
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2015
  • In this paper, we estimate the life cycle from acceleration life test about the hard disk of disk array of image storage of PACS. Webuil distribution was selected by the Anderson-Darling goodness-of-fit test with data of down time at $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$. The equality test of shape parameter and scale parameter was conducted, so that the probability distribution estimated from data of down time at $50^{\circ}C$ and $60^{\circ}C$ was not statistically significant. The shape parameter was 1.0409, The characteristic life was 24603.5 hours at normal user condition($30^{\circ}C$) by the analysis of weibull-arrhenius modeling which included the acceleration factor of temperature, and The activation energy was 0.5011 eV through arrhenius modeling. The failure analysis of the failure samples of acceleration test and the samples of market return was conducted, so that the share percentage of failure mode was detail difference but the rank of share percentage was almost same. This study suggest the test procedure of acceleration test of hard disk drive in PACS using environment, and help the life estimation at manufacture and use.

Health Risk Assessment of Disinfection By-products by Chlorination in Tap Water Ingestion (수도수중 염소 소독부산물로 인한 건강위해성 평가에 관한 연구 - 서울시 수도수중 Trihalomethanes 및 Haloaceticnitriles을 중심으로 -)

  • Chung, Yong;Shin, Dong-Chun;Yang, Ji-Yeon;Park, Yeon-Shin;Kim, Jun-Sung
    • Environmental Analysis Health and Toxicology
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    • v.12 no.3_4
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    • pp.31-41
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    • 1997
  • Public concerns about hazardous health effect from the exposure to organic by-products of the chlorination have been increased. There are numerous studies reporting that chlorination of drinking water produces numerous chlorinated organic by-products including THMs, HAAs, HANs. Some of these products are known to be animal carcinogens. The purpose of this study was to estimate health risk of DBPs by chlorinated drinking water ingestion in Seoul based on methodologies that have been developed for conducting risk assessment of complex-chemical-mixture. The drinking water sample was collected seperately at six water treatment plant in Seoul at March, April, 1996. In tap water of households in Seoul, DBPs were measured wilfh the mean value of 36.6 $\mu$g/L. Risk assessment processes,. which include processes for the estimation of human cancer potency using animal bioassay data and calculation of human exposure, entail uncertainties. In the exposure assessment process, exposure scenarios with various assumptions could affect the exposure amount and excess cancer risk. The reference dose of haloacetonitriles was estimated to be 0.0023 mg/kg/day by applying dibromoacetonitrile NOAEL and uncertainty factor to the mean concentration. In the first case, human excess cancer risk was estimated by the US EPA method used to set the MCL (maximum contaminant level). In the second and third case, the risk was estimated for multi-route exposure with and without adopting Monte-Carlo simulation, respectively. In the second case, exposure input parameters and cancer potencies used probability distributions, and in the third case, those values used point estimates (mean, and maximum or 95% upper-bound value). As a result, while the excess cancer risk estimated by US EPA method considering only direct ingestion tended to be underestimated, the risk which was estimated by considering multi-route exposure without Monte-Carlo simulation and then using the maximum or 95% upper-bound value as input parameters tended to be overestimated. In risk assessment for Trihalomethanes, considering multi-route exposure with adopting Monte-Carlo analysis seems to provide the most reasonable estimations.

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Performance Analysis of AAL2 Packet Dropping Algorithm using PDV on Virtual Buffer (PDV를 이용한 가상 버퍼상의 AAL2 패킷 폐기 알고리즘과 성능분석)

  • Jeong, Da-Wi;Jo, Yeong-Jong
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea TC
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    • v.39 no.1
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    • pp.20-33
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    • 2002
  • Usage of ATM AAL2 packets becomes dominant to increase transmission efficiency of voice traffic in the backbone network. In case of voice service that uses AAL2 mechanism, if resources of network are enough, connection of new call is accepted. However, due to packets generated by the new call, transmission delay of packets from old calls can increase sharply. To control this behavior, in this paper we present an AAL2 buffer management scheme that allocates a virtual buffer to each call and after calculating its propagation delay variation(PDV), decides to drop packets coming from each call according to the PDV value. We show that this packet dropping algorithm can effectively prevent abrupt QoS degradation of old calls. To do this, we analyze AAL2 packet composition process to find a critical factor in the process that influences the end-to-end delay behavior and model the process by K-policy M/D/1 queueing system and MIN(K, Tc)-policy M/D/1 queueing system. From the mathematical model, we derive the probability generating function of AAL2 packets in the buffer and mean waiting time of packets in the AAL2 buffer. Analytical results show that the AAL2 packet dropping algorithm can provide stable AAL2 packetization delay and ATM cell generation time even if the number of voice sources increases dramatically. Finally we compare the analytical result to simulation data obtained by using the COMNET Ⅲ package.

A Convergence Study about Factors Affecting New Nurses Personnel Turnover (신규간호사 이직의 영향요인에 관한 융합연구)

  • Jeong, Jeong-Hee;Choi, Mihyang;Kim, Eungyeong;Kim, Young-Hae
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 2018
  • The purpose of this study was to determine factors affecting new nurses turnover in Korea. The participants in this study were 227 new nurses who has been working or turnover less than 12 months in fifteen hospitals in B and Y city. Data were collected with structured questionnaires to investigate the socio-demographics characteristics and turnover-related factors, and analyzed using $x^2-test$, Fisher's exact test, independent sample t-test, logistic regression with the SPSS win version 18.0 program. The significant factors affecting turnover were age over 26 years(OR=4.00, CI=2.02-7.91), married(OR=6.30, CI=1.21-32.79). On the other hand, mentoring(OR=0.96, CI=0.94-0.99) lowered the probability of turnover. To reduce turnover of new nurses, we need to give special consideration for age of over 26 years and married nurses. Also, there is a need to develop an individualized mentor program.

A study of Tumor Angiogenesis in Human Lung Cancer by Immunohistochemical Stain (Human Lung Cancer에서 면역세포화학적 방법을 이용한 Tumor Angiogenesis에 관한 연구)

  • Cheon, Seon Hee;Kim, Sung Sook;Rha, Sun Young;Chung, Hyun Cheol
    • Tuberculosis and Respiratory Diseases
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.894-902
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    • 1996
  • Background : Tumor angiogenesis is the growth of new vessels toward and within tumor. It has been demonstrated that the growth of tumor beyond a certain size requires angiogenesis and it is closely involved in tumor progression and metastasis. The finding that intensity of neovascularization correlates independently with metastasis may lead to identification of patients in whom radical surgery should be supplemented by systemic treatment. Method : We have collected paraffin blocks of bronchoscopic biopsy of patients with non-small cell lung cancer. We highlighted the vessel by staining endothelial cell with JC70 monoclonal antibody(to CD31) immunohistochemically and counted microvessels under 200 X field using light microscopy. Results : 1) The mean microvessel count was $32.7{\pm}20.8$ (9-96) in total 29 cases. 2) There were no correlations between microvessel counts and pathologic cell type, T staging, node melastasis(N) and hematogenous metastasis(M) (p>0.05). 3) The median follow-up duration was 15 months(2-46) and there was no correlation between the microvessel counts and survival rate of lung cancer patients (p>0.05). Conclusion : Tumor angiogenesis seems to be an important prognostic factor suggesting the probability of metastasis. But the microvessel count in the bronchoscopic biopsy specimen was inadequate and very limited. There has been no data about angiogenesis of lung cancer in korea yet So the study of tumor angiogenesis using resected lung tumor specimen would be demanded.

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Radiological Characterization of the High-sensitivity MOSFET Dosimeter (고감도 MOSFET 선량계 방사선학적 특성 연구)

  • Cho Sung Koo;Kim Chan-Hyeong
    • Progress in Medical Physics
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.215-219
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    • 2004
  • Due to their excellence for the high-energy therapy range of photon beams, researchers show increasing interest in applying MOSFET dosimeters to low- and medium-energy applications. In this energy range, however, MOSFET dosimeter is complicated by the fact that the interaction probability of photons shows significant dependence on the atomic number, Z, due to photoelectric effect. The objective of this study is to develop a very detailed 3-dimensional Monte Carlo simulation model of a MOSFET dosimeter for radiological characterizations and calibrations. The sensitive volume of the High-Sensitivity MOSFET dosimeter is very thin (1 ${\mu}{\textrm}{m}$) and the standard MCNP tallies do not accurately determine absorbed dose to the sensitive volume. Therefore, we need to score the energy deposition directly from electrons. The developed model was then used to study various radiological characteristics of the MOSFET dosimeter. the energy dependence was quantified for the energy range 15 keV to 6 MeV; finding maximum dependence of 6.6 at about 40 keV. A commercial computer code, Sabrina, was used to read the particle track information from an MCNP simulation and count the tracks of simulated electrons. The MOSFET dosimeter estimated the calibration factor by 1.16 when the dosimeter was at 15 cm depth in tissue phantom for 662 keV incident photons. Our results showed that the MOSFET dosimeter estimated by 1.11 for 1.25 MeV photons for the same condition.

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Analysis of Factors Hindering Learners' Participation in Cyber Home Study in Elementary Education (초등교육에서 사이버가정학습 참여 저해요인 분석)

  • Shin, Hyeon-Jeong;Kim, Sung-Wan
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate the factors that influence elementary school learners' participation in cyber home study, and to suggest possible solutions to problem of the participation rates. To identify the factors, we analyzed the literature and developed a questionnaire consisting of 8 possible factors and 33 items. Data gathered from 429 elementary school learners were analyzed in a logistic regression model, which was utilized to determine the probability of the learner's participation in cyber home study because of any of the identified variables. We studied the following variables: problem from learning motivation & attitude, burden from computer, difficulty of new learning method, problem from instructional design, difficulty of interaction, problem from screen design, and problem from learning environment. The results indicated that two factors were important: burden from computer, difficulty of new learning method. That is to say, having a low level of burden of computer and difficulty of new learning method helps improve the rate of elementary school learners' participation in cyber home study.