• Title/Summary/Keyword: Probabilistic methods

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Music Identification Using Pitch Histogram and MFCC-VQ Dynamic Pattern (피치 히스토그램과 MFCC-VQ 동적 패턴을 사용한 음악 검색)

  • Park Chuleui;Park Mansoo;Kim Sungtak;Kim Hoirin
    • The Journal of the Acoustical Society of Korea
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.178-185
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    • 2005
  • This paper presents a new music identification method using probabilistic and dynamic characteristics of melody. The propo3ed method uses pitch and MFCC parameters as feature vectors for the characteristics of music notes and represents melody pattern by pitch histogram and temporal sequence of codeword indices. We also propose a new pattern matching method for the hybrid method. We have tested the proposed algorithm in small (drama OST) and broad (1.005 popular songs) search spaces. The experimental results on search areas of OST and 1,005 popular songs showed better performance of the proposed method over conventional methods. We achieved the performance improvement of average $9.9\%$ and $10.2\%$ in error reduction rate on each search area.

The Evaluation of Non-Destructive Formulas on Compressive Strength Using the Reliability Based on Probability (확률 기반의 신뢰도를 이용한 비파괴 압축강도 추정식 평가)

  • Park, Jin-Woo;Choo, Jin-Ho;Park, Gwang-Rim;Hwang, In-Baek;Shin, Yong-Suk
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.25-34
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    • 2015
  • Proposed equation is used many time in calculation of concrete compressive strength using the non-destructive testing at precision safety diagnosis. Most of proposed equation is suggested in abroad and have an error to estimate concrete compressive strength in the domestic. Therefor, proposed equation is low reliability to estimate concrete compressive and it has a significant effect in reliability of precision safety diagnosis. Nevertheless, It is possible to increase the reliability through a number of experiments from this problem that occurs in some localized part. This paper is proposed assessment formula of reliability related core compressive strength to increase the reliability. It is verified that reliability of proposed assessment formula is useful by probabilistic techniques. It is compared with each graphs of concrete compressive strength of proposed equation. It has been found that the present methods are very efficient.

Study on Structural Safety of Car Securing Equipment of Coastal Carferry: Part II Assessment of Lashing Safety according to Acceleration Prediction Approaches (국내 연안 카페리 차량 고박 장치 안전성에 관한 연구: 제2부 가속도 예측 방법에 따른 고박 안전도 비교 연구)

  • Choung, Joonmo;Jo, Huisang;Lee, Kyunghoon;Lee, Young Woo
    • Journal of Ocean Engineering and Technology
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    • v.30 no.6
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    • pp.451-457
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    • 2016
  • For a carferry with a displacement of 1,633 tonf, a seakeeping analysis-based direct load approach (DLA) was used in Part I of these series, where the final deliverable was the long-term probabilistic acceleration components. In Part II of these series, the tangential acceleration components are explained based on two approaches: a standard called the IMO CSS code and simple formulas with the probable maximum roll and pitch rotations. The subsequent tangential acceleration-induced external force components are also introduced for these two approaches. The lashing strength components were selected from the IMO CSS code. It was assumed that two different vehicles (a car and a truck) were stowed at the most distant locations on the main deck to assume the largest tangential acceleration components and were secured with four steel wires with longitudinal and transverse lashing angles of $45^{\circ}$. Four cases were considered, with different methods for predicting the acceleration components and different tools for the external loads and lashing strengths involved: cases Rule-LS (rule-based maximum probable roll and pitch angles for predicting the acceleration components in conjunction with LashingSafety), DLA-LS (seakeeping-based long-term acceleration components with LashingSafety), CSS-LC (IMO CSS code-based acceleration components using LashCon), and CSS-LS (IMO CSS code-based acceleration components using LashingSafety). In terms of the acceleration and external force components, the CSS-LC and CSS-LS results are more than two times the results of Rule-LS. Thus, when the external forces and lashing strengths are evaluated using CSS-LC and CSS-LS, the truck needs more lashing wires, while Rule-LS and DLA-LS predict that the present lashing configuration is on the safe side.

A Study of Efficient Viterbi Equalizer in FTN Channel (FTN 채널에서의 효율적인 비터비 등화기 연구)

  • Kim, Tae-Hun;Lee, In-Ki;Jung, Ji-Won
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
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    • v.18 no.6
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    • pp.1323-1329
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we analyzed efficient decoding scheme with FTN (Faster than Nyquist) method that is transmission method faster than Nyquist theory and increase the throughput. we proposed viterbi equalizer model to minimize ISI (Inter-Symbol Interference) when FTN signal is transmitted. the proposed model utilized interference as branch information. In this paper, to decode FTN singal, we used turbo equalization algorithms that iteratively exchange probabilistic information between soft Viterbi equalizer (BCJR method) and LDPC decoder. By changing the trellis diagram in order to maximize Euclidean distance, we confirmed that performance was improved compared to conventional methods as increasing throughput of FTN signal.

Application of Probabilistic Risk Analysis for Profitability-Evaluation of Apartment Reconstruction Projects (아파트 재건축사업의 수익성평가에 대한 확률적 위험도 분석 모형 적용방안)

  • Woo, Kwang-Min;Lee, Hak-Ki
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.167-176
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    • 2006
  • It was found that Korean Standard of Estimate which has been used as the only basis of cost estimate of public construction projects had some side effects such as jerry-build construction and over-estimation because it failed to reflect the current price and the state-of-the-art construction methods in a changing construction environment. Therefore, the government decided to gradually introduce historical construction cost into cost estimate of public construction projects from 2004. This paper presents analytic criteria and a process model for deducing more current and reasonable historical construction cost for contract items from not only previous contract prices but also all of the other bid prices that were not contracted. The procedure of estimating actual unit cost proposed in this paper focuses on the removal of abnormal values including strategically too low or high prices and the time correction. In addition, basic research is conducted for the correction of actual unit cost through the analysis of fluctuation of bid price depending on bidding types and rates of successful bid. It is anticipated that the effective use of the proposed process model for estimating actual unit cost would make the cost estimation more current and reasonable.

Human Risk Assessment of Perchloroethylene Considering Multi-media Exposure (다매체 노출을 고려한 Perchloroethylene의 인체위해성평가연구)

  • Seo, Jungkwan;Kim, Taksoo;Jo, Areum;Kim, Pilje;Choi, Kyunghee
    • Journal of Environmental Health Sciences
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    • v.40 no.5
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    • pp.397-406
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    • 2014
  • Objectives: Perchloroethylene (PCE) is a volatile chemical widely used as a solvent in the dry-cleaning and textile processing industries. It was evaluated as Group 2 "probably carcinogenic to humans" by the Integrated Risk Information System (IRIS) of the United State Environmental Protection Agency (U.S. EPA) in 2012. In order to provide a scientific basis for establishing risk management measures for chemicals on the national priority substances list, aggregate risk assessment was conducted for PCE, included in the top-10 substances. Methods: We conducted the investigation and monitoring of PCE exposure (e.g., exposure scenario, detection levels, and exposure factors, etc.) and assessed its multi-media (e.g., outdoor air, indoor air, and ground water) exposure risk with a deterministic and probabilistic approach. Results: In human risk assessment (HRA), the level of human exposure was higher in the younger age group. The exposure level through inhalation at home was the highest among the exposure routes. Outdoor air or uptake of drinking water represented less than 1% of total contributions to PCE exposure. These findings suggested that the level of risk was negligible since the Hazard Index (HI) induced by HRA was below one among all age groups, with a maximum HI value of 0.17 when reasonable maximum exposure was applied. Conclusion: In conclusion, it was suggested that despite low exposure risk, further studies are needed considering main sources, including occupational exposure.

The analysis of cost-effectiveness of implant and conventional fixed dental prosthesis

  • Chun, June Sang;Har, Alix;Lim, Hyun-Pil;Lim, Hoi-Jeong
    • The Journal of Advanced Prosthodontics
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.53-61
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    • 2016
  • PURPOSE. This study conducted an analysis of cost-effectiveness of the implant and conventional fixed dental prosthesis (CFDP) from a single treatment perspective. MATERIALS AND METHODS. The Markov model for cost-effectiveness analysis of the implant and CFDP was carried out over maximum 50 years. The probabilistic sensitivity analysis was performed by the 10,000 Monte-Carlo simulations, and cost-effectiveness acceptability curves (CEAC) were also presented. The results from meta-analysis studies were used to determine the survival rates and complication rates of the implant and CFDP. Data regarding the cost of each treatment method were collected from University Dental Hospital and Statistics Korea for 2013. Using the results of the patient satisfaction survey study, quality-adjusted prosthesis year (QAPY) of the implant and CFDP strategy was evaluated with annual discount rate. RESULTS. When only the direct cost was considered, implants were more cost-effective when the willingness to pay (WTP) was more than 10,000 won at $10^{th}$ year after the treatment, and more cost-effective regardless of the WTP from $20^{th}$ year after the prosthodontic treatment. When the indirect cost was added to the direct cost, implants were more cost-effective only when the WTP was more than 75,000 won at the $10^{th}$ year after the prosthodontic treatment, more than 35,000 won at the $20^{th}$ year after prosthodontic treatment. CONCLUSION. The CFDP was more cost-effective unless the WTP was more than 75,000 won at the $10^{th}$ year after prosthodontic treatment. But the cost-effectivenss tendency changed from CFDP to implant as time passed.

A Reliability Analysis on Sliding of Offshore Gravity Platform (중력식 해양구조물의 활훈에 대한 신뢰도해석)

  • 이인모;이명재
    • Geotechnical Engineering
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.37-50
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    • 1986
  • The uncertainties encountered in the stability analysis for the foundation of offshore structures on clay are formulated in probabilistic terms and used to evaluate the reliability of the foundation design. The major sources of uncertainty are: soil properties, f.ave loads, and methods of analysis. The major part of the uncertainty in safety factor is contributed by the uncertainty in the undrained shear strength. All sources of uncertainties that affect the shear strength of clay are modeled and systematically analyzed. The in situ undrained shear strengths are evaluated by laboratory tests and cone penetration tests. The undrained shear strengths from the laboratory test and CPT, respectively at Statfjord B site in the North Sea, are used as an example in risk analysis. Using the CPT alone, the failure probability on sliding of gravity platform at Statfjord B is much larger than the failure probability using the laboratory undrained shear strengths. The major uncertainty of using the CPT as the estimate of th2 undrained shear strength of clay results from the correlation between the cone resistance and the undrained shear strength.

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Development of Statistical/Probabilistic-Based Adaptive Thresholding Algorithm for Monitoring the Safety of the Structure (구조물의 안전성 모니터링을 위한 통계/확률기반 적응형 임계치 설정 알고리즘 개발)

  • Kim, Tae-Heon;Park, Ki-Tae
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2016
  • Recently, buildings tend to be large size, complex shape and functional. As the size of buildings is becoming massive, the need for structural health monitoring(SHM) technique is ever-increasing. Various SHM techniques have been studied for buildings which have different dynamic characteristics and are influenced by various external loads. Generally, the visual inspection and non-destructive test for an accessible point of structures are performed by experts. But nowadays, the system is required which is online measurement and detect risk elements automatically without blind spots on structures. In this study, in order to consider the response of non-linear structures, proposed a signal feature extraction and the adaptive threshold setting algorithm utilized to determine the abnormal behavior by using statistical methods such as control chart, root mean square deviation, generalized extremely distribution. And the performance of that was validated by using the acceleration response of structures during earthquakes measuring system of forced vibration tests and actual operation.

Use of Drug-eluting Stents Versus Bare-metal Stents in Korea: A Cost-minimization Analysis Using Population Data

  • Suh, Hae Sun;Song, Hyun Jin;Jang, Eun Jin;Kim, Jung-Sun;Choi, Donghoon;Lee, Sang Moo
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.46 no.4
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    • pp.201-209
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    • 2013
  • Objectives: The goal of this study was to perform an economic analysis of a primary stenting with drug-eluting stents (DES) compared with bare-metal stents (BMS) in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) admitted through an emergency room (ER) visit in Korea using population-based data. Methods: We employed a cost-minimization method using a decision analytic model with a two-year time period. Model probabilities and costs were obtained from a published systematic review and population-based data from which a retrospective database analysis of the national reimbursement database of Health Insurance Review and Assessment covering 2006 through 2010 was performed. Uncertainty was evaluated using one-way sensitivity analyses and probabilistic sensitivity analyses. Results: Among 513 979 cases with AMI during 2007 and 2008, 24 742 cases underwent stenting procedures and 20 320 patients admitted through an ER visit with primary stenting were identified in the base model. The transition probabilities of DES-to-DES, DES-to-BMS, DES-to-coronary artery bypass graft, and DES-to-balloon were 59.7%, 0.6%, 4.3%, and 35.3%, respectively, among these patients. The average two-year costs of DES and BMS in 2011 Korean won were 11 065 528 won/person and 9 647 647 won/person, respectively. DES resulted in higher costs than BMS by 1 417 882 won/person. The model was highly sensitive to the probability and costs of having no revascularization. Conclusions: Primary stenting with BMS for AMI with an ER visit was shown to be a cost-saving procedure compared with DES in Korea. Caution is needed when applying this finding to patients with a higher level of severity in health status.